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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 01:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
bump

Not too long to go!
RTS REDUX

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03/08/2012 01:15 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Second Biggest Flare Of the Solar Cycle Mar 08, 2012

This movie of the March 6, 2012 X5.4 flare was captured by the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) in the 171 Angstrom wavelength. One of the most dramatic features is the way the entire surface of the sun seems to ripple with the force of the eruption. This movement comes from something called EIT waves -

[...]Since SDO captures images every 12 seconds, it has been able to map the full evolution of these waves and confirm that they can travel across the full breadth of the sun. The waves move at over a million miles per hour, zipping from one side of the sun to the other in about an hour.
 Quoting: joinca


If you go to the 4:10 mark of the following video from SolarWatcher you can see 'the ripple' even better. I was amazed by it



[link to www.youtube.com]

Last Edited by RTS REDUX on 03/08/2012 01:26 AM
Doompa Loompa

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03/08/2012 01:25 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Media is INCORRECTLY reporting that this is the "biggest solar storm in years".

NOAA update.


[link to www.crh.noaa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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03/08/2012 01:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Anyone feel like speculating on the chances of major grid damage in the next twenty four hours?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2583771


im calling... a Kp8 reaching into a Kp9 for a bit

i try to stay away from posting anything i see that is very doomie
but, i feel a bit doomie with this one
there are a lot of red flags with this event
the crappy thing with this sun stuff
and us knowing the new carrington is unavoidable, and will happen
is, that even if/when we see all the signs...
it would be like every other event with that damn sun
being that we would not know for sure, untill it happens

so, if this one turns out to be the biggie we all look for that we know is coming one day

its been a pleasure everyone :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


We just had a "glancing blow" from an off-center CME which pushed the K-index to 5, 6, or 7. This next onslaught is poised to be twice as powerful. All the while 1429 is still not entirely Earth-direct....we're at risk of extreme events for at least the next 5 days.

7-day K-indices:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

HAARP (listen) Induction Magnetometer:
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
HAARP Fluxgate Magnetometer:
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

NASA Magnetopause 24-hr Simulation:
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
Hugh M Eye

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03/08/2012 01:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Media is INCORRECTLY reporting that this is the "biggest solar storm in years".

NOAA update.


[link to www.crh.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Doompa Loompa


We really don't know. Could be the biggest storm in 200 years! Or maybe only the biggest in 200 days. The end results are that hard to predict, but the potential is there for a "100 year-flood" type event. It's best to be prepared for the worst. There's a good chance this WILL BE the worst geo-storm in many years. We'll know more in 24 hours.
tomasgod1

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03/08/2012 01:36 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey Guys hi

I thought I would throw a few positives in there for some of you.

The best side of the Earth to be on when this hits is the far side from the Sun. + 1 for those of us here in the states.

Because it is night the power consumption is also lower on the power grid.

It is neither the middle of Winter or the height of Summer so this lessens the grids load, and if there are any outages we won't suffer as badly.
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 01:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey Guys hi

I thought I would throw a few positives in there for some of you.

The best side of the Earth to be on when this hits is the far side from the Sun. + 1 for those of us here in the states.

Because it is night the power consumption is also lower on the power grid.

It is neither the middle of Winter or the height of Summer so this lessens the grids load, and if there are any outages we won't suffer as badly.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


I was thinking the same thing earlier. If it has to happen..at least it isn't in the dead of winter ( not that this winter was very cold) or the middle of summer when its so unbearable hot.
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 01:41 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey Guys hi

I thought I would throw a few positives in there for some of you.

The best side of the Earth to be on when this hits is the far side from the Sun. + 1 for those of us here in the states.

Because it is night the power consumption is also lower on the power grid.

It is neither the middle of Winter or the height of Summer so this lessens the grids load, and if there are any outages we won't suffer as badly.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Where the positive for people in Perth, Australia where it is currently mid afternoon :-(
Hugh M Eye

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03/08/2012 01:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thanks to IWTB76 for making these photos possible:
I thought these pics were even more similar 24 hrs. ago; but they still give me the creeps-Carrington's Sketch 1859:

:carrington:

AR1429 2012:

AR1429
spock
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 01:42 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Isn't there a planetary alignment coming up? Noticed a full moon tonight as well. Possible that this incoming CME and the other aforementioned factors could increase the likelihood of major seismic activity in the coming days?
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


*crickets*

Anyone? Anyone? Bueller? cool2

Am I in the wrong thread to be asking about seismic activity as it relates to CME's?
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 01:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey Guys hi

I thought I would throw a few positives in there for some of you.

The best side of the Earth to be on when this hits is the far side from the Sun. + 1 for those of us here in the states.

Because it is night the power consumption is also lower on the power grid.

It is neither the middle of Winter or the height of Summer so this lessens the grids load, and if there are any outages we won't suffer as badly.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Where the positive for people in Perth, Australia where it is currently mid afternoon :-(
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 7714752


and 90 deg farenheit
zacksavage

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03/08/2012 01:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I was thinking the same thing earlier. If it has to happen..at least it isn't in the dead of winter ( not that this winter was very cold) or the middle of summer when its so unbearable hot.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 11213272


Hey everyone!

The GLP effect has been known to postpone any doom for the faithful.

Nothing to see here,...so,
Go back to sleepchuckle


Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 01:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thanks to IWTB76 for making these photos possible:
I thought these pics were even more similar 24 hrs. ago; but they still give me the creeps-Carrington's Sketch 1859:

:carrington:

AR1429 2012:

:AR1429:
spock
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


good one- thanks.
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 01:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
:AR1429:
spock


OMG the red dragon. Or is it APa from the last air bender
Hugh M Eye

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03/08/2012 01:45 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey Guys hi

I thought I would throw a few positives in there for some of you.

The best side of the Earth to be on when this hits is the far side from the Sun. + 1 for those of us here in the states.

Because it is night the power consumption is also lower on the power grid.

It is neither the middle of Winter or the height of Summer so this lessens the grids load, and if there are any outages we won't suffer as badly.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Where the positive for people in Perth, Australia where it is currently mid afternoon :-(
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 7714752


The great near-melt-down of 1989 was March 13th. Quebec blackout, etc.
Besides, the satellites don't care what damn season it is.
Pangn

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03/08/2012 01:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Isn't there a planetary alignment coming up? Noticed a full moon tonight as well. Possible that this incoming CME and the other aforementioned factors could increase the likelihood of major seismic activity in the coming days?
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


*crickets*

Anyone? Anyone? Bueller? cool2

Am I in the wrong thread to be asking about seismic activity as it relates to CME's?
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


el q's thread gets wild on anything that may have something to do with seismic activity, CME's included
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 01:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Do x-class flares tend to always produce CME's? Have there ever been x-class flares and no associated CME's?
tomasgod1

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03/08/2012 01:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Isn't there a planetary alignment coming up? Noticed a full moon tonight as well. Possible that this incoming CME and the other aforementioned factors could increase the likelihood of major seismic activity in the coming days?
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


*crickets*

Anyone? Anyone? Bueller? cool2

Am I in the wrong thread to be asking about seismic activity as it relates to CME's?
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


Yes there is. You are spot on. Nin amd I had been looking at this alignment and we were actually expecting this large flare and CME in corelation with it. I don't want to say to much more about it as I think Nin would love to answer this for you. I am sure when she sees this she will be happy to expound on the answer to your question. I hope I haven't let the cat out of the bag! secrets
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11198416
Germany
03/08/2012 01:59 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thanks to IWTB76 for making these photos possible:
I thought these pics were even more similar 24 hrs. ago; but they still give me the creeps-Carrington's Sketch 1859:

:carrington:

AR1429 2012:

:AR1429:
spock
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


your very welcomehf,


will upload this later :)

rly crazy
EndOfAll

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03/08/2012 02:00 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thanks to IWTB76 for making these photos possible:
I thought these pics were even more similar 24 hrs. ago; but they still give me the creeps-Carrington's Sketch 1859:

:carrington:

AR1429 2012:

AR1429
spock
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


your very welcomehf,


will upload this later :)

rly crazy
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


HOLY MONSTER!
EndOfAll
tomasgod1

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03/08/2012 02:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey Guys hi

I thought I would throw a few positives in there for some of you.

The best side of the Earth to be on when this hits is the far side from the Sun. + 1 for those of us here in the states.

Because it is night the power consumption is also lower on the power grid.

It is neither the middle of Winter or the height of Summer so this lessens the grids load, and if there are any outages we won't suffer as badly.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Where the positive for people in Perth, Australia where it is currently mid afternoon :-(
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 7714752


The great near-melt-down of 1989 was March 13th. Quebec blackout, etc.
Besides, the satellites don't care what damn season it is.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


No the satellites do not care. There are however positives and negatives as to your location when dealing with ground currents.
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
EndOfAll

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03/08/2012 02:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
This stillness on all fields, xray, proton, msphere, a bit unsettling....
EndOfAll
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 02:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi Guys, what time is the CME going to hit us today?
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 02:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Isn't there a planetary alignment coming up? Noticed a full moon tonight as well. Possible that this incoming CME and the other aforementioned factors could increase the likelihood of major seismic activity in the coming days?
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


*crickets*

Anyone? Anyone? Bueller? cool2

Am I in the wrong thread to be asking about seismic activity as it relates to CME's?
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


Yes there is. You are spot on. Nin amd I had been looking at this alignment and we were actually expecting this large flare and CME in corelation with it. I don't want to say to much more about it as I think Nin would love to answer this for you. I am sure when she sees this she will be happy to expound on the answer to your question. I hope I haven't let the cat out of the bag! secrets
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Thanks Tomas. cool2
Pangn

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03/08/2012 02:04 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Do x-class flares tend to always produce CME's? Have there ever been x-class flares and no associated CME's?
 Quoting: ANHEDONIC


Yes

and CME's not associated with flares

They are friends with benefits, but not direct lovers
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 02:05 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
This stillness on all fields, xray, proton, msphere, a bit unsettling....
 Quoting: EndOfAll


yeah. these goons keep dismissing this but now that the magnetosphere seems to be reacting to an approaching force I gurantee we're about to see the unveiling.
EndOfAll

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03/08/2012 02:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
This stillness on all fields, xray, proton, msphere, a bit unsettling....
 Quoting: EndOfAll


yeah. these goons keep dismissing this but now that the magnetosphere seems to be reacting to an approaching force I gurantee we're about to see the unveiling.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1379864


Noticed that too. Starting to stretch the field back out.
EndOfAll
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 02:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi Guys, what time is the CME going to hit us today?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1288731


The new WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction is calling for a direct CME impact during the early hours of Thursday March 8th. The expected time of arrival is between 0600-1000 UTC. This means sometime after 2am EST, we can expect the first signs of the incoming CME Plasma cloud
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


SIDC belgium says:


The solar wind speed in the post-shock flow reached 580 km/s. Due to this increase in the background solar wind speed, we update the prediction for the arrival time of the interplanetary counterpart of the full halo CME observed on March 7: we expect the ICME arrival around noon on March 8.
[link to sidc.oma.be]


ah and dont forget the new cygnet streamer:
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]


ISWA Ovation Prime Energy flux:
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
EndOfAll

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03/08/2012 02:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
X rays r climbing a bit

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Protons still on a gradual incline. Slight but goin up.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
EndOfAll
Anonymous Coward
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03/08/2012 02:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm fairly new at this, but the magnetosphere sim. looks like the Bz wants to head south...





GLP