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| 06:37 AM | ||
| Users Online Now: 1,553 (Who's On?) | Visitors Today: 377,091 | |
| Pageviews Today: 592,570 | Threads Today: 220 | Posts Today: 3,649 |
| 06:37 AM | ||
SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
shadasonic  User ID: 15732022  United States06/16/2012 09:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | In short, it means a geomagnetic storm is in progress. The GOES 15 is now on the dayside and is being affected by the solar wind's magnetic field leaking into geosynchronus orbit. Here's the NOAA explanation: The Hp component is perpendicular to the satellite orbit plane and Hp is essentially parallel to Earth's rotation axis. If these data drop to near zero, or less, when the satellite is on the dayside it may be due to a compression of Earth's magnetopause to within geosynchronous orbit, exposing satellites to negative and/or highly variable magnetic fields. On the nightside, a near zero, or less, value of the field indicates strong currents that are often associated with substorms and an intensification of currents in the Earth's geomagnetic tail. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Several FM radio stations I listen to went blank, no static, nothing. Three to be exact all from different home companies. Do you think its connected? Not if it's a local station spinning records or whatever; but possibly, if they're broadcasting a satellite feed. Here's a good website with current radio propagation forecasts- [link to www.hamqsl.com] Thanks just wondering,great site by the way! Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 06/16/2012 09:13 PM “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Onthehook User ID: 7670361 United States06/16/2012 09:11 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States06/16/2012 09:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Now how would the flare affect us while under an existing storm. I'm a quake tard trying to become a sun tard “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 1007439 United States06/16/2012 10:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hughe/ Nin the first uptick was a filament eruption on the 12th @ 1800 utc plus or minus. It was centered around where 1504 sets now may be 15 degrees north, I saw it leave from Gong and Hughe you were away or working per what you said online. So the second impulse maybe 1st CME now we wait for the third and bigger pulse. It seems to work out mathematically. Thanks Hughe, Nin you do a wonderfull thing. Time/Space |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 18038232  United Kingdom06/16/2012 10:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Could the Earthquakes be starting because of it... Quoting: WeAreOne Thread: Earthquake 6.1 initial... LUZON, PHILIPPINES Not a chance. is that definitive? "Each generation imagines itself to be more intelligent than the one that went before it, and wiser than the one that comes after it." |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 15388345 United States06/16/2012 10:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hughe/ Nin the first uptick was a filament eruption on the 12th @ 1800 utc plus or minus. It was centered around where 1504 sets now may be 15 degrees north, I saw it leave from Gong and Hughe you were away or working per what you said online. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1007439 So the second impulse maybe 1st CME now we wait for the third and bigger pulse. It seems to work out mathematically. Thanks Hughe, Nin you do a wonderfull thing. Time/Space You're very observant there, AC! I was afraid to bring that one up today, hehheh. It's true that NASA had 3 CME arrivals listed for the 16th, but two of them were only minutes apart. The 12th was along time ago by CME standards, so it was most likely of little effect or was swallowed up by the oncoming M-flare CMEs. This geomagnetic storm seems to be winding down now, but it may not be over yet. If the Bz dips negative and the magnetotail discharges we may see more storm levels. When SOHO updated, filling in the data gaps, we can see a density spike up near 115 counts/cu. cm. That's a respectable CME. [link to umtof.umd.edu] Geomagnetic K-indices: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Latest Magnetosphere simulation: [link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] We can see the whole day play out on the 24-hr. magnetopause simulation and see how the magnetosphere compressed into the geosynchronus satellite orbit several times: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 15388345 United States06/16/2012 10:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Could the Earthquakes be starting because of it... Quoting: WeAreOne Thread: Earthquake 6.1 initial... LUZON, PHILIPPINES Not a chance. is that definitive? "Each generation imagines itself to be more intelligent than the one that went before it, and wiser than the one that comes after it." Definitely. There's not a shred of evidence to the contrary. However, increased solar activity does cause Republican Senators. Here's proof-   |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 18008174  Italy06/16/2012 10:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Could the Earthquakes be starting because of it... Quoting: WeAreOne Thread: Earthquake 6.1 initial... LUZON, PHILIPPINES Not a chance. is that definitive? "Each generation imagines itself to be more intelligent than the one that went before it, and wiser than the one that comes after it." Definitely. There's not a shred of evidence to the contrary. However, increased solar activity does cause Republican Senators. Here's proof- :senators-ss: :equ-ss:  The rabbit hole goes ever deeper. This made my night. |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 15388345 United States06/16/2012 11:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NOAA WARNING EXTENDED-another 9 hours! Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 1947 Issue Time: 2012 Jun 17 0232 UTC EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Extension to Serial Number: 1946 Valid From: 2012 Jun 16 1940 UTC Now Valid Until: 2012 Jun 17 1200 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] They may extend K 5 warning as well-the Boulder K-index is at 4.5 now: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] I hope for the Taikonauts' sake the Heavenly Palace is well-shielded. Satellites and spacecraft in orbit were repeatedly exposed to the dangerous solar wind today. Here's a recent screenshot from the NASA simulation-  |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States06/16/2012 11:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Could the Earthquakes be starting because of it... Quoting: WeAreOne Thread: Earthquake 6.1 initial... LUZON, PHILIPPINES Not a chance. is that definitive? "Each generation imagines itself to be more intelligent than the one that went before it, and wiser than the one that comes after it." Definitely. There's not a shred of evidence to the contrary. However, increased solar activity does cause Republican Senators. Here's proof- Thats awesome, does this mean politicians are all bi polar “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 15388345 United States06/17/2012 12:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | is that definitive? "Each generation imagines itself to be more intelligent than the one that went before it, and wiser than the one that comes after it." Definitely. There's not a shred of evidence to the contrary. However, increased solar activity does cause Republican Senators. Here's proof- Thats awesome, does this mean politicians are all bi polar Soon they'll be Quadrupolar, haha.  |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 15388345 United States06/17/2012 12:02 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NOAA issues another Extended Warning- Space Weather Message Code: WARK05 Serial Number: 779 Issue Time: 2012 Jun 17 0255 UTC EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected Extension to Serial Number: 778 Valid From: 2012 Jun 16 2119 UTC Now Valid Until: 2012 Jun 17 0900 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 17392454 United States06/17/2012 12:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 17392454 United States06/17/2012 12:08 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States06/17/2012 12:13 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18038232 is that definitive? "Each generation imagines itself to be more intelligent than the one that went before it, and wiser than the one that comes after it." Definitely. There's not a shred of evidence to the contrary. However, increased solar activity does cause Republican Senators. Here's proof- Thats awesome, does this mean politicians are all bi polar Soon they'll be Quadrupolar, haha. That would put us in a whole new paradigm of screwed- up - ness “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States06/17/2012 12:17 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Now how would the flare affect us while under an existing storm. I'm a quake tard trying to become a sun tard It's all relative !!!!  Hey TS,good to 'see' you! We had a 30 minute storm from hell here in mid missouri, ended up producing phenomenal winds. Wasn't expected to be anywhere near that strong originally, thinking solar energy sometimes works as a catalyst in these situations “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 1540313 United States06/17/2012 01:14 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Now how would the flare affect us while under an existing storm. I'm a quake tard trying to become a sun tard It's all relative !!!! Hey TS,good to 'see' you! We had a 30 minute storm from hell here in mid missouri, ended up producing phenomenal winds. Wasn't expected to be anywhere near that strong originally, thinking solar energy sometimes works as a catalyst in these situations We had hell day here in No. Ca. 107 degrees, then clouds moved in at around 6pm and it was like a lid on a frying pan. Just hell!  |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States06/17/2012 01:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: shadasonic Now how would the flare affect us while under an existing storm. I'm a quake tard trying to become a sun tard It's all relative !!!! Hey TS,good to 'see' you! We had a 30 minute storm from hell here in mid missouri, ended up producing phenomenal winds. Wasn't expected to be anywhere near that strong originally, thinking solar energy sometimes works as a catalyst in these situations We had hell day here in No. Ca. 107 degrees, then clouds moved in at around 6pm and it was like a lid on a frying pan. Just hell! Crazy days my friend!enjoy your view on anomalies , keep it up! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 15388345 United States06/17/2012 01:28 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: shadasonic Now how would the flare affect us while under an existing storm. I'm a quake tard trying to become a sun tard It's all relative !!!! Hey TS,good to 'see' you! We had a 30 minute storm from hell here in mid missouri, ended up producing phenomenal winds. Wasn't expected to be anywhere near that strong originally, thinking solar energy sometimes works as a catalyst in these situations We had hell day here in No. Ca. 107 degrees, then clouds moved in at around 6pm and it was like a lid on a frying pan. Just hell! Wow, I feel for ya, compadre, I mean spiderjones. I lived in Vegas for a few years and 112 degrees in the shade was the norm in July. Sometimes at 1:00 AM it was still over a hundred. I just pray there is no fire issues. Be safe all. (Oh, just don't blame it on the CME-CO/NM has been on fire for weeks!) |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States06/17/2012 01:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hey TS,good to 'see' you! We had a 30 minute storm from hell here in mid missouri, ended up producing phenomenal winds. Wasn't expected to be anywhere near that strong originally, thinking solar energy sometimes works as a catalyst in these situations We had hell day here in No. Ca. 107 degrees, then clouds moved in at around 6pm and it was like a lid on a frying pan. Just hell! Wow, I feel for ya, compadre, I mean spiderjones. I lived in Vegas for a few years and 112 degrees in the shade was the norm in July. Sometimes at 1:00 AM it was still over a hundred. I just pray there is no fire issues. Be safe all. (Oh, just don't blame it on the CME-CO/NM has been on fire for weeks!) Yes it has,here in Columbia Mo. we've had 1.2 inches of rain in 9 weeks. The worst May ever recorded for temp. and drought. Coming off the hottest winter to summer transition ever recorded( Mo. dept. of conservation records). “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 15388345 United States06/17/2012 02:21 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: shadasonic Hey TS,good to 'see' you! We had a 30 minute storm from hell here in mid missouri, ended up producing phenomenal winds. Wasn't expected to be anywhere near that strong originally, thinking solar energy sometimes works as a catalyst in these situations We had hell day here in No. Ca. 107 degrees, then clouds moved in at around 6pm and it was like a lid on a frying pan. Just hell! Wow, I feel for ya, compadre, I mean spiderjones. I lived in Vegas for a few years and 112 degrees in the shade was the norm in July. Sometimes at 1:00 AM it was still over a hundred. I just pray there is no fire issues. Be safe all. (Oh, just don't blame it on the CME-CO/NM has been on fire for weeks!) Yes it has,here in Columbia Mo. we've had 1.2 inches of rain in 9 weeks. The worst May ever recorded for temp. and drought. Coming off the hottest winter to summer transition ever recorded( Mo. dept. of conservation records). Wasn't it record flooding there last year? |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States06/17/2012 02:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: SpiderJones We had hell day here in No. Ca. 107 degrees, then clouds moved in at around 6pm and it was like a lid on a frying pan. Just hell! Wow, I feel for ya, compadre, I mean spiderjones. I lived in Vegas for a few years and 112 degrees in the shade was the norm in July. Sometimes at 1:00 AM it was still over a hundred. I just pray there is no fire issues. Be safe all. (Oh, just don't blame it on the CME-CO/NM has been on fire for weeks!) Yes it has,here in Columbia Mo. we've had 1.2 inches of rain in 9 weeks. The worst May ever recorded for temp. and drought. Coming off the hottest winter to summer transition ever recorded( Mo. dept. of conservation records). Wasn't it record flooding there last year? Close to 12" over on rainfall by may of last year, most western and upper Mo. river basins flooded. Then we started the whole transition with the hottest july on record 14 days over 100 deg., with only 1.25" of rain over a four month period. Then this winter hit, soil temps avg. out at 39 deg., 11deg. above normal, 93 deg. temps in march! Crazy weather!!!!! Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 06/17/2012 02:46 AM “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 18056428  Germany06/17/2012 03:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Morning all, the Aurora will be at 'STORM' LEVEL Well, watch also the ISS Live Stream for it....:D [link to www.nasa.gov]  |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973  Netherlands06/17/2012 03:57 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Morning all : ) I missed the best of the arrival..sleepyhead me : ( But boy does it look crazy just by looking here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] ! [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] ! Wow. Those Protons took their time hey!? Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 06/17/2012 04:00 AM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands06/17/2012 03:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Look at the Bz folks [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Fnark. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands06/17/2012 04:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Notice how they have had to add +250 and -50 NanoTeslas to the Graph [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] ! Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 06/17/2012 04:03 AM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands06/17/2012 04:08 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Electron Techno [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Need to listen to this on the H.I.M. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands06/17/2012 04:13 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: WARK06 Serial Number: 197 Issue Time: 2012 Jun 17 0725 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected Valid From: 2012 Jun 17 0730 UTC Valid To: 2012 Jun 17 1200 UTC Warning Condition: Persistence NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher altitudes. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Three Geomagnetic Impulses [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands06/17/2012 04:21 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NOAA WARNING EXTENDED-another 9 hours! Quoting: Hugh M Eye Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 1947 Issue Time: 2012 Jun 17 0232 UTC EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Extension to Serial Number: 1946 Valid From: 2012 Jun 16 1940 UTC Now Valid Until: 2012 Jun 17 1200 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] They may extend K 5 warning as well-the Boulder K-index is at 4.5 now: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] I hope for the Taikonauts' sake the Heavenly Palace is well-shielded. Satellites and spacecraft in orbit were repeatedly exposed to the dangerous solar wind today. Here's a recent screenshot from the NASA simulation- Hey there Hugh : ) I fear for the GOES sattellites after watching the Magnetopause compress so much here [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] I'm surprised they have'nt been switched off for safe mode! The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands06/17/2012 04:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Solar Babes - Wake Up Already! Wez all gonna' die if none of us look at the Graphs : ) The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
