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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez  (OP)

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02/24/2012 12:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SOHO COR 2 now showing a second-wave CME in approximately the same spot as the first-wave:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

This filament eruption covered a huge piece of solar real estate! We're fortunate these CMEs aren't directed at Earth; as they look extremely large and energetic. The most recent SDO composite images show huge, gaping scar-like tracks left by the filament's eruption.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SOHO Cor 3 image of first-wave:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


whoa
not a 2nd wave
a destabilization
the southern base of this filament has destabelized the solar surface and caused a solar tsunami and a CME
 Quoting: NiNzrez

Hi, NIN! hf This eruption appears to have ripped open a coronal hole about 25 degrees north latitude. I've never witnessed anything like this before.

Before:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

After:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

And in the 3-wave composite. Before:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

After:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

What do you make of that!?
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

we have seen solar tsunamis before and they look like this as they are ongoing
we have to wait for a few more hours of data images to come in before we can see the end result
i might have to sleep soon
so will more than likley update on this in the morning
Starwind

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02/24/2012 01:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

That big filament on the front side isn't looking better at all.

Also won't that new coronal hole that just formed buffet us with a solar wind stream? If so aren't those alot slower than CMEs?
Hugh M Eye

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02/24/2012 01:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

That big filament on the front side isn't looking better at all.

Also won't that new coronal hole that just formed buffet us with a solar wind stream? If so aren't those alot slower than CMEs?
 Quoting: Starwind


Filaments can remain stable for weeks and large ones like that one in the southern hemisphere would probably come off in several chunks. It would be mind-boggling if it erupted all at once. We'll have to keep an eye on it, though.

More on Filaments:

[link to solar.physics.montana.edu]

Sorry I didn't get to answer your question on Hyder flares. Hyder flares or two-ribbon channel flares can sometimes be caused by filament channel eruptions. They'll usually produce a spike in the X-ray flux and are visible in the H-alpha images. There's no way of predicting when they will occur.

More on Hyder flares:

[link to www.ips.gov.au]

The new coronal hole may be a temporary result of the tsunami eruption. As NIN said, we'll have to wait for the dust to clear to analyze the results of all this. If it remains open we'll see a high-speed solar wind stream in about 3 or 4 days.

Goodnight all.

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 02/24/2012 01:37 AM
Hugh M Eye

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02/24/2012 03:20 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Couldn't sleep until STEREO A updated. Looks like we might get hit pretty hard.

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Movie:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Now to sleep.....
Hugh M Eye

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02/24/2012 09:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SIDC Daily Bulletin--


The CME was first seen in LASCO C2 at 3:42 UT. It is a full halo CME (including the shock) and is expected to be geoeffective. The CME is nicely visible in COR2-B data as well where we derived a speed of around 500 km/s. SDO/AIA images show that this CME is the result from a large filament located in the north-eastern hemisphere, that erupted late on the 23rd. Dimmings and nice
post-eruptive loops are visible. We expect geomagnetic active to minor
storm conditions on Monday 27/2 when the arrival of the CME is expected.

[link to sidc.oma.be]
Anonymous Coward
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02/24/2012 09:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
mistersplinter

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02/24/2012 10:43 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
colorbump

thumbs
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
El Quisqueyano

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02/24/2012 12:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 02/24/12 at 1740utc/1240est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.

siren2
El Quisqueyano

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02/24/2012 12:45 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 02/24/12 at 1740utc/1240est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.

siren2
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Will most likely be very close to a 7 magnitude quake.
Hugh M Eye

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02/24/2012 01:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
CACTus halo CME details:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

SEEDS STEREO Behind movie:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

The chasm resulting from the filament eruption is HUGE!

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

The glowing walls of the canyon are formed in a process closely related to that of arcade loops, which appear after many solar flares. Stretching more than 400,000 km from end to end, the structure traces the original channel where the filament was suspended by magnetic forces above the stellar surface.

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
shadasonic

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02/24/2012 01:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
CACTus halo CME details:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

SEEDS STEREO Behind movie:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

The chasm resulting from the filament eruption is HUGE!

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

The glowing walls of the canyon are formed in a process closely related to that of arcade loops, which appear after many solar flares. Stretching more than 400,000 km from end to end, the structure traces the original channel where the filament was suspended by magnetic forces above the stellar surface.

[link to www.spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Excellent post HUGH
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
NiNzrez  (OP)

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02/24/2012 01:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
well, this is nifty
SDO stopped updating today around 06:00 UTC
right now it is 18:59 UTC

so we are unable to see the end result of this latest filament eruption and the condition of the solar surface after this event
:/
NiNzrez  (OP)

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02/24/2012 02:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 02/24/12 at 1740utc/1240est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.

siren2
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Will most likely be very close to a 7 magnitude quake.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


i have been watching the quakes very close this past week
a lot of very alarming activity
thanks ElQ
El Quisqueyano

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02/24/2012 02:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Significant earthquake precursor signal detected on 02/24/12 at 1740utc/1240est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


All who live anywhere in the vicinity of this line trajectory should be wary next 5 hours. Have escape plan ready and seek open terrain in the event of felt tremor. Secure most of your heavy objects and belongings around your home.


Namaste,

Hopefully I am wrong. Or it hits an unpopulated area.
Japan is also a likely target. Be wary.

siren2
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Will most likely be very close to a 7 magnitude quake.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


i have been watching the quakes very close this past week
a lot of very alarming activity
thanks ElQ
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Your welcome Nin. I hope your recovery was swift.

Namaste.
Spittin'Cesium

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02/24/2012 03:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Danger-Danger- High Voltage!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

: ?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
El Quisqueyano

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02/24/2012 04:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Danger-Danger- High Voltage!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

: ?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Ouch.
DPH-BUG

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02/24/2012 04:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Looks like a glancing blow???

[link to www.solarham.com]
"I may not have gone where I intended to go, but I think I ended up where I intended to be" - DA
Spittin'Cesium

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02/24/2012 04:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Danger-Danger- High Voltage!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

: ?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Ouch.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Crazy eh!?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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02/24/2012 04:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Danger-Danger- High Voltage!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

: ?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Ouch.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


Crazy eh!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Super Filament meet Coronal Hole..Coronal Hole this is Super Filament aaa
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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02/24/2012 04:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The CME's Quadruple Punch in these Gifs. are rather intense:
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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02/24/2012 04:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Nice shot from Theo Ramakers (The DutchObservatory)
on Jan23

:prominencestheor:
El Quisqueyano

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02/24/2012 04:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Nice shot from Theo Ramakers (The DutchObservatory)
on Jan23

:prominencestheor:
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Those sunspots remind me of the sun spots that caused the Carrington Event of 1859. Is there a way to access this in higher resolution? Look here to compare an artist rendition of Carrington Event sun spots;

[link to upload.wikimedia.org]

What sun spot number are those?
Hugh M Eye

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02/24/2012 05:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Here we go again .....maybe. Another CME spotted on STEREO; this one from the southern hemisphere.

Behind:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Ahead:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

explosionhiding
Anonymous Coward
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02/24/2012 05:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Here we go again .....maybe. Another CME spotted on STEREO; this one from the southern hemisphere.

Behind:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Ahead:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

explosionhiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


hiding
NiNzrez  (OP)

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02/24/2012 05:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Here we go again .....maybe. Another CME spotted on STEREO; this one from the southern hemisphere.

Behind:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Ahead:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

explosionhiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


been watching that one as well
im thinking it might be that southern filament
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
it might have became unstable from the earlier filament and solar tsunami
i do wish SDO would update
they are saying its from "data prosessing lag" on the most recent SDO image that is on the STEREO site
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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02/24/2012 05:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Here we go again .....maybe. Another CME spotted on STEREO; this one from the southern hemisphere.

Behind:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Ahead:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

explosionhiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


been watching that one as well
im thinking it might be that southern filament
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
it might have became unstable from the earlier filament and solar tsunami
i do wish SDO would update
they are saying its from "data prosessing lag" on the most recent SDO image that is on the STEREO site
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


This tsunami can have any concequence to us?
Hugh M Eye

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02/24/2012 05:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Here we go again .....maybe. Another CME spotted on STEREO; this one from the southern hemisphere.

Behind:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Ahead:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

explosionhiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

CME appears to originate from the far southeast limb prominence. However, the large filament near disk-center doesn't look very stable to me. The smaller one to the north also looks unstable.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

The SDO AIA imager picked a bad time for an image blackout (15+ hours!). I notice the HMI instruments are updating, so there's no communication or spacecraft attitude trouble IMO. Very unusual....

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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02/24/2012 05:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NOAA's Latest Forecast, for what it's worth, LOL.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 055 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Feb 2012

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. An asymmetrical, halo CME
was observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery beginning at 24/0346Z. The
associated event was a filament eruption centered near N32E38 which
was observed in SDO/AIA 304 imagery beginning at 24/0225Z. New
Region 1424 (N09E68) rotated on the East limb and was numbered.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for C-class activity for the next three days (25 -
27 February).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. Solar wind speeds at the ACE
spacecraft ranged from approximately 400 - 460 km/s while the Bz
component of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field did not vary much
beyond +/- 5 nT.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on days 1 and 2 (25 - 26 February). A
glancing blow from todays CME is expected to become geoeffective
early on day 3 (27 February) causing unsettled to active periods
with isolated minor storm periods possible.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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02/24/2012 05:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
there could be an X coming soon
Hugh M Eye

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02/24/2012 05:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Some new SDO images coming in now. The "tsunami-hole" seems to be filling in again. I hope all the missing imagery can be filled in later.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]





GLP