SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 5467634 United States 03/06/2012 12:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think there will some incredible action from the play between 1429 and 1428: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Quoting: Spittin'Cesium The Currently in Effect Alerts are filling up the board pretty quick! [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] i agree i would also watch 1430 for play with 1429 That's what I meant to type : ) 1429 and 30 for sure look like they are conspiring! Infact: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] We await! Bad hair day...the magnetic field tentacles from 1429 are connecting to the north pole region to the edge of the southern coronal hole. There's a pretty strong interaction with 1428 in the southern hemisphere as well. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] An evolving symmetry between 1430 and 1429 is something we'll have watch as they seem to possess opposite polarities. |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 5369266 United Kingdom 03/06/2012 12:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Sunspot Region 1429- Quoting: NiNzrez Chance for Solar Flares at This Time- 16:00 UTC: 63% chance of producing a M Flare 66% chance of producing a X Flare [link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk] keep watch on the 1min Xray flux [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] March 7-11, 2011 solar flares and sunspots .. [link to s1206.photobucket.com] I`m glad you noticed this coincidence as well. Just for fun I went to soho and looked at March of last year, because somehow I had the feeling that we were in a similar situation. But I didn`t know how similar: I overlayed the two sunspots. Both Sunspots emerge exactly at the same day down to the exact hour on March 3rd! Each shot covers 24hours and represents another day, so all in all it covers four days in 2012 for Sunspot 1429 and 8 days for Sunspot of 2011. If it weren`t for the difference in latitude they would be spot on. Not saying that we`ll be having any earthquake any time soon, but it sure is interesting... There is someone else wo has been aluding to a 188 Day Cycle for large Earthquakeswith realtion to the Sun..interesting : ) The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Ragman (Rags) User ID: 11315103 United States 03/06/2012 12:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Sunspot Region 1429- Quoting: NiNzrez Chance for Solar Flares at This Time- 16:00 UTC: 63% chance of producing a M Flare 66% chance of producing a X Flare [link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk] keep watch on the 1min Xray flux [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] March 7-11, 2011 solar flares and sunspots .. [link to s1206.photobucket.com] I`m glad you noticed this coincidence as well. Just for fun I went to soho and looked at March of last year, because somehow I had the feeling that we were in a similar situation. But I didn`t know how similar: I overlayed the two sunspots. Both Sunspots emerge exactly at the same day down to the exact hour on March 3rd! Each shot covers 24hours and represents another day, so all in all it covers four days in 2012 for Sunspot 1429 and 8 days for Sunspot of 2011. If it weren`t for the difference in latitude they would be spot on. Not saying that we`ll be having any earthquake any time soon, but it sure is interesting... |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 5369266 United Kingdom 03/06/2012 12:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think there will some incredible action from the play between 1429 and 1428: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Quoting: Spittin'Cesium The Currently in Effect Alerts are filling up the board pretty quick! [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] i agree i would also watch 1430 for play with 1429 That's what I meant to type : ) 1429 and 30 for sure look like they are conspiring! Infact: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] We await! Bad hair day...the magnetic field tentacles from 1429 are connecting to the north pole region to the edge of the southern coronal hole. There's a pretty strong interaction with 1428 in the southern hemisphere as well. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] An evolving symmetry between 1430 and 1429 is something we'll have watch as they seem to possess opposite polarities. Yes,I had noticed the arc between 1429 and 28 also..monster! I think 1430 should be a trailer spot of 1429 but due to 29 being flipped I think they could possibly merge or at the least throw some crazy shapes..what do you think! Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/06/2012 12:26 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 10498853 United States 03/06/2012 01:01 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Sunspot Region 1429- Quoting: NiNzrez Chance for Solar Flares at This Time- 16:00 UTC: 63% chance of producing a M Flare 66% chance of producing a X Flare [link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk] keep watch on the 1min Xray flux [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] March 7-11, 2011 solar flares and sunspots .. [link to s1206.photobucket.com] I`m glad you noticed this coincidence as well. Just for fun I went to soho and looked at March of last year, because somehow I had the feeling that we were in a similar situation. But I didn`t know how similar: I overlayed the two sunspots. Both Sunspots emerge exactly at the same day down to the exact hour on March 3rd! Each shot covers 24hours and represents another day, so all in all it covers four days in 2012 for Sunspot 1429 and 8 days for Sunspot of 2011. If it weren`t for the difference in latitude they would be spot on. Not saying that we`ll be having any earthquake any time soon, but it sure is interesting... amazing! thanks for taking the time to put that together for us all :) Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 5467634 United States 03/06/2012 01:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This wave of solar plasma will mostly miss hitting Earth, but some spacecraft, including NASA's sun-watching Stereo B satellite, the Messenger spacecraft at Mercury and the agency's infrared Spitzer Space Telescope, are in path of the resulting radiation storm, according to scientists at the Space Weather Center at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md. "It's a shower of radiation, and this high-energy radiation can impact spacecraft and some of the instruments," Yihua Zheng, a lead researcher at the Space Weather Center, told SPACE.com. "Stereo B has already seen some radiation, but we don't have real-time data from the other spacecraft, so we don't know for sure. But, based on the location and the size of the CME, we think those spacecraft are likely to receive a high dose of radiation." [link to www.space.com] Anatomy of Sun Storms & Solar Flares- A nice one-page intro to Suntardia for newbies from Space.com: [link to www.space.com] |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 5369266 United Kingdom 03/06/2012 01:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The Field Component is swinging a fair bit between - and + on the ACE Display Data on this Page: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 5369266 United Kingdom 03/06/2012 01:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NiNz Solar Data Collation Page is the Beez Kneeze! Great Stuff : ) Wish I was a little more Computer Literate! I'm going to start making my own Videos soon for my(nearly)3 Year old Youtube Channel..just got to figure how to use my gizmos' a little better : ) Do you have a YT Channel NiNz!? The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 5369266 United Kingdom 03/06/2012 01:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The 50 and 100 MeV Protons look like they want to chime in also: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] I suppose we'll just have to wait and see. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 5467634 United States 03/06/2012 01:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Solar Lightning- Coronal arches and multiple loop structures connect sunspots and rise up to penetrate the chromosphere. The chromosphere is a plasma sheath, or double layer region of the Sun, where most of its electrical energy is contained. When the current flowing into the Sun’s plasma sheath increases beyond a critical threshold it can trigger a sudden release of that energy, causing solar flares and enormous prominence eruptions. Powerful looping electric currents generate secondary toroidal magnetic fields that surround the loop. When the current grows too strong, the plasma double layer is destroyed. That event interrupts the current flow and the stored electromagnetic energy is blasted into space as a solar flare. Solar flares can therefore be thought of as tremendous lightning bursts, discharging vast quantities of matter at near relativistic speeds. [link to www.thunderbolts.info] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12018235 United States 03/06/2012 01:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
RTS REDUX User ID: 8620349 United States 03/06/2012 02:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | this video spans two days - up until about 2 1/2 hours ago [link to www.youtube.com] Last Edited by RTS REDUX on 03/06/2012 02:07 PM |
MrAC2U User ID: 1045262 United States 03/06/2012 02:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 5467634 United States 03/06/2012 02:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | DOUBLE-WHAMMY-Upon further analysis, I believe there were two CMEs launched early on the 6th. A CME from an M1-flare at approx. 04:00 utc and and the second from another M1 @ approx. 08:00 utc. The second CME blasted underneath the expanding canopy of the first CME. They'll most likely be merged together before they reach the Earth. The two separate pulses are most easily observed on the STEREO B movie. SEEDS STEREO A Cor 2 movie: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SEEDS STEREO B Cor 2 movie: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] NASA projected track of CME: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>> User ID: 921787 United States 03/06/2012 02:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 5369266 United Kingdom 03/06/2012 02:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 11850216 United States 03/06/2012 02:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | DOUBLE-WHAMMY-Upon further analysis, I believe there were two CMEs launched early on the 6th. A CME from an M1-flare at approx. 04:00 utc and and the second from another M1 @ approx. 08:00 utc. The second CME blasted underneath the expanding canopy of the first CME. They'll most likely be merged together before they reach the Earth. The two separate pulses are most easily observed on the STEREO B movie. Quoting: Hugh M Eye SEEDS STEREO A Cor 2 movie: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SEEDS STEREO B Cor 2 movie: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] NASA projected track of CME: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Nice catch, you can really see it on 0-1 speed. |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 5369266 United Kingdom 03/06/2012 02:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 11850216 United States 03/06/2012 02:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
RTS REDUX User ID: 8620349 United States 03/06/2012 02:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 5369266 United Kingdom 03/06/2012 02:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think that's what I'm seeing..anyone else? The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 5369266 United Kingdom 03/06/2012 03:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | yup :/ I never used it up until about last December. I'd like to change my handle on that account but I guess YT doesn't allow that unless you cancel ALL your Google accounts and start over for some reason I know..YT and Googles policies suck egss hard..but anyhoo,I just subbed to your Channel : ) BL2. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 5369266 United Kingdom 03/06/2012 03:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | DOUBLE-WHAMMY-Upon further analysis, I believe there were two CMEs launched early on the 6th. A CME from an M1-flare at approx. 04:00 utc and and the second from another M1 @ approx. 08:00 utc. The second CME blasted underneath the expanding canopy of the first CME. They'll most likely be merged together before they reach the Earth. The two separate pulses are most easily observed on the STEREO B movie. Quoting: Hugh M Eye SEEDS STEREO A Cor 2 movie: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SEEDS STEREO B Cor 2 movie: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] NASA projected track of CME: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Nice catch, you can really see it on 0-1 speed. Strange little blob for a CME!? It's a dead on strike though,I think: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] I'll just check again and see if it's going over or below us. Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/06/2012 03:03 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 5369266 United Kingdom 03/06/2012 03:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think it's just clipping above us..though I'm not positive. Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 03/06/2012 03:06 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
RTS REDUX User ID: 8620349 United States 03/06/2012 03:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | yup :/ I never used it up until about last December. I'd like to change my handle on that account but I guess YT doesn't allow that unless you cancel ALL your Google accounts and start over for some reason I know..YT and Googles policies suck egss hard..but anyhoo,I just subbed to your Channel : ) BL2. btw..just checked the date on my first upload and it was actually back in the first part of January, so I'm still learning about editing etc. I really need to work on those skills. IWTB is a good role model IMO. I aspire to get 1/2 as good as he is at editing assuming I ever get around to it |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 5467634 United States 03/06/2012 03:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled to active for day 1 (06 Mar) due to combined effects from the M4/CME event observed on 04 March and a favorably positioned coronal hole high speed stream. Active conditions with a chance for minor storm periods are forecast for the second day (07 Mar) due to a expected glancing blow from today's X1/full halo CME. Predominantly unsettled levels are expected for the third day (08 Mar). [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] The ENLIL CME Model appears to show CME arrival (glancing blow) at approx. 05:00 UTC on the 7th (+/- 6 hrs.). NASA's forecast was way off again. The most recent CMEs have not been added to the forecast yet. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 5369266 United Kingdom 03/06/2012 03:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think we are about to see another long(ish)duration Flare: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Climbing slowly,horizontally. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 5369266 United Kingdom 03/06/2012 03:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think we are about to see another long(ish)duration Flare: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Quoting: Spittin'Cesium Climbing slowly,horizontally. Or not : ) Think it just topped out. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
PolarBear418 User ID: 1167185 United States 03/06/2012 03:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think we are about to see another long(ish)duration Flare: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Quoting: Spittin'Cesium Climbing slowly,horizontally. Or not : ) Think it just topped out. looks to be trending back up |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 12045891 United States 03/06/2012 03:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |