SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

hIYA ALL;


im just step in and wanna say: im back online :)

nice to cya all in here


much love

hIYA ALL;


im just step in and wanna say: im back online :)

nice to cya all in here


much love

hIYA ALL;


im just step in and wanna say: im back online :)

nice to cya all in here


much love

hIYA ALL;


im just step in and wanna say: im back online :)

nice to cya all in here


much love

hIYA ALL;


im just step in and wanna say: im back online :)

nice to cya all in here


much love

Take a look at the ACE data simulation here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Bz.

: ?

Take a look at the ACE data simulation here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Bz.

: ?

One other thing of note, sunspot numbers seem to be lower than even predicted. This gives even more precedence to Dr. Brooks belief in one, very large carrington like event, early 2013

hIYA ALL;


im just step in and wanna say: im back online :)

nice to cya all in here


much love

Anybody else see spirals and concentric rings? [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

hIYA ALL;


im just step in and wanna say: im back online :)

nice to cya all in here


much love

Use of Coronal Fe XIV Observations to Predict Solar-Cycle Activity

April 30, 2012

The onset of the "Rush to the Poles" of polar crown prominences and their associated coronal emission is a harbinger of solar maximum. Altrock (2003, Solar Phys. 216, 343) showed that the "Rush" was well-observed in the the Fe XIV corona at the Sacramento Peak site of the National Solar Observatory prior to the maxima of Cycles 21 to 23. He found that solar maximum in those cycles occurred when the center line of the Rush reached a critical latitude. These latitudes were 76°, 74° and 78°, respectively, for an average of 76° ± 2°.

Furthermore, in the previous three cycles solar maximum occurred when the number of Fe XIV emission regions per day > 0.19 (averaged over 365 days and both hemispheres) first reached latitudes 18°, 21° and 21°, for an average of 20° ± 1.7º (somewhat higher than the mean latitude of sunspot area at solar maximum, 14°). Applying the above conclusions to Cycle 24 is difficult due to the unusual nature of this cycle. Cycle 24 displays an intermittent "Rush" that is only definable in the northern hemisphere. In 2009 an initial slope of 4.6°/yr was found, compared to an average of 9.4 ± 1.7 °/yr in the previous cycles.

However, in 2010 the slope increased to 7.5°/yr (an increase did not occur in the previous three cycles). Extending that rate to 76° ± 2° indicates that the solar maximum smoothed sunspot number in the northern hemisphere ALREADY OCCURRED at 2011.6 ± 0.3. Unfortunately, the smoothed sunspot number uses 12-month running means, so the result may not be testable for several more months. Solar maximum may not be detectable in the southern hemisphere.

In 1999, persistent Fe XIV coronal emission known as the "Extended Solar Cycle" (ESC) appeared near 70° and
began migrating towards the equator at a rate 40% slower than the previous two solar cycles until a sudden surge to lower latitudes began. Currently the greatest number of emission regions is at 24°. This indicates that solar maximum is imminent. However, due to the irregular progression of this cycle, making a precise prediction is difficult.

"Sun Cycle 24" - A Major Decline in Solar Activity Ahead

June 15, 2011

Altrock... has observed a slowing of the “rush to the poles,” the rapid poleward march of magnetic activity observed in the Sun’s faint corona. Altrock used four decades of observations with NSO’s 40-cm (16-inch) coronagraphic telescope at Sunspot.

Altrock used a photometer to map iron heated to 2 million degrees C (3.6 million F). Stripped of half of its electrons, it is easily concentrated by magnetism rising from the Sun. In a well-known pattern, new solar activity emerges first at about 70 degrees latitude at the start of a cycle, then towards the equator as the cycle ages. At the same time, the new magnetic fields push remnants of the older cycle as far as 85 degrees poleward.

“In cycles 21 through 23, solar maximum occurred when this rush appeared at an average latitude of 76 degrees,” Altrock said. “Cycle 24 started out late and slow and may not be strong enough to create a rush to the poles, indicating we’ll see a very weak solar maximum in 2013, if at all. If the rush to the poles fails to complete, this creates a tremendous dilemma for the theorists, as it would mean that Cycle 23’s magnetic field will not completely disappear from the polar regions (the rush to the poles accomplishes this feat). No one knows what the Sun will do in that case.”

All three of these lines of research to point to the familiar sunspot cycle shutting down for a while.
“If we are right,” Dr. Frank Hill, associate director of the NSO’s Solar Synoptic Network concluded, “this could be the last solar maximum we’ll see for a few decades. That would affect everything from space exploration to Earth’s climate.”

(The Daily Galaxy via National Solar Observatory)

Oh yeah

: )

New research on Mars

"Cataloging the cratering of Mars and the moon is helping scientists understand a time a few hundred million years after the inner solar system formed, including an event about 3.9 billion years ago known as the "Late Heavy Bombardment" in which asteroids as large as Kansas rained down on Earth. "Although Earth has lost most of its geologic record due to tectonic plate movements and erosion, understanding the impact crater history on the moon and Mars can help us reconstruct our early days," said Hynek."

Full article--- [link to phys.org]

hIYA ALL;


im just step in and wanna say: im back online :)

nice to cya all in here


much love

Yeah I saw that, the message was for any new visitors, normal sun action until you have a basis in proof to write a thread somewhere about how the sun is going to kill everyone (which it is not) I am tired of all the links getting shut down ha ha