A large filament eruption was observed early on October 22 in the northwest quadrant. Although most of the ejected material is directed northwards, some of it could be heading towards Earth. If that's the case the CME will likely arrive on October 25.

Minor update posted at 17:40 UTC on October 22:
After many relatively quiet days on the Sun, today has been a totally different story. The large filament eruption mentioned earlier today produced a full halo CME which is likely to impact Earth on October 25. Then region 11314 at the northwest limb produced a very long duration M1.3 event peaking at 11:10 UTC. This event was similar to the spectacular events produced by the same region when it was on the solar backside about 15-20 days ago and cause a big northwards moving wave and a large and bright CME. The CME is partial halo and has a slight chance of causing a flank impact in 4-5 days. Proton flux levels have increased slowly since the eruption and may reach event levels later today or sometime tomorrow.
[link to www.solen.info]


eastern region S1286 is rotating earth direction and should be named by NOAA sometime tomorrow
[link to www.solen.info]

here is what NOAA has to say about this region:
A big new sunspot emerging over the sun's eastern limb (labeled New1) increases the chances for M-class flares today.
[link to www.solarham.com]