SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

Can't wait to see how it all plays out.

Can't wait to see how it all plays out.

I am sure it is not going to have any effect on earth.BTW once it becomes earth side it will lose its power to produce solar flares 100% confident

I never see a so long event... we continue in a c territory.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

climbing again!
[link to www.solarham.com]

The electron flux has been following this basic pattern for over twelve years now

Okay we have a new LDE Flare


:samgiflongdurati:

A long duration M2.0 Solar Flare peaked this morning at 10:45 UTC

and its still in pogress

:xraymarch4:
check X-ray:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

We noticed also a radioburst (Tenflare)
It reached 750 pfu


What is a Tenflare:
A tenflare is associated with optical and x-ray flares. Solar flares emit radiation over a very wide range of frequencies. One of the more significant frequencies observed is the 10.7 cm wavelength band (2695 MHz). When a solar flare erupts, "noise" from the flare is received over this very wide range of frequencies.

When the noise received on the 10.7 cm wavelength band surpasses 100% of the background noise level during a solar flare, a Tenflare is said to be in progress. The more intense solar flares are associated with tenflares. Almost all major flares are associated with tenflares.

Generally, the greater the intensity of the burst of noise observed at the 10.7 cm wavelength band, the more significant the flare is said to be. The duration of the tenflare can also be used to determine the severity of the flare.

Other important flare characteristics are also determined from the radio data observed from flares, which are closely related to the various physical processes which occur in flares. These characteristics are far beyond the scope of this document.
[link to www.sci.fi]



:sdo131mflaremarc:
Enlarge:
[link to i1220.photobucket.com]


A CME was also inbounded as we can see on Stereo images
:CMEstereoaheadm2:

:StereoBehindcmem:

Latest StereoBehind C2:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Region 1429 is not in earthview right now but the CME looks bright. A portion of this cme could be geoeffective



[link to www.youtube.com]


Edit:


Current Sunspots 15:21UTC 03/04/2012
[link to i1220.photobucket.com]

Thanks to those who answered my earlier questions.. i was just wondering if there is a program where you can go back and see the orbit of the moon and earth etc on a ceratin date in the past.. i think i remember seeng something from jpl i think it was.. maybe i was wrong.. if someone can help me with a link that would be awesome

A filament in the northern hemisphere, east side of the solar disk, erupted around 1UT, March 04. The active region 1429, located near one end of the filament was at that moment flaring in the B-level. This active region was the source of 2 M-flares and several C-flares from March 02 onwards. With the M2.0 flare peaking at 10:45 this morning, another CME is associated. Because of the location of the source region on the solar disk, the CME's are probably not ejected straight to Earth. More M-flares are likely. There might be a small geomagnetic influence (K=3-4) from the long stretched coronal hole in the southern hemisphere from tomorrow onwards.
[link to sidc.oma.be]



Mar 04 1601 UTC CONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Okay we have a new LDE Flare


:samgiflongdurati:

A long duration M2.0 Solar Flare peaked this morning at 10:45 UTC

and its still in pogress

:xraymarch4:
check X-ray:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

We noticed also a radioburst (Tenflare)
It reached 750 pfu


What is a Tenflare:
A tenflare is associated with optical and x-ray flares. Solar flares emit radiation over a very wide range of frequencies. One of the more significant frequencies observed is the 10.7 cm wavelength band (2695 MHz). When a solar flare erupts, "noise" from the flare is received over this very wide range of frequencies.

When the noise received on the 10.7 cm wavelength band surpasses 100% of the background noise level during a solar flare, a Tenflare is said to be in progress. The more intense solar flares are associated with tenflares. Almost all major flares are associated with tenflares.

Generally, the greater the intensity of the burst of noise observed at the 10.7 cm wavelength band, the more significant the flare is said to be. The duration of the tenflare can also be used to determine the severity of the flare.

Other important flare characteristics are also determined from the radio data observed from flares, which are closely related to the various physical processes which occur in flares. These characteristics are far beyond the scope of this document.
[link to www.sci.fi]



:sdo131mflaremarc:
Enlarge:
[link to i1220.photobucket.com]


A CME was also inbounded as we can see on Stereo images
:CMEstereoaheadm2:

:StereoBehindcmem:

Latest StereoBehind C2:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Region 1429 is not in earthview right now but the CME looks bright. A portion of this cme could be geoeffective



[link to www.youtube.com]


Edit:


Current Sunspots 15:21UTC 03/04/2012
[link to i1220.photobucket.com]

this is something i posted on another thread that was talking about the sunspot number
so many of us will see all over the place how the sunspot number is so low and because of this, were expecting a weak peak to this solar cycle, and that it could be a few more years before we event see the solar max

its not the sunspots that we need to worrie about
they wont really do much damage to us here on Earth
what we need to be watching is the CME's and Filaments
the mass the sun flings at earth is what will do major damage here on the ground

you know, before this solar cycle, they use to say that Filaments on the sun were a rare thing
now we see them all over the sun and they snap and lift off almost as much as we see ordinary CME's

We are in solar cycle 24 right now with this cycle about to peak
just a quick look back at the time directly before solar cycle 23 peaked, in 2001, will tell a story

"Sept. 13, 2000 -- On Monday, Sept. 11, the sunspot number dropped to its lowest value of the year. The face of the Sun looked remarkably blank with only a few tiny spots visible in telescopes."

"You don't need sunspots to have filaments, so these types of explosions can occur even when the sunspot number is low."
[link to science.nasa.gov]

only 7 months after the above report, we seen the 2nd largest solar flare ever recorded
"a very large solar flare occurred on April 2, 2001, an X20-class, but the blast was directed away from Earth. This flare was the second most powerful ever recorded"
[link to en.wikipedia.org]

I just had a quick look for a program for you but to no avail..If you have'nt already you could search 'Cornell University,Moon Orbit is Wrong'..I can remember seeing that a little while back.

I am sure it is not going to have any effect on earth.BTW once it becomes earth side it will lose its power to produce solar flares 100% confident

It looks like region 1427 want to get in on the action... C3.2.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

nice one hugh,

check out Stereo Behind Euvi 195
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Nice flare and eruption (cme) on the farside east




ISWA Cygnet Streamer:
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]


Event Issue Date: 2012-03-04 15:06:24.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-03-06 04:29:09.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 13 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.6 Re
Tue, 06 Mar 2012 04:29:09 GMT
Tue, 06 Mar 2012 17:29:09 GMT
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

lots of action today
i have a feeling this is a perset for what we have to look forward to this week
1429 looks like she wants to put on a good show for us on this rotation

Howdy, NIN, thanks for putting an historical perspective on those SS numbers. In the 27-day rotation chart, you can see how quiet the x-ray flux has been since the X-flare. The proverbial calm before the storm perhaps.

[link to translate.google.de]

I notice a strange rise in ACE protons 2-3 hours BEFORE the M-flare.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE electrons rise also, but after the flare as would be expected:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I thought this was odd.