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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez  (OP)

User ID: 6459914
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02/06/2012 03:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
FYI All,

After having went through the ENTIRETY of the NOAA X-ray plots
from mid-96 to date there were:

1996 July to December 3 M-Class, 1 X-Class Flares

1997 27 M-Class, 3 X-Class Flares

1998 90 M-Class, 15 X-Class Flares

1999 149 M-Class, 4 X-Class Flares

2000 156 M-Class, 11 X-Class Flares

2001 274 M-Class, 19 X-Class Flares

2002 190 M-Class, 9 X-Class Flares

2003 192 M-Class, 21 X-Class Flares

2004 111 M-Class, 10 X-Class Flares

2005 87 M-Class, 16 X-Class Flares

2006 11 M-Class, 2 X-Class

2007 12M-Class, 0 X-Class

2008 2 M-Class, 0 X-Class

2009 No Events >= M1

2010 18 M-Class 0 X-Class

2011 85 M-Class 8 X-Class

2012 5 M-Class 1 X-Class


Period----1387 M-Class 120 X-Class Since Mid 1996
 Quoting: JustOneGuy


excelent job!
would you mind if i used this and added this info to the ongoing flare list we have here on glp as well as on the blog?
NiNzrez  (OP)

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02/06/2012 03:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I wasn't going to be the first to mention that it hasn't seemed to have diminished during the back-side transit, glad someone else commented on it first. Incidentally did you note the synopsis relative to solar flares posted above?
 Quoting: JustOneGuy


to be honest i have no gone through posts for a few pages now
just made a quick glance
im going to try setting aside some time today to do just that
JustOneGuy

User ID: 917684
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02/06/2012 03:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Not at all,

Whats more intriguing though (and problematic as well) is the file I generated on this, from which the synopsis was extracted. If you refer back to a previous post of mine a few days ago I asked at that point if there were anyplace at GLP (or elsewhere) where LARGE reference data sets can be posted for all to see/use? The abstacted events from the GOES X-Data from mid-96 to Date (limited to M, X-class alone) constitute a file over 3400 lines long...simply not appropriate for a post here...any suggestions for someone barely able to navigate through the vagaries of GLP, blogs and web sites - unlike you lifer's here? Oops...The file mentioned explicitly notes all LDE's of +9 hr duration and for various reasons I believe that THIS is the important aspect here...the reason in fact for me to root through all those plots in the first place.
..hhHHELP!!

Last Edited by JustOneGuy on 02/06/2012 04:12 PM
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
JustOneGuy

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02/06/2012 03:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Vielen Danke Frau/lein Nin.......
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
Hugh M Eye

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02/06/2012 04:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hello, NIN! Hope your 100% soon. hf

SDO movie of M-flare:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

Also SDO movie of yesterday's filament eruption....nice.

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
JustOneGuy

User ID: 917684
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02/06/2012 04:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Gotta go for a bit Y'all. Be back later.
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
Hugh M Eye

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02/06/2012 04:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
:M1410:

SDO composite image:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

:
Anonymous Coward
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02/06/2012 08:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
rising
old guard

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02/06/2012 08:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
FYI All,

After having went through the ENTIRETY of the NOAA X-ray plots
from mid-96 to date there were:

1996 July to December 3 M-Class, 1 X-Class Flares

1997 27 M-Class, 3 X-Class Flares

1998 90 M-Class, 15 X-Class Flares

1999 149 M-Class, 4 X-Class Flares

2000 156 M-Class, 11 X-Class Flares

2001 274 M-Class, 19 X-Class Flares

2002 190 M-Class, 9 X-Class Flares

2003 192 M-Class, 21 X-Class Flares

2004 111 M-Class, 10 X-Class Flares

2005 87 M-Class, 16 X-Class Flares

2006 11 M-Class, 2 X-Class

2007 12M-Class, 0 X-Class

2008 2 M-Class, 0 X-Class

2009 No Events >= M1

2010 18 M-Class 0 X-Class

2011 85 M-Class 8 X-Class

2012 5 M-Class 1 X-Class


Period----1387 M-Class 120 X-Class Since Mid 1996
 Quoting: JustOneGuy


Thanks for the post. I was looking for this info!
JustOneGuy

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02/06/2012 09:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Happy To Oblige, OG.
Waiting For NIN To Get Back To Me About Finding A Home For The Verbose Listing I Generated From The GOES X-Ray Records...Much More Is Included Therein, Including The Dates For All The Listed Events, All LDE's (>=9 hrs) And A Scale - Of Sorts - Which "Tries" To Give A Reader A Feel For The Lapses Between Events, The Intervals As It Were. Looking Forward To Getting It Posted Soon.

Oh Farb-Nut! Oops, Fell Into Capping Each Word...Bad Habit Left Over From Military Life...Much Sorry, Not To Be Repeated Hereafter. Already Finished With Posting Before I Noticed.
...The Tree Of Liberty Must From Time To Time Be Refreshed With The Blood Of Patriots And Tyrants......
dettro99

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02/06/2012 11:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
its going up

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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02/07/2012 06:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Morning folks...are we going to have a day or two without a sunspot??? Kind of looking that way...Been a long time since we haven`t had one to watch...
FyreStorm

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02/07/2012 08:04 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

nice little spike there
-------
check out [link to www.intldyn.com] to get an idea of what I do.
imjustsayin

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02/07/2012 08:18 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The sun looks like a big white full moon this morning in sw Florida. Very odd.
Love & Light...
shenue

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02/07/2012 09:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
FyreStorm

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02/07/2012 09:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning
 Quoting: shenue



Mornin Shenue
-------
check out [link to www.intldyn.com] to get an idea of what I do.
Nacht im Walde

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02/07/2012 09:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
unbelievable in 2-3 hours the sun will be completely void of sunspots!! Does anybody know if this has happened in last SC before (during) max?

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Last Edited by Nacht im Walde on 02/07/2012 09:53 AM
We don't see things as they are, we see things as we are. - Anais Nin
Anonymous Coward
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02/07/2012 10:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Morning all,

SIDC - RWC BELGIUM Tue Feb 7 2012, 1333 UT

NOAA AR 1410 increased yesterday in size, sunspot number and magnetic complexity (beta gamma now) and produced an M1.0 flare at 20:00 UT on February 6, together with several C-class flares. More C-class flares can be expected (and possible M-class ones) as this AR rotates over the west limb. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled, due to a slight increase in solar wind speed to 450km/s with somewhat extended periods of Bz around -5nT. On February 9, the arrival of a fast speed stream from a small coronal hole is expected at the Earth, with possible active geomagnetic conditions.
[link to sidc.oma.be]



Nice image from Lasco C3

Mercury at superior conjunction

:febr6mercury2012:
Enlarge:
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Notice the diagonal beam of light from Mercury? That's a reflection off the occulter arm(enlarge!)



and maybe have a look:
Thread: Tesla's Back? Huge electrical flash caught on camera
drevil
FyreStorm

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02/07/2012 11:32 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

2 k-6 bars... with 0 sunspots earth facing?
-------
check out [link to www.intldyn.com] to get an idea of what I do.
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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02/07/2012 12:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.solarham.com]

Got another spike climbing...C7

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 02/07/2012 12:40 PM
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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02/07/2012 12:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
unbelievable in 2-3 hours the sun will be completely void of sunspots!! Does anybody know if this has happened in last SC before (during) max?

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Nacht im Walde


Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
Since 2004: 821 days
Typical Solar Min: 486 days
Updated 06 Feb 2012

[link to spaceweather.com]

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 02/07/2012 12:43 PM
Anonymous Coward
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02/07/2012 02:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
:sunartfeb2012:

New Solar Art Exhibit Opening

The new Sun as Art exhibit offers artistic interpretations of the Sun (with captions) based on solar images from NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO). This 20-piece show opens on Feb. 9. 2012 at the Maryland Science Center for three months to start its nationwide tour. The solar images were made possible by advances in imaging technology and sophisticated spacecraft engineering. Each of the framed and matted pieces is an impressive 36” x 30”...
[link to plus.google.com]
MamaHasAwakened

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02/07/2012 03:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
:sunartfeb2012:

New Solar Art Exhibit Opening

The new Sun as Art exhibit offers artistic interpretations of the Sun (with captions) based on solar images from NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO). This 20-piece show opens on Feb. 9. 2012 at the Maryland Science Center for three months to start its nationwide tour. The solar images were made possible by advances in imaging technology and sophisticated spacecraft engineering. Each of the framed and matted pieces is an impressive 36” x 30”...
[link to plus.google.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Beautiful...hope it comes to my town!
Glad you are feeling better IWTB!
Anonymous Coward
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02/07/2012 03:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
big thx mamahf!


Region 1410 approaches the north-west limb and is still producing C class solar flares, the latest was a C6 peaking at 1734 UTC

:c6flarereg1410sa:
Image shows you the latest C6 Flare Region 1410



2012/02/07 01:15:00 01:30:00 01:23:00 C3.5 N19W62 ( 1410 )
2012/02/07 02:32:00 02:42:00 02:37:00 B4.0 N16W73 ( 1410 )
2012/02/07 04:17:00 04:24:00 04:24:00 C1.7 N19W63 ( 1410 )
2012/02/07 10:34:00 10:42:00 10:39:00 B8.0 N17W72 ( 1410 )
2012/02/07 10:56:00 11:11:00 11:03:00 C5.1 N20W66 ( 1410 )
2012/02/07 12:33:00 12:52:00 12:38:00 B5.2 N18W68 ( 1410 )
2012/02/07 16:11:00 17:42:00 17:31:00 C6.8 N20W70 ( 1410 )

[link to www.lmsal.com]


-------------------------------------------------


:planetpinballfeb:
Artist's conception of a binary star sunset as seen from the exoplanet Kepler-16b. For some planets, such views may be only temporary. Credit: NASA/Ames Research Center/Kepler Mission


Many of us remember playing pinball at the local arcade while growing up; it turns out that some stars like it as well. Binary stars can play tug-of-war with an unfortunate planet, flinging it into a wide orbit that allows it to be captured by first one star and then the other, in effect “bouncing” it between them before it is eventually flung out into deep space.

The new paper, by Nick Moeckel and Dimitri Veras of the University of Cambridge, will be published in a future issue of Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society...


More:
[link to www.universetoday.com]
Anonymous Coward
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02/07/2012 03:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Some rly cool computer visualization of the complex magnetic field that creates Earth's magnetosphere

drevil


Our Planet, Tangled in Magnetic Spaghetti


:sphagettimagnetf:
Enlarge:
[link to www.ornl.gov]

OK, so it's not real spaghetti -- it's a computer visualization of the complex magnetic field that creates Earth's magnetosphere -- but it sure looks tangled.

Using the awesome power of a Cray XT5 Jaguar supercomputer, a team of space physicists are unlocking some of the biggest mysteries surrounding how the sun's magnetic field interacts with our planet's magnetosphere. They basically want to understand what happens when global magnetic fields become tangled to the extreme.


ReadMore:
[link to news.discovery.com]


Here is a more complex Article:
[link to www.ornl.gov]
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 10346544
United States
02/07/2012 04:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Some rly cool computer visualization of the complex magnetic field that creates Earth's magnetosphere

drevil


Our Planet, Tangled in Magnetic Spaghetti


:sphagettimagnetf:
Enlarge:
[link to www.ornl.gov]

OK, so it's not real spaghetti -- it's a computer visualization of the complex magnetic field that creates Earth's magnetosphere -- but it sure looks tangled.

Using the awesome power of a Cray XT5 Jaguar supercomputer, a team of space physicists are unlocking some of the biggest mysteries surrounding how the sun's magnetic field interacts with our planet's magnetosphere. They basically want to understand what happens when global magnetic fields become tangled to the extreme.


ReadMore:
[link to news.discovery.com]


Here is a more complex Article:
[link to www.ornl.gov]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Wow. Nice.....magnetic dreadlocks, lol. I hope they get a realtime simulation like this to monitor the geomagnetic storms.
5a
Hugh M Eye

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02/07/2012 05:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Some geomagnetic disturbance right now K=4 Unsettled.

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 1860
Issue Time: 2012 Feb 07 2033 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2012 Feb 07 2040 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Feb 08 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees
Geomagnetic Latitude. Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora
may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
Hugh M Eye

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02/07/2012 05:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Tromso, Norway K index at 6=storm.

[link to flux.phys.uit.no]

GOES Electron flux disturbed.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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02/07/2012 05:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Just noticed a long, slow rise in the X-Ray flux. C7.2 maybe an LDE flare/eruption.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


hiding
Anonymous Coward
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Germany
02/07/2012 05:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Oh yeah nice Hugh!





Magnetometer FaroeIslands:
[link to www.fra.fo]



Auroral forecast

The Display: Shows the intensity and location of the aurora as expected for the time shown at the bottom of the map. This forecast is based on current solar wind conditions and the average time for the solar wind to propagate from the ACE satellite at L1 to Earth...:
[link to helios.swpc.noaa.gov]


Aurora Borealis Forecast for Tuesday, February 07, 2012


Latest Forecast = in 39 minutes, the Aurora will be Active.
[link to www.softservenews.com]

AuroraAlerts via twitter:

“Aurora_Alerts” -- to do this, navigate to [link to twitter.com]





GLP