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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
shadasonic

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07/15/2012 12:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
1520 still looks like it should be delivering nightmares- flatlined, suspect polarity. Why is space weather. com down?
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:41 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
1520 still looks like it should be delivering nightmares- flatlined, suspect polarity. Why is space weather. com down?
 Quoting: shadasonic


yeah, noticed that...typical.
deja vu....remember Gigantor before the last X..
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shadasonic

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07/15/2012 12:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
1520 still looks like it should be delivering nightmares- flatlined, suspect polarity. Why is space weather. com down?
 Quoting: shadasonic


yeah, noticed that...typical.
deja vu....remember Gigantor before the last X..
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Peace to you NR!Gigantors reaching the 60deg. mark, waiting for the perfect shot, although fluffy might not let anything harm us for awhile?
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
tomasgod1

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07/15/2012 12:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
1520 still looks like it should be delivering nightmares- flatlined, suspect polarity. Why is space weather. com down?
 Quoting: shadasonic


yeah, noticed that...typical.
deja vu....remember Gigantor before the last X..
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


If history continues to repeat it's self, it will most likely release a very large x-flare and CME just as it rotates off the SW limb. The CME will have the possibility of giving us a "glancing blow", and will amt to nada. haha
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nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
1520 still looks like it should be delivering nightmares- flatlined, suspect polarity. Why is space weather. com down?
 Quoting: shadasonic


yeah, noticed that...typical.
deja vu....remember Gigantor before the last X..
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Peace to you NR!Gigantors reaching the 60deg. mark, waiting for the perfect shot, although fluffy might not let anything harm us for awhile?
 Quoting: shadasonic


lol, fluffy...sounds like a big pussy cats name..big_smile

seriously, i thought this impact would have been here sooner..(even sooner than Nin and Hugh thought) , but it appears as if it slowed down..or was slowed down by some thing...

Did anyone see the episode of Myth Busters, wherein they had a flame thrower versus a fire extinguisher? That is what this reminded me of...as if the CME was slowed by 'fluffy' enough to take the BOOM out of the impact..
Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
1520 still looks like it should be delivering nightmares- flatlined, suspect polarity. Why is space weather. com down?
 Quoting: shadasonic


yeah, noticed that...typical.
deja vu....remember Gigantor before the last X..
Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


If history continues to repeat it's self, it will most likely release a very large x-flare and CME just as it rotates off the SW limb. The CME will have the possibility of giving us a "glancing blow", and will amt to nada. haha
 Quoting: tomasgod1


very true...as hugh showed, another nasty bugger coming around the limb...will be interesting to see if Gigantor and 1515 keep their integrity after a turn around SOL...

Spike in density... [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by nerdrage88sasr on 07/15/2012 12:49 AM
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 12:50 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Poes auroral oval stopped updating at 2012 Jul 15 0224 for a long time then just updated to 02:57UT. This normally updates every 20 min and is then up to the min upon updating, not 2 hrs behind!

Initially looking at the magnetopause from CCMC/ Bastrus and Pixie it looks as though the magnetopause has been pushed back a couple of times past Geosynchronous orbit. I thought that they may have put it in safe mode, but it is updating, just 2 hrs behind; which makes it useless other than for cataloging historical data.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


I know saw the same thing, the pause took more of a hit with the flare than this CME, all data is suspicious at this point, aggravating! Looking at density, speed, proton, and electron values it doesn't look anything like the blast properties I saw in initial ejecta
 Quoting: shadasonic


time shift?

seriously
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 12:50 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey hey hey, don't be stealin' my amaretto cheesecake bit!

I had a feeling the thread would hit 1k over this X-flare. Have a bump on me.

GOES is still flatlined and that has me worried... the last thing we need is another build up and sudden boot in the ass on the heels of the last one.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19297584


You did mention Amaretto Cheesecake first. I give you full credit for originating the "code word" and it has proven to be effective at getting the attention of the regulars for the ACs. I have used it with pretty positive results and thank you for stumbling upon the code word that allows ACs to get attention on this thread. Unless you object, I will continue to use it when I am really want a response from the likes of NiNzrez et al.

Let me know if you object and kudos to you. ;)
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:51 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
interesting 'Bow Shock'
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
Parvati

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07/15/2012 12:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
interesting 'Bow Shock'
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


But no magnetic reconnection?

:tarz3:
Truth [Satya] indeed conquers! Not untruth, falsehood.
Untruth is all discord, out of harmony with the Real.
The Real is a spontaneous unfolding of the One.
- Mundaka Upanishad III.1.6
Anonymous Coward
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07/15/2012 12:55 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hey hey hey, don't be stealin' my amaretto cheesecake bit!

I had a feeling the thread would hit 1k over this X-flare. Have a bump on me.

GOES is still flatlined and that has me worried... the last thing we need is another build up and sudden boot in the ass on the heels of the last one.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19297584


You did mention Amaretto Cheesecake first. I give you full credit for originating the "code word" and it has proven to be effective at getting the attention of the regulars for the ACs. I have used it with pretty positive results and thank you for stumbling upon the code word that allows ACs to get attention on this thread. Unless you object, I will continue to use it when I am really want a response from the likes of NiNzrez et al.

Let me know if you object and kudos to you. ;)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19454839


I'm just joking around too, hey if it gets their attention more power to ya! I'm just worried they'll eventually get desensitized or something. hm... can you be desensitized to chocolate amaretto cheesecake?

That stuff's my best bargaining chip for post-apocalyptic bartering.
Spittin'Cesium

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07/15/2012 12:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
This looks like a launch slope or a ski ramp..
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

been watching the density closely...dont know why but i worry about this more than anything...
[link to mms.rice.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Hmm?

Much difference [link to www.haarp.alaska.edu] and [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] !?
The thing that hath been,
is That which shall be;
and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun.
Ecclesiastes 9:1
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 12:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
interesting 'Bow Shock'
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


But no magnetic reconnection?

:tarz3:
 Quoting: Parvati


[link to pixie.spasci.com]
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shadasonic

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07/15/2012 12:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
interesting 'Bow Shock'
[link to ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


Yeah it is, actually all the numbers are off, not distorted, just not the way energies play off each other
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 01:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Current SW speed= 562 km/sec
Density= 19.5 Protons/cm3

Spaceweather has a 70% chance M-Flare/ 15% X-Flare
[link to spaceweather.com]


[link to www.lmsal.com]

Solarham has a 70% chance M-Flare/ 20% X-Flare
[link to www.solarham.net]

Peace
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
tomasgod1

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07/15/2012 01:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
ACE DATA

2012 07 15 04:47UT

Proton Density 34.8 p/cm3

Wind Speed 603.1 km/s

BznT -5.4
_______

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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dettro99

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07/15/2012 01:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar wind
speed: 638.5 km/sec


[link to www.solarham.net]
shadasonic

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07/15/2012 01:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The way the charts have responded it really looks like several filaments have made contact at different times and at different levels of polarity throughout the day, not some large CME that should have our Bz in a negative slide for hours at a time, with much higher density. Maybe our planets polarity is changing and we aren't connecting with the suns plasma at this point, aconjunction of super symmetry at a planetary unification. I don't know pulling theories out of my ass, but somethings off!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
tomasgod1

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07/15/2012 01:07 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Current SW speed= 562 km/sec
Density= 19.5 Protons/cm3

Spaceweather has a 70% chance M-Flare/ 15% X-Flare
[link to spaceweather.com]


[link to www.lmsal.com]

Solarham has a 70% chance M-Flare/ 20% X-Flare
[link to www.solarham.net]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


hehe See we were doing the same thing huh? :)
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Solar Guardian

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07/15/2012 01:09 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I am here 1:08 PM past noon in Malaysia July 15 2012. Will this geomagnetic storm bring down planes in Asia? uhoh
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 01:10 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I am here 1:08 PM past noon in Malaysia July 15 2012. Will this geomagnetic storm bring down planes in Asia? uhoh
 Quoting: Solar Guardian


Nah mate, but honestly, i wouldnt be flying atm..
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
nerdrage88sasr

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07/15/2012 01:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Current SW speed= 562 km/sec
Density= 19.5 Protons/cm3

Spaceweather has a 70% chance M-Flare/ 15% X-Flare
[link to spaceweather.com]


[link to www.lmsal.com]

Solarham has a 70% chance M-Flare/ 20% X-Flare
[link to www.solarham.net]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


hehe See we were doing the same thing huh? :)
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Great Minds Brother!
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD)
shadasonic

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07/15/2012 01:12 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I am here 1:08 PM past noon in Malaysia July 15 2012. Will this geomagnetic storm bring down planes in Asia? uhoh
 Quoting: Solar Guardian


No
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Solar Guardian

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07/15/2012 01:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The solar wind is not high enough?wtf

Last Edited by Solar Guardian on 07/15/2012 01:13 AM
tomasgod1

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07/15/2012 01:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Latest SOHO Data


At 04:47 UT



Speed: 580 km/s



Density: 27.08 p/cm3
_______

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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
shadasonic

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07/15/2012 01:13 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Current SW speed= 562 km/sec
Density= 19.5 Protons/cm3

Spaceweather has a 70% chance M-Flare/ 15% X-Flare
[link to spaceweather.com]


[link to www.lmsal.com]

Solarham has a 70% chance M-Flare/ 20% X-Flare
[link to www.solarham.net]

Peace
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


hehe See we were doing the same thing huh? :)
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Great Minds Brother!
 Quoting: nerdrage88sasr


You guys do have excellent minds, great posts. I start talking about how off it is then it responds with decent numbers. I'll just keep bashing ol sol!
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
tomasgod1

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07/15/2012 01:15 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The solar wind is not high enough?wtf
 Quoting: Solar Guardian


The solar wind is plenty high. The BznT has to stay negative for a long period of time, and the proton density needs to stay up.
_______

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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
TapeWorm

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07/15/2012 01:18 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It peaked earlier and is waning now.

[link to www.n3kl.org]
Hang out... EZ Links - HOT daily news portal.
[link to beyondprophecy.blogspot.ca]
shadasonic

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07/15/2012 01:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
The solar wind is not high enough?wtf
 Quoting: Solar Guardian


The solar wind is plenty high. The BznT has to stay negative for a long period of time, and the proton density needs to stay up.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Proton density needs to elevate and hold, wonder if secondary radiation is breaking down because of to much hydrogen in our atmosphere. Plucking straws here

There maybe more to old Sols northern pole polarity drop than we're being told. The Delta region of 1520 was interacting normally , or so it seemed

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 07/15/2012 01:22 AM
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan





GLP