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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
TOMMY B  User ID: 23951991  United States09/29/2012 12:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| mtn_mang User ID: 23298657 United States09/29/2012 12:53 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States09/29/2012 12:55 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here's closest available image from either STEREO craft (about 3 hours after liftoff). STEREO Behind image of Earth-directed CME: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] STERO B image of much earlier far-side CME: [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] SOHO Cor 2 image of Near-side CME: [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] ....and the far-side CME: [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]   |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States09/29/2012 12:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Quoting: TOMMY B It's bogus. Magnetometers are sleeping like a baby tonight. The K-index is at ZERO...no doom yet. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] |
| joinca User ID: 23928361 United States09/29/2012 01:06 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Quoting: TOMMY B Here is your screen shot: [link to imageshack.us]  "The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family! |
| TBar1984 User ID: 13725461 United States09/29/2012 01:57 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | T-BAR usually has correct info but in this case he's wrong, wrong, WRONG. STEREO A had a looong data gap last night (ditto for STEREO B) and missed the CME that occurred at 23:36utc. The far-side CME happened way earlier around 10 or 11 utc on the 27th. I think he's been reading Spaceweather.com too much, we usually beat them to the info here at SOLAR WATCH. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Also, I posted all of the pertinent data and movies I could find first thing this morning (pages 1588-89). Anyone taking the time to read up before posting wouldn't be so confused. I'll repost the SIDC comment from this morning --- COMMENT: A C3.7 flare occurred in the vicinity of NOAA AR 1577 on Sept. 27, 2336 UT (peak time). It triggered both a weak proton event (>10 Mev protons) whose level is near the threshold of 10 pfu at the moment, and a fully developed halo CME as observed with LASCO C2 data. The expansion speed estimated from this instrument ranges from about 700 to 1000 km/s. At the moment, only partial observations of the CME are available from the COR2 instruments onboard STEREO, allowing only a crude speed estimate of about 1300 km/s. On-disk signatures of a coronal EUV waves extending to the East of the region, nearly up to the central meridian, together with the halo nature of the CME, suggest this event will be geoeffective with a risk for minor storm conditions or greater by midday on Sept. 29. [link to sidc.oma.be] Why the confusion? The proton event coincided with the earth-facing CME as we noted late last night. The other backside blast was 13 hours before. Shheesh. CME Density cone model: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Actually I was RIGHT, Right, right. The BIG CME was on the Backside. There was a small one on the Front Side with most of the action going NORTH. Yes, I saw those Stereo B images, it showed most of it going up, didn't it? [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] You see very little going out toward the 3 o'clock, right? Due to the position of the Spot, most went Wide Right & High. Here is a Forecast I can agree with, a spike to around 500 km/s on the 30th [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] And a G2 level Storm [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] "Space Weather Message Code: WATA30 Serial Number: 97 Issue Time: 2012 Sep 28 2027 UTC WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: Sep 29: None (Below G1) Sep 30: G2 (Moderate) Oct 01: G2 (Moderate) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT" Isn't that what I said? A Small Earthbound CME, just like the Millions we have never even noticed. Sorry, No Big One this time. |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States09/29/2012 02:14 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | T-BAR usually has correct info but in this case he's wrong, wrong, WRONG. STEREO A had a looong data gap last night (ditto for STEREO B) and missed the CME that occurred at 23:36utc. The far-side CME happened way earlier around 10 or 11 utc on the 27th. I think he's been reading Spaceweather.com too much, we usually beat them to the info here at SOLAR WATCH. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Also, I posted all of the pertinent data and movies I could find first thing this morning (pages 1588-89). Anyone taking the time to read up before posting wouldn't be so confused. I'll repost the SIDC comment from this morning --- COMMENT: A C3.7 flare occurred in the vicinity of NOAA AR 1577 on Sept. 27, 2336 UT (peak time). It triggered both a weak proton event (>10 Mev protons) whose level is near the threshold of 10 pfu at the moment, and a fully developed halo CME as observed with LASCO C2 data. The expansion speed estimated from this instrument ranges from about 700 to 1000 km/s. At the moment, only partial observations of the CME are available from the COR2 instruments onboard STEREO, allowing only a crude speed estimate of about 1300 km/s. On-disk signatures of a coronal EUV waves extending to the East of the region, nearly up to the central meridian, together with the halo nature of the CME, suggest this event will be geoeffective with a risk for minor storm conditions or greater by midday on Sept. 29. [link to sidc.oma.be] Why the confusion? The proton event coincided with the earth-facing CME as we noted late last night. The other backside blast was 13 hours before. Shheesh. CME Density cone model: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Actually I was RIGHT, Right, right. The BIG CME was on the Backside. There was a small one on the Front Side with most of the action going NORTH. Yes, I saw those Stereo B images, it showed most of it going up, didn't it? [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] You see very little going out toward the 3 o'clock, right? Due to the position of the Spot, most went Wide Right & High. Here is a Forecast I can agree with, a spike to around 500 km/s on the 30th [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] And a G2 level Storm [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] "Space Weather Message Code: WATA30 Serial Number: 97 Issue Time: 2012 Sep 28 2027 UTC WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: Sep 29: None (Below G1) Sep 30: G2 (Moderate) Oct 01: G2 (Moderate) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT" Isn't that what I said? A Small Earthbound CME, just like the Millions we have never even noticed. Sorry, No Big One this time. I'm sorry, but the one on the Earthside appeared bigger. And how might you explain away the proton event and the 13 hour time difference. I'm not predicting any doom here, just a good chance of Aurora and possible satellite issues. I'd say this could be among the top 5 or 6 magnetic storms in the past 12 months....or maybe not. Our predictions don't always pan out, but I needn't remind you how often NOAA and NASA are way off on theirs. STEREO Ahead HI1 image (maybe a bit north but these things are very expansive and Earth is such a tiny little thing): [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] GOES Protons still on the high side: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] :earthboundCME: |
| TBar1984 User ID: 13725461 United States09/29/2012 02:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | T-BAR usually has correct info but in this case he's wrong, wrong, WRONG. STEREO A had a looong data gap last night (ditto for STEREO B) and missed the CME that occurred at 23:36utc. The far-side CME happened way earlier around 10 or 11 utc on the 27th. I think he's been reading Spaceweather.com too much, we usually beat them to the info here at SOLAR WATCH. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Also, I posted all of the pertinent data and movies I could find first thing this morning (pages 1588-89). Anyone taking the time to read up before posting wouldn't be so confused. I'll repost the SIDC comment from this morning --- COMMENT: A C3.7 flare occurred in the vicinity of NOAA AR 1577 on Sept. 27, 2336 UT (peak time). It triggered both a weak proton event (>10 Mev protons) whose level is near the threshold of 10 pfu at the moment, and a fully developed halo CME as observed with LASCO C2 data. The expansion speed estimated from this instrument ranges from about 700 to 1000 km/s. At the moment, only partial observations of the CME are available from the COR2 instruments onboard STEREO, allowing only a crude speed estimate of about 1300 km/s. On-disk signatures of a coronal EUV waves extending to the East of the region, nearly up to the central meridian, together with the halo nature of the CME, suggest this event will be geoeffective with a risk for minor storm conditions or greater by midday on Sept. 29. [link to sidc.oma.be] Why the confusion? The proton event coincided with the earth-facing CME as we noted late last night. The other backside blast was 13 hours before. Shheesh. CME Density cone model: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Actually I was RIGHT, Right, right. The BIG CME was on the Backside. There was a small one on the Front Side with most of the action going NORTH. Yes, I saw those Stereo B images, it showed most of it going up, didn't it? [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] You see very little going out toward the 3 o'clock, right? Due to the position of the Spot, most went Wide Right & High. Here is a Forecast I can agree with, a spike to around 500 km/s on the 30th [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] And a G2 level Storm [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] "Space Weather Message Code: WATA30 Serial Number: 97 Issue Time: 2012 Sep 28 2027 UTC WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: Sep 29: None (Below G1) Sep 30: G2 (Moderate) Oct 01: G2 (Moderate) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT" Isn't that what I said? A Small Earthbound CME, just like the Millions we have never even noticed. Sorry, No Big One this time. I'm sorry, but the one on the Earthside appeared bigger. And how might you explain away the proton event and the 13 hour time difference. I'm not predicting any doom here, just a good chance of Aurora and possible satellite issues. I'd say this could be among the top 5 or 6 magnetic storms in the past 12 months....or maybe not. Our predictions don't always pan out, but I needn't remind you how often NOAA and NASA are way off on theirs. STEREO Ahead HI1 image (maybe a bit north but these things are very expansive and Earth is such a tiny little thing): [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] GOES Protons still on the high side: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] :earthboundCME: The Earth side one didn't look very threatening to me. Especially with the position of the Spot. Like I said, you would expect most of it to go right, and as an added bonus, it also went up. The Sate-Enviro chart didn't move much, did it [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] I think it will be a dud. Yes, I called that earlier IswaSystemWebApp Model Bogus, didn't I. It was bogus, I think they have it right now. It happens. I can agree with a G2 at 500 km/s on the 30th. |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States09/29/2012 02:44 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | T-BAR usually has correct info but in this case he's wrong, wrong, WRONG. STEREO A had a looong data gap last night (ditto for STEREO B) and missed the CME that occurred at 23:36utc. The far-side CME happened way earlier around 10 or 11 utc on the 27th. I think he's been reading Spaceweather.com too much, we usually beat them to the info here at SOLAR WATCH. Quoting: Hugh M Eye Also, I posted all of the pertinent data and movies I could find first thing this morning (pages 1588-89). Anyone taking the time to read up before posting wouldn't be so confused. I'll repost the SIDC comment from this morning --- COMMENT: A C3.7 flare occurred in the vicinity of NOAA AR 1577 on Sept. 27, 2336 UT (peak time). It triggered both a weak proton event (>10 Mev protons) whose level is near the threshold of 10 pfu at the moment, and a fully developed halo CME as observed with LASCO C2 data. The expansion speed estimated from this instrument ranges from about 700 to 1000 km/s. At the moment, only partial observations of the CME are available from the COR2 instruments onboard STEREO, allowing only a crude speed estimate of about 1300 km/s. On-disk signatures of a coronal EUV waves extending to the East of the region, nearly up to the central meridian, together with the halo nature of the CME, suggest this event will be geoeffective with a risk for minor storm conditions or greater by midday on Sept. 29. [link to sidc.oma.be] Why the confusion? The proton event coincided with the earth-facing CME as we noted late last night. The other backside blast was 13 hours before. Shheesh. CME Density cone model: [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] Actually I was RIGHT, Right, right. The BIG CME was on the Backside. There was a small one on the Front Side with most of the action going NORTH. Yes, I saw those Stereo B images, it showed most of it going up, didn't it? [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] You see very little going out toward the 3 o'clock, right? Due to the position of the Spot, most went Wide Right & High. Here is a Forecast I can agree with, a spike to around 500 km/s on the 30th [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] And a G2 level Storm [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] "Space Weather Message Code: WATA30 Serial Number: 97 Issue Time: 2012 Sep 28 2027 UTC WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: Sep 29: None (Below G1) Sep 30: G2 (Moderate) Oct 01: G2 (Moderate) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT" Isn't that what I said? A Small Earthbound CME, just like the Millions we have never even noticed. Sorry, No Big One this time. I'm sorry, but the one on the Earthside appeared bigger. And how might you explain away the proton event and the 13 hour time difference. I'm not predicting any doom here, just a good chance of Aurora and possible satellite issues. I'd say this could be among the top 5 or 6 magnetic storms in the past 12 months....or maybe not. Our predictions don't always pan out, but I needn't remind you how often NOAA and NASA are way off on theirs. STEREO Ahead HI1 image (maybe a bit north but these things are very expansive and Earth is such a tiny little thing): [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] GOES Protons still on the high side: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] :earthboundCME: The Earth side one didn't look very threatening to me. Especially with the position of the Spot. Like I said, you would expect most of it to go right, and as an added bonus, it also went up. The Sate-Enviro chart didn't move much, did it [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] I think it will be a dud. Yes, I called that earlier IswaSystemWebApp Model Bogus, didn't I. It was bogus, I think they have it right now. It happens. I can agree with a G2 at 500 km/s on the 30th. I haven't made any predictions except that it's a significant CME. For those that weren't here in October 2011, we had a similar filament eruption which was even less Earth-directed and it resulted in G3 storm when NOAA predicted a "glancing blow" and 5% mid-lat. chance of storm. Well the skies lit up red in Arkansas and Spaceweather.com milked it for days...a Planetary K-index of 7 and magnetosphere compression within the geosynchronus orbit. It is very possible we could see a similar storm depending on the polarity and other unknown factors. Can't you just enjoy the ride, T-Bar? NOAA prediction-for 10/24/11 Updated at: 2011 Oct 23 2200 UTC Mid-latitudes 0-24 hr 24-48 hr ACTIVE 05 % 30 % MINOR 01 % 05 % SEVERE 01 % 01 % High latitudes 0-24 hr 24-48 hr ACTIVE 10 % 40 % MINOR 05 % 10 % SEVERE 01 % 01 % Actual A, K, & Planetary readings for 10/24-25/11 2011 10 24 16 2 0 1 1 1 1 4 6 9 0 0 1 2 0 0 3 5 23 2 1 2 1 0 1 5 7 2011 10 25 27 4 5 6 4 3 2 2 2 26 5 4 6 4 3 2 1 1 26 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 Look at the wimpy little CME that caused such a strong event: [link to www.spaceweather.com] [link to www.spaceweather.com] Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 09/29/2012 02:49 AM |
| SnakeBite User ID: 20003075  Canada09/29/2012 02:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| TBar1984 User ID: 13725461 United States09/29/2012 03:02 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: TBar1984 Actually I was RIGHT, Right, right. The BIG CME was on the Backside. There was a small one on the Front Side with most of the action going NORTH. Yes, I saw those Stereo B images, it showed most of it going up, didn't it? [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] You see very little going out toward the 3 o'clock, right? Due to the position of the Spot, most went Wide Right & High. Here is a Forecast I can agree with, a spike to around 500 km/s on the 30th [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] And a G2 level Storm [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] "Space Weather Message Code: WATA30 Serial Number: 97 Issue Time: 2012 Sep 28 2027 UTC WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: Sep 29: None (Below G1) Sep 30: G2 (Moderate) Oct 01: G2 (Moderate) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT" Isn't that what I said? A Small Earthbound CME, just like the Millions we have never even noticed. Sorry, No Big One this time. I'm sorry, but the one on the Earthside appeared bigger. And how might you explain away the proton event and the 13 hour time difference. I'm not predicting any doom here, just a good chance of Aurora and possible satellite issues. I'd say this could be among the top 5 or 6 magnetic storms in the past 12 months....or maybe not. Our predictions don't always pan out, but I needn't remind you how often NOAA and NASA are way off on theirs. STEREO Ahead HI1 image (maybe a bit north but these things are very expansive and Earth is such a tiny little thing): [link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov] GOES Protons still on the high side: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] :earthboundCME: The Earth side one didn't look very threatening to me. Especially with the position of the Spot. Like I said, you would expect most of it to go right, and as an added bonus, it also went up. The Sate-Enviro chart didn't move much, did it [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] I think it will be a dud. Yes, I called that earlier IswaSystemWebApp Model Bogus, didn't I. It was bogus, I think they have it right now. It happens. I can agree with a G2 at 500 km/s on the 30th. I haven't made any predictions except that it's a significant CME. For those that weren't here in October 2011, we had a similar filament eruption which was even less Earth-directed and it resulted in G3 storm when NOAA predicted a "glancing blow" and 5% mid-lat. chance of storm. Well the skies lit up red in Arkansas and Spaceweather.com milked it for days...a Planetary K-index of 7 and magnetosphere compression within the geosynchronus orbit. It is very possible we could see a similar storm depending on the polarity and other unknown factors. Can't you just enjoy the ride, T-Bar? NOAA prediction-for 10/24/11 Updated at: 2011 Oct 23 2200 UTC Mid-latitudes 0-24 hr 24-48 hr ACTIVE 05 % 30 % MINOR 01 % 05 % SEVERE 01 % 01 % High latitudes 0-24 hr 24-48 hr ACTIVE 10 % 40 % MINOR 05 % 10 % SEVERE 01 % 01 % Actual A, K, & Planetary readings for 10/24-25/11 2011 10 24 16 2 0 1 1 1 1 4 6 9 0 0 1 2 0 0 3 5 23 2 1 2 1 0 1 5 7 2011 10 25 27 4 5 6 4 3 2 2 2 26 5 4 6 4 3 2 1 1 26 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 Look at the wimpy little CME that caused such a strong event: [link to www.spaceweather.com] [link to www.spaceweather.com] Here's the chart for Oct [link to satdat.ngdc.noaa.gov] They haven't caught up here yet [link to satdat.ngdc.noaa.gov] So, you have to use this one [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] It doesn't look as bad to me. The 30th isn't that far away. |
| whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 1775746 United States09/29/2012 03:05 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.ips.gov.au] Hot again, 4 separate areas Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
| whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 1775746 United States09/29/2012 03:21 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | night good folks. drunk and lonely, as the norm. hopefully will see u all on the flip/ Quoting: mtn_mang Wish this was a real one. Hang in there.  Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
| SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada09/29/2012 03:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 1595536 09/29/2012 03:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | space weather finally posted about the incoming storm. INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD:Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph: [link to www.spaceweather.com] |
| SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada09/29/2012 03:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | space weather finally posted about the incoming storm. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1595536 INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD:Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph: [link to www.spaceweather.com] JEEZEtookTHEMlongENOUGH! |
| <+MarketSellOff+> User ID: 1497928 United States09/29/2012 04:56 AM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | space weather finally posted about the incoming storm. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1595536 INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD:Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph: [link to www.spaceweather.com] Finally. Sheesh |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 24618623  Portugal09/29/2012 05:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | space weather finally posted about the incoming storm. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1595536 INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD:Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph: [link to www.spaceweather.com] NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of strong geomagnetic storms around the poles on Sept 30th when the cloud reaches Earth. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, which might be intense enough to see in spite of the full moonlight. Aurora alerts |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States09/29/2012 05:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | space weather finally posted about the incoming storm. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1595536 INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD:Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph: [link to www.spaceweather.com] NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of strong geomagnetic storms around the poles on Sept 30th when the cloud reaches Earth. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, which might be intense enough to see in spite of the full moonlight. Aurora alerts Thanks Luis. Well spaceweather is finally agreeing its directly towards earth,not up, down, or my favorite , it went backside. We've all been watching and studying this stuff for years and this one was a no brainer. Hugh , thanks for all your work! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| AkivaJeff User ID: 19183578 United States09/29/2012 08:07 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| madajs User ID: 24321898 Canada09/29/2012 08:21 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | space weather finally posted about the incoming storm. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1595536 INCOMING SOLAR STORM CLOUD:Magnetic fields around sunspot 1577 erupted on Sept. 28th, hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) almost directly toward Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded the cloud as it raced away from the sun faster than 2.2 million mph: [link to www.spaceweather.com] NOAA forecasters estimate a 50% chance of strong geomagnetic storms around the poles on Sept 30th when the cloud reaches Earth. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, which might be intense enough to see in spite of the full moonlight. Aurora alerts That jives with the geoeffective enlil simulation [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] If things adhere to the model then we only have to wait until 10am EST tomorrow morning. Obviously we all know there's a ton of +/- range on that timing though! Should be fun!  And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
| shadasonic User ID: 15732022 United States09/29/2012 08:28 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Leaving town for a while, I'm sure this will bring about some incredible solar activity as my luck would have it that way. Will try to check in but may be in areas that won't allow it.Much love and peace to the sun family! See ya soon  Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 09/29/2012 08:28 AM “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 24266114 United States09/29/2012 08:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Leaving town for a while, I'm sure this will bring about some incredible solar activity as my luck would have it that way. Will try to check in but may be in areas that won't allow it.Much love and peace to the sun family! Quoting: shadasonic See ya soon Safe travels Shada  Good morning everyone ... Here's the forecast from Solen Forecast The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on September 29. The CME observed early on Sept.28 will likely reach Earth on Sept.30 and cause active to major storm conditions that day and on October 1. [link to www.solen.info] |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 12652226 United States09/29/2012 08:44 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| AkivaJeff User ID: 19183578 United States09/29/2012 09:38 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There's alot of activity going on. I think it will be an eventful day. I hope all the sun-smarties are up and around. I can barely keep up with watching, let alone researching my own stuff. By the time I come up with something I'm as slow as noaa. Life is short... But it's WIDE. |
| AkivaJeff User ID: 19183578 United States09/29/2012 09:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| SnakeBite User ID: 20003075 Canada09/29/2012 09:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 24266114 United States09/29/2012 09:56 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Vita User ID: 1396192  Norway09/29/2012 10:34 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Vita User ID: 1396192 Norway09/29/2012 10:34 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
