SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>> User ID: 12283410 United States 03/10/2012 01:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12281399 Portugal 03/10/2012 01:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission Begin Time: 2012 Mar 10 1729 UTC Comment: Associated with M8 event from Rgn 1429 (N18W23) Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms. Information: Sweep Frequency Events (Type II, III, IV and V events) - Energetic solar events often produce characteristic radio "bursts". These bursts are generated by solar material plunging through the solar corona. Type III and type V events are caused by particles being ejected from the solar environment at near relativistic speeds. Type II and IV events are caused by slower-moving solar material propagating outward at speeds varying between approximately 800 and 1600 kilometers per second. Type II and IV radio bursts are of particular importance. These sweep frequency radio events are signatures of potentially dense solar material which has been ejected from the solar surface. If the region responsible for these events is well positioned, the expelled solar material may succeed in impacting with the Earth. Such an impact often causes an SSC followed by Minor to Major geomagnetic storm conditions and significantly degraded radio propagation conditions. It is therefore interesting to pay attention to events which cause Type II and/or IV radio sweep events, since they may indicate the potential for increased magnetic activity (and decreased propagation quality) within 48 hours. It should be noted, however, that predicting degraded terrestrial conditions is significantly more complex than simply observing whether the energetic event had an associated Type II or IV radio sweep. Flare position, proton spectra, flare size, event duration, event intensity and a host of other variables must be analyzed before a qualitative judgement can be made. It should also be noted that sweep frequency radio events are capable of producing Short Wave Fades (SWFs) and Sudden Ionospheric Disturbances (SIDs). Depending on the severity of the ev ent, the duration of SWFs and SIDs may last in excess of several hours with typical values being approximately 30 minutes. SWFs and SIDs cause absorption of radio signals (due to intense ionization) at frequencies up to and well in excess of 500 MHz. Microwave continuum bursts can affect frequencies up to 30 GHz. Frequencies in the HF region can be completely blacked out for a period of time during intense energetic events. [link to www.facebook.com] |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 12094494 United States 03/10/2012 01:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 12094494 United States 03/10/2012 01:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
El Quisqueyano User ID: 12094494 United States 03/10/2012 02:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1293441 Spain 03/10/2012 02:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Check out the pic of the Global D March 9 the last year, and compare to today (about half way down page) [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Fooking freaky! |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>> User ID: 12284894 United States 03/10/2012 02:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12281399 Portugal 03/10/2012 02:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst Begin Time: 2012 Mar 10 1722 UTC Maximum Time: 2012 Mar 10 1802 UTC End Time: 2012 Mar 10 1822 UTC Duration: 60 minutes Peak Flux: 459 sfu Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 146 sfu Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications. [link to www.facebook.com] |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 12282348 United States 03/10/2012 02:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 3487467 United States 03/10/2012 02:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I have two questions: Should we lock up our pets? Will they attack us? Will any of this when it get here effect the human heart? The rythem or anything? THere is alot of speculations like the children on star trak that go Bonk Bonk all the time....remember that episode? LOL |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 12282348 United States 03/10/2012 02:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | WHOA....NASTY! This may be the worst one yet. Stereo Ahead movie: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Stereo Behind movie: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12226168 United States 03/10/2012 02:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Anyone else getting a blank [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 3487467 United States 03/10/2012 02:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12281399 Portugal 03/10/2012 02:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 12282348 United States 03/10/2012 03:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I have two questions: Quoting: Anonymous Coward 3487467 Should we lock up our pets? Will they attack us? Will any of this when it get here effect the human heart? The rythem or anything? THere is alot of speculations like the children on star trak that go Bonk Bonk all the time....remember that episode? LOL Your pets will be fine. These things have happened since the Earth was created. There's been some research to suggest an increase in heart attacks or strokes due to geomagnetic storms. The evidence is spotty and not a lot studies have been done on this (that I know of). Most of what you hear is hearsay. If you have a pacemaker or heart problems, what could you do anyway? The Moon is not a good place to hide...even less protection from radiation there. You may get a headache, but you'll be fine. Astronauts, on the other hand, are in deep doo-doo IMO. [link to www.bibliotecapleyades.net] [link to www.spacedaily.com] I don't vouch for the veracity of these articles, but I put the info out there for consideration. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 3487467 United States 03/10/2012 03:02 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I have two questions: Quoting: Anonymous Coward 3487467 Should we lock up our pets? Will they attack us? Will any of this when it get here effect the human heart? The rythem or anything? THere is alot of speculations like the children on star trak that go Bonk Bonk all the time....remember that episode? LOL Your pets will be fine. These things have happened since the Earth was created. There's been some research to suggest an increase in heart attacks or strokes due to geomagnetic storms. The evidence is spotty and not a lot studies have been done on this (that I know of). Most of what you hear is hearsay. If you have a pacemaker or heart problems, what could you do anyway? The Moon is not a good place to hide...even less protection from radiation there. You may get a headache, but you'll be fine. Astronauts, on the other hand, are in deep doo-doo IMO. [link to www.bibliotecapleyades.net] [link to www.spacedaily.com] I don't vouch for the veracity of these articles, but I put the info out there for consideration. Thank you so much, I was worried for a minute. I understand. |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 12282348 United States 03/10/2012 03:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1941940 United States 03/10/2012 03:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12281399 Portugal 03/10/2012 03:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12226168 United States 03/10/2012 03:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
EndOfAll User ID: 6088309 United States 03/10/2012 03:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4 Serial Number: 362 Issue Time: 2012 Mar 10 1818 UTC ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission Begin Time: 2012 Mar 10 1729 UTC Comment: Associated with M8 event from Rgn 1429 (N18W23) Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms. Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF Serial Number: 168 Issue Time: 2012 Mar 10 1726 UTC ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5 Threshold Reached: 2012 Mar 10 1725 UTC NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] EndOfAll |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12281399 Portugal 03/10/2012 03:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
MARsSPEED User ID: 1492929 United States 03/10/2012 03:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here is some good news. The latest prediction model shows the CME due to hit sometime tomorrow to just a glancing blow. No longer smack on the nose! [link to solarham.com] |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 12282348 United States 03/10/2012 03:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SolarHam.com There have been C-Class flares in the past that has produced bigger CMEs than some of the X-Class flares. Each flare is very different. Here is a video I made on the X28 Solar Flare from back in 2003. [link to www.youtube.com] Quoting: Luisport That's right, the CME effects have no direct correlation to the amount of X-ray output. These last two M's could have a much bigger punch than the X5 CME we just had. frankly ,I'm a bit nervous about this one. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 8417061 United States 03/10/2012 03:40 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12226168 United States 03/10/2012 03:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here is some good news. The latest prediction model shows the CME due to hit sometime tomorrow to just a glancing blow. No longer smack on the nose! Quoting: MARsSPEED 1492929 [link to solarham.com] It's a simulated prediction from NASA. I always question simulations, especially from NASA, LOL. I believe that last hit was predicted to be a "glancing " blow also, but somehow they were freaked out enough to broadcast it on MSM. Fact is someone from NASA admitted they have no real way to know the impact until it arrives. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1437851 United States 03/10/2012 03:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here is some good news. The latest prediction model shows the CME due to hit sometime tomorrow to just a glancing blow. No longer smack on the nose! Quoting: MARsSPEED 1492929 [link to solarham.com] I hate to tell you this but that simulation has had cmes missing us completely then we got pounded. I quit paying attn. to that SIMULATION awhile ago |
Starwind User ID: 12283057 United States 03/10/2012 03:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here is some good news. The latest prediction model shows the CME due to hit sometime tomorrow to just a glancing blow. No longer smack on the nose! Quoting: MARsSPEED 1492929 [link to solarham.com] It's a simulated prediction from NASA. I always question simulations, especially from NASA, LOL. I believe that last hit was predicted to be a "glancing " blow also, but somehow they were freaked out enough to broadcast it on MSM. Fact is someone from NASA admitted they have no real way to know the impact until it arrives. I can't know every tool in use but it seems like the only thing we really have that is accurate is the fact that we can tell 1) whether or not they actually happened 2) the speed of them (give or take 5-8 hour margin of errors) 3) the general direction of them I don't trust that forecast track to predict that it's density will break up to such a level by the time it reaches us, the only thing I look at the forecast tracks for are if they actually hit the globe, after that all you can do is wait until they do hit to see the effects. |
Starwind User ID: 12283057 United States 03/10/2012 03:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12226168 United States 03/10/2012 04:01 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here is some good news. The latest prediction model shows the CME due to hit sometime tomorrow to just a glancing blow. No longer smack on the nose! Quoting: MARsSPEED 1492929 [link to solarham.com] It's a simulated prediction from NASA. I always question simulations, especially from NASA, LOL. I believe that last hit was predicted to be a "glancing " blow also, but somehow they were freaked out enough to broadcast it on MSM. Fact is someone from NASA admitted they have no real way to know the impact until it arrives. I can't know every tool in use but it seems like the only thing we really have that is accurate is the fact that we can tell 1) whether or not they actually happened 2) the speed of them (give or take 5-8 hour margin of errors) 3) the general direction of them I don't trust that forecast track to predict that it's density will break up to such a level by the time it reaches us, the only thing I look at the forecast tracks for are if they actually hit the globe, after that all you can do is wait until they do hit to see the effects. I personally like it, it at least let's me know what general direction it's going in, in the first place. But, when it's that big, and just seems to part ways just before hitting Earth ??? I'm a little more skeptical in it's authenticity. |