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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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01/27/2012 02:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thx hugh!

will go to the shop now...need some beer! much beer...hehe

this will be a great vid
:woodydrink:
Hugh M Eye

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01/27/2012 02:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I went looking back to see what triggered those October aurora in Alabama. There was no advance magnetic storm warnings and the CME was thought too far north to be geo-effective. CME was caused by a filament eruption on the northwest limb and we were told possibly a "glancing blow". The K-index rose to 6=Storm level and red auroras were seen very far south. Though largely un-anticipated, it was more geo-effective than the last two halo-CME storms which were directed straight at Earth.

Spaceweather's page from Oct. 25 (there's a movie of the CME):

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
TheOracle

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01/27/2012 02:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thx hugh!

will go to the shop now...need some beer! much beer...hehe

this will be a great vid
:woodydrink:
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Will be waiting for this! Knock em dead IWTB. Never thought you would be a movie star, did you?
Kindness is in our power, even when fondness is not. --Samuel Johnson
TheOracle

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01/27/2012 02:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
wow just walked in the door to an X
wow wow
 Quoting: NiNzrez


The optimum word in your post is "walked"! Glad you are able to do that!

Was quite a big one, NiN. Glad it's not directly facing us. Let's see what happens with the protons now!
Kindness is in our power, even when fondness is not. --Samuel Johnson
zacksavage

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01/27/2012 02:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Wake me when we see a Z flare launch,...

j/k

Great work yet AGAIN sunfolk. Hell, I passed up a chance to check out a live sun scope because it just don't get no better than thiswoohoo


Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
zacksavage

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01/27/2012 02:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
HOLY SHIT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: gogo


Quite spectacular.




Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Hugh M Eye

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01/27/2012 03:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
90 minutes later and we're still in M-level x-rays.

SDO hasn't updated since 16:30, ...very unusual.

Giant loops on the NW limb seen from Mauna Loa Observatory:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Updated H-alpha movie:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Hugh M Eye

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01/27/2012 03:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
WOW!!!

SDO close-up movies of X-flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]


alone5adance5adance5a

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 01/27/2012 03:27 PM
Hugh M Eye

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01/27/2012 03:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm seeing evidence of ANOTHER PROTON STORM!

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

:X2sdo:
:1402loops:
TheOracle

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01/27/2012 03:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm seeing evidence of ANOTHER PROTON STORM!

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

:X2sdo:
:1402loops:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Thanks for that Hugh, but I hope you don't mind if I don't add the guy in the tutu jumping up and down. Not looking forward to another proton storm, before the effects of the last one completed.

Hey Hugh, do you have bat crazy wind over there in Jersey? The wind on my side of the river is insanely wild. Goes from calm to out of control in moments! It's also 55 degrees. Crazy stuff.
Kindness is in our power, even when fondness is not. --Samuel Johnson
Anonymous Coward
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01/27/2012 03:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Big winds here in Texas too.
Hugh M Eye

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01/27/2012 03:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi, Oracle.hf I must admit I haven't been following Earth weather as close as solar weather, lol. Yes, I was outside a bit ago as the sun broke through the gray-black stratus clouds and it was getting gusty. Methinks this normal wind behind a low pressure zone. What interested me was the geese were all flying North. An early Spring, perhaps.
El Quisqueyano

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01/27/2012 03:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 01/27/12 at 2047utc/1547est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste, Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
TheOracle

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01/27/2012 04:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi, Oracle.hf I must admit I haven't been following Earth weather as close as solar weather, lol. Yes, I was outside a bit ago as the sun broke through the gray-black stratus clouds and it was getting gusty. Methinks this normal wind behind a low pressure zone. What interested me was the geese were all flying North. An early Spring, perhaps.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Maybe. Not sure if that is a good idea to have an early spring. Guess we don't have much choice.

Did you notice the recovery time going up on the absorption chart?

Back up to 16 hours and 27 minutes for recovery. It was down to nothing before the x-class.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Kindness is in our power, even when fondness is not. --Samuel Johnson
Anonymous Coward
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01/27/2012 04:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 01/27/12 at 2047utc/1547est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste, Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Love these warning they always cover 2/3rds of the globe lmao!
El Quisqueyano

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01/27/2012 04:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 01/27/12 at 2047utc/1547est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste, Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Love these warning they always cover 2/3rds of the globe lmao!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9624053


Better than no coverage on no 3rds of the Globe. IMHO

Last Edited by El Quisqueyano on 01/27/2012 04:05 PM
NiNzrez  (OP)

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01/27/2012 04:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
wow just walked in the door to an X
wow wow
 Quoting: NiNzrez


The optimum word in your post is "walked"! Glad you are able to do that!

Was quite a big one, NiN. Glad it's not directly facing us. Let's see what happens with the protons now!
 Quoting: TheOracle


yup, using a cane ^^
i need a nifty harry potter looking one hahahahaha
protons will go HIGH!
we got updates coming in and posted as fast as we get them!
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
TheOracle

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01/27/2012 04:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
wow just walked in the door to an X
wow wow
 Quoting: NiNzrez


The optimum word in your post is "walked"! Glad you are able to do that!

Was quite a big one, NiN. Glad it's not directly facing us. Let's see what happens with the protons now!
 Quoting: TheOracle


yup, using a cane ^^
i need a nifty harry potter looking one hahahahaha
protons will go HIGH!
we got updates coming in and posted as fast as we get them!
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez

Having MS, I use a cane sometimes too. When I get down, I remind myself I could be in a wheelchair instead. I sure hope you continue to heal! I'll keep an eye out for that Harry potter cane. Keep in mind that you can easily find some really cool ones, like a black one with orange and yellow flames (might remind you of the fire in a solar flare). Also if you like it feminine you can find a pink one with leapord spots...lol.

Check this out (Hugh too). Here's a little diddy for all those debunkers crying that we've had worse storms and that it's all about the class of the flare.

This is an historical animation of the proton absorption from a major event list. The highest is an X-28 flare from November 4, 2003. Probably an extention of the Holloween storm that our storm from the long duration flare this week was supposed to rival. This is nothing compared to what we experienced this past week:

[link to www.ngdc.noaa.gov]

There is more to view here. Scroll to the bottom of the page:

[link to www.ngdc.noaa.gov]

Not one of these historical animations come close to the proton storm we had this week and all of these are considered "Major Events".

Last Edited by TheOracle on 01/27/2012 04:21 PM
Kindness is in our power, even when fondness is not. --Samuel Johnson
Anonymous Coward
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01/27/2012 04:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 01/27/12 at 2047utc/1547est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste, Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Love these warning they always cover 2/3rds of the globe lmao!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9624053


The peanut gallery speaks
learner
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01/27/2012 04:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It's on border of our view so this eruption will be match stronger from X 1.7 solar flare ..

STEREO A will be fcked, Mercury is too in CME direction ..

We was very lucky for this sunspot complex 1402 - 1401 ..

It's very huge eruption ..


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: Rain-Man


mercury & Venus @ 90 deg feb 2 ish...
just sayin'
learner
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01/27/2012 04:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
wow just walked in the door to an X
wow wow
 Quoting: NiNzrez



Hi Nin

what does it mean. Is it coming our way?
 Quoting: anon2124235 9449012


yes, though sunspot 1402 that produced this flare is not directly earth facing anymore, any Flare that registers on the Xray flux is headed our way and gets here in around 8 min
 Quoting: NiNzrez


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]



Approximately every eight minutes, the two fields briefly merge or "reconnect," forming a portal through which particles can flow. The portal takes the form of a magnetic cylinder about as wide as Earth. [link to science.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: gogo


wow. interesting

""We used to think the connection was permanent and that solar wind could trickle into the near-Earth environment anytime the wind was active," says Sibeck. "We were wrong. The connections are not steady at all. They are often brief, bursty and very dynamic." "

and

"Why do the portals form every 8 minutes?"
my question: how do they know?


-possible mechanism for geofield/IMF interaction?
Anonymous Coward
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01/27/2012 04:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
related thread.

Thread: >>>BREAKING!!!! Giant Veil of "Cold Plasma" Discovered High Above Earth!!!!
DPH-BUG

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01/27/2012 04:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Proton Flux still rising
S2 level - if I said that correct

Last Edited by DPH-BUG on 01/27/2012 04:48 PM
"I may not have gone where I intended to go, but I think I ended up where I intended to be" - DA
JustOneGuy

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01/27/2012 05:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Anybody notice the deflection on Boulder's graphs in the time after 17:30 (Mag)?
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
JustOneGuy

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01/27/2012 05:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
100 Mev Protons finally inflected down on the graph.
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
Hugh M Eye

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01/27/2012 05:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SIDC/CACTus Full-Halo CME Alert for YESTERDAY's CME from the LDE C-flare event:

:Issued: 2012 Jan 27 0510 UTC
:Product: documentation at [link to www.sidc.be]
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
# HALO CME ALERTS from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium), generated by CACTUS #
#------------------------------------------------------------​--------#
A halo or partial-halo CME was detected with the following characteristics:

t0 | dt0| pa | da | v | dv | minv| maxv|
027|2012/01/26 05:24| 09 | 144| 360| 0976| 0472| 0260| 1953
[link to www.sidc.be]

Details can be found here: [link to www.sidc.oma.be]

t0: onset time, earliest indication of liftoff
dt0: duration of liftoff (hours)
pa: principal angle, counterclockwise from North (degrees)
da: angular width of the CME (degrees),
v: median velocity (km/s)
dv: variation (1 sigma) of velocity over the width of the CME
mindv: lowest velocity detected within the CME
maxdv: highest velocity detected within the CME

[link to sidc.oma.be]

CACTus movie of Type IV Halo event from yesterday:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]
Hugh M Eye

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01/27/2012 05:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Proton Flux still rising
S2 level - if I said that correct
 Quoting: DPH-BUG


NOAA Warning issued for high-enegy protons--

Space Weather Message Code: WARPC0
Serial Number: 51
Issue Time: 2012 Jan 27 1856 UTC

WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Valid From: 2012 Jan 27 1900 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Jan 28 0700 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

A number of alerts and warnings issued.
Anonymous Coward
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01/27/2012 05:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hugh M Eye

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01/27/2012 05:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Big spike on the ACE Protons graph too, of course.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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01/27/2012 06:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I notice at same time of the X-flare there was another eruption on the NE limb. I wonder if this was coincidence or is there an interconnectedness (either magnetic or shockwave induced). It would be an amazing event if it were felt on the opposite side of the disk.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]





GLP