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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/10/2011 12:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Maybe someone here on south america could prove

i have no ways to give a pic,
is really odd
but must to have an explanation...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1542105


i will go with...
we are being messed with and perihelion is indeed on Sept 11th UTC as the jpl states
right now it is 16:42 UTC Sept 10th
it will turn Sept 11th on UTC time in around 7hrs 20min

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/10/2011 12:43 PM
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2011 12:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Im going to ask someone in spanish forum to see what do they see and maybe someone they know why is this happening,
i ll keep you info..
miabelieves

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09/10/2011 12:49 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
per space orb it was adjusted but no explanation why???
Hold on to your undies, it's gonna be a hell of a ride
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/10/2011 12:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
ok i went looking, and found this from a poster

Today, just a couple of minutes ago, Elenin reached perihelion at 0.482 AU from te sun.
You can check this by looking at the JPL browser and setting the period to 1 hour instead of 1 day.

September 13th is the day Elenin crosses our solar system's ecliptic at a distance of 0.486 AU from the sun.
You can check this by looking at the JPL browser and noticing the moment the dark blue line changes to light blue.

[link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]

here is thread i found this on
Thread: *******50 mins to ELENIN perihelion******* (Page 2)

i just looked and changed the orbital viewer to Hour, like the posted said to do
and they are correct

it has now reached the closest distance to the sun at 0.482 AU
and will remain at this distance into early tomorrow Sept 11th

also, on the bottom slide bar, slide this until you have moved "earth" onto the vertical yellow line going right down the middle
now you can see where Elenin is in relation to earth as well as the sun

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/10/2011 01:00 PM
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2011 01:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
por regina Hoy a las 11:56

HOLA en este momento marca 20 minutos 28 segundo en regresiva. son las 1155 am en Panamá. a mi el señor Elenin no me inspira totral confianza. saludos.

regina

-------------------------------

Shit, they got me hired!!

I m the only one who have another count down!!!

shark
fairflight

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09/10/2011 01:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


what time does yours say?
link please?
:)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I', not fooling you,

every link i open no matter from where,
if spaceobs it say now more than 6 hours, i have told you!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1542105



WOW!!! That is very, very strange!!!!
 Quoting: fairflight


it now says 36min
I'm just trying to see where you got 6hrs?
i have not seen any other sites state the exact time of close approach
 Quoting: NiNzrez



I have been looking around trying to find something more solid, but just more confused.

There is a video that uses NASA site to show perihelion and ecliptical, etc.

That video is stating that the ecliptical has slowed down by 3 days.

What is worrying is that that slow down puts the pass with Earth and Elenin even closer at that point...unless...it picks up speed before it crosses our orbit at it's closest point.
"Man was also in the beginning with God. Intelligence, or the light of truth, was not created or made, neither indeed can be. ALL truth is independent in that sphere in which God has placed it, to act for itself."
fairflight

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09/10/2011 01:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
ok i went looking, and found this from a poster

Today, just a couple of minutes ago, Elenin reached perihelion at 0.482 AU from te sun.
You can check this by looking at the JPL browser and setting the period to 1 hour instead of 1 day.

September 13th is the day Elenin crosses our solar system's ecliptic at a distance of 0.486 AU from the sun.
You can check this by looking at the JPL browser and noticing the moment the dark blue line changes to light blue.

[link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]

here is thread i found this on
Thread: *******50 mins to ELENIN perihelion******* (Page 2)

i just looked and changed the orbital viewer to Hour, like the posted said to do
and they are correct

it has now reached the closest distance to the sun at 0.482 AU
and will remain at this distance into early tomorrow Sept 11th

also, on the bottom slide bar, slide this until you have moved "earth" onto the vertical yellow line going right down the middle
now you can see where Elenin is in relation to earth as well as the sun
 Quoting: NiNzrez



Yes!! That is what I found too!

I was a bit concerned when it shows that ecliptical has slowed down and will not be reached until Sept. 13 instaed of original estimate on the 11th. This would make it's closest pass with earth, even closer than previously believed...unless...at some point it regains that three days. Scary stuff!!


Last Edited by fairflight on 09/10/2011 01:11 PM
"Man was also in the beginning with God. Intelligence, or the light of truth, was not created or made, neither indeed can be. ALL truth is independent in that sphere in which God has placed it, to act for itself."
El Quisqueyano

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09/10/2011 01:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
por regina Hoy a las 11:56

HOLA en este momento marca 20 minutos 28 segundo en regresiva. son las 1155 am en Panamá. a mi el señor Elenin no me inspira totral confianza. saludos.

regina

-------------------------------

Shit, they got me hired!!

I m the only one who have another count down!!!

shark
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1542105


Chucha Madre! LOL. My best friend growing up was Colombian. Have a shot of Aguardiente on me.

Namaste.
Anonymous Coward
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Colombia
09/10/2011 01:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
por regina Hoy a las 11:56

HOLA en este momento marca 20 minutos 28 segundo en regresiva. son las 1155 am en Panamá. a mi el señor Elenin no me inspira totral confianza. saludos.

regina

-------------------------------

Shit, they got me hired!!

I m the only one who have another count down!!!

shark
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1542105


Chucha Madre! LOL. My best friend growing up was Colombian. Have a shot of Aguardiente on me.

Namaste.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Coño, ElQ,
Why another count would it be for my country,
really scaring stuff...is my PC bugged? im paranoid!

if i only could ask another colombian on line..

Saludos sol taino!

Thanks to Nin and you for the excellent work!
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/10/2011 01:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
hahaha so the countdown hit 0 once more, then just started back at 60 min YET AGAIN
funny stuff
[link to spaceobs.org]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/10/2011 01:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
3.2 2011/09/10 16:58:55 43.538 -127.037 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2011 01:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
hahaha so the countdown hit 0 once more, then just started back at 60 min YET AGAIN
funny stuff
[link to spaceobs.org]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


:eleninrocket:


Butler Alfred finished his work for today...will go out and have some katla beers^^

:katlaalebottles:

Wish you all the best and stay safe !


Tomorrow I am quite at your service again


Forget something....


Dont forget:

Dazzling Northern Lights Display Possible This Weekend

[link to www.space.com]

Earthcam
[link to www.earthcam.com]


You also have a good view to Aurora from all Katla Cams specially the north ones^^

shows you katla and hekla
[link to www.malinpebbles.com]

this is also a good one:
[link to live.mila.is]
Mahala

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09/10/2011 01:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
3.2 2011/09/10 16:58:55 43.538 -127.037 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
 Quoting: NiNzrez

hmm. hopefully pressure release. Have to look to see if its near the volcano...
Vincent Price - “A man who limits his interests, limits his life.”
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/10/2011 01:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
hahaha so the countdown hit 0 once more, then just started back at 60 min YET AGAIN
funny stuff
[link to spaceobs.org]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


:eleninrocket:


Butler Alfred finished his work for today...will go out and have some katla beers^^

:katlaalebottles:

Wish you all the best and stay safe !


Tomorrow I am quite at your service again


Forget something....


Dont forget:

Dazzling Northern Lights Display Possible This Weekend

[link to www.space.com]

Earthcam
[link to www.earthcam.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


have a fun safe Saturday night IWTB :)
will be watching for the auroras tonight
hf
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/10/2011 01:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
3.2 2011/09/10 16:58:55 43.538 -127.037 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
 Quoting: NiNzrez

hmm. hopefully pressure release. Have to look to see if its near the volcano...
 Quoting: Mahala


do let us know what you find :)
El Quisqueyano

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09/10/2011 01:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
por regina Hoy a las 11:56

HOLA en este momento marca 20 minutos 28 segundo en regresiva. son las 1155 am en Panamá. a mi el señor Elenin no me inspira totral confianza. saludos.

regina

-------------------------------

Shit, they got me hired!!

I m the only one who have another count down!!!

shark
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1542105


Chucha Madre! LOL. My best friend growing up was Colombian. Have a shot of Aguardiente on me.

Namaste.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Coño, ElQ,
Why another count would it be for my country,
really scaring stuff...is my PC bugged? im paranoid!

if i only could ask another colombian on line..

Saludos sol taino!

Thanks to Nin and you for the excellent work!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1542105


LOL. Saludos a usted I su Famulia.

Que este con Dios,
Mahala

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09/10/2011 01:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
3.2 2011/09/10 16:58:55 43.538 -127.037 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
 Quoting: NiNzrez

hmm. hopefully pressure release. Have to look to see if its near the volcano...
 Quoting: Mahala


do let us know what you find :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez

earthquake is approx. 100 miles south of the axial seamount volcano. If you google down you will see that there is a zig zag fault line that they are both on the inside of the lines.
Vincent Price - “A man who limits his interests, limits his life.”
Mahala

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09/10/2011 01:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
3.2 2011/09/10 16:58:55 43.538 -127.037 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
 Quoting: NiNzrez

hmm. hopefully pressure release. Have to look to see if its near the volcano...
 Quoting: Mahala


do let us know what you find :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez

earthquake is approx. 100 miles south of the axial seamount volcano. If you google down you will see that there is a zig zag fault line that they are both on the inside of the lines.
 Quoting: Mahala

or it could be the shelf not sure..
Vincent Price - “A man who limits his interests, limits his life.”
El Quisqueyano

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09/10/2011 01:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...

hmm. hopefully pressure release. Have to look to see if its near the volcano...
 Quoting: Mahala


do let us know what you find :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez

earthquake is approx. 100 miles south of the axial seamount volcano. If you google down you will see that there is a zig zag fault line that they are both on the inside of the lines.
 Quoting: Mahala

or it could be the shelf not sure..
 Quoting: Mahala


It's the Juan de Fuca shelf. Occurred right at the most southern point of the Juan de Fuca fault Shelf.
Mahala

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09/10/2011 01:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


do let us know what you find :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez

earthquake is approx. 100 miles south of the axial seamount volcano. If you google down you will see that there is a zig zag fault line that they are both on the inside of the lines.
 Quoting: Mahala

or it could be the shelf not sure..
 Quoting: Mahala


It's the Juan de Fuca shelf. Occurred right at the most southern point of the Juan de Fuca fault Shelf.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano

Thank you for the clarification!
Vincent Price - “A man who limits his interests, limits his life.”
Mahala

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09/10/2011 01:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wouldn't you know it. Time the family decides to go boating and we have all this going on. Hmm. Will check in later and if anything comes up my way while boating I'll check in with you all. Have a good day all! fltbronco
Vincent Price - “A man who limits his interests, limits his life.”
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2011 01:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi everyone.

Is it just me or does 89 look bigger than old faithful?

[link to spaceweather.com]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/10/2011 01:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
im heading out for the day everyone
it was in the low 50's for a high a few days ago
with clouds that have lingered for a few weeks now
today its sunny and 80!
it is probaly the last day of nice summer weather we will have before we go into a deep freeze for the winter
and ill be dammed if im staying inside today when it's this nice out! haha
i will hop in the sec i get home
everyone have a safe day :)
hf
El Quisqueyano

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09/10/2011 01:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wouldn't you know it. Time the family decides to go boating and we have all this going on. Hmm. Will check in later and if anything comes up my way while boating I'll check in with you all. Have a good day all! fltbronco
 Quoting: Mahala


Right back at ya.
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2011 02:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Have fun!!!
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/10/2011 02:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi everyone.

Is it just me or does 89 look bigger than old faithful?

[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: finley


Today, sunspot 1289
has a 30% chance for a M flare
has a 16% chance for a X flare
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

1283 - is now on the western edge. Although 1283 still hold a chance for a M flare, it poses little threat

1289 - Now all eyes are on monster sunspot region 1289 as well as a very large region behind 1289 that will be rotation over the eastern limb in the next few days

Region 11289 added several spots in a new penumbra to the south of the large penumbra. The new penumbra could easily develop a magnetic delta structure
1289 has a beta-gamma configuration as of the time of this post
[link to www.solen.info]

here is the latest SDO magnetogram image of the sun
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

on this composite we can see well the sunspot regions
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

here we can see the sunspot region that is just over the eastern limb of the sun and will be rotating earths direction over the next few days
this is on STEREO Behind, an image taken of the left side of the sun, from earths view
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
the big bright section in the middle top section is the region i speak of
here it is on the GONG Calibrated Farside Map
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
(the spot circled in red)

lets comapre that region to 1283 that produced most of the main activity we have seen this past week
1283 is the bright spot on the top left section in this image
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez

zacksavage

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09/10/2011 02:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
alonecrazyjak




Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2011 03:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
yes I just didn't look at all the links. It's much bigger.

THanks for responding.

Lo [link to www2.nict.go.jp]
look possibly incoming cme
Anonymous Coward
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09/10/2011 03:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
yes I just didn't look at all the links. It's much bigger.

THanks for responding.

Lo [link to www2.nict.go.jp]
look possibly incoming cme
 Quoting: finley


yes Solar ham reports a geomagnetic storm right now

[link to www.solarham.com]
El Quisqueyano

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09/10/2011 05:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Significant precursor signal detected at 1945utc/1545est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in South East of France from somewhere out in the Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Chile.





GLP