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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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07/14/2012 12:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Looks like it just wants to hang around the mid C's. It's toying with us lol
nerdrage88sasr

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07/14/2012 12:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Listen NiNz... if this thread ever gives me the one hour warning I've been tuning in for, that one hour will make a whole world of difference.

Like you said a few pages back, an hour can mean life or death. I figure many of us are here not hoping for grand revelations, but rather to educate ourselves to the realities of our times and to adapt as best we can. We tune in every day because if SHTF and only 2% of us are gonna be left to represent the species Homo Sapiens, we want a fighting chance dammit, and if we die in the first ten minutes from sheer ignorance, it'll only haunt our souls forever. And if I ever run into you after things have settled down a bit, I'll loot grocery stores until I can make you a chocolate truffle amaretto cheesecake.

If you are in any way allergic to the above, please tell me now, so that I can adjust my plan accordingly before that X flare (potentially) kills GLP. That goes for the rest of you too... I'd like to think if anyone survives the kind of things we talk about on GLP, it'll be those who are concerned, prepared, independent and intelligent. And ultimately, it will be their honesty and compassion that allow them to bring the best to whatever brave new world we find ourselves in. Peace and love to all the watchers.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19297584


Well fucking said!
applause2clappa
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
tomasgod1

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07/14/2012 12:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The IP shock is getting close! We can see the tell tell precursor signatures in the ACE particle data about the impending shock arrival.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
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shadasonic

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07/14/2012 12:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.ips.gov.au]


We have 3 split camps on electron buildup. small but ready, we'll see movement shortly on this energy buildup, what a weird pick up from 2 hours ago
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/14/2012 12:41 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Listen NiNz... if this thread ever gives me the one hour warning I've been tuning in for, that one hour will make a whole world of difference.

Like you said a few pages back, an hour can mean life or death. I figure many of us are here not hoping for grand revelations, but rather to educate ourselves to the realities of our times and to adapt as best we can. We tune in every day because if SHTF and only 2% of us are gonna be left to represent the species Homo Sapiens, we want a fighting chance dammit, and if we die in the first ten minutes from sheer ignorance, it'll only haunt our souls forever. And if I ever run into you after things have settled down a bit, I'll loot grocery stores until I can make you a chocolate truffle amaretto cheesecake.

If you are in any way allergic to the above, please tell me now, so that I can adjust my plan accordingly before that X flare (potentially) kills GLP. That goes for the rest of you too... I'd like to think if anyone survives the kind of things we talk about on GLP, it'll be those who are concerned, prepared, independent and intelligent. And ultimately, it will be their honesty and compassion that allow them to bring the best to whatever brave new world we find ourselves in. Peace and love to all the watchers.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19297584


well said :)

ahhh the cheesecake part made me laugh and smile
thank you for that and for the sweet thought :)
not alergic at all and in fact, cheesecake is one of my all time favs ever!
anything made with cream cheese! yum! haha
now im hungry haha


and well, i guess the main reason most of us are here posting the info we have is so that we CAN give any and all warning of anything we may or may not see
not about doom and gloom at all
we have seen a lot of larger events cause no problems at all and we all woke up the next day just fine :)
most of us just live in the reality of the possibilitys
and as i have talked with Tom about more than once...
if even one person is helped by the info we track down and report on, then we have done good :)

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 07/14/2012 12:43 AM
Solar Alerts Blog
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Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
RTS REDUX

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07/14/2012 12:41 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
...


Heere ya go:

SOHO SW data:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

ACE 6-Hour SW data:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


thanks Hugh :)

edit to say Damn, they last updated at 16:36 UTC july 13th
nothing newer :/
they are not making this easy are they haha
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Wow, a 12 hour gap? That's even long by SOHO standards. I've been checking for new images of the sungrazing comet....now it's probably gone.
wtf
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


well, just a thought here
but it could have just arrives at the sun
thus, the Xray flux rise
we now need to watch for a new CME

oooh and i just noticed
all of SOHO stopped updating around the same time
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]

around 16:36 July 13th
 Quoting: NiNzrez


yup..here's a video of the Comet that ends at 16:30

I'm sure the comet impacted or burned up hours ago. Also.. it arrived after The M-flare CME so it's possible imo there's been at least one and possibly two large CME's
since the X-flare



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Communism or more accurately, socialism, is not a movement of the downtrodden masses, but of the economic elite."

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~~~~~~~~~~~~
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Anonymous Coward
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07/14/2012 12:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The IP shock is getting close! We can see the tell tell precursor signatures in the ACE particle data about the impending shock arrival.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


licking your finger and holding it above your head won't help?

knew i was doing something wrong
shadasonic

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07/14/2012 12:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The IP shock is getting close! We can see the tell tell precursor signatures in the ACE particle data about the impending shock arrival.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Yeah check out that density , thats gonna be interesting
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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07/14/2012 12:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ok, just got caught up on reading all the pages I missed, and with all the solar stuff going on, all I can think about is the damn amaretto cheesecake that Nin is getting, lucky woman! Lol. I just love amaretto anything!

Anyway, going to stay up and watch & wait for the show. So nice to see everyone here and posting, feels like a little solar family. Lol.
 Quoting: Vesper33


Hey, when you're an AC and you can't prove if you've been supporting a thread for a year or a week, you use words like chocolate and amaretto to get the point across lol

Although seriously, if the shit does hit the fan, and we end up as Mad Max style nomads, the first question I'm going to ask strangers is if they were ever on a website that goes by the name GLP. I have a feeling a good number of survivors will say yes, and if any of them had spent their free time here educating and informing perfect strangers, and thus directly contributing to my long term survival, they would have a friend for life.
shadasonic

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07/14/2012 12:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
This is a very wrong action by this sunspot. Polarity being what it is the magnetism isn't going to coerce this to humble itself. this SS should rise up and release energy , with its makeup it isn't doing this its just half assing it

That delta region still has polarity kicking it should blow, when given rise to momentum the least it should do is a high level M, MId C is crap!

Last Edited by shadahoochie on 07/14/2012 12:51 AM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/14/2012 12:48 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ok, just got caught up on reading all the pages I missed, and with all the solar stuff going on, all I can think about is the damn amaretto cheesecake that Nin is getting, lucky woman! Lol. I just love amaretto anything!

Anyway, going to stay up and watch & wait for the show. So nice to see everyone here and posting, feels like a little solar family. Lol.
 Quoting: Vesper33


hey vesper
great to see you show up for the show :)
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Anonymous Coward
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07/14/2012 12:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ok, just got caught up on reading all the pages I missed, and with all the solar stuff going on, all I can think about is the damn amaretto cheesecake that Nin is getting, lucky woman! Lol. I just love amaretto anything!

Anyway, going to stay up and watch & wait for the show. So nice to see everyone here and posting, feels like a little solar family. Lol.
 Quoting: Vesper33


Hey, when you're an AC and you can't prove if you've been supporting a thread for a year or a week, you use words like chocolate and amaretto to get the point across lol

Although seriously, if the shit does hit the fan, and we end up as Mad Max style nomads, the first question I'm going to ask strangers is if they were ever on a website that goes by the name GLP. I have a feeling a good number of survivors will say yes, and if any of them had spent their free time here educating and informing perfect strangers, and thus directly contributing to my long term survival, they would have a friend for life.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19297584


interesting perspective.

could be a bit like playing the lottery

depending on which GLPer you run into, asking that question could lead to you being someones dinner!
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/14/2012 12:50 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
so i ran over to look at the new HI2 image
and it looks clear on the new image when putting it side by side with the ones from the 13th

here we see the CME as it was at 21:47 UTC july 13
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

here is the newest image at 03:47
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 07/14/2012 12:55 AM
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
Hugh M Eye

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07/14/2012 12:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The Learmonth H-alpha movie show many areas sparking across the 1520/21 regions. It may be building up to another strong LDE.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Hey Hugh,..what is the lag time on this sensory data we are monitoring now?

A few min?



Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


GONG has a network of scopes around the world to keep a constant up-to-the-minute watch on the Sun (weather permitting). Learmonth in Australia is live now and updates every few minutes. Here's the page w/all locations. The green ones are "live" and there's a time-stamp. They also offer a quick-view movie (every fourth frame) or a full movie. It's a handy tool for watching filaments and getting immediate looks at flare locations.


[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 07/14/2012 12:53 AM
whiteangel

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07/14/2012 12:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is this live [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] or delayed and if delayed by how long? I know it is on a 1 minute increment. Something I always meant to ask and kept forgetting.
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
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Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
shadasonic

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07/14/2012 12:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
This is a very wrong action by this sunspot. Polarity being what it is the magnetism isn't going to coerce this to humble itself. this SS should rise up and release energy , with its makeup it isn't doing this its just half assing it

That delta region still has polarity kicking it should blow, when given rise to momentum the least it should do is a high level M, MId C is crap!
 Quoting: shadasonic


All I can think of is how much everyone hates the word entanglement!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
SnakeBite

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07/14/2012 12:56 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Shes goin vertical!
nerdrage88sasr

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07/14/2012 12:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
definate spike
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
C7.6
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
NiNzrez (OP)

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07/14/2012 12:57 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is this live [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] or delayed and if delayed by how long? I know it is on a 1 minute increment. Something I always meant to ask and kept forgetting.
 Quoting: whiteangel


live
updates each 1 min
THAT is the one to watch!
Solar Alerts Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ***

How long will you simple ones love your simple ways?
How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge?
MamaHasAwakened

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07/14/2012 12:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Its wanting to do something!
whiteangel

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07/14/2012 12:57 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Is this live [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] or delayed and if delayed by how long? I know it is on a 1 minute increment. Something I always meant to ask and kept forgetting.
 Quoting: whiteangel


live
updates each 1 min
THAT is the one to watch!
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thank you hon!
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
God is NOT dead!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
zacksavage
~~Unbound~~

User ID: 19720358
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07/14/2012 12:58 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
GONG has a network of scopes around the world to keep a constant up-to-the-minute watch on the Sun (weather permitting). Learmonth in Australia is live now and updates every few minutes. Here's the page w/all locations. The green ones are "live" and there's a time-stamp. They also offer a quick-view movie (every fourth frame) or a full movie. It's a handy tool for watching filaments and getting immediate looks at flare locations.


[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thank you Hugh. I have so many bookmarks on graphs and charts now, I feel like a scientist.

You folks must have like 6 monitors to keep up with stuff so quickly.

I was about to jet again, but it is going up again.


Z
In time we hate that which we often fear.

--- William Shakespeare
dettro99

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07/14/2012 12:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
M flare !!
nerdrage88sasr

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07/14/2012 12:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
GONG has a network of scopes around the world to keep a constant up-to-the-minute watch on the Sun (weather permitting). Learmonth in Australia is live now and updates every few minutes. Here's the page w/all locations. The green ones are "live" and there's a time-stamp. They also offer a quick-view movie (every fourth frame) or a full movie. It's a handy tool for watching filaments and getting immediate looks at flare locations.


[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thank you Hugh. I have so many bookmarks on graphs and charts now, I feel like a scientist.

You folks must have like 6 monitors to keep up with stuff so quickly.

I was about to jet again, but it is going up again.


Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


M1 atm
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Hugh M Eye

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07/14/2012 12:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The IP shock is getting close! We can see the tell tell precursor signatures in the ACE particle data about the impending shock arrival.


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Hiya, T, with the SW so slow now I imagine we'll see quite a dramatic spike when this beast arrives. I think the wind speed and density will jump off the charts. What say you?

cheers
shadasonic

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07/14/2012 01:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
This is a very wrong action by this sunspot. Polarity being what it is the magnetism isn't going to coerce this to humble itself. this SS should rise up and release energy , with its makeup it isn't doing this its just half assing it

That delta region still has polarity kicking it should blow, when given rise to momentum the least it should do is a high level M, MId C is crap!
 Quoting: shadasonic


TOLD YA! LOL
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
whiteangel

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07/14/2012 01:03 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Next question while we all sit here in frustration...

On [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] what does the red and blue graphs signify? I know the red shows us the strength of the flare, but the blue, not a clue or guess.
"If voting made a difference they wouldn't let us do it" -Mark Twain
God is NOT dead!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 19454839
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07/14/2012 01:05 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
GONG has a network of scopes around the world to keep a constant up-to-the-minute watch on the Sun (weather permitting). Learmonth in Australia is live now and updates every few minutes. Here's the page w/all locations. The green ones are "live" and there's a time-stamp. They also offer a quick-view movie (every fourth frame) or a full movie. It's a handy tool for watching filaments and getting immediate looks at flare locations.


[link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thank you Hugh. I have so many bookmarks on graphs and charts now, I feel like a scientist.

You folks must have like 6 monitors to keep up with stuff so quickly.

I was about to jet again, but it is going up again.


Z
 Quoting: zacksavage


M1 atm
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


....and GLPed it again.
Vesper33
Silver Pools of Light

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07/14/2012 01:05 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Ok, just got caught up on reading all the pages I missed, and with all the solar stuff going on, all I can think about is the damn amaretto cheesecake that Nin is getting, lucky woman! Lol. I just love amaretto anything!

Anyway, going to stay up and watch & wait for the show. So nice to see everyone here and posting, feels like a little solar family. Lol.
 Quoting: Vesper33


hey vesper
great to see you show up for the show :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Wouldn't miss it!!! I appreciate all the work you & others do to keep us all informed!! I have never had warm fuzzies for another group ever, but I do for the people here. grouphug
Perfer et Obdura;Dolor hic tibi proderit olim.Fortes Fortuna Iuvat! (Be Patient & Strong; someday this pain will be useful to you. Fortune favors the brave)
Anonymous Coward
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07/14/2012 01:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Darn...only a low end M

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