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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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06/13/2012 02:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 7670361

We've got a proton event
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


Wow .......... :hide:
 Quoting: TS66


Getcha free chest X-rays...
NiNzrez  (OP)

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06/13/2012 02:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Latest STEREO B pic of CME:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

ACE protons and electrons plots have stopped updating:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Protons seem normal, so I think we can rule out a proton event:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


scareddead3
 Quoting: SpiderJones


data not matching yet again
this is getting OLD
there was a CME in a earth facing position
when this happens, there IS a proton spike
why GOES shows nothing? who the hell knows at this point
but we do see the protons on ACE plots
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

with all the data issues in the recent past, i now tend to go by if we see an event on ANY of the monitors
and i have stopped relying mostly on GOES data
NiNzrez  (OP)

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06/13/2012 02:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
and THANK YOU to whoever upgraded me!
super sweet of you and much appreciated :)
hf
Anonymous Coward
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06/13/2012 02:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Popping again !!!

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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06/13/2012 03:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Latest STEREO B pic of CME:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

ACE protons and electrons plots have stopped updating:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

GOES Protons seem normal, so I think we can rule out a proton event:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


scareddead3
 Quoting: SpiderJones


data not matching yet again
this is getting OLD
there was a CME in a earth facing position
when this happens, there IS a proton spike
why GOES shows nothing? who the hell knows at this point
but we do see the protons on ACE plots
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

with all the data issues in the recent past, i now tend to go by if we see an event on ANY of the monitors
and i have stopped relying mostly on GOES data
 Quoting: NiNzrez


live with it for few months, early 2013 till mid 2014, you will get only action and no data...enjoy the preview till then, save your energy till then
Anonymous Coward
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06/13/2012 03:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
X ray on the rise again
Anonymous Coward
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06/13/2012 03:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
X ray on the rise again
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2159872


it maxed out at C6.8

Beg
13/1917
C1.5

Max
13/1926
C6.8
whiteangel
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06/13/2012 03:35 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Just sitting there and I wondered if GOES quit working again.
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
joinca

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06/13/2012 03:53 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
GOES went into safe mode?
This PDF article has a lot of information......especially page 14
www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/satellite/anomaly/2010_sctc/docs/1-1_JA​llen.pdf
cool2

Last Edited by joinca on 06/13/2012 03:55 PM
"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
whiteangel
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06/13/2012 04:03 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It is still working, just the C flare was a bit longer lasting so it looked like it was standing still. Have watched a flare stop twice when GOES went down so figured it happened again, lol
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
Anonymous Coward
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06/13/2012 04:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I believe according to this, the Solar North Polar Field has flipped, as of May 22.

2012:05:12_21h:07m:13s 20nhz filt: -1Nf 51Sf -26Avgf
2012:05:22_21h:07m:13s 20nhz filt: +0Nf 52Sf -26Avgf
 Quoting: [link to wso.stanford.edu]

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 6377684


Well that's interesting. Funny how they update @ every 10 days, but haven't since the 22nd.
 Quoting: TS66

It says there, "Each 10 days the usable daily polar field measurements in a centered 30-day window are averaged. Data are updated about once a month. Last updated Fri Jun 8 21:37:47 UTC 2012"

I am definitely looking forward to the next update, although it already seems fairly clear that the North has flipped. And the South is acting like it's not going to flip at all. Very odd. Although this was predicted by some experts...
Anonymous Coward
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06/13/2012 05:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
GOES went into safe mode?
This PDF article has a lot of information......especially page 14
www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/satellite/anomaly/2010_sctc/docs/1-1_JA​llen.pdf
cool2
 Quoting: joinca


tomato
whiteangel
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06/13/2012 05:16 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Protons on Ace just dropped like a rock. WTH??

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
Onthehook
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06/13/2012 05:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Sure gets old when they shut all the links down, now it's the magnetosphere links, saw for a min. on solarming breaks in the shield - right when it gets interesting.
Vita
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06/13/2012 05:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Protons on Ace just dropped like a rock. WTH??

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel



Strangely dangerous.I don't like it. Think about good earthquake is on its way.
Onthehook
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06/13/2012 05:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I REALLY don't see the point in shutting down data that could give people a little warning unless you are absolutely trying to screw them over? What gives?
Hugh M Eye

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06/13/2012 05:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
GOES X-Rays have been at C1 or above for 8+ hours solid. No wonder my car feels like a microwave oven, LOL. Big Bear movie shows a very strong C 6.8 flare:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

AIA 131a image of flare:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

New NASA cone model shows the incoming CME from the M-flare:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
hiding


NASA/SDO is cheating us on the composite images lately. They used to update several times an hour. Now sometimes it once every two or three hours, rendering it pretty useless in detecting CMEs.
wtf
Vita
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06/13/2012 05:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I REALLY don't see the point in shutting down data that could give people a little warning unless you are absolutely trying to screw them over? What gives?
 Quoting: Onthehook 7670361


Me neither,97% of earth population dont care about sun activity.
Anonymous Coward
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06/13/2012 05:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Protons on Ace just dropped like a rock. WTH??

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel



Strangely dangerous.I don't like it. Think about good earthquake is on its way.
 Quoting: Vita 15928393


bump
whiteangel
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06/13/2012 05:37 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
GOES X-Rays have been at C1 or above for 8+ hours solid. No wonder my car feels like a microwave oven, LOL. Big Bear movie shows a very strong C 6.8 flare:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

AIA 131a image of flare:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

New NASA cone model shows the incoming CME from the M-flare:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
hiding


NASA/SDO is cheating us on the composite images lately. They used to update several times an hour. Now sometimes it once every two or three hours, rendering it pretty useless in detecting CMEs.
wtf
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Is this because we are approaching the NASA warning time of a solar storm that could take down the grid? You know last half of 2012 thru May 2013 time frame? So they are preparing to turn the info off so WE don't have a clue what is coming our way and can't panic?
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
whiteangel
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06/13/2012 05:40 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I REALLY don't see the point in shutting down data that could give people a little warning unless you are absolutely trying to screw them over? What gives?
 Quoting: Onthehook 7670361


Me neither,97% of earth population dont care about sun activity.
 Quoting: Vita 15928393


IMHO, they want it shut down so WE can't send out a warning if a huge X flare let off. I know, sounds like I need to put my tinfoil hat on tighter, lol, but it was NASA who warned us this might happen at the end of 2012 thru May 2013.

The don't want the sheeple to panic before the CME hit us.
Isaiah 5:20 KJV
Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter!
Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One
Onthehook
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06/13/2012 05:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
That has got to be the most stupid theory I have ever heard, hide it so people don't panic - hide the warning so everyone can face the effect with no preparation, that fucker need to be shitcanned
Hugh M Eye

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06/13/2012 05:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Protons on Ace just dropped like a rock. WTH??

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: whiteangel



Strangely dangerous.I don't like it. Think about good earthquake is on its way.
 Quoting: Vita 15928393


I wouldn't put too much stock in that high-energy proton plot. First of all that spike is way off the timeline for flare & CME. Most likely bad data or some sort of glitch.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The ACE Electrons and Low Energy Protons stopped updating 6 hours before the eruption:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

The ACE satellites obituary has been written many times yet it seems to chug along. However, we do see bad data sometimes and drop-outs in some of the plots. The solar wind data seems to be current, so I really don't know what's going on with the particle detectors. We'll have to keep watching and see what develops. The wear and tear of 15 years of radiation may be compromising some of the circuits. I'm hoping and praying we get another year or two out of this satellite, cause it'll take years to replace it.

ACE SW data plot:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Onthehook
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06/13/2012 05:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Anyway it may have just been a glitchy picture on Solarming, that happens occasionally - but when the links disappear at the same time, and that part of the data record goes missing it makes you wonder.
Anonymous Coward
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06/13/2012 05:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
That has got to be the most stupid theory I have ever heard, hide it so people don't panic - hide the warning so everyone can face the effect with no preparation, that fucker need to be shitcanned
 Quoting: Onthehook 7670361


whatever
Hugh M Eye

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06/13/2012 06:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I don't wish to feed anyone's conspiracy theories but NASA's Integrated Space Weather Analysis System (iSWA) and Lockheed's Solarsoft Latest Events page are both inaccessible at this time. Not the occasional "Forbidden" message but a "server not responding" message. A bit unusual for both to be down, especially when solar activity is getting hyper-active. Anybody know of any storms or earthquakes near Maryland today?

[link to www.lmsal.com]

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

I got iSWA's homepage/tutotrial:

[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]

And I can get certain cygnets which I have bookmarked but I can't access the master page with all the info.
drevil

Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 06/13/2012 06:31 PM
Onthehook
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06/13/2012 06:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Every time they do this, all it does is feed conspiracy theorists, its real stupid in my opinion, I mean what are the chances something horrible could happen in the next few minutes with normal DATA access, ha ha ha - like all the horrible things that happened all the previous times they have hid DATA, get real, its our universe - we are just interested in how it operates.
MARsSPEED
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06/13/2012 06:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Every time they do this, all it does is feed conspiracy theorists, its real stupid in my opinion, I mean what are the chances something horrible could happen in the next few minutes with normal DATA access, ha ha ha - like all the horrible things that happened all the previous times they have hid DATA, get real, its our universe - we are just interested in how it operates.
 Quoting: Onthehook 7670361


Maryland here. It's clear and sunny. Nothing funny going on.
Onthehook
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06/13/2012 06:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It might help to put someone who knows something about the sun in the censor chair, but I doubt it. Rant over (for now) ha ha
Anonymous Coward
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06/13/2012 06:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Every time they do this, all it does is feed conspiracy theorists, its real stupid in my opinion, I mean what are the chances something horrible could happen in the next few minutes with normal DATA access, ha ha ha - like all the horrible things that happened all the previous times they have hid DATA, get real, its our universe - we are just interested in how it operates.
 Quoting: Onthehook 7670361


...... especially since WE PAY FOR IT !!!! !!!!





GLP