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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
RTS REDUX

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07/12/2012 09:58 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I just saw a SDO movie they showed on NBC in 304 and it looked like all of the ejecta came from an area above 1520

you can't see it in this video that SDO just posted



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


This is great vid. thanks for posting!
 Quoting: SpiderJones


yw..the movie NBC played looked like a SDO image but was offset which makes me wonder if they have a secret sun scope mounted on Hubble or Spitzer. In that movie the filament looked like a whip as long as about half the diameter of the sun. It was well N of 1520. I just tried to find it on Jhelioviewer in about 1/2 dozen different filters but haven't been able to find it yet. If I do find something I'll make a video or post a screenshot.
"If one understands that socialism is not a share-the-wealth programme, but is in reality a method to consolidate and control the wealth, then the seeming paradox of super-rich men promoting socialism becomes no paradox at all. Instead, it becomes logical, even the perfect tool of power-seeking megalomaniacs.

Communism or more accurately, socialism, is not a movement of the downtrodden masses, but of the economic elite."

Gary Allen

NONE DARE CALL IT CONSPIRACY
~~~~~~~~~~~~
Hitler was a leftist

[link to constitutionalistnc.tripod.com]
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I just saw a new line of Plasma form on EVE [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Just to the Right hand side of the Regions but going Northward..I'd watch that,could be a Bi-Polar connection has been loaded and primed.

We shall see : )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Yes, you are right, looks like it is ripening.
Starry eyes

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07/12/2012 10:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm home from work. It looks like it was a pretty eventful day I see.

:)
 Quoting: Starry eyes


Hi SE, maybe it will pick up for you now your off!
 Quoting: shadasonic


Perhaps, Perhaps!
***Earth was once considered to be flat. Anything is possible.***
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 10:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm home from work. It looks like it was a pretty eventful day I see.

:)
 Quoting: Starry eyes


and i will sleep now^^hf

Good night suncrew, wish you a good hunt and please dont post that much haha
shadasonic

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07/12/2012 10:01 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I just saw a new line of Plasma form on EVE [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Just to the Right hand side of the Regions but going Northward..I'd watch that,could be a Bi-Polar connection has been loaded and primed.

We shall see : )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I get a very strong feeling its reloading
 Quoting: shadasonic


The line I mentioned is clearly visable here [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] on the top-right of the Region.

Check out the Filament Lift off in the North [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] !
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


The filament to the north looks like a skeleton sitting on a rock
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Starry eyes

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07/12/2012 10:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm home from work. It looks like it was a pretty eventful day I see.

:)
 Quoting: Starry eyes


Howdy, Starry eyes, u2efine- Me,too. and it took me 2 hours to go thru all the posts in the last 6 hours. Wow, this thread may reach 1000 pages by Monday morning!

After my prediction of a major flare event within 36-48 hours, I was ready today to re-name GIGANTOR the "Gentle Giant" and eat some crow, but NOOOOOOO!-1520 came through big time. After the flare I checked the magnetogram and very little had changed since it was in the B-range. This region seems ready to explode at a moment notice so stay alert. This region actually seems more typical of an active region than AR1515. I've never seen so many staccato, short-lived M-flares before, not to mention the deflected nature of the CMEs.

Now I have to go back and find out which posts to quote and comment on, hahaha.

Great job here by everyone!
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


It certainly has picked up, Hugh :)

With today's performance, the 1520 region seems promising!

I'll hang around for a while.

hf
***Earth was once considered to be flat. Anything is possible.***
Hugh M Eye

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07/12/2012 10:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Today's CME forecast to hit us Sat., between 3 am & 5 pm EDT. Moderate to severe activity (Kp 6-8) possible.

Here's the ISWA Model:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]




New ISWA Cygnet streamer:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]



Electrons Ions:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Great work as usual, IWTB! That second link shows all of the varios cone models and the "Dynamic Pressure" and "Density" puts Earth in the black (strongest) part of the storm. Even in the best-case-scenario we'll receive quite a jolt.

Event Issue Date: 2012-07-12 13:37:29.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-07-14 10:20:38.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 8 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.6 Re
tomasgod1

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07/12/2012 10:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Now we have something to talk about, haha!

This X1.4 Flare from 1520 peaked around 16:49 July 12, 2012 UTC. The CME first shows up ejecting from around the occulting disk on Stereo A Cor2 at 16:54:50, while the flare is still peaking. This was a very fast plane of sky ejection speed. This is a large CME with a lot of material being pushed out from the center or the disk in an Earthward direction, this time. The CMEs thick cloud is very discernable on both Stereo A and B Cor2 images below...

x1.4corb

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

x1.4cora

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

This CME is moving so quickly that it was already seen in the Stereo B HI1 images starting at 23:18UT (that is Venus about to get blasted) below..

x1.4hi1b

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

It looks like CCMC NASA ISWA currently is forcasting the arrival for around 2012 07 14 for approx 18:00 UTC or 2:00pm Sat afternoon, and WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction from NOAA/SWPC is predicting the arrival for approx 2012 07 14 20:00 UTC.

I would not be at all suprised if it arrived within 30-36 hrs from the ejection, putting it's arrival here Fri night into Sat morning between 2012 07 13 22:00 - 2012 07 14 04:00 UTC.
_______

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tomasgod1

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07/12/2012 10:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Today's CME forecast to hit us Sat., between 3 am & 5 pm EDT. Moderate to severe activity (Kp 6-8) possible.

Here's the ISWA Model:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]




New ISWA Cygnet streamer:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]



Electrons Ions:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Great work as usual, IWTB! That second link shows all of the varios cone models and the "Dynamic Pressure" and "Density" puts Earth in the black (strongest) part of the storm. Even in the best-case-scenario we'll receive quite a jolt.

Event Issue Date: 2012-07-12 13:37:29.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-07-14 10:20:38.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 8 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.6 Re
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Glad to see ISWA/CCMC shortning those arrival times up. NOAA still going with 1:00 pm Eastern.

"The R3 (Strong) Radio Blackout today at 12:49 EDT (1649 UTC) was accompanied by an earth-directed CME. Hampered by limited observations of the event, SWPC forecasters are now anticipating the passage of the CME around 1:00 a.m. EDT, Saturday, July 14."
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Their cone model,showing the arrival at 20:00UTC.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

chuckle

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 07/12/2012 10:36 PM
_______

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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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NiNzrez (OP)

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07/12/2012 10:22 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey Nin. Do you know if the polarity of that CMe, from the X flare, will be pulling the Bz South?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


i would say it is very hard to tell and we will have to wait and see
this becuase the sunspot the CME came from, 1520, had many intermixing polarities some + and some -
all woven together
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

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NiNzrez (OP)

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07/12/2012 10:23 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Nin we all know they read your thread !!! worship
 Quoting: TS66


heard it here 1st!!!! :)
the ego part of me likes to think they do
but the humble part in me says we just agree
:)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I like this.
Thanks, NiNzrez.
Awesome reporting and amazing day!

:eme3:
 Quoting: Parvati


hf
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
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tomasgod1

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07/12/2012 10:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey Nin. Do you know if the polarity of that CMe, from the X flare, will be pulling the Bz South?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


i would say it is very hard to tell and we will have to wait and see
this becuase the sunspot the CME came from, 1520, had many intermixing polarities some + and some -
all woven together
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Exactly my thoughts on this one as well.

hi NiN
hf
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/12/2012 10:42 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ooorrgghhh!?

My Head is killing : /

Must be due to [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

And [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I missed the beginning of the X but the effects are for sure persistant,my skull is banging,hard..OouchhH.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


mine was too then i took a shower and feel brand new

a great thing to do when were having this solar activity is take off your shoes and go stand/walk in the grass or sand or dirt
get grounded! doing this will help reduce the negative electrons that sometimes build up in the human body from the bombardment of solar particles/radaition etc
[link to www.naturalbodyhealing.com]
[link to health.howstuffworks.com]

if you still feel yukky after that, a shower will do the job. it does the same thing as the grounding with earth as i said above and a double dose of antioxidants durring this solar weather will also help :)

when you can, do all 3
Solar Alerts Blog
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/12/2012 10:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Big Luv by the waymusic
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


You're not wearing your aluminium helmet? 1doh1
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Nooo Spidey J!

The Aluminium induces and amplifies the Waves!

Tinfoil hat plus Amalgam Fillings should mean one would be able to pick up not only FM Bands but also Digital Radio : )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


omg 1rof1
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/12/2012 10:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Big Luv by the waymusic
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium

You're not wearing your aluminium helmet? 1doh1
 Quoting: SpiderJones

Nooo Spidey J!
The Aluminium induces and amplifies the Waves!
Tinfoil hat plus Amalgam Fillings should mean one would be able to pick up not only FM Bands but also Digital Radio : )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Gold is best.
The ancients wore gold helmets, beaten-thin gold arm bands, huge gold necklaces and breast plates that covered the heart for a reason.

[link to 4.bp.blogspot.com]

[link to www.janusmuseum.org]

[link to i.ytimg.com]

[link to www.egyptgiftshop.com]

:Inan:
 Quoting: Parvati


ahhhhh bingo!
so so many miss that connection ^^
sounds like something i say on a night at my house while sitting around with friends talking theory ;)
Solar Alerts Blog
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/12/2012 10:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Now we have something to talk about, haha!

This X1.4 Flare from 1520 peaked around 16:49 July 12, 2012 UTC. The CME first shows up ejecting from around the occulting disk on Stereo A Cor2 at 16:54:50, while the flare is still peaking. This was a very fast plane of sky ejection speed. This is a large CME with a lot of material being pushed out from the center or the disk in an Earthward direction, this time. The CMEs thick cloud is very discernable on both Stereo A and B Cor2 images below...

x1.4corb

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

x1.4cora

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

This CME is moving so quickly that it was already seen in the Stereo B HI1 images starting at 23:18UT (that is Venus about to get blasted) below..

x1.4hi1b

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

It looks like CCMC NASA ISWA currently is forcasting the arrival for around 2012 07 14 for approx 18:00 UTC or 2:00pm Sat afternoon, and WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction from NOAA/SWPC is predicting the arrival for approx 2012 07 14 20:00 UTC.

I would not be at all suprised if it arrived within 30-36 hrs from the ejection, putting it's arrival here Fri night into Sat morning between 2012 07 13 22:00 - 2012 07 14 04:00 UTC.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


hey tom! yay back just in time :)
i calculated the time around 06:00 on the 14th
+/- 4hrs
almost the exact same as you
hf

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 07/12/2012 10:50 PM
Solar Alerts Blog
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Spittin'Cesium

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07/12/2012 10:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Now we have something to talk about, haha!

This X1.4 Flare from 1520 peaked around 16:49 July 12, 2012 UTC. The CME first shows up ejecting from around the occulting disk on Stereo A Cor2 at 16:54:50, while the flare is still peaking. This was a very fast plane of sky ejection speed. This is a large CME with a lot of material being pushed out from the center or the disk in an Earthward direction, this time. The CMEs thick cloud is very discernable on both Stereo A and B Cor2 images below...

x1.4corb

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

x1.4cora

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

This CME is moving so quickly that it was already seen in the Stereo B HI1 images starting at 23:18UT (that is Venus about to get blasted) below..

x1.4hi1b

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

It looks like CCMC NASA ISWA currently is forcasting the arrival for around 2012 07 14 for approx 18:00 UTC or 2:00pm Sat afternoon, and WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction from NOAA/SWPC is predicting the arrival for approx 2012 07 14 20:00 UTC.

I would not be at all suprised if it arrived within 30-36 hrs from the ejection, putting it's arrival here Fri night into Sat morning between 2012 07 13 22:00 - 2012 07 14 04:00 UTC.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Incredible.

Blooming Plasma Plumage..should be a mighty whack,Multiple wild polarities within you would think from the images and positions of the HSBs.

Thank you Tom for posting : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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07/12/2012 11:00 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Big Luv by the waymusic
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


You're not wearing your aluminium helmet? 1doh1
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Nooo Spidey J!

The Aluminium induces and amplifies the Waves!

Tinfoil hat plus Amalgam Fillings should mean one would be able to pick up not only FM Bands but also Digital Radio : )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


omg 1rof1
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hey there NiNzrose
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
finley

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07/12/2012 11:11 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow what a day. Hiya all.
Saw the flare, had to leave, just got caught up. Big cme.
When the flare was hitting I had a sharp pain on right side of head. I felt sick too.
I do all of Nin's suggestionshf, including ingesting some organic xtra Virgin Olive oil. It really does help.
Hugh M Eye

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07/12/2012 11:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Now we have something to talk about, haha!

This X1.4 Flare from 1520 peaked around 16:49 July 12, 2012 UTC. The CME first shows up ejecting from around the occulting disk on Stereo A Cor2 at 16:54:50, while the flare is still peaking. This was a very fast plane of sky ejection speed. This is a large CME with a lot of material being pushed out from the center or the disk in an Earthward direction, this time. The CMEs thick cloud is very discernable on both Stereo A and B Cor2 images below...

x1.4corb

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

x1.4cora

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

This CME is moving so quickly that it was already seen in the Stereo B HI1 images starting at 23:18UT (that is Venus about to get blasted) below..

x1.4hi1b

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

It looks like CCMC NASA ISWA currently is forcasting the arrival for around 2012 07 14 for approx 18:00 UTC or 2:00pm Sat afternoon, and WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction from NOAA/SWPC is predicting the arrival for approx 2012 07 14 20:00 UTC.

I would not be at all suprised if it arrived within 30-36 hrs from the ejection, putting it's arrival here Fri night into Sat morning between 2012 07 13 22:00 - 2012 07 14 04:00 UTC.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Howdy, TG1, great to see you, SunBro!cheers I'm not sure where to begin with this event. First of all, I'm somewhat surprised at the lack of "proton snow" on SOHO considering the size and direction of the CME. The Sun seems to guard its secrets very well indeed, haha.

Space Weather Message Code: WARPC0
Serial Number: 65
Issue Time: 2012 Jul 13 0034 UTC

CANCEL WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Cancel Serial Number: 64
Original Issue Time: 2012 Jul 12 1740 UTC

Comment: Conditions no longer present for warning.
Potential Impacts: An enhancement in the energetic portion of the solar radiation spectrum may indicate increased biological risk to astronauts or passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights. Additionally, energetic particles may represent an increased risk to all satellite systems susceptible to single event effects. This information should be used in conjunction with the current Solar Radiation Storm conditions when assessing overall impact.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

... more when I gather my wits, LOL.
Anonymous Coward
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07/12/2012 11:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think there is a bigger one coming tonight. I understand LDEs, but I haven't seen an X yet. I've also noticed that they've been coming in pairs.

I hope I'm wrong.
Hugh M Eye

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07/12/2012 11:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow what a day. Hiya all.
Saw the flare, had to leave, just got caught up. Big cme.
When the flare was hitting I had a sharp pain on right side of head. I felt sick too.
I do all of Nin's suggestionshf, including ingesting some organic xtra Virgin Olive oil. It really does help.
 Quoting: finley


I felt fantastic & energized all day. My friend, however, was working in the sun today and he looked burnt and went to bed early. Different sunstrokes for different folks, I guess, hehe.
tomasgod1

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07/12/2012 11:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hey tom! yay back just in time :)
i calculated the time around 06:00 on the 14th
+/- 4hrs
almost the exact same as you
hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez


sunglasses

Cool deal! I think we've got it right on.
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
tomasgod1

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07/12/2012 11:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Howdy, TG1, great to see you, SunBro!cheers I'm not sure where to begin with this event. First of all, I'm somewhat surprised at the lack of "proton snow" on SOHO considering the size and direction of the CME. The Sun seems to guard its secrets very well indeed, haha.

Space Weather Message Code: WARPC0
Serial Number: 65
Issue Time: 2012 Jul 13 0034 UTC

CANCEL WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Cancel Serial Number: 64
Original Issue Time: 2012 Jul 12 1740 UTC

Comment: Conditions no longer present for warning.
Potential Impacts: An enhancement in the energetic portion of the solar radiation spectrum may indicate increased biological risk to astronauts or passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights. Additionally, energetic particles may represent an increased risk to all satellite systems susceptible to single event effects. This information should be used in conjunction with the current Solar Radiation Storm conditions when assessing overall impact.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

... more when I gather my wits, LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I have been watching SOHO for it as well. It is a shame that they missed the initial event with this equipment, as that might have helped answer some questions. It may still be on the way. The largest push of those particles is usually out in front of the CME wave. Also, those particles travel much faster and are more Earth directed when we are magnetically connected(foot Point Location) to the Sunspot Region, which in this case, we were not.

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 07/12/2012 11:31 PM
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RTS REDUX

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07/12/2012 11:28 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm somewhat surprised at the lack of "proton snow" on SOHO considering the size and direction of the CME. The Sun seems to guard its secrets very well indeed, haha.

 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


C2 was shut down from 17:12 to 22:42

here's the 17:12UT image..

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by RTS REDUX on 07/12/2012 11:35 PM
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finley

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07/12/2012 11:33 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Howdy, TG1, great to see you, SunBro!cheers I'm not sure where to begin with this event. First of all, I'm somewhat surprised at the lack of "proton snow" on SOHO considering the size and direction of the CME. The Sun seems to guard its secrets very well indeed, haha.

Space Weather Message Code: WARPC0
Serial Number: 65
Issue Time: 2012 Jul 13 0034 UTC

CANCEL WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Cancel Serial Number: 64
Original Issue Time: 2012 Jul 12 1740 UTC

Comment: Conditions no longer present for warning.
Potential Impacts: An enhancement in the energetic portion of the solar radiation spectrum may indicate increased biological risk to astronauts or passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights. Additionally, energetic particles may represent an increased risk to all satellite systems susceptible to single event effects. This information should be used in conjunction with the current Solar Radiation Storm conditions when assessing overall impact.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

... more when I gather my wits, LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I have been watching SOHO for it as well. It is a shame that they missed the initial event with this equipment, as that might have helped answer some questions. It may still be on the way. The largest push of those particles is usually out in front of the CME wave. Also, those particles travel much faster and are more Earth directed when we are magnetically connected(foot Point Location) to the Sunspot Region, which in this case, we were not.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


It's so nice to read you guys. Hiya Tom. It always seems to happen that when there is an event that there is missing data.cool2 Oh are you Tom ref to the magnetic hwy. that we wernt on when flare happened. And what do you say about the cme and the bz. Thanks.

Last Edited by finley on 07/12/2012 11:35 PM
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/12/2012 11:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Wow what a day. Hiya all.
Saw the flare, had to leave, just got caught up. Big cme.
When the flare was hitting I had a sharp pain on right side of head. I felt sick too.
I do all of Nin's suggestionshf, including ingesting some organic xtra Virgin Olive oil. It really does help.
 Quoting: finley


oo i forgot to add the olive oil!
wonder oil it is :)
thanks Finley
hf
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Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
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07/12/2012 11:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm somewhat surprised at the lack of "proton snow" on SOHO considering the size and direction of the CME. The Sun seems to guard its secrets very well indeed, haha.

 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


C2 was shut down from 17:12 to 22:42

here's the 17:12UT image..

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


This was going to be my second point....WTF? SOHO often has huge gaps between downloads from space, but they are usually updated within 12 hours. Not this time! The data is forever missing..again, WTF? This is the main purpose of the SOHO Mission and it's not working while folks are predicting a 60+% chance of X-flares AND the AR is directly Earth-facing?!? At the risk of being redundant...WTF?????wtf

I don't want to feed anyone's paranoia, but during last weeks X-flare the SDO website was down for re-construction. Can't NASA get their shit together to be prepared for a SOLAR MAXIMUM?

Excuuuuse Me, but WHAT THE F__K?
tomatowtf
nerdrage88sasr

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07/12/2012 11:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I'm somewhat surprised at the lack of "proton snow" on SOHO considering the size and direction of the CME. The Sun seems to guard its secrets very well indeed, haha.

 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


C2 was shut down from 17:12 to 22:42

here's the 17:12UT image..

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


This was going to be my second point....WTF? SOHO often has huge gaps between downloads from space, but they are usually updated within 12 hours. Not this time! The data is forever missing..again, WTF? This is the main purpose of the SOHO Mission and it's not working while folks are predicting a 60+% chance of X-flares AND the AR is directly Earth-facing?!? At the risk of being redundant...WTF?????wtf

I don't want to feed anyone's paranoia, but during last weeks X-flare the SDO website was down for re-construction. Can't NASA get their shit together to be prepared for a SOLAR MAXIMUM?

Excuuuuse Me, but WHAT THE F__K?
tomatowtf
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


clappa
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07/13/2012 12:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
well... its now the last friday the 13th in the year 2012...maybe it will live up to its name...
"So you're made of detritus [from exploded stars]. Get over it. Or better yet...Celebrate it. After all, what nobler thought can one cherish than that the universe lives within us all?"

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