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Message Subject SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Poster Handle Hugh M Eye
Post Content
The Boulder Magnetometer Kp Index got up to a 5, but is now near 1; so I guess our weak disturbance is winding down now.

Boulder Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA's Geomagnetic K-Indices:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

On the NASA magnetosphere simulation cygnet I notice an anomaly at approx. 22:00 ( NOAA reported the shock at 2:15, so I'm not sure what happened @ 22:00) and little heating-up at around 3:00 on:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

I'm a little mystified by the lack of activity in the southern hemisphere. Only active regions 1478 & 1483 remain and they seem to lack the "right stuff". Maybe the long, extended minimum has put the Sun in a lazy, slo-motion climb to maximum. Of course things may change in an few hours. Some more active regions are soon coming over the limb. It looks like a north-south interacting combo, with the southern region being larger. They should be quite visible within 24hrs.

Look at 90 degrees east on the Carrington EUV projection:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SDO/AIA 171 image shows the N-S connection:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

The X-ray flux has been flat-lining again. AR1484 is sitting right between 2 coronal holes and I think we may see more activity there. The one coronal hole is right on the equator (very rare!) and will definitely affect the magnetosphere on the 22nd (or I'll deny everything). I just have a hunch that 1484 may surprise us.

SDO Composite shows coronal holes and active regions:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 
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