SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

Star photos, and other cool time lapse vids...just wow

Check it out:
[link to www.astrosurf.com]

Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 02/12/12 at 1715utc/1215est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.

Wonderful!!! It's on my favs. now, thanks!!!

thanks- WOW !

It must be a bad one cause all our tv channels are totally screwed up today.

I was just looking at Enlil and then saw you had posted this yesterday. It looks like we are going to take a hit. Is there anyway of knowing in advance how big of a hit it might be?

Netflix keeps going in and out for us, both through the Wii and the Roku. Came here to see what you guys know : )

Hi, Shenue.
We can make guesses but no,not really. Sometimes when we expect a good hit we see little or no effect and when we expect a minor disturbance we get slammed. There are so many variables it's impossible to predict with any certainty; which is why NIN and her helpers keep close tabs on CMEs when they're incoming. It keeps life interesting, LOL.

Until the launches of ACE and STEREO, we hardly had a clue what was going on up there. Now we have a tenuous early warning system, but predictions as to effects are at best educated guesses. Science has learned a great deal more about the nature of solar-geomagnetic interactions in the past 15 years, but there are still many hidden mysteries yet to be unravelled.

NOAA has updated their solar region summary, adding regions 1418, 1419, & 1420. AR1419 has been the most active and is the reincarnation of the X-flare producing region 1402 from last month.

:Product: Solar Region Summary
:Issued: 2012 Feb 13 0030 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 44 Issued at 0030Z on 13 Feb 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 12 Feb
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 12/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1416 S19W15 287 0380 Eki 11 16 Beta
1417 N18E32 240 0030 Cso 04 05 Beta
1418 S24E13 259 0010 Bxo 03 04 Beta
1419 N28E69 203 0080 Cso 04 04 Beta
1420 N13E69 203 0050 Hsx 04 01 Alpha
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 12/2400Z Feb
Nmbr Location Lo
None
II. Regions Due to Return 13 Feb to 15 Feb
Nmbr Lat Lo
1408 N08 153
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Soteria flare predictor map:

[link to sidc.oma.be]

SDO HMI Intensitygram image:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 02/13/12 at 1115utc/0615est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.

I went to Tellus Science Museum yesterday. They have a planetarium where they show movies on a big screen. The movie we watched was called Solar Storms. It was about the twin stereo satellites that monitor the storms coming from the sun. Unfortunately it didn't give any more information than you guys here give. It was interesting though and had some pretty cool animations showing how the storms come off the sun and impact earth. This thread gives way more information than the movie did. Keep up the good work everyone.

Good morning everyone

I see we have 5 spots rotating into view today

[link to www.lmsal.com]

gonna be a fun week for sure

The long sunspot cycle 23 predicts a significant temperature decrease in cycle 24

by Jan-Erik Solheim, Kjell Stordahl, Ole Humlum

Cornell University


Relations between the length of a sunspot cycle and the average temperature in the same and the next cycle are calculated for a number of meteorological stations in Norway and in the North Atlantic region. No significant trend is found between the length of a cycle and the average temperature in the same cycle, but a significant negative trend is found between the length of a cycle and the temperature in the next cycle. This provides a tool to predict an average temperature decrease of at least 1.0 "C from solar cycle 23 to 24 for the stations and areas analyzed...
[link to xxx.lanl.gov]

Thank you Hugh

Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 02/13/12 at 1727utc/1227est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.

Thats nice

The home of the largest X-flare in years, known as AR1402, has completed its transit around the far side of the Sun and is now Earth-facing again...
[link to www.space.com]

Hi, IWTB. Yes, it's not often for a sunspot to survive a 360 degree rotation. Although quiet now, a few days ago this region produced two strong C7+ flares before it even appeared on the Earthside disk. It's still possible the giant may re-awaken. Also, I've been surprised at the lack of activity from AR1416. It's extremely large but has been very quiet and stable so far.

Oh yep,

maybe the calm before the storm


Sunspot 1402, Then and Now. This image shows Sunspot 1402 (since renumbered 1419) after the farside transit of the Sun
[link to www.facebook.com]

Plasma Bullets trigger Northern Lights.

[link to science.nasa.gov]



[link to svs.gsfc.nasa.gov]

wow nice one!


Here's another great timelapse movie


Time-Lapse Starscape Videos Show Heavens in Motion


Halverson, who recently won a time-lapse video competition with one of his Milky Way clips, photographed this sequence during the summer and fall of 2011 in South Dakota, Utah and Colorado.

"What you see is real, but you can't see it this way with the naked eye. It is the result of 20-30 second exposures, edited together over many hours to produce the time-lapse," Halverson wrote...


Enjoy:
[link to www.wired.com]

2012-02-13 21:07:09.9 41.38 N 122.94 W 60 mb 5.2 A NORTHERN CALIFORNIA MIX
2012-02-13 21:07:07.7 42.23 N 125.04 E 32 mb 5.3 A OFFSHORE OREGON MSO
2012-02-13 21:07:05.7 41.20 N 123.20 W 23 Mw 6.1 A NORTHERN CALIFORNIA BGSG
2012-02-13 21:07:03.5 41.24 N 123.52 W 15 mb 5.3 A NORTHERN CALIFORNIA SC3
2012-02-13 21:07:01.1 41.08 N 123.71 W 10 M 5.4 A NORTHERN CALIFORNIA GFZ
2012-02-13 21:06:58.4 41.01 N 126.32 W 15 mb 5.4 A OFF COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA ZAMG
2012-02-13 21:06:40.8 37.36 N 127.00 W 10 mb 5.5 A OFF COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA BEO

Gamma RAY Burst Real-time Sky Map - [link to grb.sonoma.edu]
Feb 11th Lepus - [link to www.constellationsofwords.com]
Feb 12th Eridanus - [link to www.constellationsofwords.com]
Feb 13th Draco - [link to www.constellationsofwords.com]

I can't load the page

Heart-shaped umbra for Valentine's Day from sunspot 1416.
:1416 Heart:

No sign of CME so far....may be a little late or not very geo-effective.

ACE protons are rising slowly however.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Solar Wind data from ACE:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES electrons look a little disturbed:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NICT Magnetosphere simulation:

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

wow!!! heart shaped! and had a heart shaped cme the other day!
still looking for a big pic of it :)
i have a feeling about this valentine's day....

:blazarbuffalo:

From Thunderbolts: The Sun's Density Gradient--

"Somewhere on the short list of inexplicable properties of the Sun, there is the question of what causes the distinctive density gradient. Only taking gravity and hydrostatic pressure into account, the density of a gas in space should fall off with the square of the distance from the center of gravity, producing a (more or less) straight line on a log graph. From the center of the Sun out to the edge of the photosphere, this is precisely what happens. But the fall-off should continue on that straight line to infinity, which is not what happens. At the surface, the density drops off sharply, as if the plasma is inside a sealed container.

Clearly, powerful forces are at work, to maintain the higher-than-expected density out to the edge, and then for the density to drop off suddenly to almost nothing. Obviously, the gravitational model cannot explain this, and calling the Sun a nuclear furnace doesn't help, because no heat source (nuclear or otherwise) creates containment in free space.

There is really only one possibility here, that this is (somehow) a manifestation of EM forces. But what kind of forces could contain plasma in free space? Put in the simplest of terms, the Sun is obviously a bunch of plasma that is attracted to itself -- far more so than gravity can explain...

[link to www.thunderbolts.info]

Hello, Pink Cat, I hope your day goes well. That photo of the sunspot is near real-time and I thought it was quite a fortuitous coincidence. The heart seems to be broken like mine....sigh. Love your giant anatomically-correct fake buffalo. Very sentimental....accent on the mental, LOL.

Here's your heart-shaped CME from the 10th (SOHO C2 images):

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

There is also the Pi Symbol in the Magnetogram of 1419: [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]