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| 02:31 PM | ||
| Users Online Now: 3,012 (Who's On?) | Visitors Today: 909,054 | |
| Pageviews Today: 1,667,144 | Threads Today: 744 | Posts Today: 12,562 |
| 02:31 PM | ||
SOLAR WATCH * 252 M & 18 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily) | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 19715730  United States07/14/2012 02:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973  United Kingdom07/14/2012 02:45 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This, Space Weather Message Code: SUMSUD Serial Number: 157 Issue Time: 2012 Jul 14 1817 UTC SUMMARY: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse Observed: 2012 Jul 14 1811 UTC Deviation: 27 nT Station: Boulder [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Is what that [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] is for those who would like to know : ) The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 19372178 United States07/14/2012 02:46 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Not looking good for aurora anywhere south of Canada and the far north. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19756127 Solar winds dropping, didn't reach the expected 700. Forecast is for only Kp 5. Just stick around for 10 or 12 hours. This is only the beginning. And so it begins.......  "There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life." Frank Zappa "Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein |
| Ollo User ID: 19739678 United States07/14/2012 02:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | OK, I know you guys must be sick of those of us that are trying to keep up but don't understand everything yet...Is it hitting us now? If so, does this mean we aren't going to have the effect on our power grid that we thought? Thanks :) |
| Starry eyes User ID: 13160787 United States07/14/2012 02:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Not looking good for aurora anywhere south of Canada and the far north. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19756127 Solar winds dropping, didn't reach the expected 700. Forecast is for only Kp 5. Just stick around for 10 or 12 hours. This is only the beginning. And so it begins....... There is no party like a suntard party!  ***Earth was once considered to be flat. Anything is possible.*** |
| Starry eyes User ID: 13160787 United States07/14/2012 02:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | OK, I know you guys must be sick of those of us that are trying to keep up but don't understand everything yet...Is it hitting us now? If so, does this mean we aren't going to have the effect on our power grid that we thought? Quoting: Ollo Thanks :) yes, it is here. I don't think anyone knows what exactly will happen. It will be here for a while. ***Earth was once considered to be flat. Anything is possible.*** |
| RTS REDUX User ID: 8620349 United States07/14/2012 02:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | That is all wrong : ) The X Flare happened..it's the CME that is arriving : ) Lol. the CME is from a filament eruption that occurred just prior to the X-flare and well north of 1520. I mentioned earlier that I saw it on NBC where it looked like a whip in the 304 wavelength which was strangely offset like it was taken from Hubble or Spitzer starting @ 1:21 you can see the filament in the 193 wavelength erupting. Since it's directly earth facing it's harder to see via SDO [link to www.youtube.com] "If one understands that socialism is not a share-the-wealth programme, but is in reality a method to consolidate and control the wealth, then the seeming paradox of super-rich men promoting socialism becomes no paradox at all. Instead, it becomes logical, even the perfect tool of power-seeking megalomaniacs. Communism or more accurately, socialism, is not a movement of the downtrodden masses, but of the economic elite." Gary Allen NONE DARE CALL IT CONSPIRACY |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 19756127 United States07/14/2012 02:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Not looking good for aurora anywhere south of Canada and the far north. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19756127 Solar winds dropping, didn't reach the expected 700. Forecast is for only Kp 5. Just stick around for 10 or 12 hours. This is only the beginning. And so it begins....... It was meant to impact at 700 and get weaker from there. It didn't reach 700 and is already under 600 and dropping so I guess it's going to be a bit weaker than the model showed. [link to www.solarham.net] |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 United Kingdom07/14/2012 02:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | GOES Electron flux: Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Goes Magnetometer: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] SOHO SOLAR WIND plots: [link to umtof.umd.edu] Real-time Bowshock model: [link to pixie.spasci.com] NASA SW-MF Cygnet model: [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] NASA Magnetopause Simulation: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Hey Hugh : ) Just watching the NASA M.S - do you know what the Square pattern is that we can see on the model from the 14th onward that just sits along the boundary of the GOES orbits? [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 12844841 United States07/14/2012 02:54 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | i sent you a mail i know you cant reply, but you can read it i think Solar Alerts Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 252 M & 18 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily) Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ*** How long will you simple ones love your simple ways? How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge? |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 19715730 United States07/14/2012 02:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 12844841 United States07/14/2012 02:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | That is all wrong : ) The X Flare happened..it's the CME that is arriving : ) Lol. the CME is from a filament eruption that occurred just prior to the X-flare and well north of 1520. I mentioned earlier that I saw it on NBC where it looked like a whip in the 304 wavelength which was strangely offset like it was taken from Hubble or Spitzer starting @ 1:21 you can see the filament in the 193 wavelength erupting. Since it's directly earth facing it's harder to see via SDO [link to www.youtube.com] i tend to agree with this though i do beleive this filament merged with the front of the CME this because the CME was moving so fast i believe what we are seeing now is only the front of the CME and not the main mass Solar Alerts Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 252 M & 18 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily) Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ*** How long will you simple ones love your simple ways? How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge? |
| NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 12844841 United States07/14/2012 02:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Quoting: NiNzrez no secret messages spill the beans it's nothing pretaining to data Solar Alerts Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 252 M & 18 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily) Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ*** How long will you simple ones love your simple ways? How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge? |
| NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 12844841 United States07/14/2012 02:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | whats this? please explain? this is new to me Solar Alerts Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 252 M & 18 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily) Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ*** How long will you simple ones love your simple ways? How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge? |
| NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 12844841 United States07/14/2012 02:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | OK, I know you guys must be sick of those of us that are trying to keep up but don't understand everything yet...Is it hitting us now? If so, does this mean we aren't going to have the effect on our power grid that we thought? Quoting: Ollo Thanks :) yes, it is here. I don't think anyone knows what exactly will happen. It will be here for a while. it is expected to affect Earth for around 30+hrs Solar Alerts Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * 252 M & 18 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily) Thread: Magnetic Field Deficiency Syndrome- MAKING US SICK **MUST READ*** How long will you simple ones love your simple ways? How long will mockers delight in mockery and fools hate knowledge? |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 United Kingdom07/14/2012 03:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | That is all wrong : ) The X Flare happened..it's the CME that is arriving : ) Lol. the CME is from a filament eruption that occurred just prior to the X-flare and well north of 1520. I mentioned earlier that I saw it on NBC where it looked like a whip in the 304 wavelength which was strangely offset like it was taken from Hubble or Spitzer starting @ 1:21 you can see the filament in the 193 wavelength erupting. Since it's directly earth facing it's harder to see via SDO [link to www.youtube.com] i tend to agree with this though i do beleive this filament merged with the front of the CME this because the CME was moving so fast i believe what we are seeing now is only the front of the CME and not the main mass I think it possible that the Filament could be the reason that the polarities are quite well matched on here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] on arrival as the Filament was in the North and the CME the South,so yes I agree this is not the main bulk.  Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 07/14/2012 03:06 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 19372178 United States07/14/2012 03:01 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | GOES Electron flux: Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Goes Magnetometer: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] SOHO SOLAR WIND plots: [link to umtof.umd.edu] Real-time Bowshock model: [link to pixie.spasci.com] NASA SW-MF Cygnet model: [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] NASA Magnetopause Simulation: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Hey Hugh : ) Just watching the NASA M.S - do you know what the Square pattern is that we can see on the model from the 14th onward that just sits along the boundary of the GOES orbits? [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] My guess would be that it's computer-generated artifact or a secret masonic code. Let's try to focus on the big picture, not every wiggle and bump is significant.  "There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life." Frank Zappa "Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 United Kingdom07/14/2012 03:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | GOES Electron flux: Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Goes Magnetometer: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] SOHO SOLAR WIND plots: [link to umtof.umd.edu] Real-time Bowshock model: [link to pixie.spasci.com] NASA SW-MF Cygnet model: [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] NASA Magnetopause Simulation: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Hey Hugh : ) Just watching the NASA M.S - do you know what the Square pattern is that we can see on the model from the 14th onward that just sits along the boundary of the GOES orbits? [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] My guess would be that it's computer-generated artifact or a secret masonic code. Let's try to focus on the big picture, not every wiggle and bump is significant. I am not sure what you meant by your last Sentence,but fuck it,forget it. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 19756127 United States07/14/2012 03:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2012 Jul 14 1851 UTC Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 19372178 United States07/14/2012 03:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A short 20-min. burst of energy is what caused the Canadian Blackout of '89. [link to www.youtube.com] Accompanying article from IEEE: [link to spectrum.ieee.org] "There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life." Frank Zappa "Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 19715730 United States07/14/2012 03:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.meteorscan.com] this shows incoming debris When a meteor strikes Earth’s atmosphere it decelerates rapidly. The friction created by the air causes the meteor to burn up at extremely high temperatures creating the white “shooting star” that we are all familiar with. This process also ionises the air along the trail making it possible to reflect radio waves. Utilising a high powered VHF radar signal sent into the sky, we are able to detect reflected waves from these ionisation trails. Because the meteor is moving, the reflected signal is shifted in frequency from the original, by an amount according to it’s speed. This shift is also heard as an audible ping by the station operator. Our system translates the reflected wave into three main parameters - Amplitude (strength), Frequency shift (Doppler shift) and decay time. This allows us to determine the relative size of the meteor strike (vertical scale) and the relative approximate speed and deceleration (amount of shift and width of the trace). You can see the output from our system above in real time (approximately 1 minute delay on the Internet). During a meteor shower this trace will be full of strike traces, but it is also surprising how many meteors are striking Earth’s atmosphere all of the time. it has spiked twice so far showing incoming mass objects.... |
| Starry eyes User ID: 13160787 United States07/14/2012 03:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.meteorscan.com] Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19715730 this shows incoming debris When a meteor strikes Earth’s atmosphere it decelerates rapidly. The friction created by the air causes the meteor to burn up at extremely high temperatures creating the white “shooting star” that we are all familiar with. This process also ionises the air along the trail making it possible to reflect radio waves. Utilising a high powered VHF radar signal sent into the sky, we are able to detect reflected waves from these ionisation trails. Because the meteor is moving, the reflected signal is shifted in frequency from the original, by an amount according to it’s speed. This shift is also heard as an audible ping by the station operator. Our system translates the reflected wave into three main parameters - Amplitude (strength), Frequency shift (Doppler shift) and decay time. This allows us to determine the relative size of the meteor strike (vertical scale) and the relative approximate speed and deceleration (amount of shift and width of the trace). You can see the output from our system above in real time (approximately 1 minute delay on the Internet). During a meteor shower this trace will be full of strike traces, but it is also surprising how many meteors are striking Earth’s atmosphere all of the time. it has spiked twice so far showing incoming mass objects.... Well, here comes another spike on the chart.. ***Earth was once considered to be flat. Anything is possible.*** |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 16257329  Finland07/14/2012 03:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 16257329 Finland07/14/2012 03:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| ehecatl the listening wind... the invisible spirit User ID: 19696250  Mexico07/14/2012 03:19 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 19756127 United States07/14/2012 03:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Woo! WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected Valid From: 2012 Jul 14 1915 UTC Valid To: 2012 Jul 14 2359 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 19372178 United States07/14/2012 03:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: WARK06 Serial Number: 199 Issue Time: 2012 Jul 14 1914 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected Valid From: 2012 Jul 14 1915 UTC Valid To: 2012 Jul 14 2359 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] "There is more stupidity than hydrogen in the universe, and it has a longer shelf life." Frank Zappa "Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."-Albert Einstein |
| Starry eyes User ID: 13160787 United States07/14/2012 03:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: WARK06 Serial Number: 199 Issue Time: 2012 Jul 14 1914 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected Valid From: 2012 Jul 14 1915 UTC Valid To: 2012 Jul 14 2359 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] ***Earth was once considered to be flat. Anything is possible.*** |
| Starry eyes User ID: 13160787 United States07/14/2012 03:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: WARK06 Quoting: Hugh M Eye Serial Number: 199 Issue Time: 2012 Jul 14 1914 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected Valid From: 2012 Jul 14 1915 UTC Valid To: 2012 Jul 14 2359 UTC Warning Condition: Onset NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Ahaha..Hugh, you beat me to it! ***Earth was once considered to be flat. Anything is possible.*** |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 19756127 United States07/14/2012 03:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
