SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

wowowowowowow awesome

do you have an original link for that image?

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Here you have the latest Helioviewer images i uploaded it:

AIA 4500
[link to i1220.photobucket.com]

AIA 1700
[link to i1220.photobucket.com]


AIA 1600
[link to i1220.photobucket.com]


and from Kevin(Solarham)
[link to www.solarham.com]

awesome thank you

would you happen to know what time this sun spot started to shape this way??

eastern time about what time?

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Some Sunspot Update:


:sunspotstodayfeb:

Region 1417 decayed and disappeared yesterday

No new regions were numbered

There is a new active region expected to rotate into view in about 2 days

Stereo Behind Euvi 195 shows us the new incoming Region
:stereobehindnewR:


---------------------------------------





Prominences/Filaments

:FulldiscFeb14201:
The 2 large prominences at the NE limb are still there and the area of 1417,19 and 20 is very active. Several smaller prominences are also seen at the Western limb and some nice filaments now also extend in the southern hemisphere

:filamentsfeb1420:

Have we not been hit by the CME that was due yesterday/today yet? The magnetosphere simulation isn't showing anything.

It must be poking along if it hasn't hit yet. Are there any special effects of incredibly slow CMEs? The worry has been the fast ones so far.

I was wondering the same thing. The Enlil simulated prediction says we should be in the middle of it right about now. But it doesn't appear that we are.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

starting right now..BZ going red

Ahh yes. Last time I looked it was all blue. At this moment there is some yellow also.

Thanks LOOK'n

nice article from sdo...

Getting Cozy with Our Closest Star


Not only does NASA have its eye on the entire sun all the time through its SDO, STEREO, and Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) missions, and ofc (Solar Watch GLP! MY Solar Alerts :P) it has a fleet of missionsdedicated to understanding how the variable sun affects us in the near-space environment of Earth, as well as its effects on other planets and the edge of the solar system.

These new and better observations are helping us unravel some of the sun’s most baffling puzzles.

One of them is why the outermost layer of the solaratmosphere, the corona, is heated to much higher temperatures (millions of degrees) than the underlying layers, even though it is further from the core, the source of all solar energy. This counterintuitive fact has bothered scientists for decades. Energy is deposited in the corona by some not-yet- established mechanism referred to as coronal heating. Recent progress toward understanding this enigma offers new and exciting possibilities.

Many theories have been suggested through the years, but a couple of provocative recent studies have grabbed the spotlight. A group of scientists from Lockheed Martin, NCAR (National Center for Atmospheric Research), and the University of Oslo suggest that the chromosphere (the cooler, middle layer of the atmosphere) provides the corona with a mass supply via small, ubiquitous cool jets of material called spicules that are constantly shot up into the corona. Although spicules have been observed for decades, this newly identified spicule, referred to as “type II,” is shorter-lived (by about 100 seconds) and more dynamic (by about 50 to 100 km/s econd) than its classical counterpart. The discovery was enabled by observations from SDO and Hinode, a Japanese-led international mission to study solar magnetic fields. This recent work emphasizes the importance of the chromosphere, a region that has typically been neglected in understanding the heating of the solar atmosphere....

ReadMore:
[link to www.nasa.gov]

thats all were going to see of the Feb 10th CME
the CME arrival was expected early this morning
i suspected it was directed way north and thats why i did not report much on it
looks like thats exactly what it did

You all do some great reporting in this thread...and it should be recognized like that.
Your added bit made me smile...

Thanks for what you all do!

You're good NIN :-) You predicted it more accurately than NOAA WSA-Enlil



Last Edited by shenue on 02/14/2012 02:41 PM

Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 02/14/12 at 1809utc/1309est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.

Here's a link to pic of the heart-shaped sunspot umbra. Unfortunately, the high-resolution B&W pics are only available in real-time.


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

thanks for the link. I converted that image to greyscale then colorized it

HEART OF THE SUNRISE!



[link to www.youtube.com]

It seems a little something is hitting us after all.
NOAA ALERT ISSUED.

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 1557
Issue Time: 2012 Feb 15 0001 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2012 Feb 14 2358 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees
Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and
Alaska.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE Protons:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Electron flux takes a sharp U-Turn:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NICT simulation:

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

i think most of us could
it's just pattern recognition

well, we have a bigger one on the west coast

6.0 2012/02/15 03:31:21 43.536 -127.381 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
[link to www.emsc-csem.org]

i have been watching the quakes for the last few days
well, more than normal haha
cause i have had a lot of ear ringing the last few days
i had a real bad one that made me dizzy about 10 min before this OR quake

still no aftershocks

did you just predict the Oregon 6.0 quake?

It's getting mighty strange out there. The HAARP Fluxgate magnetometer looks mighty disturbed at the moment.

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

And the HAARP Induction Magnetometer is reminiscent of the infamous Great Honshu Earthquake readings.....hmmm.

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

GOES Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Electrons (very funky-looking):

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Planetary K-index has dropped from 4 to 2:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA WARNING ISSUED

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 1862
Issue Time: 2012 Feb 15 0409 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2012 Feb 15 0410 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Feb 15 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees
Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and
Alaska.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Thanks for posting these Hugh....What the hey? That is very creepy that it is similar to the time of the Japan quake. I came here because I knew one of you would have noticed the HAARP charts looking so weird and of course it was already posted. Didn't expect to see the strange blip in the electron flux though.

Also a big thanks to all of you on this thread - NiN, IWTB, Tomas, Hugh and anyone I may have missed, for keeping an eye out for the rest of us!

Auroral and Sub-auroral zones are Stormy.

[link to www.spaceweather.ca]

NOAA Auroral zones look very active:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


For reasons not fully understood by forecasters, a disturbance rippled through Earth's magnetic field on Feb. 14th. Perhaps it was Cupid's arrow. The impact sparked some sweet lights around the Arctic Circle:

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Awesome Aurora Borealis pics from Sweden.

[link to spaceweather.com]

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 02/15/2012 12:38 AM

Whats not understood, its been coming for days on HAm radio monitoring sites. Geezes,

New NOAA Warning-Kp=5 Storm level

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 743
Issue Time: 2012 Feb 15 0503 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2012 Feb 15 0500 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Feb 15 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Tromso K index at 6=Storm

[link to flux.phys.uit.no]

I think the ACE data is corrupt or at least suspect--check out the density plot.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

If the ACE data is bad that would explain why the models look out-of-whack.

[link to pixie.spasci.com]

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

NINzez, be alert for aurora in Michigan this morning!

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 744
Issue Time: 2012 Feb 15 0854 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 743
Valid From: 2012 Feb 15 0500 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2012 Feb 15 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Comment: Bz remains at -9nT.
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees
Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier
of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Morning fellow suntards...west coast is sure getting interesting..