SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

I did not realize there were so many people like me here. Give it up to the people who keep the home fires burning.

Thank You, TS66

Nice shot

So THAT's where the Cat in the Hat is hanging out these days?

Props to Mistersplinter

Last Edited by AkivaJeff on 09/02/2012 10:09 AM

I do believe I forgot to say good morning. Very tired today. But I've been checking in for the last three hours.

So................Good Morning All! Love to our solar family!

:SmilieBlowHearts:

Last Edited by shenue on 09/02/2012 10:10 AM

no emp? no electricity shut down? no power-grid overheating?

do you guys have any news about the Aug 31st and Sep 1st's flare? Has it reached earth already? any colateral damages?

Good Morning, Shen

No Cataclysm so far but alot of activity building for today.
Glad it's a holiday and we have time to watch closely.

Thanks to Nin for all of her hard work yesterday.

Thanks to all of the soltards for the vigilence.

Can someone help me please? Goes magnetometer has a brief gap in data in the last hour. Any idea what could be blocking the data on both 13 & 15? No break in data previous 2 days.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

1200 pages!
Congrats Nin and all you suntards!

[link to www.solarham.net]
Solarham has the main portion hitting us tomorrow, but I think we'll see the charts act up all day as this seems to be more of a series of plasmatic events coming in. Bz is still south so we may see some minor to moderate energy

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]

you never let me down hehe always appreciate your answers

ok, so explain me something, as far I've understood, we're not dealing with a regular flare, right? in case your answer is yes, then tell me, could it be the first of a massive eruption that could lead to a global power-grid overheating and also to the eletromag-field reversal?

again, if yes, tell me about the chances, in numbers.

I've also heard about some 'star water' and a possible 'changing' in our ionosphere - confirms? if yes, are you aware of the possivel following events?

Guys, sorry about asking so many things, but I've heard a lot of things recently and I thing every body here has too, so these questions are probably not only my own, and I'd appreciate if somebody could put them all together and explain these things.

thanks for now

Well this weekend is a four day drinkfest for me, so if I come (came) here babbling, I apologize in advance (posthumously)

Hello, 66! Thanks for that info on the new CME. I think the CACTus computer models are broken. They list the median velocity of this CME at more than 1700 km/s (and the big, type IV halo one from the 31st they had at less than 800 km/s). Seems backwards to me.

CACTus CME Details:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

CACTus Diagnostics:

[link to www.sidc.oma.be]

We could get a much bigger CME from region 1560 if it pops a big one soon. Another sign of solar max is sunspots forming near the equator....and they tend to be more geo-effective, too.

Ahhh Hugh so glad to see you back !!!!!

Dr. Strong was actually reporting 2K yesterday. Not it's not making a lot of sense, and has my conspirator mind working.

We had a C flare that magnetically released a large filament, which is very dense in plasma, so these are not your normal plasma type flare associated releases. Some believe this solar max even though slow right now in comparison has the ability to give us fewer but larger events. We are getting closer to the suns flip, but I believe we've got some big events coming in the next several months. I'm looking for the southern hemisphere to give us a show soon.We can only watch and wait.

Starwater is something I'm not as familiar with as Cesium, as he has talked about it in the past.Supposedly this filament liftoff released starwater but thats heresay.Nin or Hugh or nerd or splinter or someone besides me could help you with that. I've researched it awhile back but its vague.

I do know there is talk of alot of subatomic particles and secondary radiation being absorbed in ley lines and planetary meridians allowing for quicker saturation of new incoming events. We had alot of proton saturation not to long ago,for an extended period. Psyoptics is very good with this info.

There is also talk of our magnetic field becoming 'twisted'. As the earth spins on its axis, the field lines become twisted,which creates new currents within our core. Typically this adds to the current field, but if its orientation is shifted, as some believe is happening, to the dominant field, it can subvert or weaken the overall magnetization. So as you can see theres ALOT going on within the full spectrum.
Hope that helps there are alot of great minds on this thread that can probably do better!Peace

Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 09/02/2012 11:07 AM

Great stuff, Van! We should get this update every morning.

All I would say is that the data is all about conditions here on earth. My thought is that the wildcard is what the SUN does today. That's why this thread is so great.
Thanks.

Last Edited by AkivaJeff on 09/02/2012 11:08 AM

Has a large flare ever come from a small SS?
Has a BGD ever been a dud?
Do filaments normally erupt?

Most of the science we have can only give "likelyhoods".

That wicked filament burst was not expected much, I think.

If that big pussy sol gives us a wet fart today, all bets are off!

perfect explanation.

only two questions remained then, could NIN or some other person answer them please?

btw, since this incident happened, we've had one significant increasing in chemtrails being spread in the sky. dunno if it's relevant though

Still catching up, but I had to stop and post how AWESOME this is!!

Good luck and Godspeed P&W!

looks like spaceweather added to their report on thei Filament CME
"NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of strong polar geomagnetic storms when the cloud arrives on Sept. 3rd."

the front of the CME arrived yesterday and barley glanced or did anything at all
but, it would appear that NOAA is also watching what i am, and thats the super black dense mass from this CME that is still enrout in space
Here you can see the mass im speaking of off to the fer left in this image as it is seen at 01:47 UTC
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
and here we can see it much better in the latest HI2 image at 07:48
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]

believe me, it that does hit, we will all know it

here is the images of the CME cloud on HI1 for Sept 26, 2011
that cloud caused a Kp8 Geomagnetic Storm
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
i added these to show how its more about impact
and when we see very dense mass such as what we see today, we are super lucky when it does not give a direct hit
Because if the cloud on the 2 images directly above can cause a Kp8 (with a good hit) can you just imagine what the CME cloud we see today would do if it hit us just right?

omg thats so awesome to hear!
Good luck! and pull up a chair :)

i guess i better sign in ^^

that thicker chunk of plasma we are seeing on the HI2 images is more than likley from this chunk of plasma we seen on the STEREO B images on Aug 31
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
it appears to have not lost to much mass enroute in space
we will see better as it gets closer to Earth

allllrighty!!

Good morning y'all.
I hope y'all are doing well. I think all the pre-cme particles have me feeling a bit rough, well, something does anyway.

Proton flux still high:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

EPAM protons still way up

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
cap:
[link to i1165.photobucket.com]

SIS still running high:
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


Bz is still WAY south, but we don't have much solar wind to speak of--approx 300km/s.

And finally, the last 12 hrs or so have shown an uptick in density, though radial speed and temp remain low.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Two days, count um, two days with both Ninz and Hugh posting!!

Happy times, happy times!

Nin do you have more of an idea (I'd love your opinion) with the new info/images that came out today, or are we still very much dependent on that 20 minute window to see what kind of impact this may have ?