SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

Nice one

Well there are different version some scientist speak about a eleven year cycle


The entire structure of the Sun's global magnetic field changes on an 11 year cycle. Every 11 years, the Sun moves through a period of fewer, smaller sunspots, prominences, and flares - called a "solar minimum" - and a period of more, larger sunspots, prominences and flares - called a "solar maximum." A maximum and a minimum, taken together, make up one solar cycle. During the 11 years, the strongest magnetic fields (in sunspots) slowly migrate towards the Sun's equator from locations about midway to the Sun's poles. After 11 years, when the next cycle starts, the magnetic field poles are reversed.


In the late 1600's (A.D. 1645-1715) the cycle ceased briefly in what is known as the Maunder Minimum. It coincided with a period of colder-than-average temperatures in northern Europe called the Little Ice Age. Neither the Maunder Minimum nor the 11 year cycle is fully understood


Here's a nice PDF Maunder Minimum:
[link to www.nswp.gov]

















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there is a nice app out:


[link to www.youtube.com]

Get the app for free: [link to svs.gsfc.nasa.gov]

.... even in the last cycle we were only given information from MSM. We certainly didn't have the data streamed into our living rooms to observe and see for ourselves. Let's be honest, unless you subscribe to a site like this, or work at NASA, where would you get your information even today ? NBC ???

AR1455 seems to be decaying and regions 1454,56, 57, and 58 have pretty much disappeared. AR1459 in the SE looks big and strong, but we haven't seen much flaring so far.
:1459HMIIC:

The new region responsible for the "over the limb" flares is now right on the limb and it looks very large.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SIDC is predicting weak effects from the slow halo CME on April 18-19. From the daily SIDC bulletin-

COMMENT: Solar activity is low with only few C-class flares during the
past 24 hours. The returning NOAA AR 1449 (Catania 02) has beta magnetic
field configuration and has a potential for C-class and small chances
for a M-class flares. After the passage of the high-speed stream the
solar wind speed has decreased to the value of about 370 km/s. The
geomagnetic conditions are quiet. The arrival of the partial halo CME
from April 15 is expected on April 18 or early on April 19. We do not
expect strongly disturbed geomagnetic conditions (K index maximum 4) due
to the slow speed of the CME.
[link to sidc.oma.be]

Here's the CACTus details of that CME on the 15th:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

And SEEDS movie:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]

well done hugh!

we have another filament lift off this time southwest

cme is shown up now on stereo ahead imagery

put it in a short vid


[link to www.youtube.com]



Here's a close up from the latest drop southwest

[link to www.youtube.com]

Why are the sunspots decaying when they come into earth's view. /Some of them were just formed few days back. What is happeneing.Any explanation for this???

If anyone would like to continue to view coronal cavities as anything other than an interesting, well studied solar feature, please be consistent and address CME's as Cookie Monster Emmision.

This took two hours... bored now... must go to work.

--
thanks AC

wow that should end that.
if you were member karma for all that!

Last Edited by psyoptics on 04/16/2012 11:29 AM

well,

they are not all decaying if they turn on the visible disc

Region 1455 for example which is the largest visible group now increased in size slightly yesterday

It is now a DSI type group at 170 millionths in size

Region 1459 also increased in size yesterday from a HRX type group at 30 millionths to a DSI type group at 80 millionths

All the other groups should little change, if any. No new regions were numbered

We can see right now the first signs of old region 1442 and it will soon aproach the east limb

We know this region was very active last days(flaring,cme's)


Another important thing on this is the latitude^^

It's just the nature of solar weather. Strong magnetic fields pop up and decay much like thunderstorms on Earth. Some may produce lightening or tornadoes (flares and CMEs) and others just a brief shower. Some large storms such as AR1429 are more powerful and longer-lasting and are akin to large typhoons or hurricanes. I can't think of any better analogy. This is why we observe and try to forecast space weather; like terrestrial weather, it's always changing.



[link to www.youtube.com]

Finally some action!
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

C 8.6 right now and rising.

Make that M

Last Edited by MrAC2U on 04/16/2012 01:35 PM

damn nice


M 1.7
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


and from old region 1442 its rotating in on the eastern limb
[link to lasp.colorado.edu]


due to the location, the flare would be much larger on a more earth view postition

SAM

:mflareapril16201:



holy shit



and a pretty large eruption too


WATCH THIS latest SDO AIA Image:





[link to lasp.colorado.edu]



Here's the Helioviewer link SDO AIA 304 (you can zoom in and out!)
[link to helioviewer.org]



Update newer one!!!!!!
[link to helioviewer.org]



[link to www.youtube.com]

WOW

H Alpha Movie w/Auto Reload -- Big Bear
[link to halpha.nso.edu]


our old friend knows how to say "hello again"

[link to spaceweather.com]

love to see them in action!!!!!


and check this shake out!!!

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
turn auto reload off 2012 04 16 17:00 to 19:00


but there is a good explosion in there.

Last Edited by psyoptics on 04/16/2012 02:21 PM

here is a good one from about 2:45pm EST
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

Eastern Limb Eruption Photo
[link to solarham.com]

=========================================================

Wow, that's a pretty big flare! It's kinda rare to see that kind of eruption on the Big Bear H-alpha scope. I think it's been 3 weeks or more since we had an M-flare. This should look spectacular on the SOHO Cor 2 (whenever it updates). Great job, IWTB and all of the other folks who contribute. Peace.

holy mother of.....
[link to www.spaceweather.com]

I think this is what i saw this afternoon!!!!!
[link to www.spaceweather.com]
SPECTACULAR EXPLOSION: Magnetic fields on the sun's northeastern limb erupted around 17:45 UT on April 16th, producing one of the most visually-spectacular explosions in years. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the blast at extreme ultraviolet wavelengths:
EDIT this link not working
the view from SDO

use the link on spaceweather
A CME produced by the blast is likely to hit NASA's STEREO-B spacecraft, but probably no planets

wow.
this is what is coming around our way.
[link to sidc.oma.be]
going to be a good time now.

Last Edited by psyoptics on 04/16/2012 06:44 PM

That is one incredible picture! WOW!!!

[link to lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil]

takes a bit sry^^



[link to www.youtube.com]

Great summary of everything! Thanks IWTB! Great Job!

TBar1984 just uploaded a video:
[link to www.youtube.com]
The Sky & Sun on April 15th 2012
Current Starry Night Sky and Alignments with a look at the Sun with JHelioviewer.

A very interesting PDF from NASA that is great!!
Apparent Relations Between Solar Activity and Solar Tides Caused by the Planets: [link to www.warwickhughes.com]

Constraints on the location of a putative distant massive body in the Solar System from recent planetary data: [link to arxiv.org]
Thanks to Tbar1984

R WE GOING TO BE OK.

Here's the view from JHelioviewer, nice one:

Great reportage everyone. Thanks for your efforts.

SDO lmsal liked this flare so much that they posted 2 pages of vids. Page 2 via 3rd vid strip.

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

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NOAA has numbered the new active region AR1460. No, not THAT new active region, the other one sprouting at 40 degrees northeast.

"Hey, we're a bunch of high-paid government retards here at NOAA. It takes all day Mondays to come up with one good number. We do it by committee over six pots of coffee. Hell, we already have an idea set for tomorrow's number."

Here's my resume, dumbfucks;...big new active region to named.......................aham,....AR1461.

Sometimes the bureaucratic stupidity of NASA and NOAA just fuel the fires of conspiracy theories and cover-ups. Mostly, though, it's over-paid and over-"educated" bungling civil service flunkies. It would be funny if I wasn't about to scream with rage.

Anyway, to the east of AR1460 (which has popped up in just 10 hours) is our M-flaring region of interest (AR1461???). It would stand to reason that there must more to this region than the one spot we see so far.
:1460_HMII:

:Product: Solar Region Summary
:Issued: 2012 Apr 17 0030 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 108 Issued at 0030Z on 17 Apr 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 16 Apr
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 16/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1455 N06W59 206 0200 Fsi 17 16 Beta
1457 N20E03 144 0010 Axx 02 01 Alpha
1458 N06E41 106 0010 Bxo 09 02 Beta
1459 S15E56 091 0260 Fhi 18 12 Beta
1460 N15E40 107 0020 Cro 02 05
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 16/2400Z Apr
Nmbr Location Lo
1454 S12W14 162
1456 S20W75 223
II. Regions Due to Return 17 Apr to 19 Apr
Nmbr Lat Lo
1445 S22 044
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

(notice no mention of the actively flaring region! sheesh)

:4/16cme:

Hugh along with the vast helpful info, you can be pretty damn funny sometimes, nasa and the noaa piss me off too