SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States 09/12/2012 11:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The "Numbers Guy" at NOAA took the day of yesterday, so everything got screwed-up again....aaaah, the joys of bureaucracy. Anyway, AR1570 is a tiny dot in the SW which may be invisible by now and AR1571 is the big spot in the far Southeast. But the big news is the growth of AR1569 as it moves toward center-disk. Kudos to Spittin' Cesium for mentioning that tongue plasma licking around 1569. This is a sure sign of a very strong storm brewing. Be prepared to see some big fireworks from this region soon (I'm thinking a strong M or maybe even an X-flare if it's growth continues. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 257 Issued at 0030Z on 13 Sep 2012 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 12 Sep I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 12/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 1566 N23W39 016 0040 Hsx 02 02 Alpha 1568 S09W68 045 0010 Axx 01 02 Alpha 1569 S12E39 297 0200 Eso 12 10 Beta 1570 S13W34 010 0020 Cso 02 03 Beta 1571 S12E57 279 0110 Cso 06 01 Beta [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Latest HMI Color Magnetogram: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Latest HMI Intensitygram: [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] :1569 & 71: AR1569 Magnetogram- :1569magnetogram: Hi Hugh, TS was the first to notice the tongue, but it doesn't matter. I agree with 1569 and its growth , is this the one we've been looking for,seems ready to expand just need that dense bi polar spot to show and a good penumbra. Glad to have you around,your much faster with the info than I. I've got myself spread to thin and am wearing thin. I'm moving away from so much on GLP that doesn't have relevance. Just trying to stick to what 'really' matters,anywho thanks for always being there. Constant electron spike is showing that old SOl is letting go of energy without a good solar wind,we're getting close to max pickup. I'm seeing an event of some size happening soon! Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 09/13/2012 12:07 AM “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States 09/13/2012 12:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Climbing back into C range, lets hope for a monster I'm tired of waiting(we don't quite have the firepower yet, damn). A good C can unleash alot, sorry about the first rule Cesium! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States 09/13/2012 12:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The "Numbers Guy" at NOAA took the day of yesterday, so everything got screwed-up again....aaaah, the joys of bureaucracy. Anyway, AR1570 is a tiny dot in the SW which may be invisible by now and AR1571 is the big spot in the far Southeast. But the big news is the growth of AR1569 as it moves toward center-disk. Kudos to Spittin' Cesium for mentioning that tongue plasma licking around 1569. This is a sure sign of a very strong storm brewing. Be prepared to see some big fireworks from this region soon (I'm thinking a strong M or maybe even an X-flare if it's growth continues. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 257 Issued at 0030Z on 13 Sep 2012 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 12 Sep I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 12/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 1566 N23W39 016 0040 Hsx 02 02 Alpha 1568 S09W68 045 0010 Axx 01 02 Alpha 1569 S12E39 297 0200 Eso 12 10 Beta 1570 S13W34 010 0020 Cso 02 03 Beta 1571 S12E57 279 0110 Cso 06 01 Beta [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Latest HMI Color Magnetogram: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Latest HMI Intensitygram: [link to jsoc.stanford.edu] :1569 & 71: AR1569 Magnetogram- :1569magnetogram: Hi Hugh, TS was the first to notice the tongue, but it doesn't matter. I agree with 1569 and its growth , is this the one we've been looking for,seems ready to expand just need that dense bi polar spot to show and a good penumbra. Glad to have you around,your much faster with the info than I. I've got myself spread to thin and am wearing thin. I'm moving away from so much on GLP that doesn't have relevance. Just trying to stick to what 'really' matters,anywho thanks for always being there. Constant electron spike is showing that old SOl is letting go of energy without a good solar wind,we're getting close to max pickup. I'm seeing an event of some size happening soon! Well, thanks, ..it's nice to be appreciated -and kudos to TS, too! The few times we've seen the "tongue-like action" it's always been a prelude to at least one big flare. And AR1569 is nearing the "danger zone" for geoeffectiveness. The next 5 or six days we'll be sitting ducks for whatever this region throws at us. Also, watching the SDO movie-maker, I noticed a big flare and a small CME on the northeast limb. It barely made a ripple in the x-ray flux and I can't even find a sunspot on the Intensitygram. It's possibly another region still beyond the northeast limb and soon coming our way. SDO/AIA 304a image of flare on northeast limb: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Followed by a CME there: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 09/13/2012 12:44 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Little C sprouting ......and done? Maybe not? Last Edited by Isis One on 09/13/2012 12:50 AM Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
mtn_mang User ID: 23298657 United States 09/13/2012 12:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Isis One User ID: 14343270 United States 09/13/2012 01:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think its 1564, I just said a little while ago I thought we'd get an M or a little X out of it, C2.2 and climbing. Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States 09/13/2012 02:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think its 1564, I just said a little while ago I thought we'd get an M or a little X out of it, C2.2 and climbing. Yes, 1564 is acting up and lots action and loops seen over the east limb on the SDO images. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Also, the large, thick filament in the north (about 40 degrees west) seems to be working loose and ready to fly off. If that happens there's a good chance for an Earth-directed CME blast. Learmonth H-alpha movie shows filament loosening: [link to halpha.nso.edu] Gotta get some sleep now....but the x-rays are goin' up again. G'night all! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 14296220 Finland 09/13/2012 07:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Saw this interesting article, the jest of it is NASA and sat builders know the comming risk but continue to build vulnerable sats.. Quoting: Your Last Chance Have to love tax dollars at work... [link to www.eetimes.com] i just read an article about NASA's new mars rover.... if they do find water on mars and use it nice probe to investigate it... well they will introduce earth based microbes and bacteria to the planet mars! as it turns out some high level brain user went into the clean room....NOT clean and installed a part they had forgotten to install! then of course they launched it and somehow it did make to the surface of mars. it is bad enough we humans are destroying earth....why must some feel obligated to go after mars now! Mars infection happened already in the 70s. First Russian landers were not desinfected at all. Mars is full of Russian microbes. It is their planet as they get their microbes there first ... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1514992 United States 09/13/2012 09:54 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning sunnies !!! Some freaky deaky sh*t this morning. Check out SDO movie, red, 1024 7:14 UTC. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] There is some type of huge ejecta in the north west quadrant, shooting out east and west that resemble plumes of smoke radiating away from the region (possibly SR1566). I'm not sure of the origins as there are no shots for the hour prior. I believe it was picked up on the GOES Xray flux chart, but it seems to have produced more plasma than reflected on GOES. :ejecta1: Shortly after at 10:15, a huge prominence in the SSE region also ejected which resulted in what looks like a small B flare, and in the next frame another right at the south pole, again both seemed more significant of an eruption than indicated on GOES. :ejecta2: As always, I prefer the movie |
AkivaJeff User ID: 21899688 United States 09/13/2012 10:02 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning sunnies !!! Quoting: TS66 Some freaky deaky sh*t this morning. Check out SDO movie, red, 1024 7:14 UTC. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] There is some type of huge ejecta in the north west quadrant, shooting out east and west that resemble plumes of smoke radiating away from the region (possibly SR1566). I'm not sure of the origins as there are no shots for the hour prior. I believe it was picked up on the GOES Xray flux chart, but it seems to have produced more plasma than reflected on GOES. :ejecta1: Shortly after at 10:15, a huge prominence in the SSE region also ejected which resulted in what looks like a small B flare, and in the next frame another right at the south pole, again both seemed more significant of an eruption than indicated on GOES. :ejecta2: As always, I prefer the movie Good morning TS. I see you've got your freak on. Nice shots! Life is short... But it's WIDE. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1514992 United States 09/13/2012 10:04 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Can some one tell me how to make and post one of those things !!! LOL [link to www.solarham.net] Lasco 2 [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] Stay tuned. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1514992 United States 09/13/2012 10:06 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
mistersplinter User ID: 12261497 United States 09/13/2012 10:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning sunnies !!! Quoting: TS66 Some freaky deaky sh*t this morning. Check out SDO movie, red, 1024 7:14 UTC. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] There is some type of huge ejecta in the north west quadrant, shooting out east and west that resemble plumes of smoke radiating away from the region (possibly SR1566). I'm not sure of the origins as there are no shots for the hour prior. I believe it was picked up on the GOES Xray flux chart, but it seems to have produced more plasma than reflected on GOES. :ejecta1: Shortly after at 10:15, a huge prominence in the SSE region also ejected which resulted in what looks like a small B flare, and in the next frame another right at the south pole, again both seemed more significant of an eruption than indicated on GOES. :ejecta2: As always, I prefer the movie great catch! The size boggles the mind... "I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1514992 United States 09/13/2012 10:55 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
SC User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 09/13/2012 12:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning sunnies !!! Quoting: TS66 Some freaky deaky sh*t this morning. Check out SDO movie, red, 1024 7:14 UTC. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] There is some type of huge ejecta in the north west quadrant, shooting out east and west that resemble plumes of smoke radiating away from the region (possibly SR1566). I'm not sure of the origins as there are no shots for the hour prior. I believe it was picked up on the GOES Xray flux chart, but it seems to have produced more plasma than reflected on GOES. :ejecta1: Shortly after at 10:15, a huge prominence in the SSE region also ejected which resulted in what looks like a small B flare, and in the next frame another right at the south pole, again both seemed more significant of an eruption than indicated on GOES. :ejecta2: As always, I prefer the movie great catch! The size boggles the mind... Oh wow!? And I thought this was amazing [link to halpha.nso.edu] This Filament Eruption is bonkers. Wth? |
mtn_mang User ID: 23298657 United States 09/13/2012 12:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
mtn_mang User ID: 23298657 United States 09/13/2012 12:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States 09/13/2012 12:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning sunnies !!! Quoting: TS66 Some freaky deaky sh*t this morning. Check out SDO movie, red, 1024 7:14 UTC. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] There is some type of huge ejecta in the north west quadrant, shooting out east and west that resemble plumes of smoke radiating away from the region (possibly SR1566). I'm not sure of the origins as there are no shots for the hour prior. I believe it was picked up on the GOES Xray flux chart, but it seems to have produced more plasma than reflected on GOES. :ejecta1: Shortly after at 10:15, a huge prominence in the SSE region also ejected which resulted in what looks like a small B flare, and in the next frame another right at the south pole, again both seemed more significant of an eruption than indicated on GOES. :ejecta2: As always, I prefer the movie great catch! The size boggles the mind... Check my last post, I saw this coming before it happened. The big CME seems to be directed north of the ecliptic, but we may get a glancing blow. Cool video, too. [link to halpha.nso.edu] Is this the correct and current CME model???: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 09/13/2012 12:10 PM |
SC User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 09/13/2012 12:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A good example of our Sun acting like a Super Conductor [link to halpha.nso.edu] Plasma in Orbit. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1514992 United States 09/13/2012 12:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning sunnies !!! Quoting: TS66 Some freaky deaky sh*t this morning. Check out SDO movie, red, 1024 7:14 UTC. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] There is some type of huge ejecta in the north west quadrant, shooting out east and west that resemble plumes of smoke radiating away from the region (possibly SR1566). I'm not sure of the origins as there are no shots for the hour prior. I believe it was picked up on the GOES Xray flux chart, but it seems to have produced more plasma than reflected on GOES. :ejecta1: Shortly after at 10:15, a huge prominence in the SSE region also ejected which resulted in what looks like a small B flare, and in the next frame another right at the south pole, again both seemed more significant of an eruption than indicated on GOES. :ejecta2: As always, I prefer the movie great catch! The size boggles the mind... Oh wow!? And I thought this was amazing [link to halpha.nso.edu] This Filament Eruption is bonkers. Wth? I NEVER think to use the halpha !!! Awesome, SC, and an obvious filament ... |
mistersplinter User ID: 12261497 United States 09/13/2012 12:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
mistersplinter User ID: 12261497 United States 09/13/2012 01:01 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
mistersplinter User ID: 12261497 United States 09/13/2012 01:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | a definite, um..., syncopation occurring here [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] "I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein |
SC User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 09/13/2012 02:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good morning sunnies !!! Quoting: TS66 Some freaky deaky sh*t this morning. Check out SDO movie, red, 1024 7:14 UTC. [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] There is some type of huge ejecta in the north west quadrant, shooting out east and west that resemble plumes of smoke radiating away from the region (possibly SR1566). I'm not sure of the origins as there are no shots for the hour prior. I believe it was picked up on the GOES Xray flux chart, but it seems to have produced more plasma than reflected on GOES. :ejecta1: Shortly after at 10:15, a huge prominence in the SSE region also ejected which resulted in what looks like a small B flare, and in the next frame another right at the south pole, again both seemed more significant of an eruption than indicated on GOES. :ejecta2: As always, I prefer the movie great catch! The size boggles the mind... Oh wow!? And I thought this was amazing [link to halpha.nso.edu] This Filament Eruption is bonkers. Wth? I NEVER think to use the halpha !!! Awesome, SC, and an obvious filament ... Hello 66 and everyone : ) Make sure you have it in your Favourites,It is one of the first places I check in the Day - After the Magnetometers/Electrons/X-Ray/EVE esp. when their is Filaments present. Here [link to halpha.nso.edu] Check out the Giant Eruption from behind the North-Eastern Limb! CME for sure. |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 09/13/2012 02:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Oh wow!? And I thought this was amazing [link to halpha.nso.edu] This Filament Eruption is bonkers. Wth? I NEVER think to use the halpha !!! Awesome, SC, and an obvious filament ... Hello 66 and everyone : ) Make sure you have it in your Favourites,It is one of the first places I check in the Day - After the Magnetometers/Electrons/X-Ray/EVE esp. when there are Filaments present. Here [link to halpha.nso.edu] Check out the Giant Eruption from behind the North-Eastern Limb! CME for sure. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
AkivaJeff User ID: 19183578 United States 09/13/2012 02:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Wow, just got home and booted up to some action! [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Life is short... But it's WIDE. |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 09/13/2012 02:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: SC 14589973 Oh wow!? And I thought this was amazing [link to halpha.nso.edu] This Filament Eruption is bonkers. Wth? I NEVER think to use the halpha !!! Awesome, SC, and an obvious filament ... Hello 66 and everyone : ) Make sure you have it in your Favourites,It is one of the first places I check in the Day - After the Magnetometers/Electrons/X-Ray/EVE esp. when there are Filaments present. Here [link to halpha.nso.edu] Check out the Giant Eruption from behind the North-Eastern Limb! CME for sure. Looks awesome on SDO - [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
mistersplinter User ID: 12261497 United States 09/13/2012 02:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States 09/13/2012 02:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] We've got a pulse, it's alive. I enjoy the color contrast a little more now. “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1540313 United States 09/13/2012 02:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |