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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Spittin'Cesium

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05/22/2012 01:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We are riding a storm now,no? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Or just a glancing blow?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Hugh M Eye

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05/22/2012 02:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We are riding a storm now,no? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Or just a glancing blow?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


No storm really, just a minor disturbance. I think it's winding down now. Boulder K-index has dropped from 4 to 1.6 now:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

HINODE SATELLITE IMAGE OF ECLIPSE

[link to www.flickr.com]

Over 700 Eclipse photos here:

[link to www.flickr.com]
Anonymous Coward
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05/22/2012 02:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
bump
Hugh M Eye

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05/22/2012 08:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
After an unexplained time gap NOAA has re-issued spaceweather alert-

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 1933
Issue Time: 2012 May 22 1858 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2012 May 22 1857 UTC
Valid To: 2012 May 23 0700 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I'm not sure why they call it "onset" when unsettled conditions have persisted for 24 hours or more. The homeless could do as good a job as NOAA tracking spaceweather conditions. In fact, they have! I've been mostly homeless for the past 5 years! NOAA should hire the homeless to help monitor their geomagnetic and solar indices. rant

GOES Electron flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

K-Indices:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

ACE Solar Wind Data:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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05/22/2012 08:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
After days of silence, finally a little C1.2 hf
Hugh M Eye

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05/22/2012 10:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
After days of silence, finally a little C1.2 hf
 Quoting: TS66


Yes, from 1484 and a B9.7 from new region 1488 in the NE.

This coronal hole has proved very persistent. The solar wind velocity is now up to 550-600km/s and the Bz has dipped south again. Unfortunately, I don't have any links to aurora-cams on the Antarctic Circle, but I bet some penguins are getting quite a light show tonight.

Nice spike seen by SOHO solar wind monitor:

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

ACE 24-hr. SW Data:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Electron Flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Boulder Magnetometer shows K=4.6, we may see an upgraded alert soon if this keeps up.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NASA Magnetospheric & Ionospheric real-time simulation:

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

iSWA Magnetopause Cygnet:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
Hugh M Eye

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05/22/2012 10:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
As soon as I posted, NOAA has upgraded their alert status, hahaha! One of us must be psychic, hehe.

Space Weather Message Code: WARK05
Serial Number: 775
Issue Time: 2012 May 23 0238 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2012 May 23 0245 UTC
Valid To: 2012 May 23 0700 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
joinca

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05/23/2012 12:26 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Temporary Interruption in browse data Tuesday, May 22, 2012
There is a temporary interruption in the service of browse data on the SDO website. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] and [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] are temporarily offline. We are working to get it back up as soon as possible.
Today, tomorrow, and Thursday we will be running tests of the Venus transit image sequences. During these tests the AIA images may be partial images or even striped images. These are designed to send data more suitable for studying the effects Venus will have on the data. Please be patient while we explore new ways to use the instrument.
Posted by SDO Mission at 5:28 PM
The article is here: [link to sdoisgo.blogspot.com]
cool2
"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Hugh M Eye

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05/23/2012 01:31 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar Wind speed now up to 630 km/s. Geospace is still very unsettled and near the "storm" threshold.

ACE solar wind:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Magnetometer Round-Up-

Kiruna Observatory, Sweden:

[link to www.irf.se]

HAARP Fluxgate:

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

Norway Stackplot:

[link to flux.phys.uit.no]

HAARP Induction Magnetometer w/ sound:

[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
Hugh M Eye

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05/23/2012 03:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NOAA extends warning-

Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 1934
Issue Time: 2012 May 23 0618 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1933
Valid From: 2012 May 22 1857 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2012 May 23 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

SOHO SW Data shows velocity has exceeded 700 km/s.

[link to umtof.umd.edu]

POES Auroral Oval stretching over northern tier USA now:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I've been occasionally checking the Fok Ring Current and it was mellow yellow mostly, but now it's beginning to glow red.

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Total Electron Content forecast model displays hot spots:

[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Hugh M Eye

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05/23/2012 04:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05
Serial Number: 688
Issue Time: 2012 May 23 0605 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2012 May 23 0600 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Planetary K-Index has reach 5=Storm.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Electron Flux:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES magnetometer:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

NASA magnetopause simulation:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
hiding
nerdrage88sasr

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05/23/2012 08:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
PRESTO FROM SIDC - RWC BELGIUM Wed May 23 2012, 1231 UT

Catania sunspot group 39 (NOAA AR 1484) produced a C1.2 flare peaking at 00:27 UT today. More C-class flares can be expected from this group, as well as from recently emerged Catania sunspot group 47 (NOAA AR 1488).
The post-shock solar wind flow was followed by a fast solar wind stream (with the speed reaching 700 km/s) from a small low-latitude coronal hole in the southern hemisphere. Due to high interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude (that reached 15 nT), active geomagnetic conditions (K = 4) were reported by Dourbes and IZMIRAN and minor storm conditions (K = 5) were reported by NOAA. Currently the solar wind speed is still elevated (around 620 km/s), but the IMF magnitude decreased to average values (around 4 nT). We therefore expect quiet geomagnetic conditions.

[link to sidc.oma.be]
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shenue

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05/23/2012 11:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good Morning to Everyone
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
nerdrage88sasr

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05/23/2012 11:15 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good Morning to Everyone
 Quoting: shenue


Morning Shenue!
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Anonymous Coward
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05/23/2012 11:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
mornin' allhi Sure is quiet today.
Spittin'Cesium

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05/23/2012 07:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It looks like after yet another Electron Fraggle the overall Flux Count is riding high,take a peep [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

As we can see from here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] that was quite a bumpy ride for an extended period of time.

Hey all by the way : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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05/23/2012 07:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Im' quite sure there should be a Electron Count Alert on this page [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

If it continues for the next few Hours I think then they will post the Alert and Count.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

User ID: 16583539
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05/23/2012 07:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Heading to Rocklahoma tomorrow for 4 days of solid rock and roll..you all have a great memorial weekend...will be touchn base when i can...cant wait to hit the road..
old guard

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05/23/2012 07:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Im' quite sure there should be a Electron Count Alert on this page [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

If it continues for the next few Hours I think then they will post the Alert and Count.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


hey cesium...I will watch
Anonymous Coward
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05/23/2012 07:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
After days of silence, finally a little C1.2 hf
 Quoting: TS66


what days of silence, is that all you watch?
old guard

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05/23/2012 07:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Heading to Rocklahoma tomorrow for 4 days of solid rock and roll..you all have a great memorial weekend...will be touchn base when i can...cant wait to hit the road..
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Stay safe! hf
Anonymous Coward
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05/23/2012 07:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It looks like after yet another Electron Fraggle the overall Flux Count is riding high,take a peep [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

As we can see from here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] that was quite a bumpy ride for an extended period of time.

Hey all by the way : )
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


yea we had a CME, normal thus
old guard

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05/23/2012 09:04 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar wind speed is at 619.2. Seems like we are rolling
MamaHasAwakened

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05/23/2012 09:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Heading to Rocklahoma tomorrow for 4 days of solid rock and roll..you all have a great memorial weekend...will be touchn base when i can...cant wait to hit the road..
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


Have fun Look N! Sounds like a great time!
Spittin'Cesium

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05/23/2012 09:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The Electron Flux is sustaining quite a high reading [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Still no Alert yet.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
El Quisqueyano

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05/23/2012 10:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Thread: Greece dead center of earthquake fault whirlpool vortex. Lines up with Whirlpool Galaxy M51.
nerdrage88sasr

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05/24/2012 07:08 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Yay- a C1 flare.... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.tesis.lebedev.ru]
Peace

Edit...JUST a C1...just nudged the line..

Last Edited by nerdrage88sasr on 05/24/2012 07:12 AM
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Anonymous Coward
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05/24/2012 07:41 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Yay- a C1 flare.... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.tesis.lebedev.ru]
Peace

Edit...JUST a C1...just nudged the line..
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Weird to see such a flatened line after so much activity. Is the Sun saving it up for us????tomato
nerdrage88sasr

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05/24/2012 08:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Yay- a C1 flare.... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.tesis.lebedev.ru]
Peace

Edit...JUST a C1...just nudged the line..
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Weird to see such a flatened line after so much activity. Is the Sun saving it up for us????tomato
 Quoting: SpiderJones


good question!
ANother C1.1
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Hugh M Eye

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05/24/2012 01:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Keep an eye on the SE limb area, we have maybe 2 or 3 possible active regions turning our way soon. One region has already come over two days ago, but it's very faint and unorganized. Another region (possibly two) is just nearing the horizon and appears to be actively flaring.

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
:SE limb:

:Product: Solar Region Summary
:Issued: 2012 May 24 0030 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 145 Issued at 0030Z on 24 May 2012
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 23 May
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
1482 N15W84 103 0190 Cso 05 03 Beta
1483 S24W79 098 0030 Cro 02 03 Beta
1484 N11W56 075 0240 Eai 11 13 Beta
1486 N16E02 017 0180 Cso 07 06 Beta
1488 N11E41 338 0010 Bxo 06 05 Beta
1489 S30E40 339 0000 Axx 01 01 Alpha
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 23/2400Z May
Nmbr Location Lo
1481 S10W78 097
1485 S20W43 062
1487 N18W47 066
II. Regions Due to Return 24 May to 26 May
Nmbr Lat Lo
None


AR1489 is nearly due south of 1488 and both are very weak and almost
invisible. Further to the east is the new region(s) I'm referring to. The fact that these regions are not listed as returning sunspots leads me to believe they are newly-emerging spots.

Latest HMII:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]





GLP