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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2011 03:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Is there any peer reviewed literatue on the correlations between seismic activity and solar activity ?



And why is it considered Psuedo science ???
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2011 04:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Is there any peer reviewed literatue on the correlations between seismic activity and solar activity ?



And why is it considered Psuedo science ???
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1139990


bump
tomasgod1

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03/21/2011 04:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Another C class flare LDE. Cool stuff!

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 03/21/2011 04:13 PM
_______

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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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aether

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03/21/2011 04:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Is there any peer reviewed literatue on the correlations between seismic activity and solar activity ?



And why is it considered Psuedo science ???
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1139990


bump
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1139990


Science, Politics and Global Warming
[link to www.holoscience.com]

Cosmology in Crisis—Again!
[link to www.holoscience.com]

Newton’s Electric Clockwork Solar System
[link to www.holoscience.com]

The Black Hole at the Heart of Astronomy
[link to www.holoscience.com]

some of the reasons

the politics of god rockon
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/21/2011 04:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Is there any peer reviewed literatue on the correlations between seismic activity and solar activity ?



And why is it considered Psuedo science ???
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1139990


bump
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1139990


there is a lot of reading anyone can do on the subject with a net search
way more than what i can post here

and it's because no one has been able to prove a working theory.. yet
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/21/2011 04:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Is there any peer reviewed literatue on the correlations between seismic activity and solar activity ?



And why is it considered Psuedo science ???
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1139990


bump
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1139990


Science, Politics and Global Warming
[link to www.holoscience.com]

Cosmology in Crisis—Again!
[link to www.holoscience.com]

Newton’s Electric Clockwork Solar System
[link to www.holoscience.com]

The Black Hole at the Heart of Astronomy
[link to www.holoscience.com]

some of the reasons

the politics of god rockon
 Quoting: aether


Thank you hf
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/21/2011 04:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
the LDE C flare is subsiding, but Protons continue to climb
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

look what these protons are doing
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

last time we saw the map look like this, we had the Japan Quake

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 03/21/2011 04:39 PM
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2011 04:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Is there any peer reviewed literatue on the correlations between seismic activity and solar activity ?



And why is it considered Psuedo science ???
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1139990


bump
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1139990


there is a lot of reading anyone can do on the subject with a net search
way more than what i can post here

and it's because no one has been able to prove a working theory.. yet
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I know... and I have been... But for someone who is ignorant to alot of the verbage... I really haven't a clue where to start looking.... lol

Other than the links provided......


And I don't understand why this isn't a more popular subject ??

Why would it be silly to assume Earthquakes have to do with the earth's magenetic feild... maybe not all of them... But some...
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/21/2011 04:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Is there any peer reviewed literatue on the correlations between seismic activity and solar activity ?



And why is it considered Psuedo science ???
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1139990


bump
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1139990


there is a lot of reading anyone can do on the subject with a net search
way more than what i can post here

and it's because no one has been able to prove a working theory.. yet
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I know... and I have been... But for someone who is ignorant to alot of the verbage... I really haven't a clue where to start looking.... lol

Other than the links provided......


And I don't understand why this isn't a more popular subject ??

Why would it be silly to assume Earthquakes have to do with the earth's magenetic feild... maybe not all of them... But some...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1139990


its all a part of very complicated physics. There are just so many factors that you have to enter into the equation and some of the pieces to the mathematical equation are still missing
We are still but baby's when it comes to understanding the universe and how events in space effect earth as well as humans
tomasgod1

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03/21/2011 04:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
the LDE C flare is subsiding, but Protons continue to climb
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

look what these protons are doing
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

last time we saw the map look like this, we have the Japan Quake
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That is a fascinating and immediate cause and effect(pr -global d abs.), isn't it!

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 03/21/2011 04:44 PM
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/21/2011 04:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NOAA Space Weather Alert

Space Weather Message Code: ALTPX1
Serial Number: 276
Issue Time: 2011 Mar 21 2006 UTC

ALERT: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2011 Mar 21 1950 UTC
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/21/2011 04:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
the LDE C flare is subsiding, but Protons continue to climb
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

look what these protons are doing
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

last time we saw the map look like this, we have the Japan Quake
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That is a fascinating and immediate cause and effect(pr -global d abs.), isn't it!
 Quoting: tomasgod1


i agree!!
Avalon70

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03/21/2011 04:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
At work so can't really research but what does everyone think about the activity in Greece. Seems like it has picked up in frequency also. Seems to be some EQ activity in some strange places
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/21/2011 04:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
now im watching for quakes to happen due to this, just like it did with the Japan quake

this was just posted on the USGS

3.4 2011/03/21 20:42:26 39.144 -123.407 0.0 17 km ( 11 mi) W of Ukiah, CA
robbieg696

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03/21/2011 04:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
and i think its just great how SOHO images are not updating now
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

huffy
 Quoting: NiNzrez

My breaking news at twitter isn't either. WTF is being hidden???
"Bitch please, I'm from Michigan!"
OpenEnded

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03/21/2011 05:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
the LDE C flare is subsiding, but Protons continue to climb
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

look what these protons are doing
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

last time we saw the map look like this, we have the Japan Quake
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That is a fascinating and immediate cause and effect(pr -global d abs.), isn't it!
 Quoting: tomasgod1


actually i noticed the PCA event starting prior to the LDE flare, and the protons also high prior, just sayin..

here is a pic of the current pca in earlier times, is it the same event or another prior one?


IMAGE ( [link to i52.tinypic.com] )


Last Edited by OpenEnded on 03/21/2011 05:24 PM
There's hope or not isn't the question, there is only the road
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2011 05:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
last time we saw the map look like this, we had the Japan Quake
 Quoting: NiNzrez


If you're right, then they'll probably take that handy little chart offline as well.

OpenEnded

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03/21/2011 05:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Bz is low now, w/o NICT it is hard to know what's happenin in the Msphere, but I suppose the spidery thing is quite wide open now..
There's hope or not isn't the question, there is only the road
HarmonyH
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03/21/2011 05:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Bumping

Bumping

Bumping


INCOMING ---- and all data going bye -bye

what are they hiding.

on a personal correlation note : get real physically busy (must stay busy -nesting) kind of a mode before these flares
Then get the sleepys after its gone. Anyone else?
Unconsciously Working with the energies I guess.

Anyhow thanks to all you folks out-there keeping us up to date.

Watching out for fish/animal/birds --- magnetic connection.
That will be another clue
tomasgod1

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03/21/2011 05:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
For a good example of the cause and effect relationship between flares and the global d absorbtion rate you can watch this archived absorbtion slide from November 4, 2003. This was during an X28 flare. Keep an eye on the flux in the bottom right hand corner of animation during saturation.

[link to www.ngdc.noaa.gov]

You can see other archived events here.

[link to www.ngdc.noaa.gov]
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/21/2011 05:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
the LDE C flare is subsiding, but Protons continue to climb
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

look what these protons are doing
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

last time we saw the map look like this, we have the Japan Quake
 Quoting: NiNzrez


That is a fascinating and immediate cause and effect(pr -global d abs.), isn't it!
 Quoting: tomasgod1


actually i noticed the PCA event starting prior to the LDE flare, and the protons also high prior, just sayin..

here is a pic of the current pca in earlier times, is it the same event or another prior one?


IMAGE ( [link to i52.tinypic.com] )

 Quoting: OpenEnded

Was there an earlier solar event that hit earth that i missed?
the Xray flux started going up very slow at around the 13:00 mark, then started going up a bit faster
i watched the data during this time and it seemd to match to me.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
matches the rise
2011 080:13:28:49 5491.20 132.85 1754.02
2011 080:13:30:49 5512.53 132.97 1775.35
2011 080:13:32:49 5512.53 132.82 1775.35
2011 080:13:34:51 5529.60 132.97 1792.42
2011 080:13:36:51 5533.87 132.82 1796.69
2011 080:13:38:52 5540.27 132.75 1803.09
2011 080:15:34:58 6274.13 133.67 2536.95
2011 080:15:36:58 6327.47 133.65 2590.29
2011 080:15:39:00 6385.07 133.42 2647.89
2011 080:15:41:00 6464.00 133.37 2726.82
2011 080:15:43:01 6557.87 133.23 2820.69
2011 080:15:45:03 6681.60 133.42 2944.42
2011 080:15:47:03 6798.93 133.28 3061.75
2011 080:15:49:05 6926.93 133.18 3189.75
2011 080:15:51:05 7074.13 133.23 3336.95
2011 080:15:53:07 7240.53 133.27 3503.35
2011 080:15:55:06 7370.67 133.08 3633.49
2011 080:15:57:08 7485.87 133.07 3748.69
2011 080:15:59:08 7620.27 133.00 3883.09
2011 080:16:01:12 7726.93 133.00 3989.75


the last data for it came in at 16:01 so same event that is continuing, The protons would have to be from the same event unless there was a prior solar event that headed earths way
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/21/2011 05:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
and i think its just great how SOHO images are not updating now
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

huffy
 Quoting: NiNzrez

My breaking news at twitter isn't either. WTF is being hidden???
 Quoting: robbieg696


is it still not updating? i dont know much about twitter
haha btw great Sig
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2011 06:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I didn't see this posted here. From Spaceweather.com:

HERE COMES TROUBLE? A big sunspot is emerging over the sun's southeastern limb, and it is crackling with activity. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded a surge of extreme ultraviolet radiation from the sunspot's magnetic canopy on March 21st:

[link to spaceweather.com]

This appears to be the return of old sunspot 1165, last seen in early March when it formed on the sun's southwestern limb. Since then it has been transiting the far side of the sun, apparently growing in size and restlessness. The potential for trouble will become more clear in the hours ahead as the active region emerges in full. Stay tuned.

NiNzrez  (OP)

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Bz is low now, w/o NICT it is hard to know what's happenin in the Msphere, but I suppose the spidery thing is quite wide open now..
 Quoting: OpenEnded


3/21/11 @ 21:52 utc

Solar Wind: 321.2
Density: 0.5
Bz: -6.4
By: -0.3

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

we have low winds, low density
but the Bz and By are south
so the magnetosphere is wide open for whatever does hit us right now
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2011 06:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I didn't see this posted here. From Spaceweather.com:

HERE COMES TROUBLE? A big sunspot is emerging over the sun's southeastern limb, and it is crackling with activity. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded a surge of extreme ultraviolet radiation from the sunspot's magnetic canopy on March 21st:

[link to spaceweather.com]

This appears to be the return of old sunspot 1165, last seen in early March when it formed on the sun's southwestern limb. Since then it has been transiting the far side of the sun, apparently growing in size and restlessness. The potential for trouble will become more clear in the hours ahead as the active region emerges in full. Stay tuned.


 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1277434


Anyone know how long it will take for the earth to be in the line of fire? The article makes the situation sound somewhat dire.

NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/21/2011 06:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Bumping

Bumping

Bumping


INCOMING ---- and all data going bye -bye

what are they hiding.

on a personal correlation note : get real physically busy (must stay busy -nesting) kind of a mode before these flares
Then get the sleepys after its gone. Anyone else?
Unconsciously Working with the energies I guess.

Anyhow thanks to all you folks out-there keeping us up to date.

Watching out for fish/animal/birds --- magnetic connection.
That will be another clue
 Quoting: HarmonyH 1136718


you too?!
i thought maybe i was the only one
i get an urge to clean everything, prepare things, fill my water bottles that are empty etc
i will vacuum and have a feeling like it could be the last time i vacuum my floor :/
I just feel a need to put everything in order
I have been cleaning and going through things all day between being on here checking stats
OpenEnded

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03/21/2011 06:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
For a good example of the cause and effect relationship between flares and the global d absorbtion rate you can watch this archived absorbtion slide from November 4, 2003. This was during an X28 flare. Keep an eye on the flux in the bottom right hand corner of animation during saturation.

[link to www.ngdc.noaa.gov]

You can see other archived events here.

[link to www.ngdc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


thx for the links. I still feel the current absorption is more than I would expect from the last LDE off the W limb..
There's hope or not isn't the question, there is only the road
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/21/2011 06:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I didn't see this posted here. From Spaceweather.com:

HERE COMES TROUBLE? A big sunspot is emerging over the sun's southeastern limb, and it is crackling with activity. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded a surge of extreme ultraviolet radiation from the sunspot's magnetic canopy on March 21st:

[link to spaceweather.com]

This appears to be the return of old sunspot 1165, last seen in early March when it formed on the sun's southwestern limb. Since then it has been transiting the far side of the sun, apparently growing in size and restlessness. The potential for trouble will become more clear in the hours ahead as the active region emerges in full. Stay tuned.


 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1277434


Anyone know how long it will take for the earth to be in the line of fire? The article makes the situation sound somewhat dire.

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1277434


it is rotating in our direction as we speak

Minor update added at 15:35 UTC on March 21: Old region 11165 has rotated partly into view at the southeast limb with a large spot currently visible, see this high resolution image. The background x-ray flux is increasing. New region S912 has emerged in the northeast quadrant. Proton flux levels have increased today but have so far not reached event threshold.

Minor update added at 19:10 UTC: The region at the southeast limb is displaying more spots and appears to be very complex. A major flare is possible. Although it is quite unusual for a region at the east limb to cause proton events, this region could be capable of that. Otherwise region 11175 has developed quickly and is close to forming a magnetic delta structure in the trailing spot section. Both polarites have penumbra. Here's a close-up of the southeast limb:

read full report and see images here
[link to www.solen.info]

also to note:
NOAA has just updated the chance of a M and X flare event

it was
Class M - 10%
Class X - 01%

now
Possibilities for an M or X flare today:
Class M - 30%
Class X - 05%

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 03/21/2011 06:27 PM
Anonymous Coward
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03/21/2011 06:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We are having another C class flare right now that keeps slowly rising
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


looks like it is from old sunspot 1165 that is just on the eastern edge, rotating around toward earth
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

here is the last C flare it gave off just a few hours ago
[link to www.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


When was the last flare that slowly inclined? I have a suspicious theory.
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/21/2011 06:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
you can see the curent photo of the sun by SDO
they update around each 15-30 min
these are the direct links to the constantly updated photos

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]





GLP