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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Hugh M Eye

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07/04/2012 09:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
That didn't take long...the second M-flare of July 5th in just over an hours time. A vigorous M 2.4 from 1515 again.

Mauna Loa pic:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/04/2012 09:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M2.4 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 01:10 UTC - Sunspot 1515
this would be the 1st one for July 5th

official M count for July 4th 2012 = 7 M class solar flares


M1.2 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 23:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M4.6 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 22:09 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.8 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 16:39 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M1.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 14:40 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 12:24 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M5.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 09:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 04:37 UTC - Sunspot 1515
shadasonic

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07/04/2012 09:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M2.4 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 01:10 UTC - Sunspot 1515
this would be the 1st one for July 5th

official M count for July 4th 2012 = 7 M class solar flares


M1.2 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 23:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M4.6 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 22:09 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.8 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 16:39 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M1.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 14:40 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 12:24 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M5.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 09:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 04:37 UTC - Sunspot 1515
 Quoting: NiNzrez


How many of these gave us CME's? Thanks for your info and work!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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07/04/2012 09:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.spaceweather.com]

IWTB is this you in Stockholm, looks alot like you with the moon on your head( bottom of page)
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

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07/04/2012 09:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
That didn't take long. We have the first M-flare for July 5th (Greenwich time). AR1515 again, M1.1 so far.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Now it's 1513's turn to answer the call.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


M2.4 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 01:10 UTC - Sunspot 1515
this would be the 1st one for July 5th

official M count for July 4th 2012 = 7 M class solar flares


M1.2 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 23:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M4.6 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 22:09 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.8 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 16:39 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M1.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 14:40 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 12:24 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M5.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 09:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 04:37 UTC - Sunspot 1515
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hi, NIN, we had an M1.1 at 00:43utc...see above.
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/04/2012 09:29 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M2.4 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 01:10 UTC - Sunspot 1515
this would be the 1st one for July 5th

official M count for July 4th 2012 = 7 M class solar flares


M1.2 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 23:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M4.6 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 22:09 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.8 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 16:39 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M1.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 14:40 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 12:24 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M5.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 09:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 04:37 UTC - Sunspot 1515
 Quoting: NiNzrez


How many of these gave us CME's? Thanks for your info and work!
 Quoting: shadasonic


i have not even had a chance to look :/
i am doing the whole 4th of july thing with the family and friends at my place, so been super busy
i keep getting yelled at for getting on here hahaha
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/04/2012 09:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
That didn't take long. We have the first M-flare for July 5th (Greenwich time). AR1515 again, M1.1 so far.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Now it's 1513's turn to answer the call.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


M2.4 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 01:10 UTC - Sunspot 1515
this would be the 1st one for July 5th

official M count for July 4th 2012 = 7 M class solar flares


M1.2 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 23:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M4.6 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 22:09 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.8 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 16:39 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M1.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 14:40 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 12:24 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M5.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 09:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 04:37 UTC - Sunspot 1515
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hi, NIN, we had an M1.1 at 00:43utc...see above.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


i saw that little peek huge, just not sure to add it or not
think i might ^^
NiNzrez  (OP)

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07/04/2012 09:36 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
That didn't take long. We have the first M-flare for July 5th (Greenwich time). AR1515 again, M1.1 so far.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to halpha.nso.edu]

Now it's 1513's turn to answer the call.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


M2.4 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 01:10 UTC - Sunspot 1515
this would be the 1st one for July 5th

official M count for July 4th 2012 = 7 M class solar flares


M1.2 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 23:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M4.6 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 22:09 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.8 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 16:39 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M1.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 14:40 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 12:24 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M5.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 09:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 04:37 UTC - Sunspot 1515
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Hi, NIN, we had an M1.1 at 00:43utc...see above.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


i saw that little peek huge, just not sure to add it or not
think i might ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


and it just did the same thing again
not gona count that one
because its more like the background level is at the M1 range
its not cause there is actual flares
Anonymous Coward
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07/04/2012 09:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I have never seen anything like this b4.......
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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07/04/2012 09:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I have never seen anything like this b4.......
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17321480


Pretty crazy uh? Baselline staying at almost M levels.... Something big in the works.....
C3Music
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07/04/2012 09:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I dont think I have seen GoES Xray baseline in this range before. Holding steady in the mid C range. Would this classify as a LDE C Flare?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1534352

This was me a couple days ago, now Im wondering if we are going to "baseline" in the "M" area...??? Would not that be wild?
Spittin'Cesium

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07/04/2012 09:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.spaceweather.com]

IWTB is this you in Stockholm, looks alot like you with the moon on your head( bottom of page)
 Quoting: shadasonic


I don't think it is Shada : )

He looks(Man in photo)too Dutch to be Deutsch to me.

Plus,IWTB when spotted outside of the Solar CPU Room is never,ever Vertical..had this Man been Horizontal then I might have considered it twice but alas,Beer.

X.

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 07/04/2012 09:57 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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07/04/2012 09:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
FLARE
0-24 hr 24-48 hr
CLASS M CLASS X
80 % 80%

25 % 25 %
Spittin'Cesium

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07/04/2012 10:00 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I dont think I have seen GoES Xray baseline in this range before. Holding steady in the mid C range. Would this classify as a LDE C Flare?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1534352

This was me a couple days ago, now Im wondering if we are going to "baseline" in the "M" area...??? Would not that be wild?
 Quoting: C3Music 16136592


Thinking similar,on the 1 Minute data it has been holding on average the C 4.0 level(from what I can see anyhoo')for the entirety of the Graph,dipping below C 2.0 just once I think : ?

*I believe I can Fry*
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Spittin'Cesium

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07/04/2012 10:07 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I have never seen anything like this b4.......
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17321480


Here,compare this Alerts Page leading upto the Japanese Earthquake and Tsunami on 3/11 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] to the Alerts Page as it stands at present [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Really not too much difference except for the Protons and A 20.

For all the correlators out there : )
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

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07/04/2012 10:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Starting to get some decent proton absorption.
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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07/04/2012 10:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I have never seen anything like this b4.......
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17321480


Pretty crazy uh? Baselline staying at almost M levels.... Something big in the works.....
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


I'm starting to think you might be right, popping little m's but staying in that upper c range. We're getting close to the 60 deg. mark aren't we?
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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07/04/2012 10:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.spaceweather.com]

IWTB is this you in Stockholm, looks alot like you with the moon on your head( bottom of page)
 Quoting: shadasonic


I don't think it is Shada : )

He looks(Man in photo)too Dutch to be Deutsch to me.

Plus,IWTB when spotted outside of the Solar CPU Room is never,ever Vertical..had this Man been Horizontal then I might have considered it twice but alas,Beer.

X.
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


No shit, thats pretty good my friend, never vertical!dasbier
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
eclectic mind

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07/04/2012 10:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
hello all..

back from a while on holiday..


it's climbing again..

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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07/04/2012 10:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
another M 2.2
Spittin'Cesium

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07/04/2012 10:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Starting to get some decent proton absorption.
 Quoting: shadasonic


About time!

All these Ms' and not a Proton Event yet!?

At least it looks though some of the Interplanetary Protons(supposedly hyperbole)appear to be getting through and are being absorbed..actually,that's not such a great thing : )

I just looked again and the Absorption Map shows a little more aborption..I can remember earlier this Year when(almost)total Absorption filled all MHz on the Db Attenuation graph on the side..the whole Planet was Deep Red!

Were you here for that one Shada!?

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 07/04/2012 10:53 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
Anonymous Coward
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07/04/2012 10:52 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M 2.2
shadasonic

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07/04/2012 10:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Starting to get some decent proton absorption.
 Quoting: shadasonic


About time!

All these Ms' and not a Proton Event yet!?

At least it looks though some of the Interplanetary Protons(hyperbole)appear to be getting through and are being absorbed..actually,that's not such a great thing : )

I just looked again and the Absorption Map shows a little more aborption..I can remember earlier this Year when(almost)total Absorption filled all MHz on the Db Attenuation graph on he side..the whole Planet was Deep Red!

Were you here for that one Shada!?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Oh yeah remember it well , thought for sure our geodynamo core was gonna drop a BIG quake on us. The juxtapose between solar anomalies and quakes sometimes shows so much relevance and others no correlation at all. Soooooo much still to learn thats why i'm here so often!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Anonymous Coward
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
M 2.2
Spittin'Cesium

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07/04/2012 10:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Look at that chunk of Plasma coming out of the Disc at around 8 on the Dial [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] !

Must be a CME from that,no?

Something is visable in the same location on here [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] a backside Flare/CMEor both?

Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 07/04/2012 11:02 PM
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

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07/04/2012 11:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey SC I think we'll see something significant within the next 12 to 16 hours. Theres a gradual pattern showing flux action as its baseline increases, like an ever increasing heart rate with a palputation every so often. We're gonna be busy next week also, looks like alot of interesting energy coming round the mountain

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 07/04/2012 11:01 PM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Spittin'Cesium

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07/04/2012 11:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey SC I think we'll see something significant within the next 12 to 16 hours. Theres a gradual pattern showing flux action as its baseline increases, like an ever increasing heart rate with a palputation every so often. We're gonna be busy next week also, looks like alot of interesting energy coming round the mountain
 Quoting: shadasonic


I agree,seen on the 5 Minute data this trend is more obvious [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
shadasonic

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07/04/2012 11:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Look at that chunk of Plasma coming out of the Disc at around 8 on the Dial [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] !

Must be a CME from that,no?

Something is visable in the same location on here [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] a backside Flare/CMEor both?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Sure looks like it, pretty damn big if it is
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
shadasonic

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07/04/2012 11:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Look at that chunk of Plasma coming out of the Disc at around 8 on the Dial [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] !

Must be a CME from that,no?

Something is visable in the same location on here [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] a backside Flare/CMEor both?
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


Sure looks like it, pretty damn big if it is
 Quoting: shadasonic


We are starting to get the feel of what a solar max is all about. We may not get the x's in number, but a big one is out there!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
MamaHasAwakened

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07/04/2012 11:06 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey SC I think we'll see something significant within the next 12 to 16 hours. Theres a gradual pattern showing flux action as its baseline increases, like an ever increasing heart rate with a palputation every so often. We're gonna be busy next week also, looks like alot of interesting energy coming round the mountain
 Quoting: shadasonic


I agree,seen on the 5 Minute data this trend is more obvious [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] .
 Quoting: Spittin'Cesium


I agree....something big is bound to come of all this!
I felt like I was watching a heart monitor all day!





GLP