A SEP event is underway. We have also just become magnetically conected to region 1429. We are currently just above 10 pfu which is S1 (solar
Radiation Storm level 1). Without any further flaring the latest predictions from NASA models are that we may reach 24 to 126 pfu. At 100 pfu we reach the S2 level. Of course further flaring from region 1429 will rapidly increase the precpitation of protons into the Ionosphere. When our "foot point" location, the area that we are magnetically conected to the sun at becomes located at or very near an active region we are given an "Active Proximity Alert" This is now the case as we have become connected to Region 1429 of all places. This connection allows Solar Energetic Particles such as protons and electrons to travel extremely fast and at a higher than normal rate during a flare. These particles already travel at approximately 80% the speed of light and start bombarding the Ionosphere within a few hours of a solar flare. During times that we are magnetically connected to a flaring region we have seeen these particles arrive at a much faster rate and in much higher concentrations. Below is NASAs current integral proton flux model..

. [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

You can run the model here by selecting UMA proton flux forecast...


[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]