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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
whiteangel
also known at WA

User ID: 1775746
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03/09/2012 10:53 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It all calmed down again. Almost like my weather this year, and interesting roller coaster ride!
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/09/2012 11:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Right now we have a S2-Moderate Solar Radiation Storm in effect & a G3-Strong Geomagnetic Storm in effect
All details are included in our recent updated report
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/09/2012 11:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Right now we have a S2-Moderate Solar Radiation Storm in effect & a G3-Strong Geomagnetic Storm in effect
All details are included in our recent updated report
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
FraudulentZodiac

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03/09/2012 11:17 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey NIN you know why the KP is so high over the last day? It has to be as high as I have ever seen.

[link to www.n3kl.org]
"All energy flows according to the whims of the Great Magnet" - Hunter S. Thompson

"None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free." - Johann Wolfgang von Goethe

We are all just ins inside the out, and outs inside the ins.
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/09/2012 11:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi All

You guys so much smarter tan me about this. Can anyone explain what will happen in the next few days. I live on the east coast and yesterday both my cell and internet kept cutting in and out. is there more to come and will it be similar or not as bad.

thanks
 Quoting: anon 121214 11538627


Ones that are smarter than I can answer this better, but with a K8 to K9, to me it means there will be more interferences
 Quoting: whiteangel


here is the scales for the Kp index
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Kp8
Power systems: possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems will mistakenly trip out key assets from the grid.

Spacecraft operations: may experience surface charging and tracking problems, corrections may be needed for orientation problems.

Other systems: induced pipeline currents affect preventive measures, HF radio propagation sporadic, satellite navigation degraded for hours, low-frequency radio navigation disrupted, and aurora has been seen as low as Alabama and northern California (typically 45° geomagnetic lat.)**.

Kp9
Power systems: : widespread voltage control problems and protective system problems can occur, some grid systems may experience complete collapse or blackouts. Transformers may experience damage.

Spacecraft operations: may experience extensive surface charging, problems with orientation, uplink/downlink and tracking satellites.

Other systems: pipeline currents can reach hundreds of amps, HF (high frequency) radio propagation may be impossible in many areas for one to two days, satellite navigation may be degraded for days, low-frequency radio navigation can be out for hours, and aurora has been seen as low as Florida and southern Texas (typically 40° geomagnetic lat.)**.
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/09/2012 11:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Anyone knows if this storm is already weakening?
 Quoting: Luisport


right now it is a little bit, but we just have to wait and see if there is more to come
this was a very wide CME
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 11198416
Germany
03/09/2012 11:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
damn some hours back and have to read tons of sites^^


[link to www.youtube.com]


Holy fuck it's hot outside, extra hot
The sun is closer then it's ever got
The sky's polluted, it's raining crud
Pandemonium throughout the hood
Every hour the planet shakes
Buildings collapse from the earthquakes
Freeways are packed, horns are blowing
Nobody really knowing where the fuck they're going


Songtext:
[link to www.sing365.com]

dance
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/09/2012 11:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey NIN you know why the KP is so high over the last day? It has to be as high as I have ever seen.

[link to www.n3kl.org]
 Quoting: FraudulentZodiac


we have had it at the Kp8-Kp9 one time before in the last 6 months

the stronger and more dence a CME is, combined with how direct of a hit it is, as well as if it is directed in a - orientation all determines how strong on the Kp index the CME registers
this CME was almost a direct hit, so as i stated sometime yesterday, i expected a Kp8 with this reaching Kp9 at times
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/09/2012 11:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey Nin, remember this last year around this same exact time;

[link to www.ips.gov.au]


It's at -180, readings same as last year when 9.0 hit Japan.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


wow thanks for posting that
would have missed it i think
psyoptics

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03/09/2012 11:40 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey Nin, remember this last year around this same exact time;

[link to www.ips.gov.au]


It's at -180, readings same as last year when 9.0 hit Japan.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano

i have done alot of research into the ionic disturbances like the one onver japan last years... cause and effects.
what i found was the can be a window of a week or more for this event and the disturbance started with a ocilating saw tooth substorm we seemed to have an event like that last night. this would show up an the backside of the planet.

this is now and you see the back side is clamer the the sun facing side.
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
this would be the substorm hitting.
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/09/2012 11:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NOAA has a 40% chance of an X-class solar flare today from sunspot region 1429
zacksavage

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03/09/2012 11:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NOAA has a 40% chance of an X-class solar flare today from sunspot region 1429
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hey Nin,...do you recall the percentages posted before these last X flares launched?


Z
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/09/2012 11:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
they just took ACE out of safe mode
Solar wind data is now coming in from ACE
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 921787
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03/09/2012 11:50 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I`ll admit I`m not the sharpest crayon in the box but some of these solar threads lately just amaze me...some of the reports on CNN, FOX and local news stations just made me laugh out loud..I guess we all have to start learning somewhere...I usually "learn" in silence so I don`t make an ass out of myself..lol... some funny threads going on right now...Not sure I could hold my sanity if it wasn`t for this thread..Good people make a big difference..
tmorais

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03/09/2012 11:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Anybody have an idea why we haven't seen any big increase in density caused by these last CMEs?
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2012 11:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Finally, NICT is back !! hf
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2012 11:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I`ll admit I`m not the sharpest crayon in the box but some of these solar threads lately just amaze me...some of the reports on CNN, FOX and local news stations just made me laugh out loud..I guess we all have to start learning somewhere...I usually "learn" in silence so I don`t make an ass out of myself..lol... some funny threads going on right now...Not sure I could hold my sanity if it wasn`t for this thread..Good people make a big difference..
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


ohyeah

haha, yep noticed this too and lurking sometimes^^
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2012 12:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Definitely. I stick to this one and avoid the:

"OMG DOOM MAGNETOSPHERE HAS FAILED"

"SOLAR DOOM: IT'S WHAT'S FOR DINNER!!!!"

The doomtard threads from people with little to no understanding of what they're looking at get.... old.
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/09/2012 12:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I`ll admit I`m not the sharpest crayon in the box but some of these solar threads lately just amaze me...some of the reports on CNN, FOX and local news stations just made me laugh out loud..I guess we all have to start learning somewhere...I usually "learn" in silence so I don`t make an ass out of myself..lol... some funny threads going on right now...Not sure I could hold my sanity if it wasn`t for this thread..Good people make a big difference..
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


i know what you mean
hf
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/09/2012 12:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Anybody have an idea why we haven't seen any big increase in density caused by these last CMEs?
 Quoting: tmorais


its been hard to get solar wind speeds and density because of the proton storm in effect
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/09/2012 12:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
they just took ACE out of safe mode
Solar wind data is now coming in from ACE
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Finally, NICT is back !! hf
 Quoting: TS66


:)
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/09/2012 12:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Right now we have a S2-Moderate Solar Radiation Storm in effect & a G3-Strong Geomagnetic Storm in effect
All details are included in our recent updated report
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez

Hugh M Eye

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03/09/2012 12:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
From the lastest SIDC Daily Bulletin:

An unnumbered
sunspot group appeared from behind the north-east limb and produced a
CME (not a halo) this morning. C- and even M-class flares are possible
in this active region. SOHO/LASCO detected a full halo CME in
association with the M6.3 flare
in Catania sunspot group 65 (NOAA AR
1429) this morning. The CME first appeared in the LASCO C2 field of view
at 04:14 UT and had a speed around 750 km/s. We expect the CME arrival
at the Earth late on March 11 - early on March 12
. An evaluation of the
possible erupting flux rope orientation on the basis of HMI photospheric
magnetograms and AIA images of the post-eruption arcade gives the
south-east-north (SEN, left-handed) configuration. Due to the position
of the CME source region close to the solar central meridian, we expect
a nearly central encounter of the resulting ICME, which will probably be
a magnetic cloud with leading southward field. A strong geomagnetic
storm (K = 7 or higher) is probable.
The Earth is now inside the
post-shock solar wind flow generated by the ICME corresponding to the
halo CME erupted on March 7. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) is
currently southward, resulting in a severe magnetic storm (K = 7
reported by NOAA). Although the IMF magnitude is not very high (around
10 nT), it was strongly fluctuating in the past 24 hours, so a further
development of the storm is not excluded. The solar wind speed measured
by SOHO/CELIAS is currently high (around 900 km/s) and CELIAS data
exhibit two important discontinuities in the solar wind speed today (at
03:44 UT and 08:18 UT). Neither of these discontinuities seems to
correspond to a sudden increase of the IMF magnitude measured by ACE, so
they do not appear to be shock waves. The SEP event is still on-going.

[link to sidc.oma.be]

:cor3soho:
nastycme
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 12237134
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03/09/2012 12:20 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
they just took ACE out of safe mode
Solar wind data is now coming in from ACE
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Finally, NICT is back !! hf
 Quoting: TS66


:)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Woo-Hoo! It's kinda funny but shows a pressure shock-wave just from getting the correct data again, hehe.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
psyoptics

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03/09/2012 12:24 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
i was just looking at this new spot coming around
[link to www.solarham.com]
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Anonymous Coward
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03/09/2012 12:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
they just took ACE out of safe mode
Solar wind data is now coming in from ACE
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Finally, NICT is back !! hf
 Quoting: TS66


:)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Woo-Hoo! It's kinda funny but shows a pressure shock-wave just from getting the correct data again, hehe.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


I know it's a necessary precaution, but I would have loved to have seen it over the last couple of days. Glad to see you Nin, Hugh, IWTB :)
Hugh M Eye

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03/09/2012 12:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NASA seems to predict an earlier arrival of next CME now.-

Event Issue Date: 2012-03-09 16:39:27.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-03-11 06:49:05.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 10 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.2 Re

CME Cygnet Model:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
whiteangel
also known at WA

User ID: 1775746
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03/09/2012 12:38 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I have a question - again - and yes it is a bit out there.

Since there seems to be a relationship between solar activity and seismic activity, is there such a thing as a 188 day solar cycle?

Does any one have proof of this?
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
acewhole777

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03/09/2012 12:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I have been watching a helocopter with a large ring attatched to ot fly around the mountains that surround my house all morning.
I reserched what the ring was and found that it is a Magnetometer.
I am in the Cascade mountains BC canada
WTF are they doing with the Magnometer,,never seen an aperatus like that before
alexisj9

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United Kingdom
03/09/2012 12:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I have been watching a helocopter with a large ring attatched to ot fly around the mountains that surround my house all morning.
I reserched what the ring was and found that it is a Magnetometer.
I am in the Cascade mountains BC canada
WTF are they doing with the Magnometer,,never seen an aperatus like that before
 Quoting: acewhole777


I would assume taking mid level measurements of this mornings storm, as the satellite was down.





GLP