SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

Hugh gotta ?, seems filaments are becoming so much more prevalent, is this normal for a max. Several 'experts' say no, seems just part of the flip to me?

Hi, shadasonic, sorry I missed your question earlier ( I've been working to rehabilitate my long-neglected guitars). I don't think we're seeing any more filaments than is usual. I've noticed, however, sometimes we see increased waves of filaments for a week or two (usually during a lull in flare activity). It's hard to find coherent (for the non-physicist) readable info on filament formation. Filaments are another of the Sun's many mysteries that have yet to be adequately explained by today's astro-physicists.

What we know is that filaments are attached at the surface (photosphere) and extend high into the corona. They are magnetically-suspended threads of cooler plasma and sometimes can remain stable for weeks or months. Helio-physicists can see them and measure them and write nifty equations about them; but so far I can't find one good explanation of how or why they form. But here's a sampling of what I dug up.....

"Filaments last for a few weeks or months. The gas in a filament will eventually move to a different layer in the Sun and will no longer be visible in an image of the chromosphere. But at the same time, other gas may move into the chromosphere and create a new filament someplace else. The birth and death of filaments is a mystery and the subject of ongoing study by solar scientists."

[link to solar.physics.montana.edu]

"Prominences are anchored to the Sun's surface in the photosphere, and extend outwards into the Sun's corona. While the corona consists of extremely hot ionized gases, known as plasma, which do not emit much visible light, prominences contain much cooler plasma, similar in composition to that of the chromosphere. A prominence forms over timescales of about a day, and stable prominences may persist in the corona for several months. Some prominences break apart and give rise to coronal mass ejections. Scientists are currently researching how and why prominences are formed."

[link to en.wikipedia.org (secure)]

More on Filaments and Prominences-

[link to solar.physics.montana.edu]

Folks into really big words and convoluted sentence structure, here are some scholarly physics papers about various aspects of filaments:

[link to solarphysics.livingreviews.org]

[link to adsabs.harvard.edu]

[link to www.agu.org]

AGU wants to charge me $25 just to read their stupid bullshit paper. Whatever happened to the internet being a free, worldwide library to share knowledge and ideas. I'm waiting for NASA, NOAA, HAARP, and Lockheed to start charging to see their info (they're already well-overpaid by US taxpayers).Ugh.
Maybe NICT simulation will come back as pay-per-view, LOL.

The Boulder Magnetometer Kp Index got up to a 5, but is now near 1; so I guess our weak disturbance is winding down now.

Boulder Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NOAA's Geomagnetic K-Indices:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

On the NASA magnetosphere simulation cygnet I notice an anomaly at approx. 22:00 ( NOAA reported the shock at 2:15, so I'm not sure what happened @ 22:00) and little heating-up at around 3:00 on:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

I'm a little mystified by the lack of activity in the southern hemisphere. Only active regions 1478 & 1483 remain and they seem to lack the "right stuff". Maybe the long, extended minimum has put the Sun in a lazy, slo-motion climb to maximum. Of course things may change in an few hours. Some more active regions are soon coming over the limb. It looks like a north-south interacting combo, with the southern region being larger. They should be quite visible within 24hrs.

Look at 90 degrees east on the Carrington EUV projection:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

SDO/AIA 171 image shows the N-S connection:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

The X-ray flux has been flat-lining again. AR1484 is sitting right between 2 coronal holes and I think we may see more activity there. The one coronal hole is right on the equator (very rare!) and will definitely affect the magnetosphere on the 22nd (or I'll deny everything). I just have a hunch that 1484 may surprise us.

SDO Composite shows coronal holes and active regions:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Good Morning all---Just wanted to be one of the first to say good morning on the last day of our lives..lmao...may 20th doom and I`m at work..lol..Have a great day everybody..

WOW, I've been very busy and somehow missed this eyebrow-raising story-

Solar storms directly cause conflict, wars and even death among humans on Earth.

The sun’s activity, as it interacts with the Earth’s magnetic field, effect extensive changes in human being’s perspectives, moods, emotions and behavioral patterns.

During solar minimums and maximums the geomagnetic fields begin to intensify. The magnetic fields interact with human electrochemically within the brain. It affects psychological mechanisms creating anomalous hormonal swings and significantly mutated brain-wave activity.

Must Read Here:
[link to www.wakingtimes.com]

When I searched for this story, GLP came up as a top link however the post had no replies....hmmmm. Forgive me if it was already mentioned here, but I try to read every post if possible.

Good morning, Look'n, you're up early for an astronomer. I'm just getting ready to pass out, haha. What doom do you speak of? I've been out of the doom-loop lately. I hope you get some pics of the eclipse today, my optical and sensual efforts have been stymied lately and there's a good chance of clouds here. I'll be very disappointed after driving 1800 miles...I don't even care if I go blind. Here's the link for the Mount Fuji Eclipse cam:

[link to panasonic.net]

The Hong Kong webcast of solar eclipse:

[link to www.weather.gov.hk]

Oh c`mon man haven`t ya seen all the May 20th hype..lol...EQ doom mostly...It`s suppose to be cloudy here which will bum me out if we miss the eclipse...I got to get a solar filter for my scope...expensive for an 8 inch...had to work this weekend unfortunately...

off topic but, get some 'baader solar film' cheap and easy to make something for your scope.. i did the same 2 weeks ago..

Quake activity picking up. 6 in Japan and a 6.1 in Italy.

Look at the aftershocks of the Italy quake!
Last count there were 35.

[link to www.emsc-csem.org]

INTERPLANETARY SHOCK WAVE: An interpanetary shock wave possibly associated with the M5-class solar flare of May 17th swept past Earth on May 20th around 0200 UT. The shock's arrival caused geomagnetic activity around the poles, but so far no reports of high-latitude auroras.

[link to spaceweather.com]

and we joke about feel this here all the time.

i beleive it and always have.
we are waterbased electric creatures...how could it not effect us!

Last Edited by psyoptics on 05/20/2012 10:02 AM

just so people coming here later can see. the right page
[link to spaceweather.com]

and there was a large cosmic ray spike at the same time.
odd
[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]
look at the south pole
[link to neutronm.bartol.udel.edu]

Last Edited by psyoptics on 05/20/2012 01:04 PM

Cool...Thanks...I will check into it

Good morning everyone ....

Couple earthquakes for doomsday, the sun is behaving for us today however.

Good Morning all. Some very interesting posts here.

An incomplete list of possible Interplanetary Shocks observed by the PM
The Shockspotter program attempts to identify possible interplanetary shocks using the near-real time data from the CELIAS/MTOF/PM sensor on the SOHO spacecraft. The 3 most recent shock candidates are listed on the PM home page. An archival history file, using only the final science data files, is updated weekly.
[link to umtof.umd.edu]

20 May 2012 (DOY 141 0144 UT) zone 1,
[link to umtof.umd.edu]

From the Spaceweather.com site
An animated eclipse map prepared by Larry Koehn of ShadowandSubstance.com shows the best times to look. In the United States, the eclipse begins at 5:30 pm PDT and lasts for two hours. Around 6:30 pm PDT, the afternoon sun will become a luminous ring in places such as Medford, Oregon; Chico, California; Reno, Nevada; St. George, Utah; Albuquerque, New Mexico, and Lubbock, Texas. Outside the narrow center line, the eclipse will be partial. Observers almost everywhere west of the Mississippi will see a crescent-shaped sun as the Moon passes by off-center.
>>Pick a State in the USA to see the annular eclipse animation: [link to shadowandsubstance.com]

There was a huge amount of energy last night, had frequencies that were waking me up, and heavy pressure headaches, frequencies are back today. Reminds me of 432mhz, type tone, who knows maybe i'm just going crazy. Alcyone will be lining up with old Sol here pretty soon,maybe these vibes are photonic!

When??

Yes When????????

Getting crowded in C3... Mercury entering the field of view, stage right...

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

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Damn, I shouda went to Santa Fe to view the eclipse. It's getting cloudy here in CO and I can't access any of the live-feed webcasts (pages won't load). The Hong Kong page looks all dark. I guess it's cloudy there, too.

This stream was no good from Japan but in 1.5 hrs. they plan to stream live from the US.

[link to events.slooh.com]

I'll probably watch it on the Big Bear Observatory camera on the GONG Network.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

The Japan feeds from SLOOH seem to be working now. Click the arrows for your choice of cams.

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[link to www.youtube.com]

i'm watching this link for the eclipse.. [link to www.ustream.tv] it looks like there are flares going on all around the sun??

Bush... 40 Miles From The Sun...

[link to www.youtube.com]

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The eclipse here in ks was very cool right at sunset..about the lower left half was covered....could see it without any sunglasses since it was setting...

lucky you!!