SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

The super derecho was a test, the grid is qoing down.

that is a map of where our visitors are from ^^

thanks for reporting this :)

I haven't heard much about this one on MSM either, i've watched to see if they'd say anything about it but.. nothing.

...and this is why we've lost trust in mainstream media. They report trash, but when there is a public interest in something all you hear is crickets!

My husbands Verizon has been messing up since 9 PM EST last night (his business phone). Rings a couple times, starts the message then goes to a busy signal.

Needless to say, he has a couple of frustrated customers. One took 3 attempts before getting through.

Yep, nothing but crap news, boring politics and the whole PSU thing.

I was wondering about this, I get like spiraly floaters but has to be in the thousands its really hard to focus on all of them.

Density is moving up as Bz is heading south, all signs of a coming storm.
The energy I feel is coming from somewhere, protons have been about the same all day, maybe this storms coming in early

many elect. grids. transformers, cell towers will be fried, we had poping and blown fuses reported all over the valley YESTERDAY- combo heat, and flare.

seeeeee NOW your thinking like me
when i see with all the other big events this solar cycle them blasting on the MSM about how it could take down the grids, i got a good feeling that the events we were about to see would not do much
now we have this X flare (the highest kind) flare while in a direct earth facing shot, AND blast out a large CME right at us

We then get conflicting reports on if its earth directed or not, then they change that and say yes it is, but then give conflicting reports on how bad it will be
and what do we see in the MSM?
how were going to be just fine, all is ok, look up at the pretty pretty lights

pshhh it IS BS!

agree.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 195 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jul 2012

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. Region 1521 (S21W34) has been the most active region,
producing multiple low-level C-class events. Region 1520 (S16W23)
has decayed in area but remains the most magnetically complex region
on the disk, still classified as a beta-gamma-delta. The other four
numbered active sunspot regions have remained quiet and rather
stable. A CME was observed in LASCO C2 imagery at 13/0224Z. After
analysis, the CME was determined to not be geoeffective.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels for the next three days (14-16 July), as
Regions 1520 and 1521 continue to evolve and rotate toward the west
limb.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels with a slight chance
for isolated periods at major storm levels on day one (14 July), due
the arrival of the 12 July CME. Unsettled to active levels with a
chance for minor storm periods are expected on day two (15 July), as
effects of the CME continue. A return to predominantly quiet levels
is expected on day three (16 July).

III. Event Probabilities 14 Jul-16 Jul
Class M 70/70/70
Class X 20/20/20
Proton 99/99/50
PCAF red

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 Jul 147
Predicted 14 Jul-16 Jul 145/135/125
90 Day Mean 13 Jul 128

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jul 011/014
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Jul 003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Jul-16 Jul 017/034-014/018-004/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jul-16 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/35/05
Minor storm 15/15/01
Major-severe storm 15/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/15/15
Minor storm 30/20/10
Major-severe storm 60/20/05

Thanks not using my brian today!

The last two flares they were all over it, this one nothing!

fact of the matter is, when that one CME does hit that will be the new age carrington event, the electric will go out right around the same time us suntards are expecting the CME arrival
and right before it hits, we will be sitting here, looking at data, talking about "when is it going to hit? oh look solar wind is picking up! Look at the density increase!"
then BAM.. lights out
and each of us will be sitting in front of our PCs, with the electric out, thinking to ourselves (and some screaming it out loud) "omg that was the one!"

Untill that very moment arrives, when were sitting in the dark with no electric, it is ALL a guessing game!

we can only look at data and images and take our best educated guess as to the speed the CME will be at when it arrives at earth, and we can only guess at how much of the mass will hit, and how compact it will be at the time it arrives

Being aware of solar events is the best thing anyone can do with the Solar max on it's way
Then at least when that day comes, when the lights go out, when you knew that CME was suposto arrive, you will know why
when 98% of the world will not
and while everyone else is stepping outside wondering "why did the electric go out?!", you will know why and be able to act, while they stand in the dark looking at the pretty auroras in the sky

..and this CME is going to be a direct hit..from an x flare nonetheless..

Heard it on the evening news last night, local and national. This morning it was mentioned a few times on different local stations. In Denver here.

i just downloaded it. as far as i can tell its still photographs, no animatians. I guess its okay, but i like animations better.

One TV report I saw was quoting NOAA, the storm will make pretty lights and interfere w/ some satelLites, and maybe jets planes, but very ho-hum about it, like not much effect at all.

I always wanted to see the Nothern Lights.

Very True. We will know why. We will have the heads up.

Rainbows, glitter, and ponies..eh?

I use Helioviewer daily and I've never seen that "background glow" before

imo it's highly unusual especially since it's appearance coincided with the so called M-flare CME which is visible on SOHO from 03:00-05:00 +

Yes. And I went shopping today and got whatever I was a little low on. So if it is lights out, all you can do is prepare.

when that momment hits ima open the door and blast jimmi playin the star spangled banner with a fat joint.

Crap. Sorry.

As most of you know, the strange blobs seen on the SOHO images are little bits of insulation flaking off and are temporarily caught in the imager's field-of-view. We've seen this type of debris many times. Official explanation here:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

The same sort of thing happens with the STEREO spacecraft as well:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

More on LASCO debris:

[link to lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil]

Wouldn't there be an extreme radiation storm that would kill the satellites even before we got a chance to see the CME?