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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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07/13/2012 12:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hanging at C1.5 for awhile now. Plotting it's next move?
Mission Invisible

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07/13/2012 12:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
well... its now the last friday the 13th in the year 2012...maybe it will live up to its name...
 Quoting: Mission Invisible


Hi, Mission Invisible, hf Why did ya have to remind me? I was gonna go out an' try t' get laid tonight, LOL. Three years ago I got run over by an SUV on Friday 13th at 6 AM....now I'm putting on my gold helmet, haha.
uhohscared
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


lol and on top of that the fat lady is "singing" :)


[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]


...and on that note...good luck tonight!
"So you're made of detritus [from exploded stars]. Get over it. Or better yet...Celebrate it. After all, what nobler thought can one cherish than that the universe lives within us all?"

Neil deGrasse Tyson



"We were told that the changes in our world would become the catalyst for ones within us..."
Fractal Time, Gregg Braden
Anonymous Coward
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07/13/2012 12:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Headed up slowly
whiteangel

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07/13/2012 01:02 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
hiccup
Anonymous Coward
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07/13/2012 01:04 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Headed up slowly
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872

and back down again
I think 1520 is done putting out flares
goodnews
Hugh M Eye

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07/13/2012 01:05 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just for the record, this is the most boring X-flare I've seen so far....

The "long view" SDO movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

The "close-up" SDO movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

STEREO B Cor2 CME movie (much more exciting):

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I think the enormous size of this sunspot region makes it appear more sluggish and potentially more powerful when activated. This may be just a preview of some REALLY BIG events to come if this region gets excited. Maybe not on this rotation, but I think GIGANTOR is capable of XTREME (X10+) flares if it continues to grow and morph. Possibly because of its size, it seems to be in no hurry to mature. I'm not a remote viewer or a psychic, I just have a "gut feeling" this guy could get out-of-hand at some point.
hiding
C3Music
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07/13/2012 01:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
LASCO C3 shows a sungrazing comet headed for the sun right now. Everytime in the past one of these sungrazers interacts with the sun there have always been some sort of flare/cme. Worrysome a little because of the current position of 1520, it's potential of release. We shall see, has anyone else thought of this? I just woke up so if this was talked about a few pages back please disregard

popcorn
Anonymous Coward
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07/13/2012 01:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Just for the record, this is the most boring X-flare I've seen so far....

The "long view" SDO movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

The "close-up" SDO movie:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

STEREO B Cor2 CME movie (much more exciting):

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

I think the enormous size of this sunspot region makes it appear more sluggish and potentially more powerful when activated. This may be just a preview of some REALLY BIG events to come if this region gets excited. Maybe not on this rotation, but I think GIGANTOR is capable of XTREME (X10+) flares if it continues to grow and morph. Possibly because of its size, it seems to be in no hurry to mature. I'm not a remote viewer or a psychic, I just have a "gut feeling" this guy could get out-of-hand at some point.
hiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

I feel like we might see 1515/1513 grow on the backside too.
Anonymous Coward
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07/13/2012 01:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ahh : )

Enough Chimps + Time = NOAA/SOHO/NASA.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


lmao
Anonymous Coward
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07/13/2012 01:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
LASCO C3 shows a sungrazing comet headed for the sun right now. Everytime in the past one of these sungrazers interacts with the sun there have always been some sort of flare/cme. Worrysome a little because of the current position of 1520, it's potential of release. We shall see, has anyone else thought of this? I just woke up so if this was talked about a few pages back please disregard

popcorn
 Quoting: C3Music 16136592
Nice catch

popcorn
joinca

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07/13/2012 01:10 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar storm protection --->Space Daily Jul 13, 2012
NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) captured this M5.6 class solar flare on July 2, 2012, at 6:52 a.m. EDT. The flare came from a large sunspot called AR1515 in the sun's southern hemisphere. The flare caused brief radio interference over Europe. Image courtesy NASA/SDO.
Massive explosions on the sun unleash radiation that could kill astronauts in space. Now, researchers from the U.S. and South Korea have developed a warning system capable of forecasting the radiation from these violent solar storms nearly three hours (166 minutes) in advance, giving astronauts, as well as air crews flying over Earth's polar regions, time to take protective action.
The full article is here: [link to www.spacedaily.com]
cool2
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson
Anonymous Coward
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07/13/2012 01:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
LASCO C3 shows a sungrazing comet headed for the sun right now. Everytime in the past one of these sungrazers interacts with the sun there have always been some sort of flare/cme. Worrysome a little because of the current position of 1520, it's potential of release. We shall see, has anyone else thought of this? I just woke up so if this was talked about a few pages back please disregard

popcorn
 Quoting: C3Music 16136592


I've seen several comets in the past go into the sun, and at the same time, the sun let loose w/ a big CME, coinsidence?? It sure did not look like it to me.
Hugh M Eye

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07/13/2012 01:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar storm protection --->Space Daily Jul 13, 2012
NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) captured this M5.6 class solar flare on July 2, 2012, at 6:52 a.m. EDT. The flare came from a large sunspot called AR1515 in the sun's southern hemisphere. The flare caused brief radio interference over Europe. Image courtesy NASA/SDO.
Massive explosions on the sun unleash radiation that could kill astronauts in space. Now, researchers from the U.S. and South Korea have developed a warning system capable of forecasting the radiation from these violent solar storms nearly three hours (166 minutes) in advance, giving astronauts, as well as air crews flying over Earth's polar regions, time to take protective action.
The full article is here: [link to www.spacedaily.com]
cool2
 Quoting: joinca


Hey, Jo, where ya gone with dat Sun in your hand? Sorry, friend, couldn't resist, hehe.

If this is the one they have at the South Pole neutron detectors, I think I posted this story before to stone silence. Anyway, here's a related article (more in depth) from Science:

[link to news.sciencemag.org]

Keep up the good work....PEACE>
finley

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07/13/2012 01:22 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
LASCO C3 shows a sungrazing comet headed for the sun right now. Everytime in the past one of these sungrazers interacts with the sun there have always been some sort of flare/cme. Worrysome a little because of the current position of 1520, it's potential of release. We shall see, has anyone else thought of this? I just woke up so if this was talked about a few pages back please disregard

popcorn
 Quoting: C3Music 16136592


I've seen several comets in the past go into the sun, and at the same time, the sun let loose w/ a big CME, coinsidence?? It sure did not look like it to me.
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Hi Spider. Yes I don't think they were coincidence, they were claimed to be however.
Spittin'Cesium

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07/13/2012 01:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Check out the 'Hook em' Horns' at 8:30 on the dial [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Hugh M Eye

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07/13/2012 01:25 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I GOTTA GUT FEELIN'...I Can't take it no mo'!


[link to www.youtube.com]



[link to www.youtube.com]
C3Music
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07/13/2012 01:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
LASCO C3 shows a sungrazing comet headed for the sun right now. Everytime in the past one of these sungrazers interacts with the sun there have always been some sort of flare/cme. Worrysome a little because of the current position of 1520, it's potential of release. We shall see, has anyone else thought of this? I just woke up so if this was talked about a few pages back please disregard

popcorn
 Quoting: C3Music 16136592


I've seen several comets in the past go into the sun, and at the same time, the sun let loose w/ a big CME, coinsidence?? It sure did not look like it to me.
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Hi Spider. Yes I don't think they were coincidence, they were claimed to be however.
 Quoting: finley


[link to sohowww.estec.esa.nl]
At about 4:30 position
Spittin'Cesium

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07/13/2012 01:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
LASCO C3 shows a sungrazing comet headed for the sun right now. Everytime in the past one of these sungrazers interacts with the sun there have always been some sort of flare/cme. Worrysome a little because of the current position of 1520, it's potential of release. We shall see, has anyone else thought of this? I just woke up so if this was talked about a few pages back please disregard

popcorn
 Quoting: C3Music 16136592


I've seen several comets in the past go into the sun, and at the same time, the sun let loose w/ a big CME, coinsidence?? It sure did not look like it to me.
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Hi Spider. Yes I don't think they were coincidence, they were claimed to be however.
 Quoting: finley


[link to sohowww.estec.esa.nl]
At about 4:30 position
 Quoting: C3Music 16136592


I see it,very small,starts to show a tail around 08:42 Timestamp,good eye : )

I think that would be a Kreutz Family Comet [link to en.wikipedia.org]

Quote,

'The Kreutz Sungrazers are a family of sungrazing comets, characterized by orbits taking them extremely close to the Sun at perihelion. They are believed to be fragments of one large comet that broke up several centuries ago and are named for German astronomer Heinrich Kreutz, who first demonstrated that they were related'.

We'll see what happens with this little muff diver.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Hugh M Eye

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07/13/2012 01:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
LASCO C3 shows a sungrazing comet headed for the sun right now. Everytime in the past one of these sungrazers interacts with the sun there have always been some sort of flare/cme. Worrysome a little because of the current position of 1520, it's potential of release. We shall see, has anyone else thought of this? I just woke up so if this was talked about a few pages back please disregard

popcorn
 Quoting: C3Music 16136592


I've seen several comets in the past go into the sun, and at the same time, the sun let loose w/ a big CME, coinsidence?? It sure did not look like it to me.
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Hi Spider. Yes I don't think they were coincidence, they were claimed to be however.
 Quoting: finley


[link to sohowww.estec.esa.nl]
At about 4:30 position
 Quoting: C3Music 16136592


Thanks, C3, it'll be very interesting to see what happens to this comet. It seems 4 out 5 sizable comets get a CME greeting. Here's a larger image from SOHO:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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07/13/2012 01:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
LASCO C3 shows a sungrazing comet headed for the sun right now. Everytime in the past one of these sungrazers interacts with the sun there have always been some sort of flare/cme. Worrysome a little because of the current position of 1520, it's potential of release. We shall see, has anyone else thought of this? I just woke up so if this was talked about a few pages back please disregard

popcorn
 Quoting: C3Music 16136592


I've seen several comets in the past go into the sun, and at the same time, the sun let loose w/ a big CME, coinsidence?? It sure did not look like it to me.
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Hi Spider. Yes I don't think they were coincidence, they were claimed to be however.
 Quoting: finley


[link to sohowww.estec.esa.nl]
At about 4:30 position
 Quoting: C3Music 16136592


Where did you hear about this comet, my musical friend? If this is your dicovery you should register it. I can't find any info on NRL's Sungrazer page or their Twitter page...
[link to sungrazer.nrl.navy.mil]

[link to twitter.com]
Spittin'Cesium

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07/13/2012 01:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Anyhoo'..I have been trying to read up a little more about the Helmet Streamer Belts so I can try and understand/help predict where some CMEs' may emerge from and any possible effect the streamers may have on any ejecta from the Sun and thought I'd share this with anyone who has the time to read/scan through it [link to iopscience.iop.org]

A little out of date references but should be helpful all the same : )

I also found this nice little 2D model simulation of a CME related to the Streamers Fields based over a 7 Day period [link to iopscience.iop.org]

Pretty neat.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 07/13/2012 01:55 AM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Vandetta7

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07/13/2012 01:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
RTS REDUX

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07/13/2012 02:08 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
@ 2:12 or thereabouts is a description of what was experienced during the Carrington event

[link to www.youtube.com]

Last Edited by RTS REDUX on 07/13/2012 02:10 AM
C3Music
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07/13/2012 02:12 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


I've seen several comets in the past go into the sun, and at the same time, the sun let loose w/ a big CME, coinsidence?? It sure did not look like it to me.
 Quoting: SpiderJones


Hi Spider. Yes I don't think they were coincidence, they were claimed to be however.
 Quoting: finley


[link to sohowww.estec.esa.nl]
At about 4:30 position
 Quoting: C3Music 16136592


Where did you hear about this comet, my musical friend? If this is your dicovery you should register it. I can't find any info on NRL's Sungrazer page or their Twitter page...
[link to sungrazer.nrl.navy.mil]

[link to twitter.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I was just doing my normal web rounds when I saw it. That makes me feel pretty good if I "discovered" it. The first thought I had though was damn if this does what all the other sun grazers do then the sun will asplode :) when it dives into it. I also think its funny how the whole C3 thing lines up. C3Music has nothing to do with lasco or space, it's my music group I had a few years back.
Anonymous Coward
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07/13/2012 02:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
we are now seeing a complex connection between 1518, 1519, 1521, 1520 and the area above 1520 where the filament lifted off earlier today
here we can see where these regions are located
[link to www.solen.info]
here we can see the complex connection between them all
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

if you look on the SDO movie for all of today
2012-07-11 00:00:00
through
2012-07-11 22:00:00
and look at the filter 211, 193, 171
we can see how the filament eruption fed into the whole 1520 extended area
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

after it loads, be sure to hit the - button on the top to slow down the movie to around 3 frames per sec
this will slow it down enough to see it well

also look at the filter
 Quoting: NiNzrez


We're fucked. my dear Ninz. By the beginning of next year, there'll be no doubt if any of us are still alive

Thread: Russian Federation Warnings: New information of solar activity
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18442200


bump for DOOM
C3Music
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07/13/2012 02:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Oh yeah I just finished reading a book called "A Distant Eden". It's about how a family deals with a CME bringing down the grid. It was very good and had a lot of tips in it that I didn't think about. It was definitely worth the 99 cents. I'm not the author and have no ties to this book. I just thought that since this thread is about such events many of you would like to read it. Have any of you read it?
tomasgod1

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07/13/2012 02:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This CME is moving really fast. I have been waiting for Stereo B HI1 to update, but nada since 23:18 UT on the 12th. AARRGHH! They have been updating Ahead HI1 though and it has tore past Mercury and almost across the view of HI1
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

Ahead HI2 isn't going to be of much use as it is looking at this globular section of our galaxy at the moment.

If the NASA/CCMC Cone models are anywhere close to being right(and I think they are), this CME is going to hit fast and hard. The models have it arriving with the density maxed out while still cruising at over 800 km/s. This should make for a big IP shock/large deviation.

I will leave you guys with dreams of Auroras dancing in your heads. Gnite!


_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Spittin'Cesium

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07/13/2012 02:38 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The Region around 1520 looks like it is 'sucking' the surrondings into it [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] <--- Zoom in and you'll see what I mean : )
The darker areas around that ^ image almost look like the Penumbra of a Sunspot!(Penumbra image for watchers [link to davidpratt.info] )

Here it looks like it has tendrils all over the place,reaching out for whatever it can [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

A little concerned that it seems to be plugging itself to the Filament in the North,just above the Equator : ?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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07/13/2012 02:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This CME is moving really fast. I have been waiting for Stereo B HI1 to update, but nada since 23:18 UT on the 12th. AARRGHH! They have been updating Ahead HI1 though and it has tore past Mercury and almost across the view of HI1
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

Ahead HI2 isn't going to be of much use as it is looking at this globular section of our galaxy at the moment.

If the NASA/CCMC Cone models are anywhere close to being right(and I think they are), this CME is going to hit fast and hard. The models have it arriving with the density maxed out while still cruising at over 800 km/s. This should make for a big IP shock/large deviation.

I will leave you guys with dreams of Auroras dancing in your heads. Gnite!


 Quoting: tomasgod1


Nice one : )

Goodnight TaG1 - rest well.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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07/13/2012 02:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The Region around 1520 looks like it is 'sucking' the surrondings into it [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] <--- Zoom in and you'll see what I mean : )
The darker areas around that ^ image almost look like the Penumbra of a Sunspot!(Penumbra image for watchers [link to davidpratt.info] )

Here it looks like it has tendrils all over the place,reaching out for whatever it can [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

A little concerned that it seems to be plugging itself to the Filament in the North,just above the Equator : ?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium

sure looks like its feeding from the filament
monster


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