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SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)

 
Starry eyes

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07/15/2012 05:41 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1602629


That's weird..can anyone explain this?
***Earth was once considered to be flat. Anything is possible.***
Anonymous Coward
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New Zealand
07/15/2012 05:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1602629


That's weird..can anyone explain this?
 Quoting: Starry eyes


That was the proton rise from the X flare, starting to die off now, but the geo storm is still going :)
WeAreOne

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07/15/2012 05:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Moderate Geomagnetic Storming
Geomagnetic Storming reaching the Moderate G2 Level (Kp=6) is currently taking place early on Sunday morning.

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2012 Jul 15 0748 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

[link to www.solarham.net]
Be the change you want the World to be. Be someone that makes you happy.
SnakeBite

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07/15/2012 05:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1602629


It went from red, in a flash to what you see now, back to red, and now back to this. Ive been watching this for a few minutes now!
Hugh M Eye

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07/15/2012 05:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kp 7- now... [link to www.theusner.eu]
 Quoting: Luisport


At least Potsdam has no political reasons to fudge the numbers. I think the stupid competition between NOAA & NASA is becoming a grudge match. That Wash. Post story yesterday pointing out their conflicting predictions was picked up by FOX NEWS and others. I even heard it repeated on the radio's headline news last night. My point is that NOAA may be downplaying this storm to match their predictions. This is a sad indication of where America is heading...senseless, petty, bitter in-fighting among bureaucrats.

drevil
SnakeBite

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07/15/2012 05:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Can anyone explain what exactly is going on, or atleast their best guess?? Where did this come from???
Hugh M Eye

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07/15/2012 05:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
USAF Wing plot confirms observed Kp of 7!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Bz holding south near -18 nT for 4 hours now!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Starry eyes

User ID: 13160787
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07/15/2012 05:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
USAF Wing plot confirms observed Kp of 7!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Bz holding south near -18 nT for 4 hours now!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


The four hour is at 9. Wow

Last Edited by Starry eyes on 07/15/2012 05:57 AM
***Earth was once considered to be flat. Anything is possible.***
Luisport

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07/15/2012 05:57 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kp 7 now here too... [link to www.theusner.eu]
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 06:00 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Holy Crap you Guys, hold on! This is getting serious!

Look at the fluxgate..

Not good,,,not good...not good!

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Good morning everyone ????? Or should I have stayed in bed ???
Hugh M Eye

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07/15/2012 06:00 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
When I first checked this site the chance for mid-latitude aurora was 12%. Next time I looked it was 31%. Now it's at 76%!!!

They also state the Kp Index is at 7.33!!

[link to www.spaceweatherlive.com]

I'm in a bad location (city lights) for aurora, but I'm gonna look anyway.
SnakeBite

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07/15/2012 06:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
abduct
Starry eyes

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07/15/2012 06:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Holy Crap you Guys, hold on! This is getting serious!

Look at the fluxgate..

Not good,,,not good...not good!

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Good morning everyone ????? Or should I have stayed in bed ???
 Quoting: TS66


I'm still in bed on my phone. :P I can't sleep!
***Earth was once considered to be flat. Anything is possible.***
madajs

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07/15/2012 06:04 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
NOAA is so full of themselves. They still have the Kp at 5, of course. To the imbicile that was arguing with TS66 (that I barely caught a brief look at),..NOAA only uses the Boulder Magnetometer now for their Kp index readings. They are too (censored) to use a compilation of readings from various high latitude magnitometers, like real scientist do. The USAF however still uses various magnetometers including Boulder's for their averaged actual, and estimated Kp index.
The USAF chart is still available at NOAA however, found here, and the 4 hr predicted JUST WENT OFF THE CHART PAST KP 9
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1

Uhh the NOAA Kp index does use a compilation:

The Estimated 3-hour Planetary Kp-index is derived at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center using data from the following ground-based magnetometers: Boulder, Colorado; Chambon la Foret, France; Fredericksburg, Virginia; Fresno, California; Hartland, UK; Newport, Washington; Sitka, Alaska
 Quoting:


Oops forgot to add link: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Only the K-index (not Kp) alerts here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] are based solely on Boulder.

Last Edited by madajs on 07/15/2012 06:08 AM
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Spittin'Cesium

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07/15/2012 06:06 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
GOES Magnetometer(for what its' worth) [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

As well the Electron Fraggle [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Only qualifies for a 'Official' Kp 6 on their site [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
madajs

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07/15/2012 06:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
USAF Wing plot confirms observed Kp of 7!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Bz holding south near -18 nT for 4 hours now!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Watch out, they revise their observations. Earlier they had up 3 hours worth of observed Kp 6 and then they retroactively downgraded most of it to 5 later on. redface
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Vesper33
Silver Pools of Light

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07/15/2012 06:08 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well, I stayed up all Friday night and last night watching for this CME. I will say it has been eventful the last few hours, but time to sleep. I will check back in about 10 hours. Yes, I sleep about 10 hours a night; kind of feel guilty about that. Lol. Really, it is a beautiful thing! :)

Have a great day everyone!!!
Perfer et Obdura;Dolor hic tibi proderit olim.Fortes Fortuna Iuvat! (Be Patient & Strong; someday this pain will be useful to you. Fortune favors the brave)
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 06:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well, I stayed up all Friday night and last night watching for this CME. I will say it has been eventful the last few hours, but time to sleep. I will check back in about 10 hours. Yes, I sleep about 10 hours a night; kind of feel guilty about that. Lol. Really, it is a beautiful thing! :)

Have a great day everyone!!!
 Quoting: Vesper33


Get good rest Vesper hf
Hugh M Eye

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07/15/2012 06:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
USAF Wing plot confirms observed Kp of 7!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Bz holding south near -18 nT for 4 hours now!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Watch out, they revise their observations. Earlier they had up 3 hours worth of observed Kp 6 and then they retroactively downgraded most of it to 5 later on. redface
 Quoting: madajs


Shouldn't you be out enjoying the gorgeous Canadian aurora this morning?

whatever
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 19756127
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07/15/2012 06:18 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Kp=9 in a few hours?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Spittin'Cesium

User ID: 14589973
United Kingdom
07/15/2012 06:20 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Well, I stayed up all Friday night and last night watching for this CME. I will say it has been eventful the last few hours, but time to sleep. I will check back in about 10 hours. Yes, I sleep about 10 hours a night; kind of feel guilty about that. Lol. Really, it is a beautiful thing! :)

Have a great day everyone!!!
 Quoting: Vesper33


Rest well beautiful : )

Sweet Dreamsrose
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 06:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
and while we were waiting for the schockwave to arrive something terrible happened on Friday the 13th:

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Tim0thy Ge1thner, Secretary of the Treasury of the Un1ted S1ates, has been taken into custody, has been tried by our High Courts, and has been convicted and has been sentenced for his crimes against the people of the United States who he was sworn to serve, but instead chose to victimize, steal from and manipulate, and push to the brink of financial destitution. This individual, after careful contemplation of his crimes against you, the people, has been sentenced to a maximum life of 63 years.

Bank of England says Tim0thy Ge1thner discussed LIB0R issue with bank in 2008 (Article by: Associated Press) Updated: July 13, 2012 - 8:43 AM.

[link to www.startribune.com]

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
madajs

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07/15/2012 06:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
USAF Wing plot confirms observed Kp of 7!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Bz holding south near -18 nT for 4 hours now!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Watch out, they revise their observations. Earlier they had up 3 hours worth of observed Kp 6 and then they retroactively downgraded most of it to 5 later on. redface
 Quoting: madajs


Shouldn't you be out enjoying the gorgeous Canadian aurora this morning?

whatever
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

I live in the city. Note they already went back and downgraded that 7 to a 6.67 hf
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 06:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Could someone please explain to me as I am still learning all this what the kp ratings mean please and thank you =)
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 06:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Could someone please explain to me as I am still learning all this what the kp ratings mean please and thank you =)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 10506528


It's the scale they use to measure geomagnetic storm intensities. Take a look at the definitions below.

K index is shown on the second to last last column to your right.

Lot's of good info there.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 19756127
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07/15/2012 06:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Major geomagnetic storm warning for Canada. Top of the scale.

[link to www.spaceweather.gc.ca]
parrotsandwhiskey

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07/15/2012 06:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Hi, I'm new here! I just wanted to say Thank You for the info in this thread. I found this site by searching for information about the CME and I'm so glad I did. I've learned more science in the past 24 hours thanks to you gals and guys than I did way back in school.

I'm looking forward to learning more. Thanks again!
Spittin'Cesium

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07/15/2012 06:36 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Could someone please explain to me as I am still learning all this what the kp ratings mean please and thank you =)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 10506528


The Kp Rating is an Planetary estimate of the amount of harmful UV Radiation as well as other Solar Particles that are able to penetrate the Earths' protective Atmospheres at any one time.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
SnakeBite

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07/15/2012 06:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Major geomagnetic storm warning for Canada. Top of the scale.

[link to www.spaceweather.gc.ca]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19756127


hiding O.O
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 06:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * 312 M & 25 X FLARES starting 3-7-2011 (Updated Daily)
Spaceweather.com is down for me.

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