SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

How are we going to handles all these CMEs as they come in ??? I don't remember it ever being quite this busy.

nothing seen yet...

it was this busy this time last year
March 7th - 12th
We saw how that turned out
lets just hope for a better end result of this years activity

I haven't noticed any Earth-side for today yet. That huge tongue of plasma disappeared, but I guess it was sucked back in to be ejected at a later time. There is a hint of a small cme on STEREO A, but STEREO B and SOHO are not updating yet. We'll keep alert for one, that's for sure. The potential is there for a "perfect mega-storm" event.

Hi Nin, Ive been following your research for awhile, very impressive...I posted your blog info on my facebook today, would like to mention in my fallout forecasts as well, if OK with you...

Fallout forecast today (I am concerned how this activity may cause grid disruption and subsequent nuke plant issues)

[link to www.youtube.com]

RadChick page on Facebook:
[link to www.facebook.com]

Michigan here too...Auburn Hills/Pontiac area. :)

Thanks girl, RC

NOAA just upped the anti to 75% M 0-48hrs and 30% X 0-48hrs

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

Wow you guys rule I name you Victor Kiss Kiss

thanks :)
and sure, that would be great if you used the info :)
we will update if suroras will be seen in our area when these CMEs arrive ^^

nice catch!
im sure thats cause of the structure of this huge spot region
they should have upped it earlier IMO

Is that you heard on Orion Radio? If so, I'm a big fan...kudos, keep up the great work!

none of the solar image sites are updates right now :/
well, SDO is
and this last M flare we can see (for lack of a better term) a lazer shot of plasma shooting out of 1429
if STEREO was updating, we would for sure see this on there

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

this sucker looks more and more like it wants to produce a good sized CME

NOAA (Daily?) WARNING:

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 1881
Issue Time: 2012 Mar 05 2238 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2012 Mar 05 2300 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Mar 06 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

welcome back :)

I'm sure they checked out Solar Watch to catch up on some data and realized that you had pwned them :)

Another M1.2.

Unbelieveable

Another M1.2.

Unbelievable

Chance of M-flares 100 % !

M1.2

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

a lot of talk in here today about sunspot 1429
but i have not seen anyone mention that this large northern sunspot region have the same polarity characteristics as a southern located sunspot

for anyone who may not know
the polaritys reverse when the sun goes through a solar reversal, also known as the solar maximum
at that time, the leading polaritys of the sunspot regions switch places

we can see in this magnetogram image taken in 2002
[link to soi.stanford.edu]
that sunspots in the northern region are of a positive/negative structure
with the leading area (on the right) being positive (white), and on the left being the negative
(white on the right, black on the left)
in the southern sunspots, its the opposite
(black on right, white on the left)

when the sun went through a polar reversal in around 2003, that it does each 10-12 years, these polaritys reverse
this is why, we now see sunspots in the northern region with black on the right, white on the left
and the sunspots in the southern region white on the right, and black on the left
as we see here in a magnetogram image from SDO for March 7th 2011
the day this thread was made
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

now compair that magnetogram image to the latest magnetogram image for today
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

notice anything odd?
how about how... this huge sunspot 1429 has the same polarity (positive/negative - white on right, black on left) and the ones in the southern region do
1429 is the opposite of all other northern region sunspots

So are you theorizing we may be ahead of schedule ?

Ole Sol getting ready to pop a cap in our arshe!

Ok, I'm fairly new with the terminology and actual science behind sun spots and flares. Any good sights were I can feed the brain and jump on board? Any help would be much appreciated.

So Nin, do you think we have a pole reversal happening now?

So Nin, do you think we have a pole reversal happening now?

If this SS doesn't pop off a X5+, I am going to be both surprised and shocked. Five M flares and 1 X in 24 hours? Pretty entertaining.

Oops Yeah that's me with the double post. Filey?? I blame it on the sun!!

I think I'm going to take a break on this. If an X happens behind all this, and the CMEs that result are all they should be ??? Yeah it's time to watch some mind melting boob tube for awhile.

Hi NiNzrez, I think it would be beneficial if you grabbed those 3 images, put them in photoshop or something side by side, divide the sun up into its regions and highlight the + / - poles in each sunspot region just to give us all a visual representation. I see what your trying to say and it makes some sense but without a clear image of before and after I and im sure other people, am finding it a little hard to follow just by looking at white and black regions. Wouldn't each photo being shot at a different angle skew what we are looking at ?

Great catch Nin! We got a bubbler on our hands,notice the writhing magnetic plasma,alot of energy with this one. This puppies got potential!

well someone was bound to notice first, and of course it was you..

i'm glad i popped in to check on ya:)

peak of sc24, nice milestone..
it's oe btw and i plan to spread this finding over you know where, thx girl..