SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 5002507 United States 04/22/2012 06:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>> User ID: 1031150 United States 04/22/2012 06:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I haven't been around for a while...spring time always has me running...plus we had last week off from work because of tornado damage my workplace...got diagnosed with lyme disease last friday..wtf if it isnt one thing its another..lol... Been keeping an eye on the sun regardless...some nice looking sunspots hanging around no doubt..ii kinda expected more action out of them... |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 14823251 United States 04/22/2012 07:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I haven't been around for a while...spring time always has me running...plus we had last week off from work because of tornado damage my workplace...got diagnosed with lyme disease last friday..wtf if it isnt one thing its another..lol... Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> Been keeping an eye on the sun regardless...some nice looking sunspots hanging around no doubt..ii kinda expected more action out of them... Hey, great to see ya Look'n. Sorry to hear about the Lymes and tornadoes. I didn't know that Lymes ranged that far west. What town got the tornado? Anyway, much prayers and healing to ya, sun-friend. Be well. |
tomasgod1 User ID: 11714381 United States 04/22/2012 07:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | good morning everyone! Quoting: NiNzrez i finally got my pc working again yay! i have missed you all and hope everyone is doing good and it looks like im back just in time for a good sized flare event chances of flare from 1459: 62% chance of M flare 57% chance of X flare chances of flare from 1465: 52% chance of M flare 41% chance of X flare [link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk] _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 14823251 United States 04/22/2012 07:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | At 147, this is the highest Sunspot Number we've seen for at least a couple of months and probably for 2012. When the Behemoth 1429 was menacing us back in early March, the SS # only got up to 86. UPDATE:Out of curiosity I downloaded the Official SIDC Sunspot Numbers for 2012. And this is by far the largest number. The highest SS# this year was a 95 on Jan. 16th and the lowest was a 09 on Feb. 8th. AR1463 is leaving us now over the limb, soon to be followed by 1462. By way of correction, the CME I posted about earlier was caused by a filament eruption and seemed to be aided by C-flare from 1463. Originally I incorrectly thought the flare produced the CME; but after reviewing the highlight reels, it seems that the prominence was already on the move before the flare. SDO/AIA close-up movie of 1463's C1.8 flare coinciding with nearby filament activity: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com] As the aforementioned active regions leave the scene, we a new growing region (1466?) in the NE. Also two more active regions are soon coming over the eastern horizon--one in the south and one in the north. The SDO 171a image shows a definite trans-equatorial connection between the two. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 04/22/2012 07:46 PM |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 14823251 United States 04/22/2012 08:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | At 147, this is the highest Sunspot Number we've seen for at least a couple of months and probably for 2012. When the Behemoth 1429 was menacing us back in early March, the SS # only got up to 86. Quoting: Hugh M Eye UPDATE:Out of curiosity I downloaded the Official SIDC Sunspot Numbers for 2012. And this is by far the largest number. The highest SS# this year was a 95 on Jan. 16th and the lowest was a 09 on Feb. 8th. AR1463 is leaving us now over the limb, soon to be followed by 1462. By way of correction, the CME I posted about earlier was caused by a filament eruption and seemed to be aided by C-flare from 1463. Originally I incorrectly thought the flare produced the CME; but after reviewing the highlight reels, it seems that the prominence was already on the move before the flare. SDO/AIA close-up movie of 1463's C1.8 flare coinciding with nearby filament activity: [link to sdowww.lmsal.com] As the aforementioned active regions leave the scene, we a new growing region (1466?) in the NE. Also two more active regions are soon coming over the eastern horizon--one in the south and one in the north. The SDO 171a image shows a definite trans-equatorial connection between the two. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] SUNSPOT NUMBER-UPDATE II: Out of curiosity (again) I went back to check the Sunspot Numbers for 2011. The highest Sunspot Number for 2011 was a 136 on October 21st. Only 30 times did the SS# reach triple-digits. This makes Friday's number of 162 a new high for Solar Cycle 24! I only wish we had some big flares to match. |
Vesper33 User ID: 5245441 United States 04/22/2012 08:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 14823251 United States 04/22/2012 08:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | TO HELL WITH SUNSPOT NUMBERS! - UPDATE III From SIDC's Official Numbers for Oct. 18-24, 2011- 20111018 2011.795 109 73 36 20111019 2011.797 99 61 38 20111020 2011.800 128 83 45 20111021 2011.803 136 90 46 20111022 2011.806 122 87 35 20111023 2011.808 94 77 17 20111024 2011.811 91 79 12 Spaceweather.com's SS# for Oct 21 is 207! WTF? Do they just make up these numbers and then change them later? Yep, so it seems. I knew I recalled a 200 number at some point, that's why I went back and checked the records; and I was puzzled to find 136 as the highest number for 2011. So..... [link to www.spaceweather.com] CONCLUSION:These sunspot numbers are a load of horseshit! Firstly, it's an arcane and convoluted formula which only makes sense a few Belgian know-it-alls (these guys still do quaint pencil sketches at their telescopes just like Mr. Carrington in the 1850's). Secondly, these numbers take no account of the far-side half of the Sun. (off-topic-I think that far-side acoustic imaging is crock, too). Thirdly, these traditional dogmas and catechisms only occasionally reflect the true activity of the Sun. How many large spots have gone quietly across the sun's face with nary a spark or two. And sometimes a small region produces an M-flare unexpectedly. Now, I've gotta headache and I blame the Belgians! Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 04/22/2012 08:39 PM |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 04/22/2012 08:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Arr. Filamentssssssss: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Wierdness on the North-East of the Disc: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] 1459 go Boom yet? The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
MamaHasAwakened User ID: 5426767 United States 04/22/2012 08:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I haven't been around for a while...spring time always has me running...plus we had last week off from work because of tornado damage my workplace...got diagnosed with lyme disease last friday..wtf if it isnt one thing its another..lol... Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> Been keeping an eye on the sun regardless...some nice looking sunspots hanging around no doubt..ii kinda expected more action out of them... HI Look N, Sorry to hear about all of that! Hope it is not too painful for you! Sending good thoughts your way! I have been watching that x ray flux chart too, waiting for some big flares. I keep thinking they are gonna come anytime now! Hmmmm! Hope you feel better soon! |
shadasonic User ID: 10309055 United States 04/22/2012 09:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This looked interesting [link to www.iris.edu] “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Mad Matt User ID: 5002507 United States 04/22/2012 09:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Mad Matt User ID: 5002507 United States 04/22/2012 09:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TBar1984 User ID: 13725461 United States 04/22/2012 09:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here's the article at WUWT. I suggest you consider what Dr. Leif Svalgaard say's in his comment: Astronomers: World may be entering period of global cooling [link to wattsupwiththat.com] "Leif Svalgaard says: April 21, 2012 at 10:42 am There are curious differences between the Japanese and English versions of the press release. The Japanese versions abounds with incorrect claims of priority and the usual ‘never seen before’ stuff. The fact is that it is quite normal that the polar fields reverse at different times. This was noted in the very first observations of a polar field reversal [link to www.leif.org] We have seen the North pole reversal coming for some time, e.g. AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, 5-9 December, 2011, Early Reversal of the Sun’s Polar Field – Is Solar Cycle 24 Already Peaking?, J T. Hoeksema, SH33A-2044. The Japanese data is just confirmation of what has been known for a long time and does not call for any revisions of current theories. Currently, the two poles have the same polarity and there are two equatorial patches with the opposite polarity: [link to www.leif.org] but this is nothing new. Science by press release is bad style." The 2011 article on the AAS Meeting; [link to www.space.com] For anyone still interested in this, DR. Strong just released a video explaining that two solar poles having the same polarity for a while is nothing new; |
shadasonic User ID: 10309055 United States 04/22/2012 10:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here's the article at WUWT. I suggest you consider what Dr. Leif Svalgaard say's in his comment: Astronomers: World may be entering period of global cooling [link to wattsupwiththat.com] "Leif Svalgaard says: April 21, 2012 at 10:42 am There are curious differences between the Japanese and English versions of the press release. The Japanese versions abounds with incorrect claims of priority and the usual ‘never seen before’ stuff. The fact is that it is quite normal that the polar fields reverse at different times. This was noted in the very first observations of a polar field reversal [link to www.leif.org] We have seen the North pole reversal coming for some time, e.g. AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, 5-9 December, 2011, Early Reversal of the Sun’s Polar Field – Is Solar Cycle 24 Already Peaking?, J T. Hoeksema, SH33A-2044. The Japanese data is just confirmation of what has been known for a long time and does not call for any revisions of current theories. Currently, the two poles have the same polarity and there are two equatorial patches with the opposite polarity: [link to www.leif.org] but this is nothing new. Science by press release is bad style." The 2011 article on the AAS Meeting; [link to www.space.com] For anyone still interested in this, DR. Strong just released a video explaining that two solar poles having the same polarity for a while is nothing new; Great video love the butterfly diagrams, visuals do wonders for me! Thanks T Bar! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 04/22/2012 10:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 1459 - SS and Filament of Death: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 04/22/2012 10:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
tarfonwxx User ID: 14740700 Israel 04/22/2012 10:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
joinca User ID: 8793176 United States 04/23/2012 12:04 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: WARSUD Serial Number: 110 Issue Time: 2012 Apr 23 0244 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected Valid From: 2012 Apr 23 0314 UTC >Valid To: 2012 Apr 23 0344 UTC IP Shock Passage Observed: 2012 Apr 23 0227 UTC And this: Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 1911 Issue Time: 2012 Apr 23 0327 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2012 Apr 23 0327 UTC >Valid To: 2012 Apr 23 0800 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 5002507 United States 04/23/2012 01:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 5002507 United States 04/23/2012 01:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during days 1 - 2 (23 - 24 April) with a chance for active levels due mainly to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Weak CME-passage effects are also possible on day 1 from the partial-halo CME observed on 19 April. Field activity is expected to decrease to mostly quiet levels on day 3 (25 April). I guess they were to busy figuring out the next ss#! LOL =P |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>> User ID: 1031150 United States 04/23/2012 05:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I haven't been around for a while...spring time always has me running...plus we had last week off from work because of tornado damage my workplace...got diagnosed with lyme disease last friday..wtf if it isnt one thing its another..lol... Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> Been keeping an eye on the sun regardless...some nice looking sunspots hanging around no doubt..ii kinda expected more action out of them... Hey, great to see ya Look'n. Sorry to hear about the Lymes and tornadoes. I didn't know that Lymes ranged that far west. What town got the tornado? Anyway, much prayers and healing to ya, sun-friend. Be well. Hugh...it was Wichita ks....tore the place up pretty good...i still cant believe nobody got killed...very lucky conssidering it was a night time twister... |
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>> User ID: 1031150 United States 04/23/2012 05:21 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I haven't been around for a while...spring time always has me running...plus we had last week off from work because of tornado damage my workplace...got diagnosed with lyme disease last friday..wtf if it isnt one thing its another..lol... Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> Been keeping an eye on the sun regardless...some nice looking sunspots hanging around no doubt..ii kinda expected more action out of them... HI Look N, Sorry to hear about all of that! Hope it is not too painful for you! Sending good thoughts your way! I have been watching that x ray flux chart too, waiting for some big flares. I keep thinking they are gonna come anytime now! Hmmmm! Hope you feel better soon! Thanks Mama....i get checked every year about this time because i get so many ticks on me whiile mushroom hunting for morels...i havent even had any symptoms yet...got me on a 21 day treatment of antibiotics...hopefully that takes care of it..getting it caught early is a good thing |
shenue User ID: 5263313 United States 04/23/2012 09:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 14910757 United States 04/23/2012 11:46 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: WARSUD Quoting: joinca Serial Number: 110 Issue Time: 2012 Apr 23 0244 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected Valid From: 2012 Apr 23 0314 UTC >Valid To: 2012 Apr 23 0344 UTC IP Shock Passage Observed: 2012 Apr 23 0227 UTC And this: Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 1911 Issue Time: 2012 Apr 23 0327 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2012 Apr 23 0327 UTC >Valid To: 2012 Apr 23 0800 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Nice catch, Joinca. One of those CMEs decided to hit while I was asleep, hehe. |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 14910757 United States 04/23/2012 11:52 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good Morning, Shenue! It seems Boulder has experienced several hours of storm-level (K=5) geomagnetic disturbance. Looks like another wave is hitting now, too. Boulder Magnetometer: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] K-indices: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Electron flux: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Magnetometer: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] And it's snowing in Pittsburgh! |
joinca User ID: 8793176 United States 04/23/2012 12:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hugh Everyone here is so diligent about the sun news. California gives an extra hour and it is nice to be able to contribute! Last Edited by joinca on 04/23/2012 12:32 PM "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
joinca User ID: 8793176 United States 04/23/2012 12:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | An incomplete list of possible Interplanetary Shocks observed by the PM 23 Apr 2012 (DOY 114 0230 UT) zone 4, [link to umtof.umd.edu] The Shockspotter program attempts to identify possible interplanetary shocks using the near-real time data from the CELIAS/MTOF/PM sensor on the SOHO spacecraft. The 3 most recent shock candidates are listed on the PM home page [link to umtof.umd.edu] "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 12844841 United States 04/23/2012 01:01 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Science hit with double flops in a week: no dark matter around Sun, cosmic rays source not Gamma Ray Bursts April 23, 2012 – SPACE - Here’s troubling news in the world of astrophysics, in which astronomers can’t seem to find the dark matter. Source of cosmic rays deepens: The mystery of the origin of the strongest cosmic rays has deepened as new clues into key suspects, the most powerful explosions in the universe, suggest they are likely not potential culprits, researchers say [link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com] |
joinca User ID: 8793176 United States 04/23/2012 01:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Interesting reading WND Standoff over devastating impact of EMP attack Utility report of nominal damage at odds with scientists, engineers. [link to www.wnd.com] "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |