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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
tomasgod1

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09/22/2011 02:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
So the latest one is the most accurate or or do each show different CME's ? I'm totally confused about what happened to the CME shown in this one ?

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Awake1


They update the simulation with the latest CME. That CME was reall too far off the Eastern Limb to do anything. It just bounced/slid on by.
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Wubbo Ockels

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09/22/2011 02:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
MONSTER SUNSPOTS appearing. Could be the largest region in the last 6-8 years :

Thread: MONSTER SUNSPOTS appearing. Could be the largest region in the last 6-8 years !




.
R.I.P. for the real Wubbo Ockels. He was a true icon of my country, and a great front-fighter for sustainable energie/technology and humanism.

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The idea being, once we can handle it all down here, then we can live and explore eternally, responsibly, because we know what not to do, and not be resentful about being responsible, so we don't start a polarity domino effect in the other realms of existence."

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Thread: LADIES & GENTLEMEN: I PRESENT to YOU OUR NEW SUN !!
tomasgod1

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09/22/2011 02:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The HAARP Fluxgate Magnetometer looks normal, untill this minute..haha..looks like it might be starting to take a dive.


[link to 137.229.36.30]
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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
aether

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09/22/2011 03:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
OK ISWA has updated their simulation.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Geezus that was a HUGE blast...

Hi NiN
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


yeah it was
hiya LTY
hiya IWTB
hiya aether
hiya everyone else

glad to be somewhat back :)
im working on 100% here, but will take some time
 Quoting: NiNzrez


you remote a bit better today
first day you have
you as in self, not wounds
they are on their own time frame mostly dominated by your will and pain thresholds
so you know rockon
tomasgod1

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09/22/2011 03:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I had mentioned earlier that we may get a proton storm out of this.. a SEP event. It usually takes a while for them to develop. NiN did you see this..
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2011 03:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wow
Thanks Tom and IWTB. What great info and pics. I knew something was up when I woke with a headache. Wow. Does anyone have a screenshot of the absorbtion map?? Thanks Again.
 Quoting: finley



Here you go Finley. I captured a shot of it.

:Absorption chart:
 Quoting: SheBear


Wow, thanks so much She Bear!!!hf
tomasgod1

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09/22/2011 03:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to geomag.usgs.gov]
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2011 03:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi Nin

Glad you are here.

hfhfhf
Awake1

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09/22/2011 03:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The magnetosphere Simulation thingy hasn't updated from 9:08 in at least a 1/2 hour .. is this the correct page ?

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
"Any Story Sounds True until someone sets the record straight "

Proverbs 18:17(New Living Translation)
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1666840
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09/22/2011 03:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The magnetosphere Simulation thingy hasn't updated from 9:08 in at least a 1/2 hour .. is this the correct page ?

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Awake1


Yea, it's not updating. Probably got fried.
NiNzrez  (OP)

User ID: 1135433
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09/22/2011 03:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
OK ISWA has updated their simulation.

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Geezus that was a HUGE blast...

Hi NiN
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


yeah it was
hiya LTY
hiya IWTB
hiya aether
hiya everyone else

glad to be somewhat back :)
im working on 100% here, but will take some time
 Quoting: NiNzrez


you remote a bit better today
first day you have
you as in self, not wounds
they are on their own time frame mostly dominated by your will and pain thresholds
so you know rockon
 Quoting: aether


thanks aether
im better today than i have been all week
so im trying hard to read up on all the info i can while im feeling up to it
im trying hard and will keep trying :)
stay safe
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/22/2011 04:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
i posted this info back on the 10th with out last rush of CMEs
going to post this again now that we have all this activity :)

I am adding these here now, so that we can refer back to this post when anyone asks for data links over the next few days


The nict magnetosphere simulation
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Magnetosphere Guide
Thread: NICT Magnetosphere Guide For Solar Watchers (service eneded)
(please give this link to anyone you see on other threads asking what there looking at, how to read it, what it means)

Magnetometer flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Proton flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Electron flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Kp
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

and all them together
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Here is the Ace data flux
[link to www.solarham.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/22/2011 04:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I had mentioned earlier that we may get a proton storm out of this.. a SEP event. It usually takes a while for them to develop. NiN did you see this..
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


well now, look at that
bet we see spikes up or down in other places very soon
and yuppers, i agree, proton event on its way

we can see here its already rising
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
aether

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09/22/2011 04:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
thanks aether
im better today than i have been all week
so im trying hard to read up on all the info i can while im feeling up to it
im trying hard and will keep trying :)
stay safe
 Quoting: ninzrez


alien03

are you winding me up miss house blows up stab myself

xoxoxo

i will rockon
Vita
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Netherlands
09/22/2011 04:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
No pics on Lasco 2 between 2011-09-22 06.12 up to 13.25
were there more CME?
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/22/2011 04:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
right now...

Sunspot 1295:
63% chance of an M Flare
66% chance of an X Flare


Sunspot 1302:
18% chance of an M Flare
06% chance of an X Flare
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

watch for the Flares on the 1min Xray flux chart
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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Germany
09/22/2011 04:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
right now...

Sunspot 1295:
63% chance of an M Flare
66% chance of an X Flare


Sunspot 1302:
18% chance of an M Flare
06% chance of an X Flare
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

watch for the Flares on the 1min Xray flux chart
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


You can believe me and ofc all the other padawan'S have all eye's on it+ my eye under my feet :D


climbing...


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

edit:

stopped
was a bit early^^
Vita
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09/22/2011 04:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
No pics on Lasco 2 between 2011-09-22 06.12 up to 13.25
were there more CME?
 Quoting: Vita 1334864



On Lasco 3 at 2011-09-22 06.12 shows clear pics, on 13.25 a Flare...
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 1679743
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09/22/2011 04:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
right now...

Sunspot 1295:
63% chance of an M Flare
66% chance of an X Flare


Sunspot 1302:
18% chance of an M Flare
06% chance of an X Flare
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

watch for the Flares on the 1min Xray flux chart
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Sunspot region #1295 gave us the M1 flare just before the X on the limb. I was wondering if there might be another CME but SOHO has gaps in imaging/data. I didn't see one on STEREO Ahead-so I think we're safe......for now lol.
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2011 04:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
2 new c flares from spot 1295


2011/09/22 15:36:00 16:12:00 15:55:00 C8.1 N25W58

:flarec8sep22:


[link to www.lmsal.com]

[link to www.solarmonitor.org]


and

2011/09/22 16:37:00 17:00:00 16:40:00 C4.4


:flare4.4sep22:



[link to www.lmsal.com]

[link to www.solarmonitor.org]
redskywalker

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09/22/2011 04:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wow
Thanks Tom and IWTB. What great info and pics. I knew something was up when I woke with a headache. Wow. Does anyone have a screenshot of the absorbtion map?? Thanks Again.
 Quoting: finley


I don't :(, but here is how it looks now, still the same physical shape, which was interesting, picture it bright red!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

They do archive this information but it is 24 hrs behind and I tried but can not find where they are storing todays images.
Tomorrow they will be here..
[link to www.ngdc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Thank you. I bookmarked the archive page.

cool2
 Quoting: finley


I think you wanted to see this one.
It looked like a square bullseye. Very impressive.
(I'm new at this and don't know how to place a picture yet, sorry)


IMAGE ( [link to i1197.photobucket.com] )
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/22/2011 04:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
right now...

Sunspot 1295:
63% chance of an M Flare
66% chance of an X Flare


Sunspot 1302:
18% chance of an M Flare
06% chance of an X Flare
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

watch for the Flares on the 1min Xray flux chart
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Sunspot region #1295 gave us the M1 flare just before the X on the limb. I was wondering if there might be another CME but SOHO has gaps in imaging/data. I didn't see one on STEREO Ahead-so I think we're safe......for now lol.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


looking on SDO i do not see a CME from 1295 with the M flare from today
Gabriel

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09/22/2011 04:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
What is the Date of when the monster is directly earth facing......
Hugh M Eye

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09/22/2011 05:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
right now...

Sunspot 1295:
63% chance of an M Flare
66% chance of an X Flare


Sunspot 1302:
18% chance of an M Flare
06% chance of an X Flare
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]

watch for the Flares on the 1min Xray flux chart
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Sunspot region #1295 gave us the M1 flare just before the X on the limb. I was wondering if there might be another CME but SOHO has gaps in imaging/data. I didn't see one on STEREO Ahead-so I think we're safe......for now lol.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


looking on SDO i do not see a CME from 1295 with the M flare from today
 Quoting: NiNzrez

Thanks for checking, NINz. I'm sure we'll have to deal with one soon enough.

This Solar wind scatter plot from STEREO looks really wild.

[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2011 05:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
What is the Date of when the monster is directly earth facing......
 Quoting: Gabriel


it will rotate in our view 25th26th



another c4 flare took place, same spot 1295


38 gev_20110922_1536 2011/09/22 15:36:00 16:12:00 15:55:00 C8.1 N25W58 ( 1295 )
39 gev_20110922_1637 2011/09/22 16:37:00 17:00:00 16:40:00 C4.4 N22W57 ( 1295 )
40 gev_20110922_2014 2011/09/22 20:14:00 20:33:00 20:20:00 C4.0 N22W57 ( 1295 )



[link to www.lmsal.com]


latest c4 flare:

[link to www.lmsal.com]
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2011 06:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Aurora's are visible right now:

[link to www.earthcam.com]
Gabriel

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09/22/2011 06:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
and we have an up tick at x-ray flux
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2011 06:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
and we have an up tick at x-ray flux
 Quoting: Gabriel


oh, yep climbing...

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2011 06:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The NICT is still stuck..


[link to www2.nict.go.jp]



Been over an hour now...

This happen often?? I know I haven' seen it down in a long time.
Enchanted Wanderer

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09/22/2011 06:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Morning everyone.. and hugs to you Nin, so good to you see you posting mama sol xoxo miss you heaps.

I have a little bit of a predicament.. I am not one to normally be concerned with the GLP effect and the daily predictions of our members crazy uncles and cousins (lol) however, with old faithful coming round to face us in the next week and the chance of a massive Xflare coming out of the region, combined with the date that O.F is due to be earth facing, Im getting a little worried about this thread.. Thread: September 28, 2011, This is it. it doesnt seem like your average 'cousin/uncle' story and god knows ive lived by the motto "nothing is impossible" my whole life..

I thought i would seek out the opinion of the experts here in our little solar home..

Can someone please give me (and the others who read this thread who are not up on the solar understanding yet) a laymans rundown of what we would expect from a massive xflare and following cme..

What would occur in the 8mins it takes the flare to reach earth and what would a cme from a huge Xflare do to us.. could the earth really burn? could it really vaporise us? How far underground would we need to be in order to be safe if it could? What size Xflare would need to occur in order for the electrical grid to collapse? If you have seen the movie knowing, is that scenario possible?

And lastly, should the tomatoe plants come in? and im not kidding i have a deck full of heirloom tomatoes LOL

I am trying to approach this as sensibly as possible and actually get the facts from those of you who i respect and admire for your knowledge and wisdom. Thankyou in advance for the help .. love you guys..

hf
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