SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

C 6.2

AR1515 again....

[link to halpha.nso.edu]


Since the M2.4 flare we've seen 8 C-flares in 15 hours. These were all from regions 1513 & 1515.

[link to www.lmsal.com]

Here's a psychedelic SDO close-up movie of the M2.4

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

LOL, yeah, saw this, found it weird that they aadded that!
"It could be worse"

M2.2 from 1513.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to halpha.nso.edu]
[link to halpha.nso.edu]

--

Op!

is there a link to follow the changing
of magnetic polarity North and South?
Is it now fully reversed or still at 50%?


thanks in advance :)

The north has flipped the south is still thinking about it,its got a little time

Hugh does 1513 have enough energy for a big M or even an X?

Thanks mama....and everybody else... Have a wonderful day..i see we already had another M class flare..yahoooo....

I love all my suntard folks on GLP....

Exactly ..... lol. Who could they possibly be directing that too ??? Humans on planet Earth facing a potentially dangerous solar max ???

..... continue to amaze.

neither have flipped yet
Tomsgod made a great full length post on this very subject just over a week ago or so
i will do my best to track it down and re post the info for you :)

1512, 1513 AND 1515 are all potential M flare producers
this last M flare of this morning was from 1515
and we have the possibly of even haveing a X in the comming days from one of these 3 sunspot groups
all depends on how they progress in their growth or if they begin to decay
something to watch in the week ahead thats for sure :)

Happy Birthday Look'n!!! and to your son as well
hope you have an amazingly wonderful day!

well, the M2.2 from this morning....
solarsoft is calling it came from 1513
when looking on SDO with the green filter (so flares are easier to see) i see it come from 1515

we can see a lot of C sized flares popping out of 1513
but the sig for this mornings M flare came out of 1515 in the southeastern area

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
anyone else seeing what im seeing?

Have you noticed any kind of patterning happening in the eruption rates NiN? I mean, I know there are quiet periods with nothing, but,...I am not present enough to notice any order out of the chaos...do you see any quickening in eruption rates or interesting order in sun events?



Z

Last Edited by zacksavage on 06/29/2012 12:12 PM

Hello, NINzrez! We missed you.

SDO is showing "no images available" for that time period Weird. However, the Solarsoft SDO close-up movie of the last M-flare does look to be from 1513.

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

Regardless, AR1515 has produced 2 CMEs (from the 2 C6 flares I imagine). This H-alpha movie loop shows the activity from approximately 03:00-12:00 UTC:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

I think 1515 is going to be the biggest threat for large flares and CMEs in the coming week. Although 1513 looks bigger and brighter in the EUV images, AR1515 looks brighter in the EVE X-Ray images. If this region is still growing, we may be looking at a real whopper. Here's the latest HMI magnetogram:

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Here's a SOHO C3 image of a CME from 1515:

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

I've seen signs of another CME from this region but SOHO & SDO images aren't available at present. Here's a STEREO B C2 movie:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

hiya solen queen

nice to see ya



the coronal hole looks like a snake around the whole disc

Have a look:
[link to i1220.photobucket.com]






:sunfulldiskdutch:
The prominence that was there yesterday has developped in a massive structure
Enlarge:
[link to ceastronomy.org]

AR1515 close-up HMII image -
:1515HMII:

Nice image hugh!

maybe the spots collapse and we have one large one...


Please, have a look :

[link to i1220.photobucket.com]

We've seen these sunspot groups before (except for 1512 which we just witnessed being born). AR1513 is on its 3rd rotation! Originally the Monster 1476 and then 1493/96 on the last rotation; so we've already seen many strong M-flares from this region in the past 2 months.

In the south, I believe regions 1514 (decaying) and 1515 (growing) were #'s 1497 and 1494 respectively on the last rotation. As you can see from this image, 1515 has grown considerably from a single alpha spot since early June.

Here's a Spaceweather.com archive page from June 4th.

[link to www.spaceweather.com]

On the 27-day plots we can see the large increase in X-ray events when this side of the Sun is Earth-facing. Almost all of this activity was from what is now called 1513. With the 2 latest M-flares, I think we can safely say this region still has potency; however, I'm hoping and expecting to see the southern hemisphere begin to pick up the pace soon. (I know I've been saying this for months now,LOL).

27-Day Plots:

[link to translate.google.de]

i guess most of you noticed :) for the ones who not....hurry cool stuff :D

Sun Scopes Are Open For The Public Today At The GLP Observatory


[link to observatory.godlikeproductions.com]

remarkable, more plz

Hey all just flying through : )

Check this image the Fuck out [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] !?

What kind of eruption would you class that as from the Sunspot 1515?

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Cool.





Z

Thanks Nin

Thanks Nin...i appreciate......having a huge 16th bday party for my son tomorrow night...gonna be a good time

Sorry didn't mean to pass on bad info., read a report from Japan that said the north had made its move and the south was in a hold. Should of checked here!

GOES Magnetometer showing something powering up the Fields [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

See if they add -50 and +250 NanoTeslas to the graph again.

I think you can see the so called 'Solar Cells' in this image [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] in the region of the CH.

Wish him all the best from his GLP AUnties and Uncles mate