SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

this event is still spitting out mass
we will have a lot of data to go over for this one
but this we can say..
at least some of this CME will imapct Earth
how much? thats what we need way more images and data for to be sure

Still here just having alot of connection hassles

Hey OG glad you could make it!

What do you guys predict? Largest CME impact in 1 year/5 years/10 years? Opinions?

Our magnetosphere starting to feel some pressure again..

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

we need way more data to say for sure

I'm always lurking about....

It is about the size of that filament eruption from the 4th that will be arriving soon.

Oh I know, I'm just asking for some hypotheticals :)

Maybe thats a good time to post this...^^

Secret Lives of Solar Flares


[link to www.youtube.com]

This kind of intensity, you don't want to guess at....

I think we had a pretty good one in 2003 now that I think about. I willing to say we will get G4 out of it.

Wow IWTB
Good find... explains alot..must watch...

Protons are starting to raise fast. Won't be long till we get the S1 storm. I know they already posted a warning on that...Bz been pretty steady in the south. I wish the media would say something. This super tuesday politics is like pulling teeth.

your very welcome

No one cares about Solar Flares but suntards. It's just something else to stick their heads in the sand about. If they'd stop being afraid of things they cannot control, and enjoy the show, it would be a different story.

Space Weather Message Code: WARPC0
Serial Number: 54
Issue Time: 2012 Mar 07 0256 UTC

WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Valid From: 2012 Mar 07 0300 UTC
Valid To: 2012 Mar 07 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: An enhancement in the energetic portion of the solar radiation spectrum may indicate increased biological risk to astronauts or passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights. Additionally, energetic particles may represent an increased risk to all satellite systems susceptible to single event effects. This information should be used in conjunction with the current Solar Radiation Storm conditions when assessing overall impact.

Hey Tom,...great to see you. I guess all the sun freaks come out for an X show.

Note; To the person that posted that overlay of sunspots from last year resembling those of now,...

Kudos!!!

Z

Last Edited by zacksavage on 03/06/2012 10:24 PM

the latest stereo b shows it with a big bowshock pointed in our general direction, and a nice puff of plasma right behind the intial wave..

i'll jump out and say it first.. G5!!

Getting late for me. Work comes early for me here on the east coast. Hopefully I don't wake up tomorrow and see I have to take off work tomorrow to buy all the bottled water and canned goods at nearby grocery stores, lol.

Seriously though, this is my favorite thread of any forum on the net. So many good ppl here. Happy sun watching!

Oh, and Anonymous AstroAsshole, GTFO!

Weres a good site I can get current plasma levels?

this looks very small if the data is right

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
from the 5th
[link to spaceweather.com]
and this
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]
this looks much bigger?????

a late phase flare, 90 minutes after, 4x mag.... that's what the flux looks like currently?
[link to www.solarham.com]

That was not this current event, good effort though!

Holy shit..well, IWTB's info was correct. It does come around again to bite you in the ass.

the protons and electrons we see in the Msphere are our measurement of "current plasma levels"..

the observation i made about the latest stereo b cor2 image is a gut level guess based on seeing these before, there's no instrumentation out there to measure it..

[link to www.lmsal.com]
check out the data from GOES look at the graph from the 5th through today

Last Edited by psyoptics on 03/06/2012 10:30 PM

a hell of a lot!
can someone please take a record of the current x-ray flux plot, 2400 - 0400 looks like an amplified occurence of 2245 - 2400
maybe there's more to come

Finally went to the C range, currently C9.3

Thnx for the heads up. Fairly new, watch the msphere all the time. didn't realize it was the best source for incoming plasma. Learned something new.