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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
shadasonic

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01/16/2012 09:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Why magnetosphere is so hot ?

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1455336


Coronal hole , seems we are letting alot of energy through right now
 Quoting: shadasonic


We are getting a good ground hit off this, I can feel it, have been since yesterday. This looks to be long duration,could have some shaking the next couple days
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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01/16/2012 10:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


[link to www.youtube.com]
zacksavage

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01/16/2012 12:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Sweet IWTB76!!

All hail the Sun brother and Sister hood keeping it Real!!!

moshpit

Z

Last Edited by zacksavage on 01/16/2012 12:49 PM
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
NiNzrez  (OP)

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01/16/2012 01:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
CH winds and now a glancing blow is expected from the CME early this morning
will arrive late on 18th - early 19th
NiNzrez  (OP)

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01/16/2012 01:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thread: Polar Plasma Wave...creating the sounds people are hearing around the world??...sounds of the magnetosphere..Listen for yourself...
Hugh M Eye

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01/16/2012 02:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
There was an explosive CME (immediately prior to the big CME) from the equatorial latitude of the east limb near AR1404 & 1401. SEEDS movie based on SOHO Cor 2 images:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

SEEDS movie of the BIG ONE from 1402:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]
El Quisqueyano

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01/16/2012 03:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thread: WTF? IS YELLOWSTONE ABOUT TO BLOW? INTENSE HARMNONIC TREMORS AT PELICAN CONE. (Page 10)
Anonymous Coward
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01/16/2012 03:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sun doom is the best doom. sun
NiNzrez  (OP)

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01/16/2012 03:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Chances of a Solar Flare Jan 16th 2012

Sunspot Region 1402:
52% Chance of a M Flare
41% Chance of a X Flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
(updates each 2min)
El Quisqueyano

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01/16/2012 03:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Chances of a Solar Flare Jan 16th 2012

Sunspot Region 1402:
52% Chance of a M Flare
41% Chance of a X Flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
(updates each 2min)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Uh Oh!
tomasgod1

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01/16/2012 04:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We can see looking here at the Wing Kp Model..
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
that our magnetosphere was fairly well disturbed throughout the day.

POES, the Aurora Oval has been lit up throught the day as well.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Again we see the disturbance measured by ground based magnetometers...

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
and the GOES magnetometer..
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The ACE Satellite measured the disturbance, and we can see the data visually interpreted at NICT. A combination of a CHHSS that was coupled with some of the material ejected from the CME on the 12th combines in a visual seen here.
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

The CME was imaged by Stereo and SOHO.

Stereo B Cor2
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
and SOHO LC2
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

If those last two images look familiar they should. That CME was produced from the Active Region that produced todays CME; now having rotated a little nearer our direction.

Finally, for comparison, here is todays SOHO LC2 image of the CME that accompanied the LDE C6.5 flare from late night > early this morning.

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

I would expect that we will see a slight geomagnetic disturbance from this event sometime on the 19th into the 20th.

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 01/16/2012 07:33 PM
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

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zacksavage

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01/16/2012 08:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey Tom,...great to see you around posting again my friend.

Sun activity seems to be moving to a new phase within the cycle.

Don't know,...but,



Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Hugh M Eye

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01/16/2012 08:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We can see looking here at the Wing Kp Model..
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
that our magnetosphere was fairly well disturbed throughout the day.

POES, the Aurora Oval has been lit up throught the day as well.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Again we see the disturbance measured by ground based magnetometers...

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
and the GOES magnetometer..
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The ACE Satellite measured the disturbance, and we can see the data visually interpreted at NICT. A combination of a CHHSS that was coupled with some of the material ejected from the CME on the 12th combines in a visual seen here.
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

The CME was imaged by Stereo and SOHO.

Stereo B Cor2
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
and SOHO LC2
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

If those last two images look familiar they should. That CME was produced from the Active Region that produced todays CME; now having rotated a little nearer our direction.

Finally, for comparison, here is todays SOHO LC2 image of the CME that accompanied the LDE C6.5 flare from late night > early this morning.

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

I would expect that we will see a slight geomagnetic disturbance from this event sometime on the 19th into the 20th.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Thanks, Tom! Very informative info as usual.
rockon
NiNzrez  (OP)

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sunspot Region 1402:
Chance of M Flare - 62%
Chance of X Flare - 57%

keep an eye on the Xray Flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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01/16/2012 11:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sunspot Region 1402:
Chance of M Flare - 62%
Chance of X Flare - 57%

keep an eye on the Xray Flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


yup
there it is, watch that flux rise
it sure wants to give us an M or higher

C7.7 and still rising

now a M1.0

WE HAVE A M FLARE

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 01/16/2012 11:54 PM
Anonymous Coward
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01/16/2012 11:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Go baby go!!!
Hugh M Eye

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01/17/2012 12:05 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Chance of M-flare 100%....looks like 1401 again.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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01/17/2012 12:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M1.1 from region 1401
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

waiting to see if there was a produced CME with this event
looking at the SDO Magnetogram, 1402 looks like its ready to give us something as well

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 01/17/2012 12:27 AM
Hugh M Eye

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01/17/2012 01:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M1.1 from region 1401
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

waiting to see if there was a produced CME with this event
looking at the SDO Magnetogram, 1402 looks like its ready to give us something as well
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Good call, NIN. That little bump appears to be indeed from 1402.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

WTF? Can't post any custom smilies:(
Hugh M Eye

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01/17/2012 02:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Colorful close-up movie of M-flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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01/17/2012 07:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I`m always curious to see if the action slows down as it turns to face earth...it`s been the trend for a while now..Then as soon as the sunspots rotate out of our view they start blasting again. Sure wish somebody could put that piece of the puzzle together...Just seems like it is "more than luck" to me
zacksavage

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01/17/2012 09:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I`m always curious to see if the action slows down as it turns to face earth...it`s been the trend for a while now..Then as soon as the sunspots rotate out of our view they start blasting again. Sure wish somebody could put that piece of the puzzle together...Just seems like it is "more than luck" to me
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


If anybody can put it all together,...it will be you good folks here.

rockon


Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Anonymous Coward
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01/17/2012 01:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
bump
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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01/17/2012 02:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M1.1 from region 1401
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

waiting to see if there was a produced CME with this event
looking at the SDO Magnetogram, 1402 looks like its ready to give us something as well
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Any word on a CME with the latest M-flare..I can`t find anything stating that there was..

Check out the prominence on the eastern limb...

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 01/17/2012 02:28 PM
NiNzrez  (OP)

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01/17/2012 05:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M1.1 from region 1401
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

waiting to see if there was a produced CME with this event
looking at the SDO Magnetogram, 1402 looks like its ready to give us something as well
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Any word on a CME with the latest M-flare..I can`t find anything stating that there was..

Check out the prominence on the eastern limb...

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


i have been super busy all day
i have some free time now
so i will look into it now :)
NiNzrez  (OP)

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01/17/2012 05:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Everyone! GLP will be going dark for 24hrs starting tonight at midnight

[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]


any updates for solar activity can be found on the blog that TomasGod1, IWTB and myself run
you can find the link in my sig :)
NiNzrez  (OP)

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01/17/2012 06:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Everyone! GLP will be going dark for 24hrs starting tonight at midnight

[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]


any updates for solar activity can be found on the blog that TomasGod1, IWTB and myself run
you can find the link in my sig :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


i was just watching the news and a TON of websites are doing this!
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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01/17/2012 08:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Now a 50 percent chance for more M flares and 5 percent for an X....
old guard

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01/17/2012 08:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We can see looking here at the Wing Kp Model..
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
that our magnetosphere was fairly well disturbed throughout the day.

POES, the Aurora Oval has been lit up throught the day as well.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Again we see the disturbance measured by ground based magnetometers...

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
and the GOES magnetometer..
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The ACE Satellite measured the disturbance, and we can see the data visually interpreted at NICT. A combination of a CHHSS that was coupled with some of the material ejected from the CME on the 12th combines in a visual seen here.
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

The CME was imaged by Stereo and SOHO.

Stereo B Cor2
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
and SOHO LC2
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

If those last two images look familiar they should. That CME was produced from the Active Region that produced todays CME; now having rotated a little nearer our direction.

Finally, for comparison, here is todays SOHO LC2 image of the CME that accompanied the LDE C6.5 flare from late night > early this morning.

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

I would expect that we will see a slight geomagnetic disturbance from this event sometime on the 19th into the 20th.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Hi Tom...good to see you posting!
NiNzrez  (OP)

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Now a 50 percent chance for more M flares and 5 percent for an X....
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


i bet!
1401 is looking pertty nasty
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]





GLP