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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Spittin'Cesium

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07/02/2012 06:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The latest M 3.8 flare unleashed a nice CME


So we have another CME heading our way


:m3.8jul2:
[link to i1220.photobucket.com]

See also latest SDO AIA 304:
[link to helioviewer.org]

Gong H Alpha shows some ejecta
:flaregifjul2:
[link to halpha.nso.edu]



We can see this now on latest LASCO C2 Imagery
:lascocmem3.8:


get it here:
[link to sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov]




----------------------------------------------


Well this article from today becomes now a fresh new taste....:


New Warning System Designed to Keep Astronauts Safe from Solar Storms
July 2, 2012

:arctivnewsolarpr:


A new solar storm prediction system based in Antarctica could provide astronauts in space warning time of over two hours for them to take cover after massive flares or Coronal Mass Ejections erupt from the Sun. The South Pole Neutron Monitor is able to forecast the radiation intensity of solar protons using two different types of neutron detectors installed at the geographic South Pole, which measures gigaelectron volt neutrons that are produced during a solar storm.

The designers of the device have been testing it and say it could provide a warning times of up to 166 minutes, depending on the protons’ energy. Additionally, the team says, it is a practical system for forecasting peak intensity of solar energetic protons in the tens to hundreds of megaelectron volt energy range.

Read more: [link to www.universetoday.com]


More Info on that:



South Pole neutron monitor forecasting of solar proton radiation intensity
[link to www.agu.org]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Awesome..except,

'J. W. Bieber

Bartol Research Institute, Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware, USA'.
[link to www.agu.org]

uhohsfantissue
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/02/2012 06:46 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Okay, this is 5-6 M flares now with HOW many C's in just what, 3-4 days?

Since 1515 and 1513 are releasing a lot of energy with all this, do you still like X's are possible??
 Quoting: whiteangel


an Xis even more possible now than it was even 12hrs ago
this due to the growth, complexity and intermixing of 1513 and 1515

i will be beyond shocked if we do not see a X out of this

here is the M flare count for these sunspots
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

July 2012
M3.8 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 20:07 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M5.6 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 10:52 UTC - Sunspot 1515
- CME produced- ETA: to be announced
M1.1 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 00:35 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M2.8 Flare on 7/01/2012 @ 19:18 UTC - Sunspot 1513


June 2012
M1.6 Flare on 6/30/2012 @ 18:32 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M1.0 Flare on 6/30/2012 @ 12:52 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M2.2 Flare on 6/29/2012 @ 09:20 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M2.4 Flare on 6/28/2012 @ 16:12 UTC - Sunspot 1513
Hugh M Eye

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07/02/2012 06:48 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Recent Magnetogram of AR1515-
:magneto 7/2:
AR1515 earlier today-
1515big

AR1515 now-
:1515_HMIIF:
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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07/02/2012 06:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Recent Magnetogram of AR1515-
:magneto 7/2:
AR1515 earlier today-
1515big

AR1515 now-
:1515_HMIIF:
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


Damn that's perdy
Hugh M Eye

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07/02/2012 07:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Okay, this is 5-6 M flares now with HOW many C's in just what, 3-4 days?

Since 1515 and 1513 are releasing a lot of energy with all this, do you still like X's are possible??
 Quoting: whiteangel


an Xis even more possible now than it was even 12hrs ago
this due to the growth, complexity and intermixing of 1513 and 1515

i will be beyond shocked if we do not see a X out of this

here is the M flare count for these sunspots
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

July 2012
M3.8 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 20:07 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M5.6 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 10:52 UTC - Sunspot 1515
- CME produced- ETA: to be announced
M1.1 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 00:35 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M2.8 Flare on 7/01/2012 @ 19:18 UTC - Sunspot 1513


June 2012
M1.6 Flare on 6/30/2012 @ 18:32 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M1.0 Flare on 6/30/2012 @ 12:52 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M2.2 Flare on 6/29/2012 @ 09:20 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M2.4 Flare on 6/28/2012 @ 16:12 UTC - Sunspot 1513
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I agree and expect an X from 1515 soon. Probably unscientific, but I did notice once that almost every region which produced an M3 or greater also had at least one X-flare. We also have old region 1504 & friends returning soon; and there's been a lot far-side activity from there as noted by IWTB and others.

The FACE Speaks!

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
pinkDoomsday
joinca

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07/02/2012 07:19 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We are creaping up to the magic view number....SOLAR WATCH * 152 M & 11 X FLARES
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popcorn
"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Spittin'Cesium

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07/02/2012 07:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Looks like we may have a 4th of July X-Flare.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

If you trace upward from the base of the 0.5 > 4.0 Angstroms it appears to be riding high,toward the 4th.

We'll have to see : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/02/2012 07:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Okay, this is 5-6 M flares now with HOW many C's in just what, 3-4 days?

Since 1515 and 1513 are releasing a lot of energy with all this, do you still like X's are possible??
 Quoting: whiteangel


an Xis even more possible now than it was even 12hrs ago
this due to the growth, complexity and intermixing of 1513 and 1515

i will be beyond shocked if we do not see a X out of this

here is the M flare count for these sunspots
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

July 2012
M3.8 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 20:07 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M5.6 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 10:52 UTC - Sunspot 1515
- CME produced- ETA: to be announced
M1.1 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 00:35 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M2.8 Flare on 7/01/2012 @ 19:18 UTC - Sunspot 1513


June 2012
M1.6 Flare on 6/30/2012 @ 18:32 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M1.0 Flare on 6/30/2012 @ 12:52 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M2.2 Flare on 6/29/2012 @ 09:20 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M2.4 Flare on 6/28/2012 @ 16:12 UTC - Sunspot 1513
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I agree and expect an X from 1515 soon. Probably unscientific, but I did notice once that almost every region which produced an M3 or greater also had at least one X-flare. We also have old region 1504 & friends returning soon; and there's been a lot far-side activity from there as noted by IWTB and others.

The FACE Speaks!

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
pinkDoomsday
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


that smilie just gave me a seizure
1rof1
TIMETOTAKEOVER

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07/02/2012 07:40 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
COME ON!!!!!!!!!!!
Nature always wins so come on people let's rise up and do what is necessary to eliminate anything to do with nuclear/war/religion/banking and free our minds. PS I like to believe in God and it is a personal thing.If you dont I got you covered! Future PEACE! (and be swift)
Hugh M Eye

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07/02/2012 07:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We may be seeing 1513 & 1515 erupting simultaneously. Funny....I hadn't even considered that possibility. I wonder if Carrington saw something similar?

Big Bear image:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

spock
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 07:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
another C flare C6.5
Spittin'Cesium

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07/02/2012 07:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Will it Endzeit Now?


[link to www.youtube.com]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 07/02/2012 07:45 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/02/2012 07:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
this one might not drop before going straight back up
Spittin'Cesium

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07/02/2012 07:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
this one might not drop before going straight back up
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I think we just had the 'Double Peaks' [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] ..awaiting a 4th July X : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/02/2012 07:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We may be seeing 1513 & 1515 erupting simultaneously. Funny....I hadn't even considered that possibility. I wonder if Carrington saw something similar?

Big Bear image:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

spock
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


thats what i was talking about earlier
if you look on the SDO gold filter, you can see a feeding into 1515 from the 1513/coronol hole area
as i was saying yesterday, there is a complex inermixing between 1515, 1513 and the coronol hole
with 1513 being within 20 degrees of the coronal hole, i believe, based on research i have done on coronal holes, that we will see the inermixing between the 3 and a large CME come from somewhere within the "triangle" area that they create

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 07/02/2012 07:48 PM
Spittin'Cesium

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07/02/2012 07:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We may be seeing 1513 & 1515 erupting simultaneously. Funny....I hadn't even considered that possibility. I wonder if Carrington saw something similar?

Big Bear image:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

spock
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


thats what i was talking about earlier
if you look on the SDO gold filter, you can see a feeding into 1515 from the 1513/coronol hole area
as i was saying yesterday, there is a complex inermixing between 1515, 1513 and the coronol hole
with 1513 being within 20 degrees of the coronal hole, i believe, based on research i have done on coronal holes, that we will see the inermixing between the 3 and a large CME come from somewhere within the "triangle" area that they create
 Quoting: NiNzrez


This is exactly what I am awaiting.

On the Ball NiNz.
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 07:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
this one might not drop before going straight back up
 Quoting: NiNzrez


you're right its going back up!! hf
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 07:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M flare
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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07/02/2012 07:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
this one might not drop before going straight back up
 Quoting: NiNzrez


you're right its going back up!! hf
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17362578


Bring it......
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M flare
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17362578


M 1.6
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 07:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
woah thats a little bit of a spike.

Whats the word on all these CMEs the past few days?
Spittin'Cesium

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Everyone..Shhhh!
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 07:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
woohooooooo
Hugh M Eye

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07/02/2012 07:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
this one might not drop before going straight back up
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Right again, SolenQueen, haha...up,up, and away!

We've 3 10cm radio bursts in one day today!

Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
Serial Number: 547
Issue Time: 2012 Jul 02 2108 UTC

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2012 Jul 02 2001 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 Jul 02 2002 UTC
End Time: 2012 Jul 02 2002 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 190 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 166 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Big Bear H-alpha movie has lots of action today:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 07:57 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M flare
Anonymous Coward
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07/02/2012 07:58 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
maxed out at M2.0
Hugh M Eye

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07/02/2012 08:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
woah thats a little bit of a spike.

Whats the word on all these CMEs the past few days?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17552144


Now we have CMEs inside of CMEs!

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

Fortunately, so far the ones coming directly at Earth have been relatively weak; and the big blasts are directed south of the ecliptic. In the best case scenario we'll still be in for a bumpy ride. In the worst case scenario......well, use yer imagination.
explosionsfanabombviolin
Spittin'Cesium

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07/02/2012 08:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Need Coffee..be back now..to observe the double dip X : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/02/2012 08:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
this one might not drop before going straight back up
 Quoting: NiNzrez


you're right its going back up!! hf
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17362578


i think its gona again
this X is there
it's just taking it's time haha
mtn_mang

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07/02/2012 08:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Woo hoo, glad the bar has WiFi. Another M, this active region is serious.





GLP