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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 01:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Stereos will not be afected



ma gut feeling tells me


that on full moon night


that barrier will really rock.... all crust


just saiyn


its big

its powerfull



and with strong dinamics pushinnnnnnn.... in to Earth
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 01:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I agree, these CMEs are getting confused, however iSwa has also shown multiple eruptions simultaneously without issue or omitting one or the other.
 Quoting: TS66

I edited out that post, I don't feel I understand that cygnet well enough to speak on it :)
 Quoting: madajs


Well there are 2 separate CMEs on the way, we are focusing on only one, data gets confused, however, Hugh's posting is correct for the "big one" wink
 Quoting: TS66


Since the big one is traveling faster, the second one can reach one sooner because the first one clean the way first right?
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 01:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I agree, these CMEs are getting confused, however iSwa has also shown multiple eruptions simultaneously without issue or omitting one or the other.
 Quoting: TS66

I edited out that post, I don't feel I understand that cygnet well enough to speak on it :)
 Quoting: madajs


Well there are 2 separate CMEs on the way, we are focusing on only one, data gets confused, however, Hugh's posting is correct for the "big one" wink
 Quoting: TS66


Since the big one is traveling faster, the second one can reach one sooner because the first one clean the way first right?
 Quoting: Luisport


Our magnetosphere may be weakened from the first blast, but nothing is etched in stone.
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/28/2012 01:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I agree, these CMEs are getting confused, however iSwa has also shown multiple eruptions simultaneously without issue or omitting one or the other.
 Quoting: TS66

I edited out that post, I don't feel I understand that cygnet well enough to speak on it :)
 Quoting: madajs


Well there are 2 separate CMEs on the way, we are focusing on only one, data gets confused, however, Hugh's posting is correct for the "big one" wink
 Quoting: TS66


Since the big one is traveling faster, the second one can reach one sooner because the first one clean the way first right?
 Quoting: Luisport


pretty much :)
mistersplinter

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09/28/2012 01:17 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to i1165.photobucket.com]

screencap showing impact
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Umm, is it just me or does that look really bad? I've benn following this thread for awhile now and don't remember seeing a hit quite that big or direct.. Hope I'm wrong!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5240732


One of the coolest things shown on that capture is how well this thing seems to sweep up everything...note the large purple area(close to zero readings) behind the CME.

This is definitely one of the most dense CMEs that I have seen coming at us.
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
Tiny Trink

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09/28/2012 01:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I just want to give a big THANK YOU to all my Sol brothers and Sisters for providing the info I requested.

You ALL are dear hearts, what a blessed thread this is!!

grouphug

Much Love,

Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink
Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
mistersplinter

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09/28/2012 01:21 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
For those of you that may underestimate this resulting CME from a "Mere C class eruption"

This one rivals an X5 flare eruption and CME from March wink


 Quoting: TS66


great comparison!!

You can see that the density forecast on this one is much greater than the X.

nice post 66, thanks

thumbs

EDIT:

'this one' means current cme lol

Last Edited by mistersplinter on 09/28/2012 01:23 PM
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
AkivaJeff

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09/28/2012 01:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It's a good idea to check out ElQ and Gabe's threads after we get hit. Especially after the "rebound" of the magnetosphere. They have some good insight. (another much misunderstood subject but my gut says they are related to solar activity). Great stuff today, BTW!

rockon
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
madajs

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09/28/2012 01:26 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
More NASA cone models:

Dynamic Pressure (looks bad near Earth):

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

Density:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

Velocity:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

NASA has again changed their prediction for arrival time (this the 3rd so far). Of course they keep all 3 three posted on the alert cygnet so they'll be right no matter when it hits, haha.

Event Issue Date: 2012-09-28 10:28:53.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-09-29 22:47:45.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 8 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.6 Re


[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


after going over data this morning, i would have to say i agree more with this arrival time than any other. sometime mid to lat day UTC time on Sept 29th
 Quoting: NiNzrez 24399306

Any other insights to share on this event nin?
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 01:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
YESninPLEASEgiveSOMEinsight,IhaveWAITEDpatientlyFORyouTOsaySO​METHING:)
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 01:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to i1165.photobucket.com]

screencap showing impact
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Umm, is it just me or does that look really bad? I've benn following this thread for awhile now and don't remember seeing a hit quite that big or direct.. Hope I'm wrong!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5240732


One of the coolest things shown on that capture is how well this thing seems to sweep up everything...note the large purple area(close to zero readings) behind the CME.

This is definitely one of the most dense CMEs that I have seen coming at us.
 Quoting: mistersplinter


I would really like to know how they came up with this. The CME just doesn`t look that strong on SDO, STereo etc.
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 01:42 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to i1165.photobucket.com]

screencap showing impact
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Umm, is it just me or does that look really bad? I've benn following this thread for awhile now and don't remember seeing a hit quite that big or direct.. Hope I'm wrong!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5240732


One of the coolest things shown on that capture is how well this thing seems to sweep up everything...note the large purple area(close to zero readings) behind the CME.

This is definitely one of the most dense CMEs that I have seen coming at us.
 Quoting: mistersplinter


I would really like to know how they came up with this. The CME just doesn`t look that strong on SDO, STereo etc.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24571935


MaybeTHEspeedOFitIScausingITtoGObySOfastTHATitLOOKSlikeNOTHIN​G???OrIcouldBEcrazy,THATSalwaysANoption
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 01:43 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Can this CME miss us and pass above or below the earth?
CrazyMama73

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09/28/2012 01:46 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


Umm, is it just me or does that look really bad? I've benn following this thread for awhile now and don't remember seeing a hit quite that big or direct.. Hope I'm wrong!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 5240732


One of the coolest things shown on that capture is how well this thing seems to sweep up everything...note the large purple area(close to zero readings) behind the CME.

This is definitely one of the most dense CMEs that I have seen coming at us.
 Quoting: mistersplinter


I would really like to know how they came up with this. The CME just doesn`t look that strong on SDO, STereo etc.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24571935


MaybeTHEspeedOFitIScausingITtoGObySOfastTHATitLOOKSlikeNOTHIN​G???OrIcouldBEcrazy,THATSalwaysANoption
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Snake what happened to your space bar?
shrug
shenue

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09/28/2012 01:55 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I just want to give a big THANK YOU to all my Sol brothers and Sisters for providing the info I requested.

You ALL are dear hearts, what a blessed thread this is!!

grouphug

Much Love,

Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


Hey don't forget T x 2...that's my nickname for you. LOL
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 01:56 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Can this CME miss us and pass above or below the earth?
 Quoting: Luisport


no way...



its full blast

or blasts



civil protection all around the world should be in prevention for more than a thing:


Earth quakes


electric magnnetic greeds



and unfortunatly .... it will raise the levels of harth ataks all around the world



we should risk and share this to the world



this is massive


not x.... but in this case doesn matter



the Walll is biger than Pink Floyd!!!! and not thin wich mean is gonna be consistent entering in the poles!!!


right?
Tiny Trink

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09/28/2012 02:01 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I just want to give a big THANK YOU to all my Sol brothers and Sisters for providing the info I requested.

You ALL are dear hearts, what a blessed thread this is!!

grouphug

Much Love,

Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


Hey don't forget T x 2...that's my nickname for you. LOL
 Quoting: shenue


Oh Shenue you are right, I am sorry.

Much Love,

Tiny trink, Double T, Tink Tink and T x 2

Last Edited by Tiny Trink on 09/28/2012 02:02 PM
Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 02:03 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


One of the coolest things shown on that capture is how well this thing seems to sweep up everything...note the large purple area(close to zero readings) behind the CME.

This is definitely one of the most dense CMEs that I have seen coming at us.
 Quoting: mistersplinter


I would really like to know how they came up with this. The CME just doesn`t look that strong on SDO, STereo etc.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24571935


MaybeTHEspeedOFitIScausingITtoGObySOfastTHATitLOOKSlikeNOTHIN​G???OrIcouldBEcrazy,THATSalwaysANoption
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Snake what happened to your space bar?
shrug
 Quoting: CrazyMama73


InTHEcaseOFcocacolaVSkeyboard,COKE=1,KEYBOARD=0
CrazyMama73

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09/28/2012 02:05 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


I would really like to know how they came up with this. The CME just doesn`t look that strong on SDO, STereo etc.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24571935


MaybeTHEspeedOFitIScausingITtoGObySOfastTHATitLOOKSlikeNOTHIN​G???OrIcouldBEcrazy,THATSalwaysANoption
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Snake what happened to your space bar?
shrug
 Quoting: CrazyMama73


InTHEcaseOFcocacolaVSkeyboard,COKE=1,KEYBOARD=0
 Quoting: SnakeBite



LOL!
coke
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 02:05 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
can someone give feed back please and say what u feel?


ty
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 02:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
can someone give feed back please and say what u feel?


ty
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24568989


IcanHONESTLYsayIfeelDIFFERENTtoday,CANTquitePINPOINTwhatITisB​UTsomethingISup
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 02:08 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


I would really like to know how they came up with this. The CME just doesn`t look that strong on SDO, STereo etc.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24571935


MaybeTHEspeedOFitIScausingITtoGObySOfastTHATitLOOKSlikeNOTHIN​G???OrIcouldBEcrazy,THATSalwaysANoption
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Snake what happened to your space bar?
:shrug:
 Quoting: CrazyMama73


InTHEcaseOFcocacolaVSkeyboard,COKE=1,KEYBOARD=0
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Are you sure it's Coca Cola, hmmmm.....Or just misdirected bodily fluid....Ewwww
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 02:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
can someone give feed back please and say what u feel?


ty
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24568989


IcanHONESTLYsayIfeelDIFFERENTtoday,CANTquitePINPOINTwhatITisB​UTsomethingISup
 Quoting: SnakeBite


to worst things or not, coincidence or not, we have full moon hallo tomorow also... afecting and distorting magnetic waves more....

nope?
TBar1984

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09/28/2012 02:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
That "Big One" would appear to be the Backside CME talked about here; [link to www.spaceweather.com]
Check the time, 10:55 9/27/2012. Now look at Stereo A [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] It shows a Backside CME at that time. However, if you check the "Model" around that time, it doesn't show a Backside CME. It shows one headed towards Earth. It has to be the "same" CME, Check the Time [link to postimage.org] Where is the Large Backside CME on that sequence? It would appear the Model was wrong...again. It showed the Backside CME headed toward Earth. That's NOT what the Stereo Images show. I always check the Images. I never have really trusted those models.

Well, that's what it looks like to me, at this time. The images don't show any large CME headed toward Earth and I have checked all the Stereo Images. We will see. but, I'm afraid it was just another Bogus model.

1dunno1
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09/28/2012 02:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
can someone give feed back please and say what u feel?


ty
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24568989


IcanHONESTLYsayIfeelDIFFERENTtoday,CANTquitePINPOINTwhatITisB​UTsomethingISup
 Quoting: SnakeBite


You feel different & feel somethings UP... and you claim you got a sticky spacebar cos of coke....hmmmmmmm

Think you've been rumbled....laugh
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 02:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
can someone give feed back please and say what u feel?


ty
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24568989


or think of ma words there ^^^^^^^^^^^^^up!!!
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 02:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


MaybeTHEspeedOFitIScausingITtoGObySOfastTHATitLOOKSlikeNOTHIN​G???OrIcouldBEcrazy,THATSalwaysANoption
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Snake what happened to your space bar?
shrug
 Quoting: CrazyMama73


InTHEcaseOFcocacolaVSkeyboard,COKE=1,KEYBOARD=0
 Quoting: SnakeBite


Are you sure it's Coca Cola, hmmmm.....Or just misdirected bodily fluid....Ewwww
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24562088


WellSEEINGasYOUareTHEoneCONJURINGupSUCHthoughtsMAYBEyouSHOULD​examineYOUROWNkeyboard...Ewww
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 02:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
TROLLALERT!!!!!TROLLALERT!!!!
Anonymous Coward
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09/28/2012 02:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I just want to give a big THANK YOU to all my Sol brothers and Sisters for providing the info I requested.

You ALL are dear hearts, what a blessed thread this is!!

grouphug

Much Love,

Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


Dittohf
SnakeBite

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09/28/2012 02:13 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I just want to give a big THANK YOU to all my Sol brothers and Sisters for providing the info I requested.

You ALL are dear hearts, what a blessed thread this is!!

grouphug

Much Love,

Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink
 Quoting: Tiny Trink


Dittohf
 Quoting: Goofy for God


SOLARloveFORall!!5a





GLP