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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Vita
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09/29/2012 10:34 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 10:47 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
 Quoting: Vita 1396192

The filament eruption from early on the 28th will arrive, we estimate, on the 30th and it's impact last through the 1st.

hf
Vita

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Netherlands
09/29/2012 10:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
 Quoting: Vita 1396192

The filament eruption from early on the 28th will arrive, we estimate, on the 30th and it's impact last through the 1st.

hf
 Quoting: TS66


Thanks! but what about the one from 27? there were posts earlier that it will also arrive 30 or 1st... or am I mistaken?
Sol Lucet Omnibus.
Anonymous Coward
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Portugal
09/29/2012 10:57 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Updated image of the visible solar disk. Solar activity is low on Saturday morning. The Solar X-Ray background levels are currently at or near the C1 threshold. There will remain the chance for C-Class solar flares and a lower threat of an isolated M-Class event. A Geomagnetic Storm watch will be in effect over the next 48 hours due to an expected incoming Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) impact. [link to twitter.com]
madajs

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09/29/2012 11:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
 Quoting: Vita 1396192

The filament eruption from early on the 28th will arrive, we estimate, on the 30th and it's impact last through the 1st.

hf
 Quoting: TS66


Thanks! but what about the one from 27? there were posts earlier that it will also arrive 30 or 1st... or am I mistaken?
 Quoting: Vita

There's only one earth directed CME

This model [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] would show any additional earth-directed CMEs, if there were any. :)
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 24266114
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09/29/2012 11:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C4.4...
I believe what you are referring to is the C4.4 from the 27th. See below.

:flux927:


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 24520219





Dont really understand, which one we will get on 30sep and 1 oct. The one from 27 or 28?
 Quoting: Vita 1396192

The filament eruption from early on the 28th will arrive, we estimate, on the 30th and it's impact last through the 1st.

hf
 Quoting: TS66



Thanks! but what about the one from 27? there were posts earlier that it will also arrive 30 or 1st... or am I mistaken?
 Quoting: Vita


I was never clear whether this eruption of C4.4 below 1579 resulted in a CME of any significance as the C3.7 filament eruption superseded it's predecessor with an enormous CME of it's own

hf
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 11:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Well that came out a jumbled mess considering my best efforts !!! lol

Hope this clarifies it for you 1dunno1
AkivaJeff

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09/29/2012 11:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
@TS66. there's your pm
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
shenue

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09/29/2012 11:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
AkivaJeff

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09/29/2012 11:25 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning
 Quoting: shenue


It's 11:30 here! you're just waking?
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
miabelieves

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United States
09/29/2012 11:26 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Morning y'all, after over 5 years of lurking and posting every so often I have finally upgraded my account to make sure I don't get banned, as I have noticed lots of peeps saying they are being banned??

I would be lost if I could not stay informed from all my "sun-tards" or "solar-stars"

grouphug to you all
Hold on to your undies, it's gonna be a hell of a ride
Anonymous Coward
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09/29/2012 11:27 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning
 Quoting: shenue


It's 11:30 here! you're just waking?
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


because the whole world has the same time zone....

really?
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
United States
09/29/2012 11:27 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

well thank the universal powers this was a slow mover and seems to not be packing the density punch we saw yesterday.
still has a nice wall up front.

this might weaken more with time.

remember the fast mover are the true problem ones. almost as if there is now time for the CME to dissipate.
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
Hugh M Eye

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09/29/2012 11:28 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
While looking for more data on the Oct 24, 2011 storm I found this well-put-together page about it w/ some vids. I remember this event vividly. The filament eruption CME almost went unnoticed as we had an M-flare/CME/Proton event from the west limb shortly after the puny li'l filament lifted off.

Anatomy of a Geomagnetic Storm:

[link to www.thesuntoday.org]

This was predicted to be a glancing blow before it arrived. NOAA called for Unsettled to Minor storm conditions if I recall. Looking back over their archived Warnings and Alerts from that day, I notice they never even issued a warning for the K-7/G3 level (maybe pride got in their way,hehe). Anyhoo, we stayed at Storm level (K5,6,&7) for 14-16 hours with entire event lasting about 24 hours. Here's NOAA warnings from 10/2011:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Doc Strong's post-game analysis-



I haven't gone nostalgic yet and used the GLP time machine, but if anyone finds our intuitive rantings from Oct. 22-25, 2011, please post the page numbers for me so I can reminisce about the good-ole-days, LOL.
psyoptics

User ID: 11919225
United States
09/29/2012 11:29 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning
 Quoting: shenue


It's 11:30 here! you're just waking?
 Quoting: AkivaJeff

I always say good morning til about 6pm ha ha ha
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
mistersplinter

User ID: 12261497
United States
09/29/2012 11:32 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
While looking for more data on the Oct 24, 2011 storm I found this well-put-together page about it w/ some vids. I remember this event vividly. The filament eruption CME almost went unnoticed as we had an M-flare/CME/Proton event from the west limb shortly after the puny li'l filament lifted off.

Anatomy of a Geomagnetic Storm:

[link to www.thesuntoday.org]

This was predicted to be a glancing blow before it arrived. NOAA called for Unsettled to Minor storm conditions if I recall. Looking back over their archived Warnings and Alerts from that day, I notice they never even issued a warning for the K-7/G3 level (maybe pride got in their way,hehe). Anyhoo, we stayed at Storm level (K5,6,&7) for 14-16 hours with entire event lasting about 24 hours. Here's NOAA warnings from 10/2011:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Doc Strong's post-game analysis-



I haven't gone nostalgic yet and used the GLP time machine, but if anyone finds our intuitive rantings from Oct. 22-25, 2011, please post the page numbers for me so I can reminisce about the good-ole-days, LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


man, I miss that nict sim....
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
AkivaJeff

User ID: 19183578
United States
09/29/2012 11:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning
 Quoting: shenue


It's 11:30 here! you're just waking?
 Quoting: AkivaJeff

I always say good morning til about 6pm ha ha ha
 Quoting: psyoptics


All in jest. Love to see you all climbing on for an eventful day!
Peace,
Jeff
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
MamaHasAwakened

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United States
09/29/2012 11:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
While looking for more data on the Oct 24, 2011 storm I found this well-put-together page about it w/ some vids. I remember this event vividly. The filament eruption CME almost went unnoticed as we had an M-flare/CME/Proton event from the west limb shortly after the puny li'l filament lifted off.

Anatomy of a Geomagnetic Storm:

[link to www.thesuntoday.org]

This was predicted to be a glancing blow before it arrived. NOAA called for Unsettled to Minor storm conditions if I recall. Looking back over their archived Warnings and Alerts from that day, I notice they never even issued a warning for the K-7/G3 level (maybe pride got in their way,hehe). Anyhoo, we stayed at Storm level (K5,6,&7) for 14-16 hours with entire event lasting about 24 hours. Here's NOAA warnings from 10/2011:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Doc Strong's post-game analysis-



I haven't gone nostalgic yet and used the GLP time machine, but if anyone finds our intuitive rantings from Oct. 22-25, 2011, please post the page numbers for me so I can reminisce about the good-ole-days, LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye


man, I miss that nict sim....
 Quoting: mistersplinter


Me too! I feel kinda lost without it!
NiNzrez
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United States
09/29/2012 11:33 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Morning y'all, after over 5 years of lurking and posting every so often I have finally upgraded my account to make sure I don't get banned, as I have noticed lots of peeps saying they are being banned??

I would be lost if I could not stay informed from all my "sun-tards" or "solar-stars"

grouphug to you all
 Quoting: miabelieves


hf
AkivaJeff

User ID: 19183578
United States
09/29/2012 11:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Morning y'all, after over 5 years of lurking and posting every so often I have finally upgraded my account to make sure I don't get banned, as I have noticed lots of peeps saying they are being banned??

I would be lost if I could not stay informed from all my "sun-tards" or "solar-stars"

grouphug to you all
 Quoting: miabelieves


hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez 24399306


Good to see you NiN. Glad you won't miss out on today.
All my love to you for bringing the sunstars together.
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 5842471
United Kingdom
09/29/2012 11:37 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Morning y'all, after over 5 years of lurking and posting every so often I have finally upgraded my account to make sure I don't get banned, as I have noticed lots of peeps saying they are being banned??

I would be lost if I could not stay informed from all my "sun-tards" or "solar-stars"

grouphug to you all
 Quoting: miabelieves


hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez 24399306


Agreed and it's good to see this thread back to *normal*, a place where ideas are shared without mockery or disdain.
hf
AkivaJeff

User ID: 19183578
United States
09/29/2012 11:40 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Morning y'all, after over 5 years of lurking and posting every so often I have finally upgraded my account to make sure I don't get banned, as I have noticed lots of peeps saying they are being banned??

I would be lost if I could not stay informed from all my "sun-tards" or "solar-stars"

grouphug to you all
 Quoting: miabelieves


hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez 24399306


Agreed and it's good to see this thread back to *normal*, a place where ideas are shared without mockery or disdain.
hf
 Quoting: Elemental


bump
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
AkivaJeff

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United States
09/29/2012 11:43 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Nice little C flare goin on.
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
shenue

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United States
09/29/2012 11:44 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning
 Quoting: shenue


It's 11:30 here! you're just waking?
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


We are in the same time zone. No not just waking. Been up since 4:45 this morning. Been doing some catching up and some Suzie Homemaker things and just now remembered to say good morning. :-)
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
AkivaJeff

User ID: 19183578
United States
09/29/2012 11:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning
 Quoting: shenue


It's 11:30 here! you're just waking?
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


We are in the same time zone. No not just waking. Been up since 4:45 this morning. Been doing some catching up and some Suzie Homemaker things and just now remembered to say good morning. :-)
 Quoting: shenue


Don't get me wrong, Shen. What I said was in Jest. I love to see you here.
Peace,
Jeff
Life is short...
But it's WIDE.
shenue

User ID: 5263313
United States
09/29/2012 11:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good morning
 Quoting: shenue


It's 11:30 here! you're just waking?
 Quoting: AkivaJeff

I always say good morning til about 6pm ha ha ha
 Quoting: psyoptics


All in jest. Love to see you all climbing on for an eventful day!
Peace,
Jeff
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


Goodness I know you were just kidding Jeff. I never took it any other way. hf

Last Edited by shenue on 09/29/2012 11:49 AM
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
mistersplinter

User ID: 12261497
United States
09/29/2012 11:55 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Nice little C flare goin on.
 Quoting: AkivaJeff


last night, whilst we were discussing frontside/backside/geo effective, the 'background' xrays slowly climbed to right handy c levels...no spikes, just a steady upward crawl.
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." -- Albert Einstein
madajs

User ID: 24321898
Canada
09/29/2012 11:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
While looking for more data on the Oct 24, 2011 storm I found this well-put-together page about it w/ some vids. I remember this event vividly. The filament eruption CME almost went unnoticed as we had an M-flare/CME/Proton event from the west limb shortly after the puny li'l filament lifted off.

Anatomy of a Geomagnetic Storm:

[link to www.thesuntoday.org]

This was predicted to be a glancing blow before it arrived. NOAA called for Unsettled to Minor storm conditions if I recall. Looking back over their archived Warnings and Alerts from that day, I notice they never even issued a warning for the K-7/G3 level (maybe pride got in their way,hehe). Anyhoo, we stayed at Storm level (K5,6,&7) for 14-16 hours with entire event lasting about 24 hours. Here's NOAA warnings from 10/2011:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Doc Strong's post-game analysis-

[link to youtu.be]

I haven't gone nostalgic yet and used the GLP time machine, but if anyone finds our intuitive rantings from Oct. 22-25, 2011, please post the page numbers for me so I can reminisce about the good-ole-days, LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Here this should put you in the vicinity

Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) (Page 417)

Glad you came through that accident relatively unscathed!
And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation."
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 24628596
Portugal
09/29/2012 12:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SDO captured a C-Class flare off the northwest limb within the past hour. [link to twitter.com]
Hugh M Eye

User ID: 22914370
United States
09/29/2012 12:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
While looking for more data on the Oct 24, 2011 storm I found this well-put-together page about it w/ some vids. I remember this event vividly. The filament eruption CME almost went unnoticed as we had an M-flare/CME/Proton event from the west limb shortly after the puny li'l filament lifted off.

Anatomy of a Geomagnetic Storm:

[link to www.thesuntoday.org]

This was predicted to be a glancing blow before it arrived. NOAA called for Unsettled to Minor storm conditions if I recall. Looking back over their archived Warnings and Alerts from that day, I notice they never even issued a warning for the K-7/G3 level (maybe pride got in their way,hehe). Anyhoo, we stayed at Storm level (K5,6,&7) for 14-16 hours with entire event lasting about 24 hours. Here's NOAA warnings from 10/2011:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Doc Strong's post-game analysis-

[link to youtu.be]

I haven't gone nostalgic yet and used the GLP time machine, but if anyone finds our intuitive rantings from Oct. 22-25, 2011, please post the page numbers for me so I can reminisce about the good-ole-days, LOL.
 Quoting: Hugh M Eye

Here this should put you in the vicinity

Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) (Page 417)

Glad you came through that accident relatively unscathed!
 Quoting: madajs


Thank you, friend. I didn't think to look here until I was writing the last post. Back then I missed the aurora but I thought we'd see lots of these big storms, CMEs, M & X-flares throughout the Solar Maximum. But save for very active periods in Feb-March and again in July, these events have been mostly isolated. I'd say we're overdue for some X-flares.





GLP