| Users Online Now: 1,935 (Who's On?) | Visitors Today: 681,924 | |
| Pageviews Today: 898,551 | Threads Today: 246 | Posts Today: 3,583 |
| 07:50 AM | ||
| Users Online Now: 1,935 (Who's On?) | Visitors Today: 681,924 | |
| Pageviews Today: 898,551 | Threads Today: 246 | Posts Today: 3,583 |
| 07:50 AM | ||
SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
Hugh M Eye  User ID: 22914370  United States09/28/2012 01:50 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't know if the model has been posted yet, but enlil is showing this new earthbound cme and it is BIG and FAST Quoting: madajs [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] I'm a little worried on this one folks Edit: once the geoeffective enlil model updates we will have more info UH_OH!   |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States09/28/2012 01:54 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't know if the model has been posted yet, but enlil is showing this new earthbound cme and it is BIG and FAST Quoting: madajs [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] I'm a little worried on this one folks Edit: once the geoeffective enlil model updates we will have more info That is fast,gonna hit us good the sphere has no electromagnetic backup because we're going to break the mag 5 record. All of our current is being spent worldwide. Solar storms'may' not directly influence quakes, but quakes sure as all goodness leave us wide open for solar energy, Ironic isn't it. The shoe seems to be on the other foot. We are losing our dynamic protection because of the widespread distibution of its energy! Its brighter than the sun! You gotta love Colby Caillet Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 09/28/2012 01:55 AM “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973  Netherlands09/28/2012 01:55 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't know if the model has been posted yet, but enlil is showing this new earthbound cme and it is BIG and FAST Quoting: madajs [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] I'm a little worried on this one folks Edit: once the geoeffective enlil model updates we will have more info Excuse this folks - Fuck Me Backwards!? Wtf!? That is Fucking Massive!? Mega  Super  The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States09/28/2012 01:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't know if the model has been posted yet, but enlil is showing this new earthbound cme and it is BIG and FAST Quoting: madajs [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] I'm a little worried on this one folks Edit: once the geoeffective enlil model updates we will have more info Excuse this folks - Fuck Me Backwards!? Wtf!? That is Fucking Massive!? Mega Super And our magnetosphere is weak. Like I said above, moderate quakes are killing our current, we have a weakening electromagnetism! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands09/28/2012 02:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't know if the model has been posted yet, but enlil is showing this new earthbound cme and it is BIG and FAST Quoting: madajs [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] I'm a little worried on this one folks Edit: once the geoeffective enlil model updates we will have more info That Enlil shows that the entirety of the CME is extremely Dense and will arrive(I think) within 48-55 Hours from 'Lift Off' - is that about right for estimation People? Just look at that thing [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] !? The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| joinca User ID: 23928361 United States09/28/2012 02:02 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't know if the model has been posted yet, but enlil is showing this new earthbound cme and it is BIG and FAST Quoting: madajs [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] I'm a little worried on this one folks Edit: once the geoeffective enlil model updates we will have more info That Enlil shows that the entirety of the CME is extremely Dense and will arrive(I think) within 48-55 Hours from 'Lift Off' - is that about right for estimation People? Just look at that thing [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] !?    "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States09/28/2012 02:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't know if the model has been posted yet, but enlil is showing this new earthbound cme and it is BIG and FAST Quoting: madajs [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] I'm a little worried on this one folks Edit: once the geoeffective enlil model updates we will have more info That Enlil shows that the entirety of the CME is extremely Dense and will arrive(I think) within 48-55 Hours from 'Lift Off' - is that about right for estimation People? Just look at that thing [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] !? That may be the one Gabe was talking about, holy shit, that aint gonna take no 48 hours buddy. Is that real! Its hard to say but thats got me real worried, its under a two day span depending on coronation of spike, shit! Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 09/28/2012 02:05 AM “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| SnakeBite User ID: 20003075  Canada09/28/2012 02:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada09/28/2012 02:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands09/28/2012 02:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't know if the model has been posted yet, but enlil is showing this new earthbound cme and it is BIG and FAST Quoting: madajs [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] I'm a little worried on this one folks Edit: once the geoeffective enlil model updates we will have more info That Enlil shows that the entirety of the CME is extremely Dense and will arrive(I think) within 48-55 Hours from 'Lift Off' - is that about right for estimation People? Just look at that thing [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] !? That may be the one Gabe was talking about, holy shit, that aint gonna take no 48 hours buddy. Is that real! Its hard to say but thats got me real worried, its under a two day span depending on coronation of spike, shit! I must admit,it took my Breath away from watching it also,that is Thick and Fast : ? I'd like a 'Official' estimate on its' Velocity..before it bloody hits,preferably. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States09/28/2012 02:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to halpha.nso.edu] HOLD THE PRESSES! NASA Goddard predicts this CME will arrive TODAY!This one is really fast!! Event Issue Date: 2012-09-28 01:20:34.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-09-28 22:43:02.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 6 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.2 Re [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] I must get some rest now, looks like another interesting day of solar excitement tomorrow. Good-night and blessings to all. Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 09/28/2012 02:14 AM |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States09/28/2012 02:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | For anyone who missed it here's the Mauna Loa movie of the large filament eruption (not from 1575, but about 10 degrees east). The fact that this filament was straddling the equator means we're looking at a worst-case scenario as far as geo-effectiveness is concerned. This eruption was perfectly located to give us a strong geo-magnetic storm and some awesome aurora this weekend. Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to halpha.nso.edu] HOLD THE PRESSES! NASA Goddard predicts this CME will arrive TODAY!This one is really fast!! Event Issue Date: 2012-09-28 01:20:34.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-09-28 22:43:02.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 6 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.2 Re [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] I must get some rest now, looks like another interesting day of solar excitement tomorrow. Good-night and blessings to all. This is no joke pardner, we got some particles coming in hot! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands09/28/2012 02:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | For anyone who missed it here's the Mauna Loa movie of the large filament eruption (not from 1575, but about 10 degrees east). The fact that this filament was straddling the equator means we're looking at a worst-case scenario as far as geo-effectiveness is concerned. This eruption was perfectly located to give us a strong geo-magnetic storm and some awesome aurora this weekend. Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to halpha.nso.edu] HOLD THE PRESSES! NASA Goddard predicts this CME will arrive TODAY!This one is really fast!! Event Issue Date: 2012-09-28 01:20:34.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-09-28 22:43:02.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 6 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.2 Re [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] I must get some rest now, looks like another interesting day of solar excitement tomorrow. Good-night and blessings to all. Whoa!? Thank you Hugh! I was about to post this one [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] it runs a little slower and shows a direct hit at just over 2 Days - 2.75(I think). Either way,its' on. Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 09/28/2012 02:20 AM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada09/28/2012 02:21 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States09/28/2012 02:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | One more thing....we have a pretty big proton event for a C3 flare. Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1 Serial Number: 385 Issue Time: 2012 Sep 28 0147 UTC WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Valid From: 2012 Sep 28 0200 UTC Valid To: 2012 Sep 28 1400 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Proton Flux: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Nice bump in the ACE Electrons & Protons, too: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 09/28/2012 02:25 AM |
| SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada09/28/2012 02:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | HuH?! [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands09/28/2012 02:29 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | One more thing....we have a pretty big proton event for a C3 flare. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1 Serial Number: 385 Issue Time: 2012 Sep 28 0147 UTC WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Valid From: 2012 Sep 28 0200 UTC Valid To: 2012 Sep 28 1400 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Proton Flux: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] The 10MeV Protons on there had been showing a constant but very low rise for the preceeding 3-4 Days before this actual Proton Event,it is strange for such a small X-Ray event to produce such a relatively high Proton Count but then perhaps it could be due to the type of event that caused it. On H alpha [link to halpha.nso.edu] Learmonth,the power can be seen very well. Two noticable Tsunamis tear out through the Chromosphere. Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 09/28/2012 02:30 AM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States09/28/2012 02:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Check this out the begginning of the 28th! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands09/28/2012 02:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Awesome [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Are there any eclipses forecast anyone!? The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| <+MarketSellOff+> User ID: 1426914 United States09/28/2012 02:33 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SC, is this what you were looking for? Quoting: Isis One [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] Can everyone see how that CME propagates itself onto a pre-existing magnetic field line and heads off in a MUCH wider arc? That one happened to not be earth directed. I think sometimes that very action is how we can account for "anomolous events" that we can't seem to document in the usual and customary ways. OH MY GOD!!!  |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States09/28/2012 02:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | One more thing....we have a pretty big proton event for a C3 flare. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1 Serial Number: 385 Issue Time: 2012 Sep 28 0147 UTC WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Valid From: 2012 Sep 28 0200 UTC Valid To: 2012 Sep 28 1400 UTC Warning Condition: Onset Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] GOES Proton Flux: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] The 10MeV Protons on there had been showing a constant but very low rise for the preceeding 3-4 Days before this actual Proton Event,it is strange for such a small X-Ray event to produce such a relatively high Proton Count but then perhaps it could be due to the type of event that caused it. On H alpha [link to halpha.nso.edu] Learmonth,the power can be seen very well. Two noticable Tsunamis tear out through the Chromosphere. What a strange energy burst! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands09/28/2012 02:34 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States09/28/2012 02:35 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Awesome [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Are there any eclipses forecast anyone!? Just nips three days of darkness, starting tomorrow, that is weird! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 9968554 United States09/28/2012 02:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands09/28/2012 02:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Quickly Look [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] The Western Limb - Whats' Eclipsing!? The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands09/28/2012 02:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Also [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Looks awesome! The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada09/28/2012 02:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands09/28/2012 02:41 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Amazing [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] - Looks like that Solar Film : ) The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada09/28/2012 02:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands09/28/2012 02:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
