SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

that's no moon...

Solarsoft is claiming all these solar flares are coming from 1546, [link to www.lmsal.com]

But if you look closely, you'll see that Solarham is right, they do not originate from 1546 but from an unnumbered region just north and east of 1546 rotating in, and it's getting busy for sure.

[link to www.lmsal.com]


Could someone refresh my memory, didn't Nin say as the sun's polar shift approaches, we would see more more solar activity originating from North of it's equator ??

And another M, same region !!!!

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

That's funny considering they were only predicting a 5% chance for a M flare.

There are two dots, similar to the ones in the other picture

Pole flip update: for the first time since mid 2010 the sun's south polar magnetic field has started to weaken.

[link to wso.stanford.edu]

Looks like those that were wondering at the south pole's aloofness (incl. me) can begin to relax. She's beginning to crumble :)

South polar field updated today, finally. -13 on July 21st. It's gone down 1 every 10 days for the last 4 cycles listed. A zero date at this pace brings us to December 8th for the field flip.
[link to wso.stanford.edu]

haha were on the same page with info ;)

Solarsoft is claiming all these solar flares are coming from 1546, [link to www.lmsal.com]

But if you look closely, you'll see that Solarham is right, they do not originate from 1546 but from an unnumbered region just north and east of 1546 rotating in, and it's getting busy for sure.

[link to www.lmsal.com]


Could someone refresh my memory, didn't Nin say as the sun's polar shift approaches, we would see more more solar activity originating from North of it's equator ??

TS ~

Here is what I found from Nin in the posts re the sun pole shift.

BREAKING NEWS:
==============
NASA DON'T GET WHY SUN GOING MONO-POLAR
=======================================

[link to www.nasa.gov]

Approximately every 11 years the magnetic field on the sun reverses completely – the north magnetic pole switches to south, and vice versa. It’s as if a bar magnet slowly lost its magnetic field and regained it in the opposite direction, so the positive side becomes the negative side. But, of course, the sun is not a simple bar magnet and the causes of the switch, not to mention the complex tracery of moving magnetic fields throughout the eleven-year cycle, are not easy to map out.

While the cycle unfolds with seeming regularity every 11 years, in two upcoming papers scientists highlight just how asymmetrical this process actually is. Currently the polarity at the north of the sun appears to have decreased close to zero – that is, it seems to be well into its polar flip from magnetic north to south -- but the polarity at the south is only just beginning to decrease.

"Right now, there's an imbalance between the north and the south poles," says Jonathan Cirtain, a space scientist at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Ala., who is also NASA's project scientist for a Japanese solar mission called Hinode. "The north is already in transition, well ahead of the south pole, and we don't understand why."

[link to www.nasa.gov]

With Solar Cycle 24, the Sunspot Regions in the Southern Hemisphere are oriented - to +, and CMEs usually arive from these regions + to - making a poor connection with our geomagnetic field. We have a gread deal more to be concerned from ARs in the Northern Hemisphere. As the cycle progresses we can expect to see these regions begin to change their polarity structure starting with regions off the SE limb ( usually). This is but one of the many ways we get a heads up on the approach of solar max. I believe Dr Leif Svalgaard wrote the original documentation I read on this some years ago. You may want to do a search for his observations, theorys and findings. Dr Svalgaard is one Astrophysicst that I have a great amount of respect for. Solar cycle 25 will begin with a reversed polarity Sunspot Region after a dormant spotless Sun that will be in the Northern Hemisphere. Solar Cycle 25 Sunspot Regions will be reversed from 24s. -to + in the Northern Hemisphere and + to - in the Southern. amazing that the Sun reverses polarity every cycle, isn't it? what if it reversed our weakened one this time as well? Food for thought. I hope I made some sence, as I have been up way to long and need some rest befor this weekend!!! haha!

Again, just to be very clear! The Sun reverses it magnetic poles every 11 years. The Earth does not, as often, yet it does also!. One day we will, as Earth has done it many, many, many times. We know this because the sea floor is striated with strips of magnetically aligned seabed N-S then S-N then N-S over and over as the sea floor expands from underneath the continent in the pacific ocean; as it cools it is permanently magnetized according to the polar alignment of the Earth. It changes every several hundered to million years, over, and over again. But the Sun does it every 11 yeqrs! ON Q! Maybe this is our year to flip with the Sun? think about it..haha!

TS ~

Here is what I found from Nin in the posts re the sun pole shift.

from the same article
"both papers agree that the switch is imminent at the north pole, well in advance of general predictions that solar maximum for this cycle will occur in 2013"

" The microwave radiation technique described in the second paper makes use of the discovery in 2003 that as the sun moves toward solar maximum, giant eruptions on the sun, called prominence eruptions – which during solar minimum, are concentrated at lower solar latitudes -- begin to travel toward higher latitudes near the poles. In addition, the polar brightness in the microwave wavelengths declines to very low values"

"These prominence eruptions are associated with increased solar activity such as coronal mass ejections or CMEs, so CMEs originating from higher latitudes also point to an oncoming solar maximum,"

" "When we start to see prominence eruptions above 60 degrees latitude on the sun, then we know that we are reaching solar maximum."

VERY interesting report
thanks for sharing this :)


Edit Note:
we just saw a northern prominence lift off earlier today

Nin - Is this what you are looking for that Thomas wrote? I am a lurker and thought I would help out if possible instead of just hitting F5 key.

Nin - Maybe it is this one you are looking for from Thomas?

Thank you Tiny !!! :) I know this is related, but I was sure it was more specific to the activity in the North increasing ....

But then again, I've been known to confuse ideas with reality lol.

Thanks for looking that up

That's funny considering they were only predicting a 5% chance for a M flare.

Well you know ... "they" try :shy:

Where are you going TS?