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| 07:56 PM | ||
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| 07:56 PM | ||
SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 1540313  United States09/01/2012 03:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | you can now see the CME cloud on the 3rd frame for the HI2 Quoting: NiNzrez [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] the blacker areas on the image are of more dence areas the more black, the more dence DAMN  the good new is that its still a bit out there, so we have more time to go over data on this one you can look here to see where Earth is on the HI2 images [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] the very front of the CME cloud will hit soon, but its the blacker more dence area behind it that has me a bit worried Yes, I guess it depends upon how tightly packed the ejecta stays while it heads our way. Plasma is scary stuff. |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 1540313 United States09/01/2012 03:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 2.5 2012/09/01 17:30:36 43.781 -121.316 0.0 Quoting: NiNzrez NEWBERRY CALDERA AREA, OREGON depth of 0.0 is surface [link to volcanoes.usgs.gov] Newberry may appear to be a sleeping volcano, but it is doing what volcanoes normally do by maintaining long periods of quiet that are punctuated by occasional eruptions. Seismometers measure earthquakes associated with magma and gas movement beneath the surface, while global positioning system (GPS) instruments measure swelling of a volcano due to magma accumulation underground. just downgraded to a 1.8 [link to earthquake.usgs.gov] have to keep it off that main big quake map, ya know ^^ Lots of small quakes under the volcanos near me, too- Mt. Lassen and the giant Mt. Shasta. I live close, so keep my eye on activity there, thanks for this post Nin. My folks live in Grass Valley :) Yes, they need to keep watch,too. |
| whiteangel also known as WA  User ID: 1775746 United States09/01/2012 03:11 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | you can now see the CME cloud on the 3rd frame for the HI2 Quoting: NiNzrez [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] the blacker areas on the image are of more dence areas the more black, the more dence DAMN the good new is that its still a bit out there, so we have more time to go over data on this one you can look here to see where Earth is on the HI2 images [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] the very front of the CME cloud will hit soon, but its the blacker more dence area behind it that has me a bit worried I know we aren't getting a glancing blow from this, but from what I have been watching,Earth is to the side a little. Can any of you tell if the denser areas will stay for front and center or like a whip, is won't matter? Newbie question, I know, but the only way to learn is to ask when you don't understand something  Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
| AkivaJeff User ID: 19183578 United States09/01/2012 03:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 2.5 2012/09/01 17:30:36 43.781 -121.316 0.0 Quoting: NiNzrez NEWBERRY CALDERA AREA, OREGON depth of 0.0 is surface [link to volcanoes.usgs.gov] Newberry may appear to be a sleeping volcano, but it is doing what volcanoes normally do by maintaining long periods of quiet that are punctuated by occasional eruptions. Seismometers measure earthquakes associated with magma and gas movement beneath the surface, while global positioning system (GPS) instruments measure swelling of a volcano due to magma accumulation underground. just downgraded to a 1.8 [link to earthquake.usgs.gov] have to keep it off that main big quake map, ya know ^^ Lots of small quakes under the volcanos near me, too- Mt. Lassen and the giant Mt. Shasta. I live close, so keep my eye on activity there, thanks for this post Nin. My folks live in Grass Valley :) Yes, they need to keep watch,too. Yeah. And my brother in Eugene. Funny, last night I had a vivid dream about LA being destroyed by an EQ. I don't think I have prophetic dreams. It's probably from hanging around here.  Life is short... But it's WIDE. |
| mistersplinter User ID: 12261497 United States09/01/2012 03:17 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | protons had 'settled' for a bit, now back on the rise. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] cap: [link to i1165.photobucket.com] "I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein |
| madajs User ID: 6377684  Canada09/01/2012 03:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | also, just kind of glad were not in the centre of this ejection's path! not that that means we're gonna get off scot free... And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
| madajs User ID: 6377684 Canada09/01/2012 03:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | enlil's geoeffective model has updated to show this cme [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] shows us only getting a small taste of it. however i have a lot more faith in nin's method of analyzing each data point as it gets updated rather than putting faith in one catch all model run! And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
| mistersplinter User ID: 12261497 United States09/01/2012 03:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 1540313 United States09/01/2012 03:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: SpiderJones Lots of small quakes under the volcanos near me, too- Mt. Lassen and the giant Mt. Shasta. I live close, so keep my eye on activity there, thanks for this post Nin. My folks live in Grass Valley :) Yes, they need to keep watch,too. Yeah. And my brother in Eugene. Funny, last night I had a vivid dream about LA being destroyed by an EQ. I don't think I have prophetic dreams. It's probably from hanging around here. LOL |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 1540313 United States09/01/2012 03:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | enlil's geoeffective model has updated to show this cme Quoting: madajs [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] shows us only getting a small taste of it. however i have a lot more faith in nin's method of analyzing each data point as it gets updated rather than putting faith in one catch all model run! Small taste of that monster is more than enough! |
| mistersplinter User ID: 12261497 United States09/01/2012 03:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | enlil's geoeffective model has updated to show this cme Quoting: madajs [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] shows us only getting a small taste of it. however i have a lot more faith in nin's method of analyzing each data point as it gets updated rather than putting faith in one catch all model run! Small taste of that monster is more than enough! Looks like a bit more than a glancing blow to me... "I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 1540313 United States09/01/2012 03:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | enlil's geoeffective model has updated to show this cme Quoting: madajs [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] shows us only getting a small taste of it. however i have a lot more faith in nin's method of analyzing each data point as it gets updated rather than putting faith in one catch all model run! Small taste of that monster is more than enough! Looks like a bit more than a glancing blow to me... Yes, all it needs to do is to connect w/ Earth's magnetic field. |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 1540313 United States09/01/2012 03:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| AkivaJeff User ID: 19183578 United States09/01/2012 03:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] wow, the proton flux just keeps on going up. Also alot of C bumps Last Edited by AkivaJeff on 09/01/2012 03:57 PM Life is short... But it's WIDE. |
| S0L4RN1GHTM4R3 User ID: 20843469 United States09/01/2012 03:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 12844841 United States09/01/2012 04:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The Sun just rippled over most of the NW quadrant- so elastic, wow! I be back shortly Suncrew. looking at todays movie on SDO in the gold filter, we can see there is some very active magnetic activity going on around sunspot 1560 Quoting: NiNzrez also looking at the magnetogram i can see some major fast growth within this region today, as well as connectivity between this region and the sunspots in the southeastern region if this continues, we could see a good sized flare very soon, as well as a possible CME coming from this area [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] wow, also something else i just noticed look at the movie for all of today in the Red filter, and watch the entire top right (northwest) section you can see the wave of plasms that was from the filament ejection in the southeast (bottom left), then a few min later you can see that wave go up over the whole top right like a wave of plasma went over the whole earth facing side of the sun with this event 1st time i have personaly ever seen this happen amazing Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
| whiteangel also known as WA User ID: 1775746 United States09/01/2012 04:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Heating up [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
| Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States09/01/2012 04:10 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Wooohooo DRAP lighting up, whats it gonna look like later tonight and tomorrow and Monday? [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Edit: Oh funny Whiteangel, posted same thing, great minds.... Last Edited by Isis One on 09/01/2012 04:11 PM Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
| AkivaJeff User ID: 19183578 United States09/01/2012 04:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 12844841 United States09/01/2012 04:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Get out the coffee. Quoting: AkivaJeff Nin, I almost feel ashamed that I get to experience this with you after all the time and effort you put in compared to my almost zero. I said "almost".  no way! we get an awesome solar party going on in this group when solar activity is in big need of great minds finding and going over data, there is no better place to be when we have big solar events :) yay for group effort! welcome to the party ^^ Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
| NiNzrez (OP) User ID: 12844841 United States09/01/2012 04:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] for a reminder, here is the image directly prior to the one above [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] open each in new tabs and flip between the 2 and you will get a better idea whats headed out away from the sun looking here at where Earth is [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] then looking at the 2 HI2 images, i would say based on speed we can see this CME moving on the images, we will see the front of it arrive within around 2hrs please keep in mind though, the very front of this CME is NOT the most dence part! and the inital hit we see will NOT indicate how bad this one will hit us it is the plasme BEHIND the inital front that needs a close watch Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/01/2012 04:44 PM Join Me On The GLP SOLAR WATCH Thread Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 267057  Australia09/01/2012 04:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| whiteangel also known as WA User ID: 1775746 United States09/01/2012 04:40 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Wooohooo DRAP lighting up, whats it gonna look like later tonight and tomorrow and Monday? Quoting: Isis One [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Edit: Oh funny Whiteangel, posted same thing, great minds.... I was going to add, jinx you owe me a coke, lol!! Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
| whiteangel also known as WA User ID: 1775746 United States09/01/2012 04:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Get out the coffee. Quoting: AkivaJeff Nin, I almost feel ashamed that I get to experience this with you after all the time and effort you put in compared to my almost zero. I said "almost". no way! we get an awesome solar party going on in this group when solar activity is in big need of great minds finding and going over data, there is no better place to be when we have big solar events :) yay for group effort! welcome to the party ^^   You can bet I will be here along with all ya great people!! Let the party begin, lolIsaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
| madajs User ID: 6377684 Canada09/01/2012 04:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | As NiN mentioned previously, AR1560 may add some fireworks to the celebration. Sunspot AR1560 has more than quadrupled in size since August 30th, and now the fast growing active region is directly facing our planet: movie. NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of M-class solar fares during the next 48 hours. Quoting: spaceweather.com1560 N04E09 125 0180 Dai 06 15 Beta-Gamma Quoting: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Last Edited by madajs on 09/01/2012 04:45 PM And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
| whiteangel also known as WA User ID: 1775746 United States09/01/2012 04:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | the new HI2 image is out and it appears there is even MORE dence plasma behind it all Quoting: NiNzrez [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] for a reminder, here is the image directly prior to the one above [link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov] open each in new tabs and flip between the 2 and you will get a better idea whats headed out away from the sun looking here at where Earth is [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] then looking at the 2 HI2 images, i would say based on speed we can see this CME moving on the images, we will see the front of it arrive in around 2hrs please keep in mind though, the very front of this CME is NOT the most dence part! and the inital hit we see will NOT indicate how bad this one will hit us it is the plasme BEHIND the inital front that needs a close watch So, my thoughts that the Earth being on the side of this event being a possible better position just got thrown in the trash...and we have no way of knowing until 20 mins before it hits just how bad it might/could be? Right? Someone said to treat this as a trail run for a Carrington event...what say you Nin? Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 23002406  Portugal09/01/2012 04:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 14296220  Finland09/01/2012 04:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | neat plasmoid-man was walking at the top of the sun at clock 2 pos today, here are two shots around the time I noticed them [link to helioviewer.org] [link to helioviewer.org] |
| aether User ID: 22367360  United Kingdom09/01/2012 05:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | neat plasmoid-man was walking at the top of the sun at clock 2 pos today, here are two shots around the time I noticed them Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14296220 [link to helioviewer.org] [link to helioviewer.org] i like that  |
| mistersplinter User ID: 12261497 United States09/01/2012 05:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | neat plasmoid-man was walking at the top of the sun at clock 2 pos today, here are two shots around the time I noticed them Quoting: Anonymous Coward 14296220 [link to helioviewer.org] [link to helioviewer.org] damn...I was watching in 304...looks even crazier in 171 great catch! "I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein |
