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Message Subject SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Poster Handle madajs
Post Content
More NASA cone models:

Dynamic Pressure (looks bad near Earth):

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

Density:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

Velocity:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

NASA has again changed their prediction for arrival time (this the 3rd so far). Of course they keep all 3 three posted on the alert cygnet so they'll be right no matter when it hits, haha.

Event Issue Date: 2012-09-28 10:28:53.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-09-29 22:47:45.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 8 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.6 Re


[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


after going over data this morning, i would have to say i agree more with this arrival time than any other. sometime mid to lat day UTC time on Sept 29th
 Quoting: NiNzrez 24399306

Any other insights to share on this event nin?
 
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