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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
shadasonic

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07/15/2012 12:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I think fluffy has definitely made itself known, this CME came out like a bat out of hell, now its way late and sporadic. I was on the fence with our galactic cloud now I'm looking its way because of so many abnormalities of late. I did have two almost unbearable waves hit me today, they lasted about 5 minutes each,exact thing happened to my son at the same time same severe dizziness, and weak tingly body vibe. My daughter shows none of these , very weird, my brother also experiences the exact same symptoms, always has. He'll call me on the dot when somethings going down and i'll answer before he can say anything with, I know me too!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 12:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi Guys

My name is Doomminicus Maximus and I am a suntard, its been 2 seconds since my last F5.
 Quoting: Doommincus Maximus


1rof1
tomasgod1

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07/15/2012 12:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Poes auroral oval stopped updating at 2012 Jul 15 0224 for a long time then just updated to 02:57UT. This normally updates every 20 min and is then up to the min upon updating, not 2 hrs behind!

Initially looking at the magnetopause from CCMC/ Bastrus and Pixie it looks as though the magnetopause has been pushed back a couple of times past Geosynchronous orbit. I thought that they may have put it in safe mode, but it is updating, just 2 hrs behind; which makes it useless other than for cataloging historical data.

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 07/15/2012 12:28 AM
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shadasonic

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07/15/2012 12:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The way the charts are looking I think we're going to experience fluctuations for quite awhile. This CME should have given us a jolt,very strange its like it hit a wall of Jello!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:31 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


that last link scares me some after the event it had earlier this week hahaha
anyone find out if that was a error? or?
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Good point!

I don't recall hearing an explantion yet.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


It had to of been a glitch though,the splodge went outside the graph and onto the page : )

At least I hope it was a glitch or there shall be no Babies for moi in the future!
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


LOL, yeah, that page the other day was FREEEEAKKKAAY!
Glad to see it aint like that again or i would start to think it wasnt a glitch!
Peace all
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shadasonic

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07/15/2012 12:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Poes auroral oval stopped updating at 2012 Jul 15 0224 for a long time then just updated to 02:57UT. This normally updates every 20 min and is then up to the min upon updating, not 2 hrs behind!

Initially looking at the magnetopause from CCMC/ Bastrus and Pixie it looks as though the magnetopause has been pushed back a couple of times past Geosynchronous orbit. I thought that they may have put it in safe mode, but it is updating, just 2 hrs behind; which makes it useless other than for cataloging historical data.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


I know saw the same thing, the pause took more of a hit with the flare than this CME, all data is suspicious at this point, aggravating! Looking at density, speed, proton, and electron values it doesn't look anything like the blast properties I saw in initial ejecta
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:32 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi Guys

My name is Doomminicus Maximus and I am a suntard, its been 2 seconds since my last F5.
 Quoting: Doommincus Maximus


slaphimapplause2
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
tomasgod1

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07/15/2012 12:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi Guys

My name is Doomminicus Maximus and I am a suntard, its been 2 seconds since my last F5.
 Quoting: Doommincus Maximus


usmelllikebutt

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 07/15/2012 12:40 AM
_______

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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:39 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This looks like a launch slope or a ski ramp..
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

been watching the density closely...dont know why but i worry about this more than anything...
[link to mms.rice.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shadasonic

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07/15/2012 12:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1520 still looks like it should be delivering nightmares- flatlined, suspect polarity. Why is space weather. com down?
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:41 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1520 still looks like it should be delivering nightmares- flatlined, suspect polarity. Why is space weather. com down?
 Quoting: shadasonic


yeah, noticed that...typical.
deja vu....remember Gigantor before the last X..
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shadasonic

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07/15/2012 12:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1520 still looks like it should be delivering nightmares- flatlined, suspect polarity. Why is space weather. com down?
 Quoting: shadasonic


yeah, noticed that...typical.
deja vu....remember Gigantor before the last X..
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Peace to you NR!Gigantors reaching the 60deg. mark, waiting for the perfect shot, although fluffy might not let anything harm us for awhile?
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
tomasgod1

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07/15/2012 12:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1520 still looks like it should be delivering nightmares- flatlined, suspect polarity. Why is space weather. com down?
 Quoting: shadasonic


yeah, noticed that...typical.
deja vu....remember Gigantor before the last X..
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


If history continues to repeat it's self, it will most likely release a very large x-flare and CME just as it rotates off the SW limb. The CME will have the possibility of giving us a "glancing blow", and will amt to nada. haha
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:47 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1520 still looks like it should be delivering nightmares- flatlined, suspect polarity. Why is space weather. com down?
 Quoting: shadasonic


yeah, noticed that...typical.
deja vu....remember Gigantor before the last X..
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Peace to you NR!Gigantors reaching the 60deg. mark, waiting for the perfect shot, although fluffy might not let anything harm us for awhile?
 Quoting: shadasonic


lol, fluffy...sounds like a big pussy cats name..big_smile

seriously, i thought this impact would have been here sooner..(even sooner than Nin and Hugh thought) , but it appears as if it slowed down..or was slowed down by some thing...

Did anyone see the episode of Myth Busters, wherein they had a flame thrower versus a fire extinguisher? That is what this reminded me of...as if the CME was slowed by 'fluffy' enough to take the BOOM out of the impact..
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:49 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
1520 still looks like it should be delivering nightmares- flatlined, suspect polarity. Why is space weather. com down?
 Quoting: shadasonic


yeah, noticed that...typical.
deja vu....remember Gigantor before the last X..
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


If history continues to repeat it's self, it will most likely release a very large x-flare and CME just as it rotates off the SW limb. The CME will have the possibility of giving us a "glancing blow", and will amt to nada. haha
 Quoting: tomasgod1


very true...as hugh showed, another nasty bugger coming around the limb...will be interesting to see if Gigantor and 1515 keep their integrity after a turn around SOL...

Spike in density... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by nerdrage88sasr on 07/15/2012 12:49 AM
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 12:50 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Poes auroral oval stopped updating at 2012 Jul 15 0224 for a long time then just updated to 02:57UT. This normally updates every 20 min and is then up to the min upon updating, not 2 hrs behind!

Initially looking at the magnetopause from CCMC/ Bastrus and Pixie it looks as though the magnetopause has been pushed back a couple of times past Geosynchronous orbit. I thought that they may have put it in safe mode, but it is updating, just 2 hrs behind; which makes it useless other than for cataloging historical data.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


I know saw the same thing, the pause took more of a hit with the flare than this CME, all data is suspicious at this point, aggravating! Looking at density, speed, proton, and electron values it doesn't look anything like the blast properties I saw in initial ejecta
 Quoting: shadasonic


time shift?

seriously
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 12:50 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey hey hey, don't be stealin' my amaretto cheesecake bit!

I had a feeling the thread would hit 1k over this X-flare. Have a bump on me.

GOES is still flatlined and that has me worried... the last thing we need is another build up and sudden boot in the ass on the heels of the last one.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19297584


You did mention Amaretto Cheesecake first. I give you full credit for originating the "code word" and it has proven to be effective at getting the attention of the regulars for the ACs. I have used it with pretty positive results and thank you for stumbling upon the code word that allows ACs to get attention on this thread. Unless you object, I will continue to use it when I am really want a response from the likes of NiNzrez et al.

Let me know if you object and kudos to you. ;)
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:51 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
interesting 'Bow Shock'
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Parvati

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07/15/2012 12:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
interesting 'Bow Shock'
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


But no magnetic reconnection?

:tarz3:
Truth [Satya] indeed conquers! Not untruth, falsehood.
Untruth is all discord, out of harmony with the Real.
The Real is a spontaneous unfolding of the One.
- Mundaka Upanishad III.1.6
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 12:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hey hey hey, don't be stealin' my amaretto cheesecake bit!

I had a feeling the thread would hit 1k over this X-flare. Have a bump on me.

GOES is still flatlined and that has me worried... the last thing we need is another build up and sudden boot in the ass on the heels of the last one.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19297584


You did mention Amaretto Cheesecake first. I give you full credit for originating the "code word" and it has proven to be effective at getting the attention of the regulars for the ACs. I have used it with pretty positive results and thank you for stumbling upon the code word that allows ACs to get attention on this thread. Unless you object, I will continue to use it when I am really want a response from the likes of NiNzrez et al.

Let me know if you object and kudos to you. ;)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19454839


I'm just joking around too, hey if it gets their attention more power to ya! I'm just worried they'll eventually get desensitized or something. hm... can you be desensitized to chocolate amaretto cheesecake?

That stuff's my best bargaining chip for post-apocalyptic bartering.
Spittin'Cesium

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07/15/2012 12:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
This looks like a launch slope or a ski ramp..
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

been watching the density closely...dont know why but i worry about this more than anything...
[link to mms.rice.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Hmm?

Much difference [link to www.haarp.alaska.edu] and [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] !?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:57 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
interesting 'Bow Shock'
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


But no magnetic reconnection?

:tarz3:
 Quoting: Parvati


[link to pixie.spasci.com]
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shadasonic

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07/15/2012 12:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
interesting 'Bow Shock'
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Yeah it is, actually all the numbers are off, not distorted, just not the way energies play off each other
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 01:03 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Current SW speed= 562 km/sec
Density= 19.5 Protons/cm3

Spaceweather has a 70% chance M-Flare/ 15% X-Flare
[link to spaceweather.com]


[link to www.lmsal.com]

Solarham has a 70% chance M-Flare/ 20% X-Flare
[link to www.solarham.net]

Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
tomasgod1

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07/15/2012 01:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
ACE DATA

2012 07 15 04:47UT

Proton Density 34.8 p/cm3

Wind Speed 603.1 km/s

BznT -5.4
_______

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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dettro99

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07/15/2012 01:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Solar wind
speed: 638.5 km/sec


[link to www.solarham.net]
shadasonic

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07/15/2012 01:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
The way the charts have responded it really looks like several filaments have made contact at different times and at different levels of polarity throughout the day, not some large CME that should have our Bz in a negative slide for hours at a time, with much higher density. Maybe our planets polarity is changing and we aren't connecting with the suns plasma at this point, aconjunction of super symmetry at a planetary unification. I don't know pulling theories out of my ass, but somethings off!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
tomasgod1

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07/15/2012 01:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Current SW speed= 562 km/sec
Density= 19.5 Protons/cm3

Spaceweather has a 70% chance M-Flare/ 15% X-Flare
[link to spaceweather.com]


[link to www.lmsal.com]

Solarham has a 70% chance M-Flare/ 20% X-Flare
[link to www.solarham.net]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


hehe See we were doing the same thing huh? :)
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Solar Guardian

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07/15/2012 01:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
I am here 1:08 PM past noon in Malaysia July 15 2012. Will this geomagnetic storm bring down planes in Asia? uhoh


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