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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Boceph

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09/23/2011 01:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wow what's up here?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2011 01:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wow what's up here?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Boceph


yep!


look also this:

:inospherechilemi:

[link to www.gdgps.net]

and...tata

GFZ Potsdam:

F-E Region: Chile-Argentina Border Region
Time: 2011-09-23 16:01:10.7 UTC
Magnitude: 4.5
Epicenter: 67.61°W 23.91°S
Depth: 239 km


[link to geofon.gfz-potsdam.de]

and a quake canary islands (el hierro...)
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/23/2011 01:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wow what's up here?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Boceph


That is from the expected Proton event we are having right now

Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1
Serial Number: 324
Issue Time: 2011 Sep 23 0448 UTC

WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2011 Sep 23 0600 UTC
Valid To: 2011 Sep 24 0000 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

you can see the rise on the proton flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

lookie there
Tom right again
banana2
 Quoting: NiNzrez

Boceph

User ID: 1486701
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09/23/2011 01:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wow what's up here?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Boceph


That is from the expected Proton event we are having right now

Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1
Serial Number: 324
Issue Time: 2011 Sep 23 0448 UTC

WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2011 Sep 23 0600 UTC
Valid To: 2011 Sep 24 0000 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

you can see the rise on the proton flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

lookie there
Tom right again
banana2
 Quoting: NiNzrez

 Quoting: NiNzrez


I see ... thank you
Boceph

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09/23/2011 01:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Last Edited by Boceph on 09/23/2011 01:40 PM
Petpeeve

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09/23/2011 01:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Long Live OTOC.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1196726


he comes in here now and then :)
always glad to see his posts
 Quoting: NiNzrez


He has posted that he is going into the hospital to die , from an inoperable brain tumor. On a forum that I can not post from.
 Quoting: SnaFuBar


I'm so sorry to read this. If you post to him, please tell him that my prayers are with him.
Each click feeds a shelter animal
[link to theanimalrescuesite.greatergood.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2011 03:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.syzygyjob.com]

Here is another site I check on a regular basis.

Just a forum by SYZYGYJOB. So I want to get more info on the long duration X flare and what to expect.

It says it is due to arrive on the 25.

ANyone?
aether

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09/23/2011 04:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Falling Satellite Debris Might Hit U.S.

A dead six-ton satellite baffled NASA experts Friday by slowing its descent toward Earth and delaying its ultimate crash until the early part of the weekend.

The space agency is now predicting the satellite will fall back to Earth late Friday or early Saturday, Eastern time. Increased solar activity had been causing the atmosphere to expand and the satellite to fall more quickly, but that's no longer such a major factor, experts said. What's more, the orientation of the satellite apparently has changed in orbit, and that's slowing its fatal plunge.
 Quoting: NASA

[link to online.wsj.com]

anyone got a clue what nsa is talking about

i don`t rockon
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2011 04:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Nothing rly special but :

3 new flares

gev_20110923_1210 2011/09/23 12:10:00 12:40:00 12:23:00 C3.2 N28W52 ( 1296 )
39 gev_20110923_1501 2011/09/23 15:01:00 15:08:00 15:06:00 C2.1 N12E72 ( 1302 )
40 gev_20110923_1906 2011/09/23 19:06:00 19:16:00 19:11:00 C3.4 N14E68 ( 1302 )


[link to www.lmsal.com]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/23/2011 04:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Falling Satellite Debris Might Hit U.S.

A dead six-ton satellite baffled NASA experts Friday by slowing its descent toward Earth and delaying its ultimate crash until the early part of the weekend.

The space agency is now predicting the satellite will fall back to Earth late Friday or early Saturday, Eastern time. Increased solar activity had been causing the atmosphere to expand and the satellite to fall more quickly, but that's no longer such a major factor, experts said. What's more, the orientation of the satellite apparently has changed in orbit, and that's slowing its fatal plunge.
 Quoting: NASA

[link to online.wsj.com]

anyone got a clue what nsa is talking about

i don`t rockon
 Quoting: aether


haha i was just coming here to post this info i put together about the falling UARS Satellite
Latest word is that it could hit the Eastern coast United States


Complete Coverage of NASA's Falling Satellite UARS
SPACE.com is providing full coverage of the UARS re-entry, including a look at the issues surrounding orbital debris and space situational awareness.

"As of 10:30 a.m. EDT on Sept. 23, 2011, the orbit of UARS was 100 miles by 105 miles (160 km by 170 km). Re-entry is expected late Friday, Sept. 23, or early Saturday, Sept. 24, Eastern Daylight Time. Solar activity is no longer the major factor in the satellite’s rate of descent. The satellite’s orientation or configuration apparently has changed, and that is now slowing its descent. There is a low probability any debris that survives re-entry will land in the United States, but the possibility cannot be discounted because of this changing rate of descent. It is still too early to predict the time and location of re-entry with any certainty, but predictions will become more refined in the next 12 to 18 hours."
[link to www.space.com]



A huge, dead satellite tumbling to Earth is falling slower than expected, and may now plummet down somewhere over the United States tonight or early Saturday, NASA officials now say. The satellite has been slowed down by a change in its orientation
[link to www.space.com]


In an ever-changing scenario, NASA now say that a decaying UARS satellite could impact the eastern United States sometime late Friday or early Saturday. Because of variability in the satellite's rate of descent, pinpointing exactly where it will fall will be difficult until the final two hours, according to NASA and other sources monitoring the satellite's descent
[link to www.examiner.com]


If NASA's Satellite Falls on Your Home, Who Pays for Repairs?
The good news is that if the satellite, or even just sizable chunks of it, did in fact slam into your house, you wouldn't need to sell your new space souvenir to pay for repairs. By international law, NASA would have to foot the bill.
Liability for damage caused by objects falling from space is regulated by the 1972 Convention on International Liability for Damage Caused by Space Objects, according to NASA public affairs officer Beth
[link to www.space.com]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/23/2011 04:57 PM
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2011 05:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Falling Satellite Debris Might Hit U.S.

A dead six-ton satellite baffled NASA experts Friday by slowing its descent toward Earth and delaying its ultimate crash until the early part of the weekend.

The space agency is now predicting the satellite will fall back to Earth late Friday or early Saturday, Eastern time. Increased solar activity had been causing the atmosphere to expand and the satellite to fall more quickly, but that's no longer such a major factor, experts said. What's more, the orientation of the satellite apparently has changed in orbit, and that's slowing its fatal plunge.
 Quoting: NASA

[link to online.wsj.com]

anyone got a clue what nsa is talking about

i don`t rockon
 Quoting: aether

The damned thing is out of control and they have no clue where it's coming dowm.hiding

I wonder why they didn't plan to shoot it down over the Pacific like the spy satellite before it kills somebody? If someone dies because of it, this question will be asked-LOUDLY.wtf
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/23/2011 05:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1
Serial Number: 324
Issue Time: 2011 Sep 23 0448 UTC

WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2011 Sep 23 0600 UTC
Valid To: 2011 Sep 24 0000 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

you can see the rise on the proton flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

lookie there
Tom right again
banana2
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Protons are STILL rising
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

High Energy Protons - Rising
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Low Energy Protons - Rising
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Low Energy Electrons - Rising
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Combined Graph
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


i see the nict is still down
here is the data stats from Ace at this time:

Conditions right now are - Quiet
Solar Wind: 383.2
Density: 0.3
Bz: 2.7
By: 0.8
TruthSeeker66

User ID: 1539671
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09/23/2011 05:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Falling Satellite Debris Might Hit U.S.

A dead six-ton satellite baffled NASA experts Friday by slowing its descent toward Earth and delaying its ultimate crash until the early part of the weekend.

The space agency is now predicting the satellite will fall back to Earth late Friday or early Saturday, Eastern time. Increased solar activity had been causing the atmosphere to expand and the satellite to fall more quickly, but that's no longer such a major factor, experts said. What's more, the orientation of the satellite apparently has changed in orbit, and that's slowing its fatal plunge.
 Quoting: NASA

[link to online.wsj.com]

anyone got a clue what nsa is talking about

i don`t rockon
 Quoting: aether


haha i was just coming here to post this info i put together about the falling UARS Satellite
Latest word is that it could hit the Eastern coast United States


Complete Coverage of NASA's Falling Satellite UARS
SPACE.com is providing full coverage of the UARS re-entry, including a look at the issues surrounding orbital debris and space situational awareness.

"As of 10:30 a.m. EDT on Sept. 23, 2011, the orbit of UARS was 100 miles by 105 miles (160 km by 170 km). Re-entry is expected late Friday, Sept. 23, or early Saturday, Sept. 24, Eastern Daylight Time. Solar activity is no longer the major factor in the satellite’s rate of descent. The satellite’s orientation or configuration apparently has changed, and that is now slowing its descent. There is a low probability any debris that survives re-entry will land in the United States, but the possibility cannot be discounted because of this changing rate of descent. It is still too early to predict the time and location of re-entry with any certainty, but predictions will become more refined in the next 12 to 18 hours."
[link to www.space.com]



A huge, dead satellite tumbling to Earth is falling slower than expected, and may now plummet down somewhere over the United States tonight or early Saturday, NASA officials now say. The satellite has been slowed down by a change in its orientation
[link to www.space.com]


In an ever-changing scenario, NASA now say that a decaying UARS satellite could impact the eastern United States sometime late Friday or early Saturday. Because of variability in the satellite's rate of descent, pinpointing exactly where it will fall will be difficult until the final two hours, according to NASA and other sources monitoring the satellite's descent
[link to www.examiner.com]


If NASA's Satellite Falls on Your Home, Who Pays for Repairs?
The good news is that if the satellite, or even just sizable chunks of it, did in fact slam into your house, you wouldn't need to sell your new space souvenir to pay for repairs. By international law, NASA would have to foot the bill.
Liability for damage caused by objects falling from space is regulated by the 1972 Convention on International Liability for Damage Caused by Space Objects, according to NASA public affairs officer Beth
[link to www.space.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Watching the tracking, it really is looking like it will make one of it's final passes over N. America
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 1788796
United States
09/23/2011 05:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Falling Satellite Debris Might Hit U.S.

A dead six-ton satellite baffled NASA experts Friday by slowing its descent toward Earth and delaying its ultimate crash until the early part of the weekend.

The space agency is now predicting the satellite will fall back to Earth late Friday or early Saturday, Eastern time. Increased solar activity had been causing the atmosphere to expand and the satellite to fall more quickly, but that's no longer such a major factor, experts said. What's more, the orientation of the satellite apparently has changed in orbit, and that's slowing its fatal plunge.
 Quoting: NASA

[link to online.wsj.com]

anyone got a clue what nsa is talking about

i don`t rockon
 Quoting: aether


haha i was just coming here to post this info i put together about the falling UARS Satellite
Latest word is that it could hit the Eastern coast United States


Complete Coverage of NASA's Falling Satellite UARS
SPACE.com is providing full coverage of the UARS re-entry, including a look at the issues surrounding orbital debris and space situational awareness.

"As of 10:30 a.m. EDT on Sept. 23, 2011, the orbit of UARS was 100 miles by 105 miles (160 km by 170 km). Re-entry is expected late Friday, Sept. 23, or early Saturday, Sept. 24, Eastern Daylight Time. Solar activity is no longer the major factor in the satellite’s rate of descent. The satellite’s orientation or configuration apparently has changed, and that is now slowing its descent. There is a low probability any debris that survives re-entry will land in the United States, but the possibility cannot be discounted because of this changing rate of descent. It is still too early to predict the time and location of re-entry with any certainty, but predictions will become more refined in the next 12 to 18 hours."
[link to www.space.com]



A huge, dead satellite tumbling to Earth is falling slower than expected, and may now plummet down somewhere over the United States tonight or early Saturday, NASA officials now say. The satellite has been slowed down by a change in its orientation
[link to www.space.com]


In an ever-changing scenario, NASA now say that a decaying UARS satellite could impact the eastern United States sometime late Friday or early Saturday. Because of variability in the satellite's rate of descent, pinpointing exactly where it will fall will be difficult until the final two hours, according to NASA and other sources monitoring the satellite's descent
[link to www.examiner.com]


If NASA's Satellite Falls on Your Home, Who Pays for Repairs?
The good news is that if the satellite, or even just sizable chunks of it, did in fact slam into your house, you wouldn't need to sell your new space souvenir to pay for repairs. By international law, NASA would have to foot the bill.
Liability for damage caused by objects falling from space is regulated by the 1972 Convention on International Liability for Damage Caused by Space Objects, according to NASA public affairs officer Beth
[link to www.space.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Watching the tracking, it really is looking like it will make one of it's final passes over N. America
 Quoting: TruthSeeker66

It's a hard, it's a hard, A HARD RAIN's A-GONNA FALL.
[link to www.youtube.com]
Boceph

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09/23/2011 05:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Check out this guy's video....

Thread: Intact & Big as the Earth!
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2011 05:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
X-ray flux rising good. Maybe another M.
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/23/2011 05:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
going for another M+
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

stopped at a C9.6


Right Now...

Sunspot 1295:
Chance of M Flare - 58%
Chance of X Flare - 58%

Sunspot 1302:
Chance of M Flare - 54%
Chance of X Flare - 50%
[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]


Overall solar Flare Probability = 56%

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/23/2011 05:49 PM
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2011 05:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
looks like a c9.6 for me...

edit:

you beat mehf
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/23/2011 05:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
looks like a c9.6 for me...

edit:

you beat mehf
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


about time i beat you haha
your so on top of things that i barley ever get the chance to beat you ^^
hf
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2011 06:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

banana2
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2011 06:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
In other space news....
Neil Armstrong calls US Space program "an embarrassment".
[link to www.space-travel.com]

NASA releases mp3's and ringtones of space sounds & astronaut chatter (my personal favorite is Enceladus noise). Check it out-fun for the whole family of space cadets.
[link to www.nasa.gov]

Lastly, a lovely photo of 5 of Saturn's moons playing amongst the rings. Kewl.
spock [link to www.nasa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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09/23/2011 06:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
looks like a c9.6 for me...

edit:

you beat mehf
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


about time i beat you haha
your so on top of things that i barley ever get the chance to beat you ^^
hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Looks like a double-header,lol.
Anonymous Coward
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Finland
09/23/2011 06:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
BOOM GOES THE DYNAMITE!
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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09/23/2011 06:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Another one climbing above m right now

At our local watering hole drinking beer and watching the flux chart..man i am a suntard to the bone

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 09/23/2011 06:09 PM
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/23/2011 06:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
it turned into an M flare after all
lets see where she lands
Boceph

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09/23/2011 06:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I have not been following this stuff as long as
you guys... only a few months, but I can't say that
I've seen it like this yet.

Last Edited by Boceph on 09/23/2011 06:15 PM
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2011 06:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I have not been following this stuff as long as
you guys... only a few months, but I can't say that
I've seen it like this yet.
 Quoting: Boceph


it was bigger last days...but worth to watch!hf:globalinosphere:
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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09/23/2011 06:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I think its gonna drop a tad and kick up again...that prediction could be alchohol induced tho...

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 09/23/2011 06:22 PM
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/23/2011 06:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
this LDE M flare is from sunspot region 1302
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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09/23/2011 06:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
fail...


seems m 1.3^^





GLP