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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
NiNzrez  (OP)

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05/16/2012 11:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
check out the global D saturation map
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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05/16/2012 11:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
This is serious. How much is going to hit. burnit

Are they downplaying this? That's a pic ^ of our electronics. NO? Nin, Hugh, what say you.
Hugh M Eye

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05/16/2012 11:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
GOES 15 back up. Long duration M5.1
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1632671


Congress just came close to giving NOAA's satellites to NASA, but the Obama Admin. stepped in and torpedoed the effort. This is a good example of NOAA being asleep at the wheel (again). They're busy buying drones to track seals in AK, lol. NASA should be running all space operations and then share the data w/NOAA's glorified weathermen.

iamwithalien11

I see no signs of a proton storm yet, though it's a possibility. STEREO A will probably feel the brunt of this CME. This is an extremely large-sized eruption!

SDO/AIA 131:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SDO/AIA 94a:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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05/16/2012 11:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Def alot of energy under that thing for sure.
El Quisqueyano

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05/16/2012 11:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
So, you pros, how big do you think it actually was? I know, it is a guess but at this point we only have guesstimates!

Me? X4
 Quoting: whiteangel


i would say your close thats for sure
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Check these out around the same time frame;

Thursday May 17 2012, 02:45:14 UTC 21 minutes ago Celebes Sea 4.7 13.4 USGS Feed Detail
Thursday May 17 2012, 02:34:14 UTC 32 minutes ago San Juan, Argentina 4.4 98.3 USGS
NiNzrez  (OP)

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05/16/2012 11:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
This is serious. How much is going to hit. burnit

Are they downplaying this? That's a pic ^ of our electronics. NO? Nin, Hugh, what say you.
 Quoting: finley


still going over data.....
Anonymous Coward
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05/16/2012 11:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
thanks Nin. I'm looking but cannot see like you can.
Anonymous Coward
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05/16/2012 11:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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05/16/2012 11:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M5.1 lol

Doom off.s226
Anonymous Coward
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05/16/2012 11:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M5.1 lol

Doom off.s226
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14218113


Oh wells. Back to Ghost Hunters.
Hugh M Eye

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05/16/2012 11:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Oops, by the time I typed my post the protons are flyin' all over the place. Now I have proton-egg on my face, haha. Nice call there, Spittin', are you psychic? I did check with ACE and NOAA and SOHO BEFORE I began typing. If this flare happened a few days ago, I'd be at the 24-hr. Walmart too. If we're getting that much "snow" on the SOHO C2, then this CME is already geoeffective.
explosionahhhabomb

hidinghidinghidingwtfhiding
Anonymous Coward
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05/16/2012 11:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
check out the global D saturation map
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


AaaaaaaaaaaaHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH is lapping at my feet.

hiding
OVRANALYZE

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05/16/2012 11:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Oops, by the time I typed my post the protons are flyin' all over the place. Now I have proton-egg on my face, haha. Nice call there, Spittin', are you psychic? I did check with ACE and NOAA and SOHO BEFORE I began typing. If this flare happened a few days ago, I'd be at the 24-hr. Walmart too. If we're getting that much "snow" on the SOHO C2, then this CME is already geoeffective.
explosionahhhabomb

hidinghidinghidingwtfhiding
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


yea that's what i was thinking too
whiteangel
also known at WA

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05/16/2012 11:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Is it climbing again?
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
Anonymous Coward
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05/16/2012 11:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Is it climbing again?
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel


Nah, that's just a running average correction from when they shifted all the preliminary data down. :)
NiNzrez  (OP)

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05/16/2012 11:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
kk so here is an image of the flare for 01:47, the time they say the flare peaked
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
and here is one for 02:01, over 20min after they say the flare peaked
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

if you open the 2 in seperate tabs, and toggle between the 2, you can clearly see the flare was stronger at 02:01
eclectic mind

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05/16/2012 11:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
whiteangel
also known at WA

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05/16/2012 11:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
kk so here is an image of the flare for 01:47, the time they say the flare peaked
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
and here is one for 02:01, over 20min after they say the flare peaked
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

if you open the 2 in seperate tabs, and toggle between the 2, you can clearly see the flare was stronger at 02:01
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Very true!
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
Anonymous Coward
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05/16/2012 11:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
kk so here is an image of the flare for 01:47, the time they say the flare peaked
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
and here is one for 02:01, over 20min after they say the flare peaked
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

if you open the 2 in seperate tabs, and toggle between the 2, you can clearly see the flare was stronger at 02:01
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Agreed. Thanks. Looking at the soho movie, it looks like a good size x. Snow more than x5. What do you think?
Anonymous Coward
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05/16/2012 11:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Another interesting piece to the May 20th puzzle? Assuming that it takes that long to get here... hmmm. Just speculating
Anonymous Coward
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05/16/2012 11:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I know I really can't tell. Does anyone have a pic of the x24 from uh was it, 03??
Hugh M Eye

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05/16/2012 11:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The ACE satellite ALSO had a data gap at the time of the flare! After came back @2:45, the high-energy protons had jumped two levels.

ACE High Energy Protons plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Same thing w/ the Low Energy Protons:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE Electrons & Protons plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
alone
NiNzrez  (OP)

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05/16/2012 11:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
kk so here is an image of the flare for 01:47, the time they say the flare peaked
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
and here is one for 02:01, over 20min after they say the flare peaked
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

if you open the 2 in seperate tabs, and toggle between the 2, you can clearly see the flare was stronger at 02:01
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Agreed. Thanks. Looking at the soho movie, it looks like a good size x. Snow more than x5. What do you think?
 Quoting: finley


ah man so hard to tell
all i can say, is it was bigger than than M5.1
how much bigger is anyones guess
NiNzrez  (OP)

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05/16/2012 11:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I know I really can't tell. Does anyone have a pic of the x24 from uh was it, 03??
 Quoting: finley


here is that one, much bigger
[link to spark.ucar.edu (secure)]
whiteangel
also known at WA

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05/16/2012 11:57 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I know I really can't tell. Does anyone have a pic of the x24 from uh was it, 03??
 Quoting: finley


here is that one, much bigger
[link to spark.ucar.edu (secure)]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


page not found?
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
Anonymous Coward
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05/16/2012 11:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thanks. I should know you'd have it. LOL. Now if I could only type that in my address bar. Ha. hfhf
NiNzrez  (OP)

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05/16/2012 11:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
updated the blog with a bunch of info on this event
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 05/16/2012 11:59 PM
NiNzrez  (OP)

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05/17/2012 12:00 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I know I really can't tell. Does anyone have a pic of the x24 from uh was it, 03??
 Quoting: finley


here is that one, much bigger
[link to spark.ucar.edu (secure)]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


page not found?
 Quoting: whiteangel


google image "x flare 2003"
whiteangel
also known at WA

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05/17/2012 12:01 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
eclectic mind

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05/17/2012 12:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
wth is this, picture from 2002..

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]





GLP