SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

1260 = chance for Falre X:57% M:62%
1261 = chance for Falre X:69% M:67%
1263 = chance for Falre X:57% M:62%
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

now them are some bettin odds

here is your X guys
on its way now
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

not this time
it putzed out at a M1.7

but she is on her way

here is your X guys
on its way now
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

not this time
it putzed out at a M1.7

but she is on her way

Yup!

Do you see a familiar pattern here?, I do. This is similar to when this thread started. There were rythmical M flares during the evening hours close to 24 hour intervals. The big difference is that at that time we were having missing data during some of them because they were taking place during the satellite eclipses.

Wow ok great now I will be up all night lol!
XP...

Hello Ninzrez, was there a CME associated to these last 2 flares?

Thanks for your answer in advance.

looks like there might have been a CME from 1263
i will have to wait for more photo updates on sites to be sure though

looks like there might have been a CME from 1263
i will have to wait for more photo updates on sites to be sure though

yes there was one from i believe 1263, but still need to do a bit more to comfirm that it was this spot
if you open these 2 tabs, and switch between the 2, you can see it mass come out of 1263 (far left sunspot group)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

then we look over at STEREO
here it is on A
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

This year is extreme. As I was watching the 10:00 news I just found out that we had a grid emergency level 1 today, so here we go!



"DALLAS — The operator of the state's electric grid said it is purchasing electricity from Mexico and other states as record high temperatures force Texas to set new electricity consumption records.


Oncor said more than 6,000 customers lost electricity Tuesday evening when a substation failed in North Dallas.

Traffic signals went dark in intersections and air conditioners turned off in homes.

Oncor told News 8 that the problem is directly related to the excessive heat and added strain on the state's electrical grid.

"The high usage is causing people to use more electricity in order to stay safe and comfortable and it's making it harder for our equipment to cool off," said Catherine Cuellar, Oncor spokeswoman.


Hours earlier, The Electric Reliability Council of Texas initiated an Energy Emergency Alert Level 1 when reserves dropped below 2,300 megawatts, an ERCOT spokeswoman said.

"We are requesting that consumers and businesses reduce their electricity use during peak electricity hours from 3 to 7 p.m. today, particularly between 4 and 5 p.m. when we expect to hit another peak demand record," said Kent Saathoff, vice president of system planning and operations.

The emergency was declared over early Tuesday evening after the state set a new power consumption record of 67,729 megawatts, but another record is expected to be set on Wednesday as officials urged customers to conserve power whenever possible.

ERCOT is still a couple of steps away from rolling brownouts, Saathoff said."
[link to www.wfaa.com]

By the way...the forcasted high temp is for 110 - 111 again tomorrow...gesh! They keep changing the forecast and the temps get higher and higher, it was supposed to be 107 today not 110.

WFAA Weather Center Forecastby Weather Producer

Updated today at 10:30 PM

EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 9PM THURSDAY.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear skies and very warm. Low: 84. Winds: S 5-10.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny skies and dangerously hot. High: 111. Winds: S 5-10.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear, very warm. Low: 83. Winds: S 5-10.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny and continued very hot. High: 109. Winds: S 5-10.

[link to www.wfaa.com]

Thanks! I see clearly the CME, not really massive, but a CME none the less.

Will have to see what happens when we get slammed by the two consecutive CMEs.

BTW, the M 9.4 of a few days was geoefective or not?

i notice the same thing tom
has me kind of on egde here
we just had another M tom
this makes 3 total since this time last night
same type of pattern, now what wil the outcome be.. and where? :/

yes there was one from i believe 1263, but still need to do a bit more to comfirm that it was this spot
if you open these 2 tabs, and switch between the 2, you can see it mass come out of 1263 (far left sunspot group)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

then we look over at STEREO
here it is on A
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Got one climbing up into the M category...still going up

[link to www.solarham.com]