SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

That will do for know thanks for the update...i guess i will play the waiting game...patience is a virtue

Nope..it is stuck in July. No one else gives this information. This is a NASA program, that uses propriatary equipment not available to anyone else.

i have looked and looked and see no signs on SDO of any large CME headed our way
we would see it very clearly
i see a few filament lift offs some days back, but nothing that shows they would be geoeffective
they were to far north or off the edge of the sun
was anyone able to find something becides this simulation showing we have a cme headed this way that should hit today to tomorrow?

for the 15th i see no events as seen on stereo
i did however find this kinds cool photo with some artifacts on it
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

here we can see a backside CME on the 16th
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
and just after that event, while we still see it on stereo, we can see the northside filament that lifted off headed way north
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

on the 17th we see a small cme aimed far north
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
again, not earth directed

i used only photos from STEREO A because B is so dark right now that all images are not very good

here is the link for anyone who is wanting to search any paticular date of events on STEREO
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

I've been watching the magnetosphere all morning and it shows nothing, although the blue and red lines keep looking kinda wonky.
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

I agree.....

well damn :/
i think it would be safe to say, that due to the filament being almost dead center, any lift off of mass would throw it our way, reguardless of the exact proximity of earth
that is unless it snaps in a far north direction
i will be watching this close today and update you if i see anything interesting

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 08/19/2011 01:13 PM

NIN, you have gone above and beyond with your info here, thanks for taking the time to share all this....:)

There was a small CME from Regiom 1273 on the 17th. I posted it here, two pages back, on page 230.



Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 08/19/2011 01:24 PM

I would like to give a big congrats to Kevin over at Solarham for reaching his yearly fundraising drive.
He will now be able to stay dedicated to giving us the latest updates on all solar activity.
I recomend everyone have this link saved to check often
[link to www.solarham.com]
Lookin good over there Kevin
keep up the great work :)

thank you Tom :)
the sun got so active there for a few days it was hard to focus on any 1 event haha
you think this small CME could be the one showing on the simulation everyone is talking about?

The X-ray flux is so low right now it makes me think of a tsunami situation. It's like it is pulling back just before we get slammed. Just a thought.

it is odd seeing it so flatlined given out current probabilities for a M or X
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

III. Event Probabilities 19 Aug-21 Aug
Class M 45/45/45
Class X 10/10/10
Proton 01/01/01
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Or we've been spared. Time will tell.

Everything has a flow though and calm before the storm came to my mind as well.

Has anyone verified that what's shown on the various websites (Stereo A, Stereo B, etc) purporting to be current solar activity isn't stale info? In other words, jives with thine own eyes or some other source of sure information?

It was the only thing that happened during that time frame that was directed toward us. I do not know what else they could be showing in the simulation. Surely it can't be a big CME, because it does not show up as anything significant on the Stereo sats. :)





correct sp..I give up posting with out having to correct something..sheesh

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 08/19/2011 02:13 PM

hahaha
i have to do the same on almost every post ^^
your not alone

Did you guys take a look at this? USGS admits Hydraulic fracturing can trigger large Earthquakes.

Excerpt;

As for "lubricating" faults with water or some other substance, injecting high pressure fluids deep into the ground is known to be able to trigger earthquakes to occur sooner than would have been the case without the injection. However this would be a dangerous pursuit in any populated area, as one might trigger a damaging earthquake.

Link to USGS site with article;

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]


Remember all the drilling being done in Arkansas when they had those swarms of earthquakes? They stopped the drilling and the swarms stopped. They have the technology to make earthquakes occur sooner than they would normally have. Right there in black and white is USGS admitting this technology exist. Now this opens up a whole new Pandora's box.

Last Edited by El Quisqueyano on 08/19/2011 05:05 PM

this was pointed out to me by a great bunch in a FB solar watch group i am a part of
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
we see a spike
strange because nothing shows on the ACE data
but curious enough, here we see a big gab in data from the 15:00 mark to the 21:00 mark
[link to umtof.umd.edu]

Interesting, isn't it? I did not know that they had come out with that. I was aware that fracking caused smaller earthquakes. If the process can cause damaging ones as well that's not good. That was happening in an area just to the south of me. They kept having small Eq's in the 3 range over and over every couple of months. In N. Central TX...not usual at all. The speculation was because of the fracking going on with all the gas drilling in the area.

Fracking is a really dirty process anyway. The companys use all kinds of hazardous chemicals in the fluid and each company has it's own proprietary formula so no one knows exactly what chemicals they are using. Chemicals like the cancerous agent Benzene are just one of them. During this process rock is fractured to allow gas to escape but it also allows that natural gas and the fracking fluid to travel through cracks mixing into the water table, aquifers, peoples wells. HBO did a special last year and it showed people with well water able to turn their tap on and light the tap like a gas main, with water coming out at the same time, and much worse.

I have seen these several times preceding a CME. I told myself the next time I saw it I would be sure not to be caught off guard. Incomming!

What I am referring to is the spike in the AL/AU nT and AO/AE nT. These spikes are usually followed by the arrival of a CME within several hours.

The A/C is me..somehow I got loged out.

I don't see any spikes
Link please

Sure!....

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Scroll down the page to AL/AU nT and AO/AE nT. Look between the hours of 20:00 and 22:00 UT.

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 08/19/2011 08:35 PM

Sorry, I missed that Tom.

gotcha!
so time to put on our high watch party hats and be ready for incoming
maybe something to that cme simulation after all

I'm ready.....

21:43 :)

Thanks Tom for looking into this for us. Our group follows you all pretty close and we suggested Nin might want to ask you as well what you thought might've happened there.

He would love the group there. we will get him over to facebook one of these days ;) *hint hint*

gotcha!
so time to put on our high watch party hats and be ready for incoming
maybe something to that cme simulation after all




I love Sun Doom Parties. Thanks Nin and Tom